Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$12,569
Trades
416
Unique wallets
91
Liquidity
$1,301
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-11 13:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-23.7¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $6.6K
vs crowd: 24% YES on $11.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $568 | $6.6K | $6.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $1.2K | $88 | +$1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $221 | $96 | +$125 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $697 | $1.6K | $914 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $43 | $6.6K | $6.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $572 | $67 | +$505 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $44 | $70 | $26 |
| Median | 8 | $183 | $806 | $623 |
| Below median | 15 | $273 | $127 | +$146 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $45 | $14 | +$31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $425 | $44 | +$381 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $593 | $36 | +$557 |
| unranked | 32 | $542 | $692 | $150 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | +7,693 | $6,325 | $6,325 | 27 | 07-09 15:03 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +1,895 | $345 | $345 | 2 | 07-07 18:14 |
| True-Highlight 0x8030…7b74 | Yes | +1,858 | $411 | $411 | 4 | 07-07 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x45b2…cbc1 | Yes | +1,250 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-07 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | No | +842 | $800 | $800 | 1 | 07-07 18:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | Yes | +794 | $119 | $119 | 4 | 07-07 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x7447…4657 | Yes | +601 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-07 18:14 |
| Responsible-Tennis 0x1bdd…31ac | Yes | +520 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-08 07:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xda28…469b | No | +413 | $400 | $400 | 1 | 07-07 18:31 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +341 | $107 | $107 | 4 | 07-07 18:14 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | +304 | $18 | $23 | 6 | 07-11 13:02 |
| Surprised-Article 0x6491…74b2 | No | +301 | $72 | $72 | 7 | 06-09 21:30 |
| Silky-Equivalent 0x5170…6c45 | Yes | +229 | $175 | $175 | 2 | 06-03 09:56 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | +216 | $162 | $162 | 7 | 06-18 07:16 |
| Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | Yes | +188 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-08 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d52…9194 | Yes | +159 | $24 | $24 | 5 | 07-07 18:14 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +149 | $36 | $36 | 6 | 07-03 09:15 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +145 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-11 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x6706…2341 | Yes | +133 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 07-07 18:14 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +131 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 07-07 18:19 |
| Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | +108 | $-23 | $154 | 18 | 07-11 11:18 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | +100 | $73 | $73 | 3 | 07-07 11:53 |
| Hidden-Robe 0x3dcb…e3c5 | Yes | +92 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 07-09 15:03 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +74 | $37 | $37 | 3 | 07-07 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf610…741c | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 18:14 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | +56 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-09 15:27 |
| Wilted-King 0x39ca…7605 | Yes | +56 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-07 18:14 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +49 | $39 | $112 | 10 | 07-06 14:03 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +49 | $12 | $21 | 7 | 06-21 16:37 |
| Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +44 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-16 05:51 |
| Silver-Astronomy 0xfd47…805a | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-07 18:41 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $28 | $41 | 5 | 07-07 20:29 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-08 14:19 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-08 14:12 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $-1 | $59 | 20 | 07-11 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +21 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 07-07 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-07 12:14 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | +18 | $-1 | $27 | 5 | 07-06 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $8 | $30 | 5 | 07-07 18:02 |
| Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | Yes | +13 | $40 | $451 | 31 | 07-07 11:57 |
| Petty-Spacing 0x17cb…4088 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-17 10:32 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 07:26 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +2 | $-1 | $73 | 8 | 07-07 03:56 |
| Black-University 0x0044…cb2c | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-07 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | +1 | $-0 | $7 | 4 | 07-07 11:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 13:02:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5ba007… |
| 07-11 13:02:02 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x5ba007… |
| 07-11 11:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5c7955… |
| 07-11 11:18:55 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5c7955… |
| 07-11 11:18:55 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5c7955… |
| 07-11 07:12:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 145 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x8dac38… |
| 07-11 07:12:50 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8dac38… |
| 07-11 07:12:50 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 6¢ | $15 | 0x8dac38… |
| 07-11 07:12:50 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 410 | 6¢ | $25 | 0x8dac38… |
| 07-11 07:12:50 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x8dac38… |
| 07-11 05:27:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x15361f… |
| 07-11 05:27:29 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x15361f… |
| 07-11 05:27:29 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x15361f… |
| 07-11 04:37:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf5672d… |
| 07-11 04:37:13 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf5672d… |
| 07-11 04:36:55 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe2a239… |
| 07-11 04:36:55 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe2a239… |
| 07-11 04:36:14 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x5d1cf3… |
| 07-11 04:36:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5d1cf3… |
| 07-11 04:36:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x5d1cf3… |
| 07-10 20:00:19 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 26 | 90¢ | $23 | 0x419274… |
| 07-10 20:00:19 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x419274… |
| 07-10 20:00:07 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 85 | 90¢ | $77 | 0x0c9bba… |
| 07-10 20:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x0c9bba… |
| 07-10 20:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x0c9bba… |
| 07-10 20:00:07 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x0c9bba… |
| 07-10 18:03:34 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | SELL | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x9cb478… |
| 07-10 18:03:34 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9cb478… |
| 07-10 11:54:26 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xc06ead… |
| 07-10 11:54:26 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xc06ead… |
| 07-10 11:54:26 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 201 | 11¢ | $21 | 0xc06ead… |
| 07-10 11:54:26 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 146 | 89¢ | $130 | 0xc06ead… |
| 07-10 10:50:38 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 21 | 89¢ | $19 | 0xb33682… |
| 07-10 10:50:38 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb33682… |
| 07-09 15:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x69f211… |
| 07-09 15:27:22 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | SELL | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x69f211… |
| 07-09 15:27:22 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 52 | 86¢ | $45 | 0x69f211… |
| 07-09 15:27:22 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x69f211… |
| 07-09 15:21:20 | Helpful-Printing 0x9731…a821 | No | BUY | 77 | 86¢ | $66 | 0x838b2b… |
| 07-09 15:21:20 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 77 | 86¢ | $66 | 0x838b2b… |
| 07-09 15:03:53 | Hidden-Robe 0x3dcb…e3c5 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x8272a7… |
| 07-09 15:03:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8272a7… |
| 07-09 15:03:53 | Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x8272a7… |
| 07-09 15:03:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x8272a7… |
| 07-09 15:03:53 | (anonymous) 0x3d05…acde | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8272a7… |
| 07-09 14:09:28 | (anonymous) 0xde94…6d0f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcee46c… |
| 07-09 14:09:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcee46c… |
| 07-09 13:51:50 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xf6d52a… |
| 07-09 13:51:50 | (anonymous) 0x7953…cbb4 | No | SELL | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0xf6d52a… |
| 07-09 13:51:50 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xf6d52a… |
| 07-09 06:55:35 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe0c0dc… |
| 07-09 06:55:35 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe0c0dc… |
| 07-08 20:00:44 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa2acc8… |
| 07-08 20:00:44 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa2acc8… |
| 07-08 14:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xcb4073… |
| 07-08 14:19:01 | Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xcb4073… |
| 07-08 14:19:01 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | SELL | 26 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xcb4073… |
| 07-08 14:19:01 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xcb4073… |
| 07-08 14:19:01 | (anonymous) 0xb1e2…666d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcb4073… |
| 07-08 14:19:01 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xcb4073… |
| 07-08 14:13:11 | Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | BUY | 188 | 92¢ | $172 | 0xf06d5c… |
| 07-08 14:13:11 | Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | Yes | BUY | 188 | 8¢ | $15 | 0xf06d5c… |
| 07-08 14:12:25 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xb7c4d1… |
| 07-08 14:12:25 | Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xb7c4d1… |
| 07-08 13:47:16 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x817a9c… |
| 07-08 13:47:16 | Hidden-Robe 0x3dcb…e3c5 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x817a9c… |
| 07-08 13:07:16 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xa3bf7e… |
| 07-08 13:07:16 | Prickly-Goodbye 0x5bb5…8ab9 | No | SELL | 143 | 92¢ | $132 | 0xa3bf7e… |
| 07-08 13:07:16 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa3bf7e… |
| 07-08 12:17:29 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6ee9a6… |
| 07-08 12:17:29 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6ee9a6… |
| 07-08 12:17:29 | Silent-Leprosy 0xaae7…9ca1 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x6ee9a6… |
| 07-08 10:14:34 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x9a31d1… |
| 07-08 10:14:34 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x9a31d1… |
| 07-08 08:13:05 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x817ea2… |
| 07-08 08:13:05 | (anonymous) 0xb275…38af | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x817ea2… |
| 07-08 07:03:14 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 223 | 8¢ | $17 | 0x831d2e… |
| 07-08 07:03:14 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 257 | 92¢ | $237 | 0x831d2e… |
| 07-08 07:03:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x831d2e… |
| 07-08 07:03:14 | (anonymous) 0xa415…6384 | No | BUY | 15 | 92¢ | $14 | 0x831d2e… |
| 07-08 07:03:14 | Responsible-Tennis 0x1bdd…31ac | Yes | BUY | 520 | 8¢ | $40 | 0x831d2e… |
| 07-08 06:08:49 | Petty-Spacing 0x17cb…4088 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x260fd3… |
| 07-08 06:08:49 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x260fd3… |
| 07-08 05:20:59 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xdea213… |
| 07-08 05:20:59 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xdea213… |
| 07-07 21:27:11 | Tense-Precedent 0xfb51…742d | No | BUY | 96 | 92¢ | $88 | 0xe20f89… |
| 07-07 21:27:11 | (anonymous) 0x01ee…b9df | No | SELL | 160 | 92¢ | $147 | 0xe20f89… |
| 07-07 21:27:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe20f89… |
| 07-07 21:27:11 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe20f89… |
| 07-07 21:27:11 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xe20f89… |
| 07-07 21:00:49 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0edbd1… |
| 07-07 21:00:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x0edbd1… |
| 07-07 20:46:55 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x64c255… |
| 07-07 20:46:55 | Queasy-Bob 0xa2e0…fd91 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x64c255… |
| 07-07 20:36:41 | Worst-Illiteracy 0x5028…91c5 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x8bbb85… |
| 07-07 20:36:41 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 142 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x8bbb85… |
| 07-07 20:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x935eae… |
| 07-07 20:35:28 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x935eae… |
| 07-07 20:35:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x935eae… |
| 07-07 20:34:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x87886b… |