Unkempt-Mini 0x686d5b…7d1a68
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
56.3%
Resolved
718
Trades
3,113
lifetime
Volume
$11.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$488
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 03:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Politics
54% 27% +$759
Other
41% 34% +$472
Sports
5% 25% -$133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,501 $25 3¢ $49 +$24 10-12 16:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +85 $26 54¢ $46 +$20 09-21 11:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +353 $40 11¢ $37 -$3 10-18 07:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +80 $14 39¢ $31 +$17 10-05 11:45
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +201 $27 16¢ $31 +$4 10-27 00:12
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +153 $25 20¢ $30 +$5 10-26 21:37
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -38 -$25 74¢ $-28 -$2 09-13 16:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +206 $14 13¢ $27 +$13 08-29 22:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +277 $18 9¢ $26 +$8 09-05 15:17
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$6 57¢ $-20 -$15 05-27 16:31
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +652 $16 3¢ $17 +$1 09-30 21:42
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +41 $14 40¢ $16 +$3 10-25 18:54
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,712 $4 1¢ $15 +$11 09-29 16:22
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +131 $13 11¢ $14 +$1 10-27 03:12
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +20 $13 70¢ $14 +$1 10-26 06:39
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +104 $10 13¢ $13 +$3 09-10 11:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -17 -$10 72¢ $-12 -$2 05-01 19:02
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +100 $14 11¢ $11 -$3 10-26 03:00
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +67 $10 14¢ $9 -$1 09-21 13:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes +129 $18 6¢ $8 -$10 09-06 20:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +30 $7 26¢ $8 +$1 10-26 14:29
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +874 $6 1¢ $7 +$1 08-18 15:00
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 10-26 07:17
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +144 $2 2¢ $3 +$1 09-30 21:42
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +60 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 09-10 11:46
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No -7 -$3 28¢ $-2 +$1 06-11 22:04
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$1 10-26 10:10
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,017 -$6 0¢ $-2 +$5 05-30 12:09
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-05 23:23
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +125 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 09-26 16:57