Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 8%-12%?
open
Total volume
$4,132
$677 in 24h
Trades
387
Unique wallets
90
Liquidity
$1,300
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-09-26
last 10-31 23:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.9¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $1.5K
vs crowd: 16% YES on $3.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 31 | $126 | $1.5K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 34 | $257 | $1.5K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $198 | $141 | +$57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $7 | $15 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 23 | $46 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $17 | $19 | $2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $23 | $21 |
| Median | 3 | $36 | — | +$36 |
| Below median | 10 | $133 | $72 | +$61 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $85 | $103 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $74 | $377 | $303 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 28 | $194 | $1.0K | $846 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | +1,000 | $114 | $114 | 11 | 10-28 13:33 |
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | No | +866 | $770 | $770 | 1 | 10-28 13:33 |
| AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | +550 | $67 | $67 | 5 | 10-23 05:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +417 | $50 | $50 | 22 | 10-28 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +255 | $226 | $226 | 6 | 10-29 08:48 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +187 | $166 | $166 | 8 | 10-13 01:19 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +170 | $144 | $144 | 4 | 10-28 01:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +165 | $127 | $127 | 8 | 10-31 03:15 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +145 | $19 | $19 | 7 | 10-31 03:40 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +145 | $124 | $263 | 10 | 10-31 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +140 | $17 | $17 | 6 | 10-17 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +140 | $126 | $157 | 8 | 10-17 05:50 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +137 | $121 | $122 | 6 | 10-31 03:40 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +137 | $22 | $25 | 6 | 10-31 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +108 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 10-23 08:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +108 | $93 | $100 | 10 | 10-23 08:30 |
| Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | +92 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 10-28 13:34 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +70 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 10-25 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +55 | $8 | $10 | 6 | 10-31 03:40 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +40 | $6 | $14 | 6 | 10-31 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x22eb…7178 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c3f…ff8d | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-31 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-25 23:32 |
| Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-07 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +40 | $7 | $12 | 4 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6fc6…4690 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 10-28 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c3f…ff8d | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x22eb…7178 | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 10-25 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 10-31 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 10-17 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +39 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 10-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +34 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 10-28 01:23 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +32 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 10-09 11:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +32 | $27 | $27 | 4 | 10-23 08:30 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-17 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +29 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-21 22:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-08 19:46 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 10-18 19:04 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +25 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-18 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7248…7e72 | No | +23 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-17 05:50 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +22 | -$1 | $48 | 28 | 10-31 03:40 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-31 03:14 |
| Runny-Reservoir 0xbdd1…0c4f | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-01 03:49 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-31 03:14 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 09-30 19:40 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $12 | 4 | 10-11 09:24 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-09 14:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $17 | $53 | 3 | 10-31 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x0479…8177 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-21 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-31 22:23 |
| Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-09 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-21 22:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-21 22:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x8e1f…991b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf329f3… |
| 10-31 23:47:52 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf329f3… |
| 10-31 23:47:52 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf329f3… |
| 10-31 22:23:30 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x85cc25… |
| 10-31 22:23:30 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x85cc25… |
| 10-31 22:23:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x85cc25… |
| 10-31 20:33:22 | (anonymous) 0x6608…a502 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x850814… |
| 10-31 20:33:22 | Fair-Tan 0x43cb…84df | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x850814… |
| 10-31 03:40:51 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x2b4cd5… |
| 10-31 03:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0x2b4cd5… |
| 10-31 03:40:51 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x2b4cd5… |
| 10-31 03:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x2b4cd5… |
| 10-31 03:40:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x2b4cd5… |
| 10-31 03:40:51 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 14¢ | $14 | 0x2b4cd5… |
| 10-31 03:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x18e9…cf64 | Yes | SELL | 242 | 14¢ | $34 | 0x2b4cd5… |
| 10-31 03:40:49 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 55 | 89¢ | $48 | 0x532280… |
| 10-31 03:40:49 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x532280… |
| 10-31 03:40:49 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x532280… |
| 10-31 03:40:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x532280… |
| 10-31 03:15:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 19 | 82¢ | $15 | 0xa32c1a… |
| 10-31 03:15:15 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 19 | 82¢ | $15 | 0xa32c1a… |
| 10-31 03:14:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 59 | 86¢ | $51 | 0x20952e… |
| 10-31 03:14:46 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 59 | 86¢ | $51 | 0x20952e… |
| 10-31 03:14:43 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xd2b419… |
| 10-31 03:14:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0xd2b419… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x18e9…cf64 | Yes | BUY | 242 | 13¢ | $32 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 43 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 78 | 87¢ | $68 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | No | BUY | 21 | 87¢ | $18 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-31 03:14:36 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xafe737… |
| 10-29 08:48:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9a0b54… |
| 10-29 08:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xadf876… |
| 10-29 08:48:23 | (anonymous) 0xd1ba…e7e6 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x9a0b54… |
| 10-29 08:48:23 | (anonymous) 0xf768…f7d2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xadf876… |
| 10-29 08:48:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xadf876… |
| 10-29 08:48:22 | (anonymous) 0xb410…502f | No | BUY | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0xde0c77… |
| 10-29 08:48:22 | (anonymous) 0xc7d5…6b08 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xde0c77… |
| 10-29 08:48:22 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xde0c77… |
| 10-28 20:13:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xd14a63… |
| 10-28 20:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xd14a63… |
| 10-28 13:57:11 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x99c35a… |
| 10-28 13:57:11 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x99c35a… |
| 10-28 13:57:11 | (anonymous) 0x6fc6…4690 | No | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x99c35a… |
| 10-28 13:57:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x76f7fc… |
| 10-28 13:57:10 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x76f7fc… |
| 10-28 13:57:10 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x76f7fc… |
| 10-28 13:34:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa71cf0… |
| 10-28 13:34:01 | Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xa71cf0… |
| 10-28 13:34:01 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa71cf0… |
| 10-28 13:33:59 | Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | No | BUY | 866 | 89¢ | $770 | 0xef9c68… |
| 10-28 13:33:59 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x5889e0… |
| 10-28 13:33:59 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xef9c68… |
| 10-28 13:33:59 | Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x5889e0… |
| 10-28 13:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | BUY | 829 | 11¢ | $91 | 0xef9c68… |
| 10-28 13:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xef9c68… |
| 10-28 07:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1d3391… |
| 10-28 07:46:25 | Wilted-Uniform 0x0f99…6734 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x1d3391… |
| 10-28 01:23:48 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x4b0838… |
| 10-28 01:23:48 | (anonymous) 0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x4b0838… |
| 10-28 01:23:47 | (anonymous) 0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc70afa… |
| 10-28 01:23:47 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xc70afa… |
| 10-27 23:19:35 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0x6e108b… |
| 10-27 23:19:35 | (anonymous) 0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6e108b… |
| 10-27 11:21:09 | Simplistic-Ascent 0xa340…e3ff | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x76506a… |
| 10-27 11:21:09 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x76506a… |
| 10-27 11:21:05 | Unkempt-Mini 0x686d…1a68 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb9f54d… |
| 10-27 11:21:05 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb9f54d… |
| 10-27 11:21:05 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb9f54d… |
| 10-25 23:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9d3691… |
| 10-25 23:32:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9d3691… |
| 10-25 23:32:33 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x21db04… |
| 10-25 23:32:33 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x21db04… |
| 10-25 23:32:32 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xcbef47… |
| 10-25 23:32:32 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 53 | 88¢ | $46 | 0x0790a9… |
| 10-25 23:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0790a9… |
| 10-25 23:32:32 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0790a9… |
| 10-25 23:32:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcbef47… |
| 10-25 23:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xcbef47… |
| 10-25 23:32:32 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0790a9… |
| 10-25 23:32:30 | (anonymous) 0xf965…ccb0 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x68762c… |
| 10-25 23:32:30 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x68762c… |
| 10-25 11:39:09 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x4eca58… |
| 10-25 11:39:09 | (anonymous) 0xd061…d5e4 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x4eca58… |
| 10-23 08:31:00 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x7f8dd4… |
| 10-23 08:31:00 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x7f8dd4… |
| 10-23 08:30:59 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x1e0fec… |
| 10-23 08:30:59 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 0 | 85¢ | $0 | 0x1e0fec… |
| 10-23 08:30:57 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x81c77c… |
| 10-23 08:30:57 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x7cf76f… |
| 10-23 08:30:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xdce3ea… |
| 10-23 08:30:57 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7cf76f… |
| 10-23 08:30:57 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x81c77c… |
| 10-23 08:30:57 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xdce3ea… |
| 10-23 05:19:02 | AnEggplant 0xc97d…732b | Yes | BUY | 156 | 11¢ | $17 | 0xfbc9e6… |
| 10-23 05:19:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 120 | 89¢ | $107 | 0xfbc9e6… |
| 10-23 05:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xfbc9e6… |
| 10-23 05:19:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xfbc9e6… |