Unkempt-Mini 0x686d5b…7d1a68 Create alert
bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.52K
Unrealized P&L
+$333
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
801
Trades
3,583
lifetime
Volume
$13.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$816
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 05:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Politics
58% 28% +$1,138
Other
38% 34% +$506
Sports
4% 26% -$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +149 $16 93¢ $137 +$121 11-04 05:49
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +135 $46 100¢ $134 +$88 11-03 12:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +304 $23 18¢ $56 +$33 11-04 14:56
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +56 $18 96¢ $54 +$36 11-03 21:52
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +353 $40 14¢ $48 +$8 10-18 07:02
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,700 $30 3¢ $45 +$15 11-03 18:48
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -38 -$25 95¢ $-36 -$11 09-13 16:42
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +61 $21 57¢ $35 +$14 10-29 00:30
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +260 $39 12¢ $33 -$6 11-03 19:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +246 $19 13¢ $31 +$12 11-04 02:40
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,712 $4 2¢ $27 +$22 09-29 16:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +108 $25 22¢ $23 -$1 10-27 14:50
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +200 $20 11¢ $22 +$2 11-01 17:23
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +894 $21 2¢ $22 +$1 11-02 01:57
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$6 57¢ $-20 -$15 05-27 16:31
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +104 $10 16¢ $16 +$6 09-10 11:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -17 -$10 68¢ $-12 -$2 05-01 19:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +524 $2 2¢ $11 +$9 10-27 19:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $5 9¢ $9 +$4 10-26 07:17
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +67 $10 12¢ $8 -$2 09-21 13:01
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +132 $14 6¢ $7 -$7 11-04 01:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 +$0 10-31 09:06
Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes +310 $8 1¢ $4 -$4 10-26 13:01
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $2 4¢ $4 +$3 10-26 10:10
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +874 $6 0¢ $4 -$2 08-18 15:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -12 -$10 28¢ $-3 +$6 11-03 21:49
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +300 $4 1¢ $3 -$1 11-02 10:57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +144 $2 1¢ $2 $0 09-30 21:42
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +548 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 10-17 12:04
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-05 23:23