Realized P&L
-$217
Unrealized P&L
+$381
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
29
Trades
503
lifetime
Volume
$27.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$6.06K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-02
last 10-28 05:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Politics
57% 23% -$2,132
Other
43% 86% +$1,916
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14,800 $1,503 11¢ $1.6K +$51 10-26 14:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,100 -$1,058 98¢ $-1075 -$17 08-31 13:22
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -700 -$651 94¢ $-662 -$10 09-01 18:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,167 $200 12¢ $519 +$319 06-04 19:01
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -400 -$372 97¢ $-388 -$16 08-25 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $325 76¢ $382 +$58 08-30 22:32
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +15,702 $402 2¢ $361 -$41 10-22 19:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +320 $284 94¢ $299 +$14 09-01 18:55
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -300 -$291 98¢ $-293 -$2 08-25 01:50
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $204 70¢ $282 +$78 08-31 13:53
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $124 66¢ $133 +$9 10-28 05:02
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes -478 -$49 23¢ $-110 -$61 08-17 16:39