Realized P&L
-$1.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
49.7%
Resolved
538
Trades
9,918
lifetime
Volume
$99.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$222
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 07:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Crypto
63% 39% $-1,073
Other
22% 5% $-126
Politics
9% 100% +$0
Tech
6%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 3544 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No -60 $-43 48¢ $-29 +$14 06-30 15:35
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? No -24 $-24 98¢ $-24 $-0 06-30 15:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -27 $-20 82¢ $-22 $-2 06-30 15:35
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -21 $-20 98¢ $-21 $-1 06-30 15:33
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -19 $-18 89¢ $-17 +$1 06-30 15:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -22 $-18 70¢ $-15 +$3 06-30 15:33
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-15 96¢ $-15 $-0 06-30 15:36
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No -16 $-14 92¢ $-15 $-0 06-30 15:37
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? Yes -24 $-12 50¢ $-12 $-0 07-22 07:37
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -12 $-10 80¢ $-10 $-0 07-22 07:40
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No -10 $-9 91¢ $-9 $-0 07-22 07:40
Remote IPO before 2027? No -11 $-9 82¢ $-9 $-0 07-22 07:40
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -23 $-6 36¢ $-8 $-2 07-22 07:37
Blue tsunami in 2026? No -13 $-7 56¢ $-7 $-0 07-22 07:39
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -10 $-6 64¢ $-7 $-0 07-22 07:40
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -19 $-3 13¢ $-3 +$0 07-22 07:37
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes -10 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-22 07:40