Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?
open
Total volume
$7,577
$80 in 24h
Trades
517
Unique wallets
96
Liquidity
$666
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-26
last 10-26 21:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.5¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $410
vs crowd: 32% YES on $5.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 31 | $463 | $1.7K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $762 | $1.4K | $681 |
| 🐟 Fish | 22 | $455 | $500 | $45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $35 | $31 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 16 | $29 | $380 | $351 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $62 | $61 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $20 | $15 |
| Median | 3 | $367 | $171 | +$196 |
| Below median | 10 | $106 | $265 | $159 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $164 | $257 | $94 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 16 | $304 | $817 | $513 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 33 | $586 | $1.7K | $1.2K |
| unranked | 2 | $154 | — | +$154 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1,039 | $238 | $238 | 22 | 10-26 21:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +711 | $537 | $537 | 16 | 10-24 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +241 | $65 | $66 | 12 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +241 | $186 | $186 | 10 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x18e9…cf64 | Yes | +236 | $31 | $539 | 8 | 10-13 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x18e9…cf64 | No | +236 | $171 | $171 | 9 | 10-13 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +159 | $44 | $44 | 6 | 10-19 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +159 | $117 | $117 | 6 | 10-22 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +140 | $40 | $47 | 12 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +140 | $104 | $135 | 10 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +140 | $40 | $43 | 8 | 10-19 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +140 | $105 | $107 | 8 | 10-16 08:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | +125 | $1 | $162 | 6 | 10-12 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | +107 | $33 | $41 | 5 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | +107 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | Yes | +100 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-12 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | No | +100 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 10-12 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +97 | $76 | $76 | 5 | 10-25 19:05 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +89 | $73 | $73 | 5 | 10-15 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +89 | $23 | $23 | 8 | 10-26 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +89 | $68 | $98 | 7 | 10-22 12:55 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +84 | $21 | $21 | 6 | 10-22 12:55 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +84 | $67 | $121 | 9 | 10-22 12:55 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +75 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +68 | $19 | $19 | 5 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +67 | $49 | $50 | 7 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +64 | $21 | $46 | 6 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +64 | $48 | $84 | 5 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +60 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +60 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | No | +59 | $45 | $45 | 3 | 10-20 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | +59 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | +53 | $13 | $14 | 2 | 10-13 04:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +53 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 10-13 04:49 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +51 | $19 | $49 | 11 | 10-25 19:05 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +51 | $41 | $216 | 17 | 10-25 19:05 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | +43 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-13 04:49 |
| Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | No | +42 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 10-13 04:49 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +41 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-14 21:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +40 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 10-12 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +40 | $11 | $29 | 7 | 10-25 19:05 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-12 14:33 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +40 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbed9…7793 | No | +36 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +34 | $23 | $57 | 4 | 10-25 19:05 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +34 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 10-25 19:05 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +34 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $20 | 3 | 10-16 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +28 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-14 13:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x0130…fb49 | No | +22 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-25 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb735…307c | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-12 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb735…307c | Yes | +21 | $7 | $17 | 3 | 10-13 05:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-14 13:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-14 13:45 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +20 | $3 | $25 | 7 | 10-26 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4761…9d09 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $8 | 2 | 09-21 11:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-12 18:46 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $15 | 3 | 10-23 00:09 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +20 | $7 | $31 | 3 | 10-12 14:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:12:09 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xb4098a… |
| 10-26 21:12:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 24¢ | $7 | 0xb4098a… |
| 10-26 21:12:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 24¢ | $10 | 0xb4098a… |
| 10-26 21:06:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x8addf9… |
| 10-26 21:06:44 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x8addf9… |
| 10-26 21:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x8addf9… |
| 10-26 21:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x6c795c… |
| 10-26 21:06:44 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x6c795c… |
| 10-26 07:00:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xf0fb08… |
| 10-26 07:00:30 | (anonymous) 0xf26c…d5c5 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xf0fb08… |
| 10-26 04:08:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xfa3c87… |
| 10-26 04:08:11 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xfa3c87… |
| 10-26 00:51:06 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 40 | 73¢ | $29 | 0xa6b7ee… |
| 10-26 00:51:06 | Fast-Macro 0x304b…a619 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 27¢ | $11 | 0xa6b7ee… |
| 10-26 00:51:06 | (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xd224de… |
| 10-26 00:51:06 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $14 | 0xd224de… |
| 10-25 19:06:42 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 18 | 74¢ | $13 | 0xe5805e… |
| 10-25 19:06:42 | Stable-Administration 0x2f54…252c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xe5805e… |
| 10-25 19:05:41 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xf8e109… |
| 10-25 19:05:41 | (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 28¢ | $5 | 0xf8e109… |
| 10-25 19:05:39 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | SELL | 144 | 27¢ | $39 | 0x752f87… |
| 10-25 19:05:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 27¢ | $39 | 0x752f87… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xdfdf53… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x1c69dd… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x39c893… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x39c893… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 18 | 70¢ | $13 | 0xb18578… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xb18578… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x1c69dd… |
| 10-25 19:05:36 | Stable-Administration 0x2f54…252c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 29¢ | $5 | 0xdfdf53… |
| 10-25 19:05:35 | Fast-Macro 0x304b…a619 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x499792… |
| 10-25 19:05:35 | Robust-Twins 0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 30¢ | $48 | 0xbf27fd… |
| 10-25 19:05:35 | Fast-Macro 0x304b…a619 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x670265… |
| 10-25 19:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 23 | 70¢ | $16 | 0x670265… |
| 10-25 19:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x1157…c118 | Yes | SELL | 161 | 30¢ | $48 | 0xbf27fd… |
| 10-25 19:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x499792… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x1795b3… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xf5da64… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x72a0fe… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x208d48… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x055de3… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 31¢ | $7 | 0xd07010… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x55ff26… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x574029… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 40 | 70¢ | $28 | 0x2c2e12… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x1415c5… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x1157…c118 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x2c2e12… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0xe51be5… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x0130…fb49 | No | BUY | 22 | 69¢ | $15 | 0x1415c5… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x72a0fe… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x1795b3… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 30¢ | $11 | 0xd884aa… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x208d48… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x1157…c118 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xf5da64… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 107 | 70¢ | $75 | 0xf92596… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x055de3… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x72a0fe… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x574029… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 34 | 69¢ | $23 | 0xd07010… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 45 | 69¢ | $31 | 0x574029… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x574029… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x1415c5… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 40 | 31¢ | $12 | 0x55ff26… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xbed9…7793 | No | BUY | 36 | 70¢ | $25 | 0xd884aa… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x1157…c118 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 30¢ | $32 | 0xf92596… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 31¢ | $4 | 0xb59269… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xb59269… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 30¢ | $6 | 0xe51be5… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x2e3195… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xb59269… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xd07010… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 51 | 70¢ | $36 | 0x2e3195… |
| 10-25 19:05:33 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 40 | 69¢ | $28 | 0x055de3… |
| 10-25 15:48:56 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x1e88a3… |
| 10-25 15:48:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x1e88a3… |
| 10-25 13:10:06 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x56569f… |
| 10-25 13:10:06 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | SELL | 0 | 30¢ | $0 | 0x56569f… |
| 10-24 17:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0xc96a4d… |
| 10-24 17:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0xc96a4d… |
| 10-24 15:50:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x984fe6… |
| 10-24 15:50:50 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 73¢ | $14 | 0x984fe6… |
| 10-24 15:50:47 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x8d9a41… |
| 10-24 15:50:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 72¢ | $14 | 0x8d9a41… |
| 10-23 01:43:50 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | SELL | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x2f7896… |
| 10-23 01:43:50 | (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | No | BUY | 0 | 69¢ | $0 | 0x2f7896… |
| 10-23 00:09:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x5cb15f… |
| 10-23 00:09:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 25¢ | $20 | 0xd6d52a… |
| 10-23 00:09:11 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0xd6d52a… |
| 10-23 00:09:11 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x5cb15f… |
| 10-23 00:09:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 108 | 25¢ | $27 | 0xd6d52a… |
| 10-23 00:09:11 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xd6d52a… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 23 | 73¢ | $17 | 0x9297df… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xa77d7f… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x3ce010… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xa77d7f… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x687979… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x9297df… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 27¢ | $15 | 0xa77d7f… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x6946db… |
| 10-22 12:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | BUY | 23 | 74¢ | $17 | 0x687979… |