Unkempt-Mini 0x686d5b…7d1a68 Create alert
bot hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.59K
Unrealized P&L
+$912
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
808
Trades
3,691
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 10:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Politics
57% 29% +$1,258
Other
39% 34% +$461
Sports
4% 26% -$125
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 186 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +149 $16 98¢ $146 +$130 11-04 05:49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +140 $18 96¢ $135 +$117 10-31 14:47
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%? Yes +153 $22 71¢ $109 +$86 11-04 19:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +116 $12 77¢ $89 +$77 11-04 03:45
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? Yes +92 $15 94¢ $87 +$72 11-04 04:14
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%? No +80 $30 100¢ $80 +$49 10-12 20:07
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +56 $18 98¢ $55 +$38 11-03 21:52
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +79 $48 70¢ $55 +$8 11-06 15:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +304 $23 18¢ $54 +$31 11-04 14:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? Yes +50 $10 99¢ $50 +$40 10-29 15:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +353 $40 14¢ $48 +$8 10-18 07:02
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,700 $30 3¢ $47 +$17 11-03 18:48
Will Mississippi be the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes +49 $6 93¢ $45 +$40 11-04 04:12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? Yes +45 $4 98¢ $44 +$39 10-28 02:43
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +55 $30 80¢ $44 +$14 11-03 22:30
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? Yes +44 $6 96¢ $42 +$36 09-22 14:15
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +90 $34 43¢ $38 +$4 11-06 08:02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -38 -$25 98¢ $-37 -$12 09-13 16:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +36 $5 96¢ $34 +$29 09-21 12:56
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,500 $12 1¢ $30 +$18 11-06 16:28
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +260 $39 12¢ $30 -$9 11-03 19:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +246 $19 12¢ $30 +$11 11-04 02:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +108 $25 26¢ $28 +$4 10-27 14:50
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? Yes +151 $24 18¢ $28 +$3 11-06 14:55
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 12%-16%? Yes +189 $9 15¢ $28 +$19 11-06 10:56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +27 $6 97¢ $26 +$20 09-23 21:57
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes -29 -$38 88¢ $-26 +$13 11-05 23:38
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? Yes +28 $15 89¢ $25 +$10 11-06 00:44
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +26 $6 90¢ $23 +$17 09-10 12:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -35 -$6 63¢ $-22 -$17 05-27 16:31