Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,083

lifetime

Volume

$74.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$40

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-10

last 11-02 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

64% — —

Other

26% 100% +$42

Tech

8% 100% +$27

Sports

1% 100% +$11

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$15	82¢	$16	+$2	10-26 00:57
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$15	70¢	$14	-$1	10-26 17:49
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$0	30¢	$6	+$6	10-26 18:37
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	-$3	18¢	$4	+$6	10-26 01:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-02 House election by 45%-50%?	19	$891	1,953	1,793	+160	open	—	10-14 20:18
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 30 and December 6, 2026?	25	$779	2,250	1,790	+460	open	—	10-30 22:53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	17	$710	1,525	1,053	+471	open	—	10-13 04:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 5%-10%?	16	$695	1,554	1,274	+280	open	—	10-31 16:43
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	16	$633	1,828	1,360	+468	open	—	11-02 16:58
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 60%-65%?	15	$622	1,352	1,192	+160	open	—	10-27 09:34
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	16	$619	1,425	1,015	+410	open	—	10-29 01:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	11	$617	1,356	1,086	+269	open	—	10-31 09:57
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 6%-9%?	22	$606	1,506	1,144	+362	open	—	10-30 18:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	13	$586	1,601	1,277	+324	open	—	11-02 18:21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-19 House election by 10%-15%?	17	$577	1,249	929	+320	open	—	10-30 17:53
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?	15	$573	1,514	1,315	+200	open	—	11-01 07:20
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	9	$561	1,336	1,308	+28	open	—	10-28 23:26
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?	22	$532	1,473	1,353	+120	open	—	10-27 07:16
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	11	$519	1,341	1,236	+106	open	—	11-01 22:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6%-9%?	15	$498	1,071	714	+357	open	—	10-31 10:15
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	12	$483	1,632	1,057	+575	open	—	11-02 14:34
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	24	$479	1,364	1,164	+200	open	—	11-01 03:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	11	$465	990	870	+120	open	—	10-31 18:55
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?	11	$447	977	617	+360	open	—	10-25 15:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?	13	$440	1,111	769	+341	open	—	10-31 01:11
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	10	$432	1,253	1,173	+80	open	—	11-01 07:55
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?	12	$422	905	395	+510	open	—	10-30 21:17
Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	9	$418	1,083	1,003	+80	open	—	11-01 20:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	10	$410	848	392	+456	open	—	10-12 00:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 50%-55%?	8	$410	854	547	+306	open	—	10-12 20:46
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-01 House election by 0%-3%?	9	$410	911	511	+400	open	—	10-13 01:43
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in February 2027 (ET)?	10	$406	992	594	+398	open	—	10-30 00:57
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	8	$401	1,089	758	+332	open	—	11-02 01:41
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	10	$399	1,037	948	+90	open	—	11-01 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 18:21:48	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Yes	SELL	186	15¢	$28	0x325a2f…
11-02 18:20:03	Will the Republicans win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	249	26¢	$65	0x8db202…
11-02 18:19:12	Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	SELL	224	13¢	$29	0xe368de…
11-02 18:12:55	Will the Republicans win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	315	24¢	$74	0x622590…
11-02 18:12:55	Will the Republicans win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0x311881…
11-02 18:12:54	Will the Republicans win New Mexico in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf4b529…
11-02 17:44:24	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	No	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x489969…
11-02 17:44:01	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Yes	BUY	236	14¢	$33	0xb234ae…
11-02 17:15:04	Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	BUY	224	14¢	$32	0xef07e7…
11-02 16:58:42	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	436	10¢	$45	0xcb4fad…
11-02 16:01:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xb1a418…
11-02 15:54:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	466	13¢	$60	0x77e27e…
11-02 14:34:49	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x3170b4…
11-02 14:06:57	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	309	11¢	$33	0xc221f4…
11-02 13:43:42	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x0c1e51…
11-02 12:53:36	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xcf1aca…
11-02 12:51:03	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x28bb24…
11-02 12:43:28	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x424ae4…
11-02 12:43:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	No	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x412557…
11-02 12:43:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	431	11¢	$49	0x36b217…
11-02 12:27:24	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	SELL	344	19¢	$65	0xb32c7b…
11-02 12:26:07	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0xc0cec2…
11-02 12:00:25	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	SELL	400	18¢	$73	0x5b0ed6…
11-02 11:58:39	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	472	28¢	$134	0xe52d3a…
11-02 11:49:10	Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	BUY	472	23¢	$111	0x1fe3be…
11-02 11:36:19	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	SELL	21	20¢	$4	0x22591d…
11-02 11:35:22	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	280	20¢	$56	0x8c860c…
11-02 10:38:33	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0xf22117…
11-02 10:25:31	Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	425	23¢	$98	0x12c199…
11-02 10:23:42	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x04d271…
11-02 10:23:31	Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	425	21¢	$88	0xa0272e…
11-02 10:23:25	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x9dbae9…
11-02 10:23:24	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	BUY	485	17¢	$85	0xa52c77…
11-02 09:50:03	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	286	16¢	$47	0x61b242…
11-02 09:14:33	Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	18¢	$52	0xce25ac…
11-02 09:13:12	Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	17¢	$52	0xde0083…
11-02 09:13:12	Will Iran target Oman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa883fb…
11-02 08:20:55	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	35	20¢	$7	0x00425e…
11-02 07:37:33	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	26	21¢	$6	0xf75d47…
11-02 07:27:39	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x646bf9…
11-02 07:20:51	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xebe403…
11-02 07:20:40	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf23aea…
11-02 07:20:40	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	Yes	BUY	487	17¢	$81	0xf0e8e1…
11-02 07:20:40	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in November?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xe658dc…
11-02 06:56:33	Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	482	20¢	$95	0x4ec298…
11-02 06:43:18	Will DeSean Bishop be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	482	17¢	$82	0x75d998…
11-02 06:00:57	Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?	Yes	SELL	304	19¢	$57	0xeb762f…
11-02 05:49:34	Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xdb9000…
11-02 05:49:34	Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$31	0xd7f5b2…
11-02 05:49:34	Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x7a833b…
11-02 05:49:34	Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?	Yes	BUY	384	16¢	$62	0x463ac1…
11-02 04:43:37	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	18¢	$47	0x57fead…
11-02 04:21:43	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xfba984…
11-02 03:53:22	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?	Yes	SELL	322	20¢	$64	0x82cee1…
11-02 03:51:28	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?	Yes	BUY	382	19¢	$71	0x4446b0…
11-02 03:51:27	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5ac569…
11-02 03:51:27	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 360m?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x2b14c3…
11-02 03:50:19	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x38699c…
11-02 03:50:18	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xfcb5ec…
11-02 03:50:18	Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	18¢	$61	0xb3d087…
11-02 02:30:13	Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?	Yes	SELL	351	16¢	$56	0xe71b81…
11-02 02:28:25	Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?	Yes	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0xa52e28…
11-02 02:28:07	Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?	Yes	SELL	89	22¢	$20	0x8d97d7…
11-02 02:28:07	Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x026c73…
11-02 02:18:04	Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x623455…
11-02 02:12:31	Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?	Yes	BUY	473	15¢	$73	0x1a829d…
11-02 01:59:18	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x6123fc…
11-02 01:55:03	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	19¢	$41	0x2728b3…
11-02 01:46:36	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xea7a3a…
11-02 01:41:58	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	412	20¢	$83	0x1e0e02…
11-02 01:41:34	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x4a2f13…
11-02 01:41:34	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	432	19¢	$80	0x0fc0da…
11-02 01:39:31	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 24, 2026?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x8d3398…
11-02 01:39:31	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7c80a7…
11-02 01:39:31	Will the next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) be released on November 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	18¢	$48	0x04fc19…
11-02 01:11:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	252	22¢	$56	0x3fd717…
11-01 22:22:07	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	180	16¢	$29	0xf7af9a…
11-01 22:20:40	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	220	14¢	$31	0x47fbdd…
11-01 22:20:40	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x2d1593…
11-01 22:19:31	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	17¢	$49	0xa8f78e…
11-01 21:11:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	SELL	253	22¢	$56	0xf11116…
11-01 21:08:28	Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x5151be…
11-01 21:06:30	Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0731a4…
11-01 21:06:28	Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	BUY	313	20¢	$61	0xe616a1…
11-01 21:06:28	Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0xd064ea…
11-01 21:06:28	Will Jon Ossoff win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x990788…
11-01 20:54:30	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	293	18¢	$52	0xcd8b8b…
11-01 20:34:28	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	SELL	158	12¢	$19	0xbae2f9…
11-01 20:16:36	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x786386…
11-01 20:16:28	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	BUY	214	12¢	$25	0x7217e3…
11-01 20:16:27	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x721220…
11-01 20:16:27	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x687a92…
11-01 20:10:03	Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	SELL	192	23¢	$44	0x8d3884…
11-01 20:05:34	Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x57dc57…
11-01 20:02:16	Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	Yes	BUY	232	20¢	$46	0x573d97…
11-01 20:02:16	Will "007: First Light" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x4d8fc0…
11-01 19:44:45	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	336	14¢	$48	0x6174a8…
11-01 19:35:31	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	13¢	$42	0x181103…
11-01 19:29:58	Will Delcy Rodríguez win the next Venezuelan presidential election?	Yes	SELL	273	14¢	$38	0x57cdc8…
11-01 18:53:58	Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xe996c4…