Realized P&L
-$5.68K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.04K
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
584
Trades
7,082
lifetime
Volume
$268.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$9.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
67% 80% -$1,570
Other
29% 58% -$3,867
Crypto
4% 50% -$188
Tech
0% 25% -$52
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No -1,701 -$1,415 97¢ $-1646 -$231 09-19 15:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1,400 -$1,242 84¢ $-1182 +$60 08-08 08:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -1,188 -$432 69¢ $-819 -$387 10-27 16:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,011 $841 80¢ $814 -$27 10-24 06:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -602 -$456 82¢ $-495 -$39 08-07 14:15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -801 -$455 60¢ $-481 -$26 08-07 20:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -599 -$284 68¢ $-410 -$127 10-22 13:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +677 $593 56¢ $383 -$211 10-29 00:01
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +360 $317 94¢ $340 +$23 08-08 01:38
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -400 -$340 83¢ $-334 +$7 08-10 07:44
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -400 -$192 68¢ $-274 -$82 08-11 18:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,400 $273 16¢ $231 -$42 10-14 22:18
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,234 $199 17¢ $205 +$6 10-14 22:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No -201 -$188 98¢ $-196 -$8 10-07 05:37
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -200 -$173 96¢ $-192 -$20 08-10 19:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -576 -$209 31¢ $-179 +$31 10-29 17:17
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +190 $137 81¢ $154 +$17 07-29 11:53
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -301 -$58 40¢ $-120 -$62 09-01 03:24
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +163 $132 70¢ $113 -$19 07-29 11:55
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -300 -$61 31¢ $-92 -$31 08-18 18:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -560 -$100 16¢ $-87 +$13 08-21 09:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +200 $139 40¢ $79 -$60 10-27 23:24
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -301 -$86 19¢ $-57 +$29 07-29 11:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +200 $99 29¢ $57 -$42 10-28 00:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes -1,701 -$287 3¢ $-55 +$231 09-17 13:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +300 $70 18¢ $53 -$16 08-30 11:23
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +260 $81 18¢ $45 -$35 08-01 20:02
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -100 -$20 30¢ $-30 -$10 07-29 11:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -412 -$41 6¢ $-27 +$14 06-22 10:49
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -100 -$9 9¢ $-9 +$0 08-13 12:10