Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$403

Unrealized P&L

+$203

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

179

Trades

2,184

lifetime

Volume

$69.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$217

26 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-30 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

83% 49% +$349

Other

15% 41% +$138

Tech

2% 67% +$38

Sports

0% 17% -$101

Crypto

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions (26) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+463	$118	25¢	$116	-$2	10-30 08:56
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	+26	-$88	42¢	$11	+$99	10-30 04:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+50	$24	20¢	$10	-$14	09-03 00:10
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+170	$8	5¢	$9	+$0	10-22 22:48
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+170	$10	5¢	$9	-$1	10-15 00:53
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+350	$7	2¢	$7	+$0	10-14 00:44
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	+133	$7	5¢	$6	-$1	10-30 08:47
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+10	$3	59¢	$6	+$3	10-12 00:17
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	Yes	+10	$3	58¢	$6	+$3	09-27 23:25
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+10	$5	44¢	$4	$0	09-22 18:06
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+750	$3	1¢	$4	+$1	10-22 19:35
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$20	8¢	$4	-$16	10-21 01:04
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+150	$4	2¢	$4	$0	10-25 07:48
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,000	$3	0¢	$4	+$1	10-23 05:49
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+13	-$51	26¢	$4	+$54	10-30 07:00
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+899	$4	0¢	$3	$0	10-22 18:53
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,000	$4	0¢	$3	-$1	10-22 18:51
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+2,000	$4	0¢	$3	-$1	10-22 19:35
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	Yes	+5	-$153	45¢	$2	+$155	10-29 23:52
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Yes	+100	$14	1¢	$1	-$13	09-30 19:07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$36	1¢	$1	-$36	10-23 20:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+3	$2	16¢	$0	-$2	10-14 19:31
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$9	0¢	$0	-$9	09-22 02:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+50	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	09-28 18:15
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+0	$14	6¢	$0	-$14	10-23 17:07
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	-$2	42¢	$0	+$2	10-16 04:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	127	$7.0K	4,524	4,001	+524	open	—	10-30 09:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	81	$4.1K	2,623	2,623	+1	open	—	10-30 02:52
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 30%-35%?	73	$3.1K	1,924	1,924	+0	open	—	10-29 17:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	62	$2.9K	1,891	1,701	+189	open	—	10-30 05:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 12%-15%?	52	$2.6K	1,610	1,517	+93	open	—	10-29 23:48
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	42	$2.5K	1,605	1,409	+196	open	—	10-30 09:12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-02 House election by 6%-9%?	48	$2.3K	1,395	1,395	+0	open	—	10-29 17:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	53	$1.9K	1,319	1,054	+265	open	—	10-30 10:11
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%?	31	$1.6K	904	904	+0	open	—	10-28 15:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 10%-15%?	47	$1.6K	1,006	1,006	+0	open	—	10-29 17:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 6%-9%?	29	$1.4K	819	819	+0	open	—	10-28 01:27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 50% or more?	23	$1.3K	756	756	+0	open	—	10-29 17:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	24	$1.3K	1,164	538	+625	open	—	10-30 09:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 35%-40%?	26	$1.2K	795	795	+0	open	—	10-29 17:31
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	7	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-27 23:33
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?	18	$1.1K	2,042	1,006	+1,036	open	—	10-29 23:49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	18	$1.0K	728	727	+1	open	—	10-09 22:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 15%-20%?	13	$1.0K	784	453	+332	open	—	10-30 08:45
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 25%-30%?	9	$940	521	521	-0	open	—	10-01 02:14
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	16	$857	1,780	1,000	+780	open	—	10-30 08:55
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?	7	$703	1,035	1,030	+5	open	—	10-29 23:52
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 3%-6%?	20	$691	407	407	+0	open	—	10-27 21:13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 3%-6%?	9	$647	386	386	-0	open	—	10-20 22:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 25%-30%?	20	$589	341	341	+0	open	—	10-29 17:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 10%-15%?	16	$519	325	325	+0	open	—	10-29 17:33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 30%-35%?	5	$516	330	330	+0	open	—	10-26 07:34
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	13	$488	359	359	+0	Yes	+$197	09-13 20:31
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	3	$488	300	300	+0	open	—	10-04 20:47
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	7	$459	315	315	+0	open	—	10-03 20:58
Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	50	$455	942	799	+143	open	—	10-30 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:32:40	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xd0bab2…
10-30 10:23:19	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x62b7c8…
10-30 10:23:19	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x1bffd5…
10-30 10:11:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	65	80¢	$52	0x75a8fe…
10-30 09:53:07	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	77	35¢	$27	0xa7bbd0…
10-30 09:16:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	88	81¢	$72	0x306563…
10-30 09:12:58	Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x907c50…
10-30 09:12:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	33	85¢	$28	0x8da51d…
10-30 09:12:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	53	84¢	$44	0x4ce907…
10-30 09:11:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0x0f924d…
10-30 09:06:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x385f8b…
10-30 09:06:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x55219e…
10-30 09:05:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	SELL	346	82¢	$283	0x78abb3…
10-30 09:05:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x23a96d…
10-30 09:04:10	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xe3b21e…
10-30 09:02:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x4a410c…
10-30 08:56:09	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	26¢	$13	0xed093a…
10-30 08:55:43	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	765	32¢	$245	0x74fc83…
10-30 08:49:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x817196…
10-30 08:48:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd14688…
10-30 08:48:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x9b6cc4…
10-30 08:47:16	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x06d191…
10-30 08:45:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	57	89¢	$51	0x395366…
10-30 08:43:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	193	87¢	$167	0x9b1cc0…
10-30 08:39:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	261	84¢	$220	0xab7024…
10-30 08:37:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x610a80…
10-30 08:35:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaa37b8…
10-30 08:32:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x799c00…
10-30 08:32:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	320	81¢	$259	0x4b1226…
10-30 08:32:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x01a591…
10-30 08:25:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xec614b…
10-30 07:00:06	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xb763b7…
10-30 05:55:40	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd557c1…
10-30 05:41:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe65dd4…
10-30 05:41:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	173	84¢	$145	0x946cd2…
10-30 05:41:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	52	82¢	$43	0x64a916…
10-30 05:33:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x24d017…
10-30 05:31:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe7380c…
10-30 05:29:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	40	84¢	$33	0x603b4a…
10-30 05:29:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x05e58d…
10-30 05:15:10	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x839014…
10-30 05:09:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0x9d33bb…
10-30 05:09:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	41	84¢	$35	0x066b66…
10-30 05:03:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	105	87¢	$92	0x6ffdee…
10-30 05:03:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	65	84¢	$55	0x2b7910…
10-30 04:51:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	114	83¢	$95	0xa4d82a…
10-30 04:51:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x5a6c40…
10-30 04:50:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	203	12¢	$25	0x90c0ca…
10-30 04:42:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-06 House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x32c1a2…
10-30 04:42:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0xd04ac0…
10-30 04:40:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	165	7¢	$11	0x4dde0a…
10-30 04:38:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1b5956…
10-30 04:37:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x5defc2…
10-30 04:36:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xa696a6…
10-30 04:36:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb1d147…
10-30 04:35:09	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0x7f38d1…
10-30 04:34:34	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0x4e096e…
10-30 04:18:31	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	176	83¢	$146	0xd70b6a…
10-30 04:00:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	141	86¢	$121	0xf1bfb0…
10-30 03:49:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xbb60cd…
10-30 03:46:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	53	80¢	$42	0x98e3ab…
10-30 03:40:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xe99f39…
10-30 03:37:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5d0e95…
10-30 03:37:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1c4801…
10-30 03:37:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x707881…
10-30 03:30:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb72ab3…
10-30 03:30:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	81	88¢	$71	0x81af25…
10-30 03:30:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x1c28bb…
10-30 03:25:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xbefb40…
10-30 03:25:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x3ea92f…
10-30 03:20:36	Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x8ee07f…
10-30 03:13:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x865305…
10-30 02:54:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	155	85¢	$132	0x51952b…
10-30 02:52:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	329	83¢	$273	0xae18f1…
10-30 02:51:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x53655d…
10-30 02:49:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x5a0f1d…
10-30 02:48:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9809e5…
10-30 02:40:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x7cd5bd…
10-30 02:35:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xe32de3…
10-30 02:33:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	109	83¢	$90	0x91f151…
10-30 02:33:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xa2d6d0…
10-30 02:33:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x6acff6…
10-30 02:32:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	68	17¢	$12	0xc310ec…
10-30 02:32:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x4795c7…
10-30 02:30:19	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x57b119…
10-30 02:28:12	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x4c2ac7…
10-30 02:27:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x7179a2…
10-30 02:25:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	57	75¢	$43	0x093b86…
10-30 02:20:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc80a9e…
10-30 02:19:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb171ee…
10-30 02:17:55	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xec69f6…
10-30 02:17:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x9aeca3…
10-30 02:16:57	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x2201d8…
10-30 02:15:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x0fd897…
10-30 02:09:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x01c69f…
10-30 02:09:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	90	82¢	$74	0xd48d63…
10-30 02:09:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	93	77¢	$71	0x738be0…
10-30 02:09:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	143	85¢	$122	0x518347…
10-30 02:02:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x9d6ce7…
10-30 02:02:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xb09471…