Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$1,506
Trades
137
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$4,111
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-05 15:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+61.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $14
vs crowd: 39% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $20 | $107 | $87 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $149 | $193 | $44 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $303 | $303 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $291 | $118 | +$173 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $73 | $71 |
| Median | 3 | — | $44 | $44 |
| Below median | 4 | $37 | $104 | $67 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $89 | $53 | +$36 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $20 | $199 | $179 |
| unranked | 10 | $291 | $249 | +$42 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | +528 | $182 | $182 | 8 | 06-20 17:36 |
| Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | +366 | $236 | $236 | 9 | 06-05 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x388c…2363 | Yes | +152 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-05 15:15 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +143 | $49 | $69 | 11 | 05-31 15:47 |
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +140 | $92 | $92 | 5 | 07-05 15:15 |
| Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | +106 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 06-05 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-09 07:51 |
| Hungry-Legging 0xfd1b…650b | No | +80 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 06-02 20:21 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +73 | $47 | $47 | 5 | 05-31 06:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +62 | $23 | $51 | 12 | 07-05 15:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +62 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 06-20 17:36 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +50 | $34 | $180 | 13 | 07-05 15:15 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +26 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-08 09:04 |
| Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 07-03 17:44 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +20 | $12 | $39 | 2 | 06-04 00:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7194…ef54 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 01:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 17:09 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 10:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 18:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x534d…b9c4 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 21:24 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 14:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 15:15:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xe88ea4… |
| 07-05 15:15:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xe88ea4… |
| 07-05 15:15:43 | (anonymous) 0x388c…2363 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 33¢ | $50 | 0xe88ea4… |
| 07-05 15:15:43 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 86 | 66¢ | $57 | 0xe88ea4… |
| 07-03 17:44:34 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | SELL | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x77d2fe… |
| 07-03 17:44:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 7 | 74¢ | $6 | 0x77d2fe… |
| 07-03 17:44:34 | Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x77d2fe… |
| 06-30 08:03:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xd46566… |
| 06-30 08:03:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xd46566… |
| 06-30 08:02:59 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | SELL | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x9ed899… |
| 06-30 08:02:59 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x9ed899… |
| 06-29 18:59:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x937fec… |
| 06-29 18:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x937fec… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 33¢ | $20 | 0x7537e7… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x7537e7… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x7537e7… |
| 06-20 17:36:14 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 26 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x7537e7… |
| 06-17 01:38:31 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xb822f2… |
| 06-17 01:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x7194…ef54 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0xb822f2… |
| 06-13 09:35:42 | Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 34¢ | $16 | 0xbb981d… |
| 06-13 09:35:42 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 28 | 66¢ | $18 | 0xbb981d… |
| 06-13 09:35:42 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xbb981d… |
| 06-12 17:15:33 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xf59de7… |
| 06-12 17:15:33 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xf59de7… |
| 06-09 14:25:13 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | SELL | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xb27359… |
| 06-09 14:25:13 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xb27359… |
| 06-09 08:07:37 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xad68e0… |
| 06-09 08:07:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xad68e0… |
| 06-09 07:55:49 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xebb927… |
| 06-09 07:55:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xebb927… |
| 06-09 07:51:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x9d436a… |
| 06-09 07:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | BUY | 100 | 66¢ | $66 | 0x9d436a… |
| 06-09 07:51:43 | Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 34¢ | $31 | 0x9d436a… |
| 06-08 09:04:30 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7414ee… |
| 06-08 09:04:30 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7414ee… |
| 06-08 08:59:52 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | BUY | 18 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x7e3c58… |
| 06-08 08:59:52 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x7e3c58… |
| 06-08 08:48:58 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x74b872… |
| 06-08 08:48:58 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x74b872… |
| 06-08 08:48:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $6 | 0x6544e2… |
| 06-08 08:48:55 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x6544e2… |
| 06-08 08:48:19 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 35¢ | $12 | 0x6acb20… |
| 06-08 08:48:19 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 41 | 34¢ | $14 | 0x6acb20… |
| 06-08 08:48:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x6acb20… |
| 06-08 08:48:19 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 95 | 35¢ | $33 | 0x6acb20… |
| 06-07 10:56:27 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x035b05… |
| 06-07 10:56:27 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x035b05… |
| 06-07 10:54:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x6b6c4c… |
| 06-07 10:54:06 | Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x6b6c4c… |
| 06-07 07:36:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 12 | 66¢ | $8 | 0xf1ac2f… |
| 06-07 07:36:04 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0xf1ac2f… |
| 06-06 05:17:03 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x5e61ef… |
| 06-06 05:17:03 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x5e61ef… |
| 06-06 05:17:00 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xbc8f08… |
| 06-06 05:17:00 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 36¢ | $14 | 0xbc8f08… |
| 06-06 05:17:00 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xbc8f08… |
| 06-06 05:17:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xbc8f08… |
| 06-05 14:13:01 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x494349… |
| 06-05 14:13:01 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | BUY | 46 | 60¢ | $28 | 0x494349… |
| 06-05 14:13:01 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 38¢ | $30 | 0x494349… |
| 06-05 14:13:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x494349… |
| 06-05 14:13:01 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x494349… |
| 06-05 05:35:13 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xf24dff… |
| 06-05 05:35:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xf24dff… |
| 06-05 05:35:13 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xf24dff… |
| 06-05 05:35:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xf24dff… |
| 06-05 05:35:13 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 36¢ | $19 | 0xf24dff… |
| 06-04 17:09:27 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x047811… |
| 06-04 17:09:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x047811… |
| 06-04 17:09:24 | (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0x956d72… |
| 06-04 17:09:24 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x956d72… |
| 06-04 00:00:07 | Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | BUY | 40 | 64¢ | $26 | 0x415baa… |
| 06-04 00:00:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x415baa… |
| 06-04 00:00:07 | Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 36¢ | $15 | 0x415baa… |
| 06-02 20:21:47 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x2b1936… |
| 06-02 20:21:47 | Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 34¢ | $35 | 0x2b1936… |
| 06-02 20:21:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 32 | 65¢ | $21 | 0x2b1936… |
| 06-02 20:21:47 | Hungry-Legging 0xfd1b…650b | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0x2b1936… |
| 06-01 16:57:19 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x015347… |
| 06-01 16:57:19 | Hungry-Legging 0xfd1b…650b | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x015347… |
| 05-31 15:47:37 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x5c1115… |
| 05-31 15:47:37 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 37¢ | $10 | 0x5c1115… |
| 05-31 06:02:46 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 4 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x7e5092… |
| 05-31 06:02:46 | (anonymous) 0x534d…b9c4 | No | SELL | 4 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x7e5092… |
| 05-31 03:49:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x247f9d… |
| 05-31 03:49:08 | Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x247f9d… |
| 05-31 03:46:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x3c529d… |
| 05-31 03:46:07 | Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x3c529d… |
| 05-31 03:46:07 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 0 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x3c529d… |
| 05-30 12:43:06 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x799441… |
| 05-30 12:43:06 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x799441… |
| 05-30 12:43:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 0 | 65¢ | $0 | 0x799441… |
| 05-30 12:42:57 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x8442ad… |
| 05-30 12:42:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0x8442ad… |
| 05-30 12:42:57 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | BUY | 40 | 64¢ | $26 | 0x8442ad… |
| 05-30 06:45:06 | Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xf67c28… |
| 05-30 06:45:06 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xf67c28… |
| 05-30 02:26:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0xaaf917… |
| 05-30 02:26:10 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xaaf917… |
| 05-30 02:26:10 | Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xaaf917… |