Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$5,234
Trades
256
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$4,111
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
69¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-27 20:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+70.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $405
vs crowd: 29% YES on $4.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $54 | $280 | $225 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 19 | $587 | $451 | +$136 |
| 🐟 Fish | 20 | $162 | $1.9K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $426 | $303 | +$123 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $405 | — | +$405 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $40 | $27 | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $6 | $301 | $294 |
| Median | 6 | — | $220 | $220 |
| Below median | 12 | $100 | $253 | $154 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $117 | $53 | +$63 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $25 | $372 | $347 |
| unranked | 27 | $526 | $1.7K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | +1,575 | $1,197 | $1,197 | 6 | 07-15 21:06 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +1,457 | $332 | $451 | 2 | 07-27 20:50 |
| Practical-Stepgrandmother 0xfbf8…cb04 | Yes | +528 | $182 | $182 | 8 | 06-20 17:36 |
| Spotted-Fig 0xfd0e…d918 | No | +366 | $236 | $236 | 9 | 06-05 14:13 |
| Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | +321 | $98 | $98 | 3 | 07-27 20:50 |
| Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | +300 | $218 | $218 | 4 | 07-27 20:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +220 | $163 | $396 | 17 | 07-22 03:54 |
| Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | +207 | $70 | $70 | 4 | 07-18 07:33 |
| Naughty-Nail 0x7d6b…5f17 | No | +201 | $147 | $147 | 6 | 07-09 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x388c…2363 | Yes | +152 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-05 15:15 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +143 | $49 | $69 | 11 | 05-31 15:47 |
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +140 | $92 | $92 | 5 | 07-05 15:15 |
| Pointed-Estrogen 0x3abe…1446 | Yes | +129 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 07-15 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | +100 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-09 07:51 |
| Criminal-Emitter 0x4551…3721 | Yes | +86 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-15 07:49 |
| Hungry-Legging 0xfd1b…650b | No | +80 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 06-02 20:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | Yes | +76 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 07-15 21:06 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +73 | $47 | $47 | 5 | 05-31 06:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +62 | $23 | $51 | 12 | 07-05 15:15 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +62 | $41 | $41 | 4 | 06-20 17:36 |
| Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | +50 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 07-15 21:06 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | +50 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 07-15 21:06 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +42 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-27 20:01 |
| Klutzy-Haste 0x983f…fd5e | No | +37 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-07 12:29 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +26 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-08 09:04 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +25 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-13 11:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-09 11:59 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 07-27 20:01 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +20 | $12 | $39 | 2 | 06-04 00:00 |
| Partial-Date 0xcfe2…5de8 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7194…ef54 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-17 01:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd49e…da8b | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 17:09 |
| Costly-Quart 0x480f…7c91 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 10:54 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-12 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $7 | $15 | 4 | 07-15 07:49 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-15 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $8 | $38 | 6 | 07-15 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-29 18:59 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $9 | 6 | 07-21 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-11 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $4 | $12 | 4 | 07-15 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-10 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 14:58 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +3 | $-2 | $56 | 3 | 07-18 07:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xed33…7ea1 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-25 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x534d…b9c4 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 12:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 20:50:55 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 180 | 33¢ | $59 | 0x00967e… |
| 07-27 20:50:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 180 | 67¢ | $121 | 0x00967e… |
| 07-27 20:50:52 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 180 | 68¢ | $122 | 0x99e518… |
| 07-27 20:50:52 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 277 | 32¢ | $89 | 0x99e518… |
| 07-27 20:50:52 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 97 | 68¢ | $66 | 0x99e518… |
| 07-27 20:01:46 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x1fcc50… |
| 07-27 20:01:46 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x1fcc50… |
| 07-25 12:58:39 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xffbbdd… |
| 07-25 12:58:39 | (anonymous) 0xed33…7ea1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xffbbdd… |
| 07-22 03:54:12 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x042fcf… |
| 07-22 03:54:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x042fcf… |
| 07-21 22:21:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x720922… |
| 07-21 22:21:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x720922… |
| 07-21 22:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 30 | 70¢ | $21 | 0xe50364… |
| 07-21 22:21:15 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 30¢ | $11 | 0xe50364… |
| 07-21 22:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xe50364… |
| 07-21 04:52:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc2ff6d… |
| 07-21 04:52:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc2ff6d… |
| 07-21 04:52:15 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xe77e57… |
| 07-21 04:52:15 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xe77e57… |
| 07-20 19:15:46 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xade5c6… |
| 07-20 19:15:46 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xade5c6… |
| 07-18 07:33:15 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 30¢ | $20 | 0xcd1625… |
| 07-18 07:33:15 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | SELL | 59 | 30¢ | $18 | 0xcd1625… |
| 07-18 07:33:15 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xcd1625… |
| 07-18 00:50:30 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x64b33c… |
| 07-18 00:50:30 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | SELL | 37 | 29¢ | $11 | 0x64b33c… |
| 07-18 00:50:30 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 50 | 71¢ | $36 | 0x64b33c… |
| 07-16 09:31:10 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xd781a8… |
| 07-16 09:31:10 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 27¢ | $27 | 0xd781a8… |
| 07-16 05:25:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x188ffc… |
| 07-16 05:25:52 | Precious-Identity 0xcd3e…ae81 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 29¢ | $10 | 0x188ffc… |
| 07-16 05:25:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x188ffc… |
| 07-15 21:06:58 | Pointed-Estrogen 0x3abe…1446 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 25¢ | $31 | 0x52f0bc… |
| 07-15 21:06:58 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xcf3d67… |
| 07-15 21:06:58 | Pointed-Estrogen 0x3abe…1446 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xcf3d67… |
| 07-15 21:06:58 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 124 | 75¢ | $93 | 0x52f0bc… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 1,637 | 24¢ | $391 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 23¢ | $34 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | Prickly-Offense 0xe947…ab96 | No | BUY | 76 | 75¢ | $57 | 0xf50fdf… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | BUY | 1,134 | 76¢ | $862 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | Yes | BUY | 76 | 25¢ | $19 | 0xf50fdf… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 200 | 76¢ | $152 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 21:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0x00ebc0… |
| 07-15 16:28:37 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x3a7f1d… |
| 07-15 16:28:37 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x3a7f1d… |
| 07-15 09:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x5111…8bc3 | No | SELL | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xa8c57b… |
| 07-15 09:35:47 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0xa8c57b… |
| 07-15 07:49:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0xaf9209… |
| 07-15 07:49:02 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | BUY | 50 | 76¢ | $38 | 0xaf9209… |
| 07-15 07:49:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0x608784… |
| 07-15 07:49:01 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | BUY | 11 | 76¢ | $9 | 0x608784… |
| 07-15 07:49:01 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x608784… |
| 07-15 07:49:01 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x608784… |
| 07-15 07:49:01 | Criminal-Emitter 0x4551…3721 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 23¢ | $20 | 0x608784… |
| 07-15 07:49:01 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x608784… |
| 07-14 11:54:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 23¢ | $6 | 0xa009ca… |
| 07-14 11:54:35 | Defensive-Gallery 0x744b…8d31 | No | SELL | 101 | 76¢ | $77 | 0xa009ca… |
| 07-14 11:54:35 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | BUY | 71 | 76¢ | $54 | 0xa009ca… |
| 07-14 11:54:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xa009ca… |
| 07-14 10:24:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xaa53ab… |
| 07-14 10:24:34 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xaa53ab… |
| 07-14 10:24:31 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x47f881… |
| 07-14 10:24:31 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x47f881… |
| 07-14 10:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x47f881… |
| 07-14 10:24:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x47f881… |
| 07-14 10:24:31 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x47f881… |
| 07-14 10:24:31 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 23 | 79¢ | $18 | 0x47f881… |
| 07-14 10:24:31 | (anonymous) 0x5111…8bc3 | No | BUY | 100 | 79¢ | $79 | 0x47f881… |
| 07-13 23:30:47 | Responsible-Legume 0x5d2f…24de | Yes | BUY | 37 | 22¢ | $8 | 0xc6b2a7… |
| 07-13 23:30:47 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xc6b2a7… |
| 07-13 23:30:47 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xc6b2a7… |
| 07-13 23:30:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xc6b2a7… |
| 07-13 11:15:13 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x4f57b4… |
| 07-13 11:15:13 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 25 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x4f57b4… |
| 07-13 10:02:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x3db782… |
| 07-13 10:02:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x3db782… |
| 07-13 10:02:43 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x2251ab… |
| 07-13 10:02:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 23¢ | $23 | 0x2251ab… |
| 07-13 10:02:35 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 87 | 24¢ | $21 | 0xfa823f… |
| 07-13 10:02:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 122 | 24¢ | $29 | 0xfa823f… |
| 07-13 10:02:35 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | No | BUY | 209 | 76¢ | $159 | 0xfa823f… |
| 07-12 21:02:47 | (anonymous) 0x279d…9266 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x267c56… |
| 07-12 21:02:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x267c56… |
| 07-12 21:01:28 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0x085022… |
| 07-12 21:01:28 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x085022… |
| 07-11 12:57:41 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x101295… |
| 07-11 12:57:41 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x101295… |
| 07-10 14:58:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xbaba89… |
| 07-10 14:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xbaba89… |
| 07-10 14:28:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7f15c0… |
| 07-10 14:28:26 | (anonymous) 0x97b4…d794 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0x7f15c0… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | True-Driver 0x461a…1a5a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x5345f2… |
| 07-10 09:35:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x5345f2… |
| 07-09 12:16:04 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x5972f3… |
| 07-09 12:16:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x5972f3… |
| 07-09 11:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x2575bf… |