Costly-Quart 0x480f54…767c91 Create alert
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$36
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
490
Trades
1,152
lifetime
Volume
$4.35K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$163
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 11-03 07:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Politics
48% 46% +$37
Other
40% 40% -$99
Tech
8% 41% -$3
Crypto
2% 56% +$7
Sports
1% 38% -$7
Pop-Culture
1% 40% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +30 $20 76¢ $23 +$3 10-25 18:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +24 $20 88¢ $21 +$1 11-01 21:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 $0 11-01 21:07
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +15 $8 66¢ $10 +$1 11-01 20:48
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +15 $5 58¢ $9 +$4 10-30 16:09
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +15 $6 57¢ $9 +$3 11-03 15:28
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? No +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 10-27 19:02
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +10 $8 70¢ $7 -$1 10-27 13:41
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $3 96¢ $5 +$2 07-03 08:36
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +9 $5 56¢ $5 $0 11-02 21:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +5 $2 96¢ $5 +$2 06-03 06:04
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +5 $2 96¢ $5 +$3 06-07 10:42
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +7 $5 72¢ $5 $0 11-01 20:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5 $3 94¢ $5 +$2 06-03 06:03
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +5 -$1 91¢ $5 +$5 10-27 19:18
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +7 $5 61¢ $4 -$1 10-31 19:33
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $2 82¢ $4 +$2 06-01 19:38
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +5 $2 80¢ $4 +$2 06-07 10:45
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +4 $2 99¢ $4 +$2 10-25 18:14
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +10 -$2 28¢ $3 +$5 08-26 11:57
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 $0 11-02 06:30
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 06-14 19:40
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 07-23 12:57
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +2 $1 95¢ $2 +$1 05-25 10:38
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$1 10-26 12:56
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +3 $1 52¢ $2 +$1 10-27 13:41
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 No +6 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 08-14 21:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +4 $2 32¢ $1 -$1 10-25 18:14
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-23 12:57
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +2 $1 56¢ $1 +$0 11-02 06:26