Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$706

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

1,857

Trades

5,807

lifetime

Volume

$32.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$79

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 11-01 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Other

56% 34% +$814

Crypto

27% 64% +$43

Politics

14% 64% -$18

Sports

2% 46% -$59

Tech

1% 65% -$74

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+25	$21	99¢	$24	+$3	10-26 18:56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+25	$24	96¢	$24	+$0	10-31 16:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	+10	$9	90¢	$9	+$0	10-31 00:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+11	$9	84¢	$9	$0	10-31 18:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	+7	$6	92¢	$6	+$0	10-31 03:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+7	$6	98¢	$6	+$0	10-31 01:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$610	335	335	+0	No	+$11	06-25 09:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	21	$498	274	274	+0	No	+$14	05-18 21:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	24	$458	276	276	+0	No	+$26	05-06 12:09
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	5	$312	162	162	+0	No	+$6	08-17 14:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 00:00 UTC	37	$271	226	192	+34	Down	-$11	04-23 00:11
will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	12	$262	146	146	+0	No	+$19	08-17 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	3	$236	287	287	+0	Yes	+$230	05-24 11:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	7	$234	126	126	+0	No	+$14	05-21 15:25
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	9	$233	198	183	+14	Yes	+$5	10-02 12:35
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	10	$227	118	118	+0	Yes	+$9	05-23 10:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	13	$213	112	112	+0	Yes	+$9	10-28 00:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 23:15 UTC	22	$210	199	33	+165	Down	+$11	04-22 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 2?	3	$198	109	109	+0	Yes	+$20	05-02 22:55
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$190	794	794	+0	open	—	08-17 14:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 00:15 UTC	16	$180	150	146	+4	Up	-$20	04-23 00:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	6	$178	96	96	+0	No	+$6	09-17 15:27
Will Solana reach $130 in September?	11	$177	97	97	+0	No	+$9	09-29 22:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	4	$171	96	96	+0	No	+$10	06-11 12:16
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	11	$170	93	93	+0	No	+$8	05-31 12:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 21:30 UTC	28	$169	109	107	+2	Up	+$13	04-22 21:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	12	$166	129	129	+0	No	-$8	06-11 12:16
will solana dip to 60 in july 2026	7	$163	125	62	+63	No	+$20	07-21 23:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	2	$161	94	94	+0	Yes	+$1	05-25 17:45
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?	16	$158	147	147	+0	No	+$11	05-02 14:55
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?	5	$156	99	99	+0	Yes	+$6	05-02 14:55
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	9	$154	88	88	+0	No	+$6	09-17 15:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	24	$151	145	114	+31	No	+$15	05-28 01:51
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	15	$150	104	104	+0	open	—	08-05 23:40
Will Solana dip to $90 in September?	7	$150	81	81	+0	No	+$10	09-26 03:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	10	$149	113	113	+0	No	+$2	05-26 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:19:24	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x8ded5e…
11-01 10:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd21c1e…
11-01 06:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x2b2386…
11-01 06:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x0ac487…
11-01 06:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xddd022…
11-01 02:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf05887…
11-01 02:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x9aa041…
10-31 19:41:24	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xd111bb…
10-31 19:38:18	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfac034…
10-31 19:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0xa238b2…
10-31 18:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xd12833…
10-31 18:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x29aaf9…
10-31 18:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x9f83aa…
10-31 18:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0xf3b87d…
10-31 18:47:52	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x37d3df…
10-31 18:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa65244…
10-31 18:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x766a2d…
10-31 18:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xc4f399…
10-31 18:29:37	1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd9932e…
10-31 18:01:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xf49e9d…
10-31 16:12:31	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xcc1df4…
10-31 15:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xbcbf9d…
10-31 15:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x30a09c…
10-31 12:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0xfc1993…
10-31 11:55:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x17fb4a…
10-31 11:26:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xb13518…
10-31 11:26:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x2f6896…
10-31 10:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x9c4d4a…
10-31 08:47:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xdb1598…
10-31 03:03:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x8158d2…
10-31 03:00:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc9cba8…
10-31 01:26:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xed87c2…
10-31 00:53:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x9b77a8…
10-31 00:27:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $42 in November?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x053f61…
10-31 00:26:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x5ff0c3…
10-31 00:26:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$0	0x45215f…
10-31 00:25:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x96033a…
10-31 00:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x443d71…
10-31 00:03:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9089d1…
10-31 00:02:51	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x43e009…
10-30 20:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0x6bafa7…
10-30 16:02:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x98a64c…
10-30 14:43:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x87edc2…
10-29 16:26:23	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $200 in October?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x342d3c…
10-29 08:12:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x41c7ef…
10-29 03:20:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7d9ba7…
10-29 03:11:28	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xcac5d5…
10-29 03:00:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x506532…
10-29 00:24:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xea511e…
10-29 00:15:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xaf758b…
10-29 00:13:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x14d192…
10-28 20:09:29	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xaaf17d…
10-28 20:07:34	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x284f98…
10-28 15:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x20fb83…
10-28 15:05:58	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in October?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc5db73…
10-28 15:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xca9381…
10-28 14:58:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x800a18…
10-28 12:21:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x01e2aa…
10-28 06:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x62cfdc…
10-28 05:52:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	372	1¢	$3	0x24bd00…
10-28 01:14:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x2b17b9…
10-28 01:12:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xeee768…
10-28 00:53:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x2df819…
10-28 00:49:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x01bf2e…
10-28 00:10:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xf6ae88…
10-28 00:05:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe5a02c…
10-28 00:04:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb9214e…
10-27 23:59:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xece7b8…
10-27 13:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xb61585…
10-27 02:56:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xc1ccf8…
10-27 02:51:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$13	0xb17fd8…
10-27 02:47:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7045f9…
10-27 02:47:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xa50702…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x44fe78…
10-26 20:18:39	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	48	17¢	$8	0xa42f88…
10-26 20:01:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x9cd75d…
10-26 20:01:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xff9a4c…
10-26 19:54:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xac393a…
10-26 19:01:33	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x776e03…
10-26 18:58:50	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x6b01de…
10-26 18:58:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x093d38…
10-26 18:56:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4248ce…
10-26 18:53:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x3ed0fe…
10-26 18:19:20	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	240	0¢	$0	0x466327…
10-26 17:47:29	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xde0593…
10-26 17:14:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x9420af…
10-26 17:14:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x230933…
10-26 17:09:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x283db5…
10-26 17:07:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x322682…
10-26 17:03:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xfcfb4d…
10-26 17:02:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xceb0ed…
10-26 15:55:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xecc425…
10-26 15:53:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x4c9d62…
10-26 15:13:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xe28db4…
10-26 15:10:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xc100e9…
10-26 14:41:11	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $195 in October?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x1f76da…
10-26 14:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf258b9…
10-26 14:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x173bd5…
10-26 13:41:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x24a948…
10-26 13:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xccd684…