Realized P&L
+$1.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$191
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
282
Trades
826
lifetime
Volume
$24.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 10-28 06:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
49% 64% -$276
Crypto
26% 69% +$1,369
Politics
16% 66% -$69
Tech
6% 70% +$349
Sports
2% 47% +$185
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? No +179 $96 78¢ $140 +$44 09-16 04:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +113 $82 90¢ $103 +$21 08-23 06:14
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +78 $40 94¢ $73 +$33 08-05 14:45
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +83 $41 88¢ $73 +$32 08-26 19:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +82 $61 84¢ $69 +$8 10-26 01:17
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +61 $39 94¢ $57 +$18 07-26 16:28
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +125 $50 42¢ $53 +$3 09-21 00:10
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +71 $50 73¢ $52 +$2 10-24 04:38
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +62 $50 84¢ $52 +$2 09-02 11:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +55 $44 94¢ $52 +$7 10-02 14:52
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 No +60 $40 82¢ $49 +$9 08-18 02:39
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +68 $50 71¢ $48 -$2 10-26 14:43
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +172 $50 28¢ $47 -$3 10-22 00:04
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +57 $41 80¢ $45 +$4 08-29 09:08
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +68 $50 63¢ $43 -$7 10-17 00:04
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +44 $25 90¢ $39 +$14 08-08 16:03
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +52 $41 68¢ $36 -$5 08-10 15:28
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 No +57 $41 60¢ $35 -$7 08-11 18:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +31 $23 94¢ $29 +$6 07-01 20:47
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +34 $25 84¢ $29 +$4 08-30 22:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +36 $28 80¢ $29 +$1 05-25 10:45
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +35 $25 76¢ $27 +$2 08-30 22:25
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $34 18¢ $26 -$8 09-03 13:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +31 $26 84¢ $26 +$0 07-05 09:35
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +29 $25 86¢ $25 +$0 08-31 00:26
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +36 $24 62¢ $22 -$2 08-30 22:25
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +32 $17 59¢ $19 +$1 10-21 00:04
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +24 $15 70¢ $17 +$2 08-27 13:55
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +18 $15 93¢ $17 +$2 08-28 00:11
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +40 $10 41¢ $16 +$6 06-08 14:46