Realized P&L
-$7.17K
Unrealized P&L
+$520
Hit rate
23.2%
Resolved
4,456
Trades
24,015
lifetime
Volume
$349.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$7.82K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 10-29 08:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
70% 33% -$5,457
Politics
15% 18% -$1,195
Sports
11% 49% -$4
Crypto
3% 62% -$383
Tech
1% 8% -$131
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1063 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1,145 $794 97¢ $1.1K +$313 07-31 08:17
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 No +1,079 $518 90¢ $971 +$454 08-01 23:41
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +1,259 $705 63¢ $793 +$88 10-17 06:16
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +1,258 $602 37¢ $466 -$136 10-17 06:18
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +500 $400 78¢ $392 -$8 07-31 06:35
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +540 $224 57¢ $311 +$86 10-09 15:08
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +293 $219 94¢ $277 +$58 10-17 03:29
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +324 $249 86¢ $277 +$28 08-01 17:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +300 $261 89¢ $267 +$6 07-31 08:50
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +274 $249 94¢ $258 +$8 08-01 23:36
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No +266 $225 90¢ $239 +$15 09-20 22:37
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +540 $327 42¢ $230 -$97 08-02 01:12
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +200 $198 87¢ $173 -$25 08-03 16:46
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 No +200 $142 86¢ $172 +$30 08-01 13:36
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +178 $130 86¢ $154 +$24 08-07 22:59
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +178 $130 84¢ $150 +$20 08-09 11:36
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +168 $116 87¢ $146 +$30 08-02 03:06
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +183 $106 78¢ $144 +$38 08-08 02:40
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +162 $146 88¢ $143 -$2 10-12 22:44
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +139 $107 96¢ $133 +$25 10-13 15:33
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +154 $134 80¢ $124 -$10 10-09 15:08
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +147 $112 80¢ $118 +$6 10-13 18:15
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +171 $101 64¢ $110 +$10 08-02 00:40
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 Yes +1,079 $575 10¢ $108 -$467 08-01 23:41
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +500 $105 22¢ $108 +$2 07-31 06:35
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +116 $99 89¢ $103 +$5 08-01 12:00
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +100 $88 100¢ $100 +$12 08-03 04:05
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +107 $89 88¢ $94 +$5 08-01 19:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +101 $80 79¢ $80 $0 10-12 22:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +77 $70 94¢ $72 +$2 10-19 09:08