Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$444
Trades
82
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$2,058
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-13 12:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $42 | $29 | +$13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $24 | $148 | $124 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $36 | $12 | +$24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $47 | $45 |
| Median | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| Below median | 1 | $18 | $32 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $44 | $44 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $30 | — | +$30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| unranked | 9 | $41 | $54 | $13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insubstantial-Troop 0xcca4…abb1 | Yes | +50 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-28 10:14 |
| Wide-Bikini 0xaa96…9592 | No | +50 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-28 10:14 |
| Lucky-Mitten 0x7921…cab1 | No | +36 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-13 12:43 |
| Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | +36 | $13 | $22 | 9 | 06-07 00:26 |
| Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | No | +35 | $24 | $41 | 5 | 06-11 06:52 |
| Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | +23 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-13 12:43 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +20 | $8 | $16 | 4 | 06-06 17:04 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +20 | $13 | $19 | 3 | 06-12 20:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 03:38 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $57 | 13 | 06-10 06:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 12:43:46 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x20b80f… |
| 06-13 12:43:46 | Lucky-Mitten 0x7921…cab1 | No | BUY | 23 | 65¢ | $15 | 0x20b80f… |
| 06-12 20:19:51 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xcbd4fb… |
| 06-12 20:19:51 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xcbd4fb… |
| 06-11 06:52:10 | Lucky-Mitten 0x7921…cab1 | No | BUY | 13 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x3a60a8… |
| 06-11 06:52:10 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | No | SELL | 13 | 65¢ | $8 | 0x3a60a8… |
| 06-10 06:00:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xca67f5… |
| 06-10 06:00:10 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xca67f5… |
| 06-10 05:59:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x693a6f… |
| 06-10 05:59:55 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x693a6f… |
| 06-10 05:56:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xcfeba0… |
| 06-10 05:56:15 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xcfeba0… |
| 06-09 20:09:40 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x1f65b8… |
| 06-09 20:09:40 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x1f65b8… |
| 06-07 04:32:43 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | No | BUY | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0x9bea99… |
| 06-07 04:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xc318…d82a | No | SELL | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0x9bea99… |
| 06-07 04:32:31 | (anonymous) 0xc318…d82a | No | BUY | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0xc0f092… |
| 06-07 04:32:31 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 18 | 68¢ | $12 | 0xc0f092… |
| 06-07 00:26:21 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x2f758c… |
| 06-07 00:26:21 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x2f758c… |
| 06-07 00:19:34 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x5ba84e… |
| 06-07 00:19:34 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x5ba84e… |
| 06-06 23:55:18 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x7f3c50… |
| 06-06 23:55:18 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x7f3c50… |
| 06-06 22:17:10 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 18 | 69¢ | $12 | 0xc1ab7c… |
| 06-06 22:17:10 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | No | BUY | 18 | 69¢ | $12 | 0xc1ab7c… |
| 06-06 22:16:33 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x694fb6… |
| 06-06 22:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 13 | 69¢ | $9 | 0x694fb6… |
| 06-06 22:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xca497e… |
| 06-06 22:16:30 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xca497e… |
| 06-06 21:29:19 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xb8c8ed… |
| 06-06 21:29:19 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xb8c8ed… |
| 06-06 17:04:13 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xe69867… |
| 06-06 17:04:13 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xe69867… |
| 06-06 17:04:13 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x36453d… |
| 06-06 17:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x36453d… |
| 06-06 16:59:09 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x0323a3… |
| 06-06 16:59:09 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x0323a3… |
| 06-06 16:59:07 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xfe0d1f… |
| 06-06 16:59:07 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xfe0d1f… |
| 06-06 16:54:06 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x92eef8… |
| 06-06 16:54:06 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x72ac12… |
| 06-06 16:54:06 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x92eef8… |
| 06-06 16:54:06 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x72ac12… |
| 06-06 16:53:13 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x401f7c… |
| 06-06 16:53:13 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x401f7c… |
| 06-06 16:49:00 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xed234d… |
| 06-06 16:49:00 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0xed234d… |
| 06-06 16:43:58 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x36418e… |
| 06-06 16:43:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x3189a0… |
| 06-06 16:43:58 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x36418e… |
| 06-06 16:43:58 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x3189a0… |
| 06-06 16:38:52 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xb288c2… |
| 06-06 16:38:52 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xcd1d1e… |
| 06-06 16:38:52 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xb288c2… |
| 06-06 16:38:52 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xcd1d1e… |
| 06-06 14:37:19 | Watery-Database 0x6a2c…64f0 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x9d186c… |
| 06-06 14:37:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x9d186c… |
| 06-06 13:12:06 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x34a1e8… |
| 06-06 13:12:06 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x34a1e8… |
| 06-06 10:24:12 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x9cb42e… |
| 06-06 10:24:12 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x9cb42e… |
| 06-06 10:21:31 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x4f937c… |
| 06-06 10:21:31 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x4f937c… |
| 06-06 09:26:18 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x63d466… |
| 06-06 09:26:18 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x63d466… |
| 06-06 09:19:30 | Similar-Bitter 0xcf6f…2441 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x334f23… |
| 06-06 09:19:30 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x334f23… |
| 06-06 07:27:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xba9fd4… |
| 06-06 07:27:52 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | SELL | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xba9fd4… |
| 06-06 07:27:52 | Similar-Bitter 0xcf6f…2441 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xba9fd4… |
| 06-06 07:27:52 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xba9fd4… |
| 06-06 07:14:48 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x2e0d21… |
| 06-06 07:14:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x2e0d21… |
| 06-03 20:50:01 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x3b9d21… |
| 06-03 20:50:01 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x3b9d21… |
| 05-31 03:38:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x9c13f9… |
| 05-31 03:38:06 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x9c13f9… |
| 05-28 12:27:15 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa7e33c… |
| 05-28 12:27:15 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xa7e33c… |
| 05-28 10:14:22 | Insubstantial-Troop 0xcca4…abb1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0xca3f5b… |
| 05-28 10:14:22 | Wide-Bikini 0xaa96…9592 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0xca3f5b… |