Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
open
Total volume
$11,150
$1,615 in 24h
Trades
482
Unique wallets
97
Liquidity
$22,964
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-31 22:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $928 | $1.2K | $249 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $525 | $965 | $440 |
| 🐟 Fish | 27 | $634 | $423 | +$211 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $146 | $166 | $21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $151 | $158 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $26 | $45 | $20 |
| Median | 11 | $95 | $262 | $167 |
| Below median | 18 | $8 | $34 | $26 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $54 | $57 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $853 | — | +$853 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $3 | $1.7K | $1.7K |
| unranked | 30 | $1.0K | $518 | +$525 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +2,724 | $740 | $914 | 27 | 07-23 14:13 |
| Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | No | +1,500 | $910 | $910 | 6 | 07-18 19:24 |
| Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | +1,187 | $434 | $446 | 28 | 07-23 14:13 |
| Gruesome-Media 0xcfb5…7d2d | No | +936 | $532 | $532 | 10 | 06-08 21:09 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | Yes | +201 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-22 07:37 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +199 | $116 | $116 | 14 | 07-23 14:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5d1…67cc | No | +190 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 07-29 11:53 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +163 | $57 | $57 | 12 | 07-23 19:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xeba3…4392 | No | +114 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 06-26 20:12 |
| Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | +108 | $28 | $28 | 18 | 07-22 06:32 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +106 | $76 | $76 | 3 | 07-20 03:37 |
| Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | +100 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 07-23 06:48 |
| Windy-Jacket 0xaf23…aa95 | No | +100 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 05-28 09:23 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +95 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 07-16 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | +80 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-24 02:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +67 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-01 10:03 |
| Putrid-Vermicelli 0x3c44…f66f | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 07-02 05:53 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | Yes | +51 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-27 17:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +40 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 06-17 02:42 |
| 0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-17 10:10 |
| Deep-Director 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 14:14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-29 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-20 02:53 |
| Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-16 17:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-13 15:43 |
| Acrobatic-Baggage 0x5331…3672 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-26 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3187…2ec4 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-04 18:20 |
| Junior-Address 0xad77…96d2 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-01 21:32 |
| Thoughtful-Greenhouse 0x9395…3a6c | Yes | +7 | $3 | $7 | 3 | 06-24 06:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-29 22:06 |
| Large-Bureau 0xc3a2…d0bd | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-23 06:52 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-31 22:10 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-23 06:52 |
| Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | No | +5 | $3 | $10 | 3 | 07-02 05:53 |
| Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | +5 | $3 | $17 | 5 | 07-14 00:46 |
| Bulky-Input 0x79f7…d24a | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 21:39 |
| Tinted-Album 0x655b…a2b3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 07:53 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $5 | 2 | 07-31 22:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x371e…8bba | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $7 | 2 | 07-09 13:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 22:10:00 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xf016c3… |
| 07-31 22:10:00 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xf016c3… |
| 07-29 11:53:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 28¢ | $4 | 0xcf8320… |
| 07-29 11:53:42 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | SELL | 149 | 72¢ | $107 | 0xcf8320… |
| 07-29 11:53:42 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 26 | 72¢ | $19 | 0xcf8320… |
| 07-29 11:53:42 | (anonymous) 0xf5d1…67cc | No | BUY | 190 | 72¢ | $137 | 0xcf8320… |
| 07-29 11:51:41 | (anonymous) 0xf5d1…67cc | Yes | SELL | 271 | 28¢ | $77 | 0xe55247… |
| 07-29 11:51:41 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | SELL | 251 | 72¢ | $181 | 0xe55247… |
| 07-29 11:51:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0xe55247… |
| 07-27 12:30:39 | (anonymous) 0x4421…6287 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xe80f44… |
| 07-27 12:30:39 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0xe80f44… |
| 07-24 02:40:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 34 | 67¢ | $23 | 0xe8b3b6… |
| 07-24 02:40:16 | (anonymous) 0xbc0d…d3a5 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 35¢ | $28 | 0xe8b3b6… |
| 07-24 02:40:16 | Aromatic-Carter 0xde28…2115 | Yes | SELL | 114 | 34¢ | $39 | 0xe8b3b6… |
| 07-23 19:48:24 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xc49583… |
| 07-23 19:48:24 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xc49583… |
| 07-23 14:13:31 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x5ae779… |
| 07-23 14:13:31 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x5ae779… |
| 07-23 14:13:31 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 1 | 61¢ | $0 | 0x5ae779… |
| 07-23 08:49:18 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xc0fa17… |
| 07-23 08:49:18 | (anonymous) 0xc986…da9a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xc0fa17… |
| 07-23 08:04:27 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xe8525f… |
| 07-23 08:04:27 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xe8525f… |
| 07-23 06:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x6017c4… |
| 07-23 06:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x12a7…0e77 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x6017c4… |
| 07-23 06:52:37 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 38 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x6017c4… |
| 07-23 06:52:34 | Large-Bureau 0xc3a2…d0bd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 47¢ | $0 | 0x8a7de3… |
| 07-23 06:52:34 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 47¢ | $0 | 0x8a7de3… |
| 07-23 06:52:33 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x510872… |
| 07-23 06:52:33 | Large-Bureau 0xc3a2…d0bd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x510872… |
| 07-23 06:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x12a7…0e77 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 52¢ | $20 | 0x5e91d5… |
| 07-23 06:48:31 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 38 | 48¢ | $18 | 0x5e91d5… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | BUY | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 1,853 | 26¢ | $487 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 60 | 73¢ | $44 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | Embellished-Disposal 0x6c88…8570 | Yes | SELL | 878 | 26¢ | $228 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-23 06:48:27 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 778 | 26¢ | $202 | 0x49237e… |
| 07-22 12:55:43 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xb2944e… |
| 07-22 12:55:43 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0xb2944e… |
| 07-22 12:54:00 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x891767… |
| 07-22 12:54:00 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 26¢ | $10 | 0x891767… |
| 07-22 07:37:10 | Leading-Speedboat 0x05c7…4421 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x2ed15c… |
| 07-22 07:37:10 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | Yes | BUY | 23 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x2ed15c… |
| 07-22 06:32:39 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x9e75ad… |
| 07-22 06:32:39 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x9e75ad… |
| 07-22 06:29:55 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x920244… |
| 07-22 06:29:55 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x920244… |
| 07-22 06:04:43 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xadb320… |
| 07-22 06:04:43 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xadb320… |
| 07-22 06:03:51 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5cee3e… |
| 07-22 06:03:51 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5cee3e… |
| 07-22 06:03:01 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x143582… |
| 07-22 06:03:01 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x143582… |
| 07-22 06:01:22 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe5648d… |
| 07-22 06:01:22 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe5648d… |
| 07-22 06:01:16 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2dd07d… |
| 07-22 06:01:16 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2dd07d… |
| 07-22 05:27:28 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xdd4b1a… |
| 07-22 05:27:28 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xdd4b1a… |
| 07-22 05:24:45 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xb39cbd… |
| 07-22 05:24:45 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xb39cbd… |
| 07-22 05:17:00 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xcb781b… |
| 07-22 05:17:00 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xcb781b… |
| 07-22 04:22:18 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xdd9d35… |
| 07-22 04:22:18 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xdd9d35… |
| 07-22 04:21:31 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x465472… |
| 07-22 04:21:31 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x465472… |
| 07-22 00:04:15 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x919426… |
| 07-22 00:04:15 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x919426… |
| 07-22 00:03:43 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x749d49… |
| 07-22 00:03:43 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x749d49… |
| 07-22 00:02:31 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2fe60e… |
| 07-22 00:02:31 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x2fe60e… |
| 07-22 00:02:13 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x1932dd… |
| 07-22 00:02:13 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x1932dd… |
| 07-22 00:01:27 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xee03fb… |
| 07-22 00:01:27 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xee03fb… |
| 07-22 00:01:18 | Personal-Councilman 0x6358…cc23 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x70ee12… |
| 07-22 00:01:18 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x70ee12… |
| 07-21 16:31:31 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x952ebe… |
| 07-21 16:31:31 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x952ebe… |
| 07-21 16:31:00 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x9d0c7b… |
| 07-21 16:31:00 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x9d0c7b… |
| 07-21 15:45:12 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x54322c… |
| 07-21 15:45:12 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x54322c… |
| 07-20 16:25:07 | Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | Yes | SELL | 386 | 26¢ | $100 | 0xe9cb87… |
| 07-20 16:25:07 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | SELL | 386 | 74¢ | $286 | 0xe9cb87… |
| 07-20 03:37:18 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 36 | 74¢ | $27 | 0x22cb4f… |
| 07-20 03:37:18 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | SELL | 36 | 74¢ | $27 | 0x22cb4f… |
| 07-20 00:55:55 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | SELL | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0xf1ac6e… |
| 07-20 00:55:55 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xf1ac6e… |
| 07-19 10:53:45 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xda88fd… |
| 07-19 10:53:45 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | SELL | 19 | 74¢ | $14 | 0xda88fd… |
| 07-19 01:18:45 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | SELL | 40 | 74¢ | $30 | 0x24bedd… |
| 07-19 01:18:45 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 40 | 74¢ | $30 | 0x24bedd… |
| 07-18 19:24:18 | Smart-Pathway 0x993c…6787 | No | BUY | 178 | 74¢ | $132 | 0xfab8f9… |
| 07-18 19:24:18 | bakayo33 - 9934 0x343d…cd2e | Yes | BUY | 78 | 25¢ | $19 | 0xfab8f9… |