Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open
Total volume
$7,812
$1,615 in 24h
Trades
343
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$22,964
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-09 13:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $354 | $716 | $362 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $484 | $643 | $159 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $545 | $421 | +$124 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $67 | $177 | $109 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $62 | $88 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $13 | $45 | $32 |
| Median | 8 | $48 | $92 | $44 |
| Below median | 18 | $8 | $30 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $39 | $54 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $309 | — | +$309 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $3 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 23 | $967 | $521 | +$446 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | +1,105 | $412 | $424 | 24 | 07-08 02:03 |
| Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | No | +1,000 | $549 | $549 | 3 | 06-02 13:21 |
| Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | +936 | $532 | $532 | 10 | 06-08 21:09 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +599 | $183 | $353 | 19 | 06-17 00:44 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +145 | $86 | $86 | 10 | 07-02 07:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xeba3…4392 | No | +114 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 06-26 20:12 |
| Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | +114 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 06-17 02:42 |
| Windy-Jacket 0xaf23…aa95 | No | +100 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 05-28 09:23 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +97 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 07-01 10:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +67 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-01 10:03 |
| Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 07-02 05:53 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +51 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-27 17:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +40 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 06-17 02:42 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-19 06:37 |
| Deep-Director 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-20 02:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-20 10:15 |
| Acrobatic-Baggage 0x5331…3672 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-26 08:44 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 22:21 |
| Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-16 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-13 15:43 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +10 | $6 | $13 | 4 | 07-01 10:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-04 18:20 |
| Junior-Address 0xad77…96d2 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 21:32 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-04 18:20 |
| Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c | Yes | +7 | $3 | $7 | 3 | 06-24 06:55 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 21:29 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 22:06 |
| Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | +5 | $3 | $10 | 3 | 07-02 05:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-27 16:51 |
| Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 21:39 |
| Tinted-Album 0x655b…a2b3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 07:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $7 | 2 | 07-09 13:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 13:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 30¢ | $3 | 0xdffc78… |
| 07-09 13:19:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xdffc78… |
| 07-09 13:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xdffc78… |
| 07-08 09:29:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x23fa64… |
| 07-08 09:29:37 | (anonymous) 0xf5d1…67cc | Yes | SELL | 30 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x23fa64… |
| 07-08 02:03:59 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xa5acc7… |
| 07-08 02:03:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0xa5acc7… |
| 07-08 02:03:59 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0xa5acc7… |
| 07-07 21:58:19 | Rigid-Torso 0x4405…6a37 | No | SELL | 180 | 67¢ | $121 | 0x219e51… |
| 07-07 21:58:19 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x219e51… |
| 07-07 21:58:19 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 33¢ | $58 | 0x219e51… |
| 07-07 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xe7f13a… |
| 07-07 20:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xe7f13a… |
| 07-04 18:20:53 | 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x5fdb40… |
| 07-04 18:20:53 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 8 | 71¢ | $6 | 0x5fdb40… |
| 07-04 18:20:53 | (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x5fdb40… |
| 07-04 10:05:58 | 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x7db92c… |
| 07-04 10:05:58 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x7db92c… |
| 07-03 12:41:38 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0xb5ca0e… |
| 07-03 12:41:38 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0xb5ca0e… |
| 07-02 21:11:56 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 32¢ | $14 | 0xef3321… |
| 07-02 21:11:56 | Sunny-Nitrogen 0xbf53…1720 | No | SELL | 45 | 68¢ | $31 | 0xef3321… |
| 07-02 07:27:23 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 4 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x9e4748… |
| 07-02 07:27:23 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x9e4748… |
| 07-02 07:27:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 28 | 31¢ | $9 | 0x9e4748… |
| 07-02 05:53:46 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x68cc03… |
| 07-02 05:53:46 | Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | BUY | 20 | 70¢ | $14 | 0x68cc03… |
| 07-02 05:53:46 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x68cc03… |
| 07-01 10:03:19 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | SELL | 67 | 69¢ | $47 | 0x89b4d7… |
| 07-01 10:03:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 67 | 69¢ | $47 | 0x89b4d7… |
| 07-01 10:02:25 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x2a617d… |
| 07-01 10:02:25 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x2a617d… |
| 06-30 12:27:46 | Acidic-Architecture 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x363a67… |
| 06-30 12:27:46 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x363a67… |
| 06-30 12:04:40 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x566cc0… |
| 06-30 12:04:40 | Fickle-Feather 0x15ad…4fc4 | No | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x566cc0… |
| 06-30 12:00:44 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | No | SELL | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x0bf38e… |
| 06-30 12:00:44 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x0bf38e… |
| 06-30 11:55:34 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x325bb2… |
| 06-30 11:55:34 | Glass-Asparagus-Advance 0x3566…10fe | No | SELL | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x325bb2… |
| 06-30 06:29:55 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x7da829… |
| 06-30 06:29:55 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x7da829… |
| 06-30 06:29:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x7da829… |
| 06-30 06:29:55 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x7da829… |
| 06-27 19:35:59 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0xa430e1… |
| 06-27 19:35:59 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 30¢ | $10 | 0xa430e1… |
| 06-27 17:03:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x4e9b59… |
| 06-27 17:03:23 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 46 | 29¢ | $13 | 0x4e9b59… |
| 06-27 17:03:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x4e9b59… |
| 06-27 16:51:49 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 0 | 70¢ | $0 | 0x8ca9fa… |
| 06-27 16:51:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x8ca9fa… |
| 06-27 16:51:49 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x8ca9fa… |
| 06-27 07:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x2de41a… |
| 06-27 07:31:31 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 17 | 73¢ | $12 | 0x2de41a… |
| 06-26 20:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 25 | 30¢ | $7 | 0x47f222… |
| 06-26 20:12:05 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 32 | 69¢ | $22 | 0x47f222… |
| 06-26 20:12:05 | (anonymous) 0xeba3…4392 | No | BUY | 57 | 69¢ | $40 | 0x47f222… |
| 06-26 19:56:55 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 57 | 69¢ | $39 | 0xd135e4… |
| 06-26 19:56:55 | (anonymous) 0xeba3…4392 | No | BUY | 57 | 69¢ | $39 | 0xd135e4… |
| 06-26 08:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x6a21ce… |
| 06-26 08:44:08 | Acrobatic-Baggage 0x5331…3672 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x6a21ce… |
| 06-25 19:24:02 | Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f…7f50 | No | SELL | 330 | 69¢ | $227 | 0x22b4d7… |
| 06-25 19:24:02 | Cheerful-Cowbell 0x12a7…399b | Yes | SELL | 335 | 31¢ | $104 | 0x22b4d7… |
| 06-25 19:24:02 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x22b4d7… |
| 06-25 19:23:43 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | SELL | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xea8d2a… |
| 06-25 19:23:43 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0xea8d2a… |
| 06-25 19:23:43 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | BUY | 690 | 32¢ | $221 | 0xea8d2a… |
| 06-25 19:23:43 | Cheerful-Cowbell 0x12a7…399b | Yes | SELL | 1,665 | 32¢ | $533 | 0xea8d2a… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | SELL | 27 | 68¢ | $18 | 0xa317ed… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 32¢ | $9 | 0xa317ed… |
| 06-25 04:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x8adfdb… |
| 06-25 04:54:50 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x8adfdb… |
| 06-25 01:49:08 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x456d72… |
| 06-25 01:49:08 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x456d72… |
| 06-24 15:59:34 | Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | BUY | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0xaf2a0c… |
| 06-24 15:59:34 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 32¢ | $13 | 0xaf2a0c… |
| 06-24 10:14:10 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x597412… |
| 06-24 10:14:10 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x597412… |
| 06-24 06:55:17 | Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x1f09f2… |
| 06-24 06:55:17 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 34¢ | $11 | 0x1f09f2… |
| 06-24 06:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 16 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x1f09f2… |
| 06-24 06:55:17 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 34¢ | $20 | 0x1f09f2… |
| 06-23 11:27:41 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 32¢ | $32 | 0x107d40… |
| 06-23 11:27:41 | Pastel-Appointment 0xa58b…ef84 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 32¢ | $32 | 0x107d40… |
| 06-22 10:39:47 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x371dd5… |
| 06-22 10:39:47 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 29 | 66¢ | $19 | 0x371dd5… |
| 06-22 08:40:43 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 65 | 66¢ | $43 | 0xf439cd… |
| 06-22 08:40:43 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 34¢ | $30 | 0xf439cd… |
| 06-21 20:01:37 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb59fd9… |
| 06-21 20:01:37 | Skinny-Weapon 0xca33…09f3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb59fd9… |
| 06-21 02:23:02 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 34¢ | $50 | 0x7d3407… |
| 06-21 02:23:02 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 147 | 66¢ | $97 | 0x7d3407… |
| 06-21 02:12:38 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | No | BUY | 29 | 66¢ | $19 | 0x732b7e… |
| 06-21 02:12:38 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x732b7e… |
| 06-20 16:15:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 25 | 33¢ | $8 | 0x05592a… |
| 06-20 16:15:04 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x05592a… |
| 06-20 16:15:04 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | Yes | SELL | 71 | 33¢ | $23 | 0x05592a… |
| 06-20 16:15:04 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | SELL | 31 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x05592a… |
| 06-20 10:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 12 | 67¢ | $8 | 0x4f43d6… |
| 06-20 10:15:31 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x4f43d6… |