True-Highlight 0x80302a…b67b74
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$347
Unrealized P&L
+$866
Hit rate
79.0%
Resolved
26
Trades
3,922
lifetime
Volume
$107.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$3.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-20 15:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
50% 56% +$408
Politics
42% 50% $-192
Tech
4% 0% $-105
Crypto
3% 100% +$236
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,878 $-1,051 54¢ $-1004 +$47 07-15 23:32
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No -583 $-537 61¢ $-356 +$182 07-01 09:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -424 $-539 84¢ $-354 +$185 05-31 18:38
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? No -302 $-496 96¢ $-291 +$206 07-10 10:42
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes -1,174 $-256 22¢ $-263 $-7 07-14 15:36
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +194 $-51 78¢ $151 +$202 06-15 15:24
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -500 $-110 22¢ $-110 +$0 07-14 15:37
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +259 $70 39¢ $101 +$31 06-30 17:44
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? No +214 $75 46¢ $97 +$22 07-15 03:24
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,063 $192 7¢ $71 $-121 07-07 18:14
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? Yes -79 $-53 81¢ $-64 $-11 06-28 15:07
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? No +79 $-1 71¢ $56 +$57 06-22 04:53
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? No +59 $14 86¢ $51 +$36 07-13 12:57
Will Twice release a song in 2026? Yes -71 $-54 64¢ $-45 +$9 06-17 18:27
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +117 $38 38¢ $44 +$6 06-15 01:03
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? No +37 $18 72¢ $27 +$8 07-05 19:04
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +38 $11 62¢ $24 +$13 07-14 20:41
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -34 $-21 58¢ $-20 +$2 06-22 22:40
Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +31 $10 59¢ $18 +$8 07-20 14:00
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No -26 $-16 69¢ $-18 $-2 07-07 15:16
Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026? No -17 $-9 83¢ $-15 $-5 06-26 08:28
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +25 $10 52¢ $13 +$3 07-16 03:18
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? No -19 $-12 31¢ $-6 +$6 06-24 12:23
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -114 $-6 4¢ $-5 +$1 06-25 22:35
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-4 82¢ $-5 $-0 06-25 22:35
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +43 $13 8¢ $4 $-9 07-07 18:12
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -5 $-3 73¢ $-4 $-1 06-26 08:24
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -3 $-2 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-26 08:25
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 07-01 09:21
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -0 $-0 5¢ $-0 +$0 06-25 22:15