Costly-Quart 0x480f54…767c91
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
98.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
503
lifetime
Volume
$2.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$149
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 07-19 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
53% 33% $-1
Other
33% — —
Tech
9% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -59 $-52 93¢ $-54 $-2 06-10 23:30
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No -45 $-33 78¢ $-35 $-2 07-03 21:05
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 06-07 10:54
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $12 22¢ $6 $-7 06-12 06:47
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +80 $1 5¢ $4 +$3 06-01 04:00
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +5 $2 76¢ $4 +$1 06-07 10:45
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $3 66¢ $4 +$1 07-03 08:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 70¢ $4 +$1 06-03 06:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$1 06-03 06:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $2 60¢ $3 +$1 06-01 19:38
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +5 $2 60¢ $3 +$1 06-07 10:42
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-4 52¢ $-3 +$1 05-31 01:46
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -5 $-4 52¢ $-3 +$1 07-13 16:13
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $4 12¢ $2 $-1 06-27 10:00
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No +15 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 07-04 14:35
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 28¢ $-2 $-1 06-04 11:47
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +5 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-01 08:44
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-02 05:35
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? Yes +2 $1 61¢ $1 $-0 06-21 20:12
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-1 06-17 21:25
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-30 06:31
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $2 13¢ $1 $-2 06-06 14:50
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-1 06-21 20:11
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +1 $-1 50¢ $1 +$1 06-05 17:21
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 $-1 06-01 07:20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +5 $1 6¢ $0 $-1 05-29 19:33
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +5 $2 6¢ $0 $-1 06-01 07:15
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 06-17 17:09
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $2 3¢ $0 $-2 06-01 21:22
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-11 21:45