Costly-Quart 0x480f54…767c91
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
98.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
456
lifetime
Volume
$1.95K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$170
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-30 22:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
60% 33% $-1
Other
26% — —
Tech
10% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -59 $-52 92¢ $-54 $-2 06-10 23:30
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No -42 $-31 76¢ $-32 $-1 06-29 03:13
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 06-07 10:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +14 $8 70¢ $10 +$3 06-27 10:01
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $12 24¢ $6 $-7 06-12 06:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 05-31 07:25
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No +5 $1 96¢ $5 +$4 06-25 07:39
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $4 23¢ $5 +$1 06-27 10:00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -4 $-2 100¢ $-4 $-2 06-09 11:36
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +6 $1 68¢ $4 +$3 06-02 05:36
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +5 $2 80¢ $4 +$2 06-07 10:45
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-4 64¢ $-3 +$0 05-31 01:46
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 58¢ $3 +$0 06-03 06:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 57¢ $3 +$1 06-03 06:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $2 54¢ $3 +$0 06-01 19:38
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-09 13:06
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No +80 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 06-01 04:00
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes +2 $1 89¢ $2 +$1 06-28 11:40
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +5 $2 38¢ $2 $-0 06-07 10:42
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 06-27 09:58
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 06-01 21:22
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 28¢ $1 $-0 06-21 20:11
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 06-02 05:35
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +12 $1 7¢ $1 $-1 06-30 05:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-30 06:31
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +5 $2 13¢ $1 $-1 06-01 08:44
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes -6 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 11:47
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-1 06-17 21:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 06-01 07:15
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $2 12¢ $1 $-2 06-06 14:50