Costly-Quart 0x480f54…767c91
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
98.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
381
lifetime
Volume
$1.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$123
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-09 14:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
63% 33% $-1
Other
23% — —
Tech
9% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -49 $-43 90¢ $-44 $-1 06-09 11:35
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $10 67¢ $10 +$0 06-07 10:54
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +10 $5 73¢ $7 +$2 06-01 16:04
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 06-01 10:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$1 05-31 07:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$1 05-31 07:24
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-4 64¢ $-3 +$0 05-31 01:46
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +6 $1 52¢ $3 +$2 06-02 05:36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 +$0 06-03 06:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 61¢ $3 +$0 06-04 20:43
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -4 $-2 64¢ $-3 $-1 06-09 11:36
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$0 06-01 19:38
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$0 06-07 10:45
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$0 06-06 14:50
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +5 $2 47¢ $2 +$0 06-07 10:42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 47¢ $2 +$0 06-03 06:04
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +80 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 06-01 04:00
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +5 $2 44¢ $2 $-0 06-03 06:02
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 35¢ $-2 $-1 06-04 11:47
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 +$0 06-09 13:06
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +6 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 06-02 05:43
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 $-0 06-01 19:39
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +17 $4 9¢ $2 $-3 06-01 08:46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 13:34
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +10 $3 13¢ $1 $-1 05-31 14:01
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +6 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-09 13:11
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -5 $-2 19¢ $-1 +$2 06-09 11:08
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? No +5 $2 18¢ $1 $-2 06-01 08:43
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-01 08:44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-1 05-29 19:33