Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$833
Trades
54
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,381
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-05 20:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+73.7¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $8
vs crowd: 26% YES on $548)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $86 | $326 | $240 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $58 | $50 | +$8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $18 | $28 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | $14 | $3 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $20 | $4 | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $33 | $239 | $206 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $79 | $79 |
| unranked | 6 | $52 | $47 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | +283 | $187 | $187 | 3 | 07-05 20:42 |
| Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | +186 | $46 | $46 | 9 | 07-03 23:46 |
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +132 | $79 | $79 | 5 | 06-24 20:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-02 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $10 | $17 | 3 | 07-05 20:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $4 | $9 | 3 | 07-05 20:42 |
| Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-01 12:34 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $5 | 2 | 07-01 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 16:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 20:42:11 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 32 | 74¢ | $24 | 0xf32d13… |
| 07-05 20:42:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xf32d13… |
| 07-05 20:42:11 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xf32d13… |
| 07-03 23:46:52 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | No | SELL | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0x5dc763… |
| 07-03 23:46:52 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x5dc763… |
| 07-03 23:46:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 42 | 63¢ | $27 | 0x5dc763… |
| 07-03 23:46:40 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x4469d1… |
| 07-03 23:46:40 | (anonymous) 0xe02d…bcff | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x4469d1… |
| 07-03 23:45:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x8d4e80… |
| 07-03 23:45:56 | (anonymous) 0x0607…e0e3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8d4e80… |
| 07-03 23:45:56 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x8d4e80… |
| 07-03 13:36:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 29¢ | $7 | 0xe5659d… |
| 07-03 13:36:11 | (anonymous) 0x0607…e0e3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xe5659d… |
| 07-03 13:36:11 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xe5659d… |
| 07-03 13:36:11 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 60 | 70¢ | $42 | 0xe5659d… |
| 07-03 10:43:28 | (anonymous) 0x9814…ec63 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xd0cdaf… |
| 07-03 10:43:28 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 6 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xd0cdaf… |
| 07-03 10:18:17 | (anonymous) 0x9814…ec63 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xe601b7… |
| 07-03 10:18:17 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xe601b7… |
| 07-02 13:26:19 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x8430cf… |
| 07-02 13:26:19 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x8430cf… |
| 07-02 13:26:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 28 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x8430cf… |
| 07-02 13:26:19 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x8430cf… |
| 07-01 12:35:50 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x99eeed… |
| 07-01 12:35:50 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0x99eeed… |
| 07-01 12:34:44 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xb9d98c… |
| 07-01 12:34:44 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xb9d98c… |
| 07-01 12:34:44 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xb9d98c… |
| 07-01 09:25:38 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x6f5411… |
| 07-01 09:25:38 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x6f5411… |
| 07-01 09:16:56 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x7db89f… |
| 07-01 09:16:56 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0x7db89f… |
| 07-01 09:16:56 | Natural-Intensity 0x9cb9…7b80 | No | BUY | 190 | 63¢ | $120 | 0x7db89f… |
| 07-01 09:16:56 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 37¢ | $30 | 0x7db89f… |
| 07-01 09:16:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 52 | 63¢ | $33 | 0x7db89f… |
| 06-24 20:59:20 | Slim-Merit 0x45c9…a3d1 | No | SELL | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x7ab09f… |
| 06-24 20:59:20 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0x7ab09f… |
| 06-21 16:42:46 | (anonymous) 0xced9…4e81 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x49df34… |
| 06-21 16:42:46 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x49df34… |
| 06-18 05:52:05 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xd48234… |
| 06-18 05:52:05 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | SELL | 7 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xd48234… |
| 06-17 20:18:31 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 80 | 60¢ | $48 | 0x0a836c… |
| 06-17 20:18:31 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 80 | 60¢ | $48 | 0x0a836c… |
| 06-17 19:09:22 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | SELL | 145 | 64¢ | $92 | 0x87b18a… |
| 06-17 19:09:22 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 80 | 65¢ | $52 | 0x87b18a… |
| 06-17 19:09:22 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x87b18a… |
| 06-17 19:09:22 | Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | BUY | 36 | 60¢ | $22 | 0x87b18a… |
| 06-17 19:09:22 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 21 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x87b18a… |
| 06-10 10:44:18 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 37¢ | $8 | 0xdad591… |
| 06-10 10:44:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xdad591… |
| 06-10 10:44:18 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 36¢ | $29 | 0xdad591… |
| 06-10 10:44:18 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 35¢ | $12 | 0xdad591… |
| 06-01 15:19:26 | Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x09e1de… |
| 06-01 15:19:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x09e1de… |