Realized P&L
+$9.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$320
Hit rate
73.9%
Resolved
893
Trades
4,884
lifetime
Volume
$152.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$610
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-27 06:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 192 days
Categories
Other
51% 65% +$7,716
Politics
39% 60% +$1,446
Tech
6% 57% +$994
Crypto
2% 84% +$671
Sports
1% 50% -$1,294
Pop-Culture
1% 77% +$380
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -424 -$539 92¢ $-388 +$151 05-31 18:38
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -1,174 -$256 8¢ $-89 +$166 07-14 15:36
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +38 $11 86¢ $33 +$22 07-14 20:41
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 No +14 $10 88¢ $12 +$2 08-01 20:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +27 $10 44¢ $12 +$2 08-01 02:44
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -625 -$25 2¢ $-11 +$14 05-04 08:17
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 07-31 00:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +83 $10 11¢ $9 -$1 08-01 08:32
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +22 $10 38¢ $9 -$1 08-01 17:12
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +47 $10 18¢ $9 -$1 08-01 17:13
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? Yes +87 $10 6¢ $5 -$5 08-01 02:12
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? Yes -241 -$17 2¢ $-4 +$12 04-29 22:47
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +38 $10 12¢ $4 -$6 08-01 14:31
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +25 $10 14¢ $3 -$7 07-16 03:18
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +26 $10 12¢ $3 -$6 08-02 21:47
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes -54 -$3 4¢ $-2 +$1 04-29 22:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +29 $10 6¢ $2 -$8 07-31 22:13
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +32 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 08-01 18:03
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +15 $10 6¢ $1 -$9 07-31 23:02
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 8¢ $-1 +$0 04-29 23:13
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 04-29 23:03
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes -13 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 23:15
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -11 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 23:16
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes -15 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-02 13:17
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 23:03
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 23:15
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -12 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 05-02 13:19
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 23:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 23:04
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 23:03