Realized P&L
+$238
Unrealized P&L
+$1.07K
Hit rate
77.3%
Resolved
25
Trades
3,684
lifetime
Volume
$92.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$3.12K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-01 03:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
48% 56% +$408
Politics
43% 50% $-192
Tech
4% 0% $-105
Crypto
3% 100% +$127
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,878 $-1,052 64¢ $-1211 $-159 06-23 00:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +507 $152 100¢ $506 +$354 05-31 15:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -424 $-539 83¢ $-352 +$187 05-31 18:38
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +500 $120 46¢ $232 +$112 06-24 05:54
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? No +420 $154 54¢ $227 +$73 06-29 07:02
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +194 $-51 74¢ $144 +$194 06-15 15:24
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +207 $-118 51¢ $106 +$224 07-01 07:42
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +117 $38 68¢ $79 +$41 06-15 01:03
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +259 $70 22¢ $56 $-14 06-30 17:44
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? Yes -79 $-53 69¢ $-55 $-2 06-28 15:07
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? No +79 $-1 64¢ $51 +$51 06-22 04:53
Will Twice release a song in 2026? Yes -71 $-54 53¢ $-38 +$16 06-17 18:27
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -34 $-21 69¢ $-23 $-2 06-22 22:40
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026? No -17 $-9 88¢ $-15 $-6 06-26 08:28
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -19 $-12 41¢ $-8 +$4 06-24 12:23
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -114 $-6 $-5 +$1 06-25 22:35
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 $-3 83¢ $-4 $-1 06-26 08:24
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 73¢ $-4 +$0 06-25 22:35
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -3 $-2 76¢ $-2 +$0 06-26 08:25
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? Yes -3 $-0 38¢ $-1 $-1 06-25 21:55
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? Yes -832 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-25 22:26
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-25 22:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 08:45
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-25 22:15
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -0 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-26 08:45