Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$960
Trades
103
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,301
Latest YES mid
76¢
Latest NO mid
24¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-20 07:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-67.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $13
vs crowd: 68% YES on $733)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $38 | $42 | $4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $236 | $32 | +$204 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $222 | $141 | +$81 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $16 | $6 | +$10 |
| Median | 3 | $176 | $5 | +$171 |
| Below median | 3 | $47 | $98 | $51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $26 | $14 | +$12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $184 | $36 | +$148 |
| unranked | 8 | $47 | $64 | $17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +301 | $72 | $72 | 7 | 06-09 21:30 |
| Silky-Equivalent 0x5170…6c45 | Yes | +229 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 06-03 09:56 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +216 | $162 | $162 | 7 | 06-18 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | No | +160 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-10 10:44 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | +77 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-08 14:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +53 | $41 | $53 | 6 | 06-12 02:33 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +48 | $12 | $21 | 6 | 06-20 07:42 |
| Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | +48 | $36 | $37 | 4 | 06-20 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +44 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-16 05:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +23 | $17 | $27 | 2 | 06-09 22:10 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-31 18:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 10:32 |
| Sarcastic-Diversity 0x0211…d41f | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-30 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb275…38af | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 08:18 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 07:26 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +2 | $-1 | $73 | 7 | 06-09 21:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 07:42:53 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x1015b8… |
| 06-20 07:42:53 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x1015b8… |
| 06-20 07:33:31 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x63bdbe… |
| 06-20 07:33:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x63bdbe… |
| 06-19 10:15:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x1bd6c4… |
| 06-19 10:15:07 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x1bd6c4… |
| 06-18 07:16:07 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xc1e325… |
| 06-18 07:16:07 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 75¢ | $7 | 0xc1e325… |
| 06-17 10:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x577a…6c80 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0xf0f435… |
| 06-17 10:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 9 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xf0f435… |
| 06-16 05:55:10 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x7f8ed7… |
| 06-16 05:55:10 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x7f8ed7… |
| 06-16 05:51:58 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xc23993… |
| 06-16 05:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xc23993… |
| 06-14 08:18:39 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x67a18f… |
| 06-14 08:18:39 | (anonymous) 0xb275…38af | No | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x67a18f… |
| 06-12 02:33:21 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x657c3b… |
| 06-12 02:33:21 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x657c3b… |
| 06-11 20:39:46 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xeead4c… |
| 06-11 20:39:46 | Weekly-Gallery 0xd7e4…4d05 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0xeead4c… |
| 06-11 00:20:30 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xf59f6b… |
| 06-11 00:20:30 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xf59f6b… |
| 06-10 22:40:24 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 15 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xb94b48… |
| 06-10 22:40:24 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 15 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xb94b48… |
| 06-10 22:40:12 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xcd888f… |
| 06-10 22:40:12 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xcd888f… |
| 06-10 10:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | No | BUY | 160 | 25¢ | $40 | 0x054d1e… |
| 06-10 10:44:40 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 75¢ | $120 | 0x054d1e… |
| 06-10 03:28:40 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0aeab1… |
| 06-10 03:28:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0aeab1… |
| 06-09 22:10:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0xe9e4ce… |
| 06-09 22:10:48 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe9e4ce… |
| 06-09 22:02:34 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x951168… |
| 06-09 22:02:34 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x951168… |
| 06-09 21:30:58 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0xd60cd7… |
| 06-09 21:30:58 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xd60cd7… |
| 06-09 21:30:58 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 75¢ | $24 | 0xd60cd7… |
| 06-09 21:26:31 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 105 | 24¢ | $25 | 0x57f84c… |
| 06-09 21:26:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x57f84c… |
| 06-09 21:26:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 76¢ | $22 | 0x57f84c… |
| 06-09 21:26:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 46 | 24¢ | $11 | 0x57f84c… |
| 06-09 21:25:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xbdebde… |
| 06-09 21:25:07 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xbdebde… |
| 06-09 07:51:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x692e9c… |
| 06-09 07:51:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x692e9c… |
| 06-09 00:25:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x0caa38… |
| 06-09 00:25:07 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x0caa38… |
| 06-08 21:53:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x3cd943… |
| 06-08 21:53:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x3cd943… |
| 06-08 21:53:27 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x3cd943… |
| 06-08 21:25:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x985e3d… |
| 06-08 21:25:13 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x985e3d… |
| 06-08 19:58:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x360676… |
| 06-08 19:58:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x360676… |
| 06-08 19:58:55 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x360676… |
| 06-08 19:28:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xa38055… |
| 06-08 19:28:30 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0xa38055… |
| 06-08 14:15:06 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x85c0ac… |
| 06-08 14:15:06 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x85c0ac… |
| 06-08 14:05:34 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x32b94e… |
| 06-08 14:05:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x32b94e… |
| 06-08 14:04:13 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xa8d8cc… |
| 06-08 14:04:13 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 42 | 17¢ | $7 | 0xa8d8cc… |
| 06-08 14:04:13 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 53 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xa8d8cc… |
| 06-08 14:01:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 23 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x5bf55e… |
| 06-08 14:01:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x5bf55e… |
| 06-08 14:01:27 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 61 | 19¢ | $11 | 0x5bf55e… |
| 06-08 14:01:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x5bf55e… |
| 06-04 22:20:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 22 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x282230… |
| 06-04 22:20:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x282230… |
| 06-04 22:20:22 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x282230… |
| 06-04 22:17:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x3a9456… |
| 06-04 22:17:45 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x3a9456… |
| 06-04 22:17:42 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0x4519e5… |
| 06-04 22:17:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x4519e5… |
| 06-04 22:16:55 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xe196b5… |
| 06-04 22:16:55 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 65 | 23¢ | $15 | 0xe196b5… |
| 06-04 22:16:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0xe196b5… |
| 06-04 22:16:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe196b5… |
| 06-04 02:08:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x2c54be… |
| 06-04 02:08:28 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x2c54be… |
| 06-03 09:56:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 157 | 23¢ | $36 | 0x03c7a5… |
| 06-03 09:56:46 | Silky-Equivalent 0x5170…6c45 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 77¢ | $121 | 0x03c7a5… |
| 06-03 09:56:37 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 52 | 75¢ | $39 | 0x604a08… |
| 06-03 09:56:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x604a08… |
| 06-03 09:56:37 | Silky-Equivalent 0x5170…6c45 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 75¢ | $54 | 0x604a08… |
| 06-02 22:54:50 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x91643f… |
| 06-02 22:54:50 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x91643f… |
| 06-02 22:54:27 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xf0caa5… |
| 06-02 22:54:27 | Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xf0caa5… |
| 05-31 18:09:05 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x5fe68a… |
| 05-31 18:09:05 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 28 | 75¢ | $21 | 0x5fe68a… |
| 05-31 18:07:13 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | No | SELL | 43 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x4a21b4… |
| 05-31 18:07:13 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x4a21b4… |
| 05-31 18:07:13 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 15 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x4a21b4… |
| 05-30 19:47:12 | Sarcastic-Diversity 0x0211…d41f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x59111d… |
| 05-30 19:47:12 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x59111d… |
| 05-28 07:26:48 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xf16af3… |
| 05-28 07:26:48 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xf16af3… |
| 05-28 00:45:07 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x52735d… |