Realized P&L
-$33
Unrealized P&L
-$112
Hit rate
50.4%
Resolved
50
Trades
5,656
lifetime
Volume
$57.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$70
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 07-20 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
58% 39% $-29
Sports
18% 56% $-3
Crypto
14%
Politics
9%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 348 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? No +280 $51 14¢ $38 $-14 07-18 17:39
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -30 $-16 65¢ $-19 $-3 07-14 04:53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +18 $5 30¢ $5 +$0 07-19 12:09
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +15 $2 26¢ $4 +$2 07-17 12:59
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3 $-2 32¢ $1 +$3 07-18 07:33
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes +1 $3 64¢ $1 $-2 07-15 14:42
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +3 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 07-15 17:39
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +1 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 07-16 07:23
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1 $1 46¢ $0 $-0 07-16 06:26
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 $-0 47¢ $0 +$1 07-13 11:20
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +1 $2 46¢ $0 $-2 07-16 07:23
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? Yes +4 $0 $0 +$0 07-15 14:45
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $83 35¢ $0 $-83 07-12 22:00
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $14 $0 $-14 07-15 17:05