Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
open
Total volume
$13,576
$27 in 24h
Trades
703
Unique wallets
170
Liquidity
$22,740
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-31 20:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.6¢
(top1%: 54% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 38% YES on $7.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $1.5K | $944 | +$569 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $620 | $1.9K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $398 | $1.0K | $635 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 67 | $104 | $460 | $356 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $725 | $607 | +$119 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $691 | $859 | $168 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $58 | $124 | $65 |
| Median | 18 | $25 | $110 | $85 |
| Below median | 28 | $91 | $314 | $223 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $6 | $209 | $203 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $177 | $273 | $96 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $715 | $524 | +$190 |
| unranked | 66 | $146 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | +1,680 | $591 | $591 | 31 | 07-30 20:24 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +595 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 06-14 22:13 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +583 | $190 | $661 | 50 | 07-30 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +541 | $359 | $359 | 5 | 07-29 13:00 |
| Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | +500 | $300 | $300 | 4 | 06-29 14:22 |
| Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | +450 | $98 | $638 | 15 | 07-10 14:23 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +408 | $134 | $134 | 4 | 07-30 01:26 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +398 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 07-04 01:47 |
| Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | +284 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 07-26 02:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +267 | $160 | $483 | 22 | 07-28 07:57 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +265 | $170 | $170 | 14 | 07-23 17:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5231…ca59 | No | +160 | $105 | $225 | 8 | 07-25 16:58 |
| Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | +153 | $52 | $1,423 | 14 | 07-29 12:32 |
| Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | +130 | $45 | $45 | 6 | 07-30 20:30 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +125 | $89 | $264 | 6 | 06-14 13:38 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +125 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-13 05:13 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +120 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 06-29 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | +109 | $74 | $74 | 4 | 07-30 22:02 |
| Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | +106 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x84d4…77a9 | No | +103 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8a9…2948 | Yes | +100 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 07-30 17:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x15bb…22b3 | No | +100 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-30 17:33 |
| Messy-String 0xb9a7…f50f | No | +100 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-14 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3a9…6c89 | No | +87 | $56 | $174 | 7 | 07-27 12:15 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +85 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-15 20:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +68 | $41 | $87 | 7 | 07-27 09:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +67 | $23 | $47 | 10 | 07-28 19:48 |
| Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | Yes | +53 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-29 12:49 |
| Flawed-Sherry 0xedb2…3637 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-06 12:58 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +39 | $14 | $18 | 8 | 07-31 20:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-23 18:15 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | +26 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8359…23d6 | No | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-30 20:44 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +23 | $-1 | $614 | 10 | 07-26 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbda…fdbb | No | +23 | $14 | $46 | 2 | 07-27 09:58 |
| Moral-Shoe 0x882c…171f | Yes | +21 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-29 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x42c7…c415 | No | +21 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | No | +21 | $15 | $21 | 4 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | +18 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 07-29 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f77…cc51 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-30 01:25 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +11 | $3 | $212 | 27 | 07-30 01:25 |
| Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-06 03:11 |
| Late-Design 0x14f6…f9f7 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-23 07:04 |
| Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-27 22:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $9 | 3 | 07-30 22:02 |
| Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $15 | 5 | 07-28 09:52 |
| White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x96fc…edc6 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-27 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-30 01:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:31:56 | (anonymous) 0xb6ba…d23c | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x5745c7… |
| 07-31 20:31:56 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 31¢ | $0 | 0x5745c7… |
| 07-30 22:02:14 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | BUY | 9 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x2a7f9e… |
| 07-30 22:02:14 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x2a7f9e… |
| 07-30 20:30:38 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 32¢ | $8 | 0x1d949b… |
| 07-30 20:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | BUY | 24 | 68¢ | $16 | 0x1d949b… |
| 07-30 20:24:21 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 32¢ | $24 | 0x3b6d32… |
| 07-30 20:24:21 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | BUY | 75 | 68¢ | $51 | 0x3b6d32… |
| 07-30 18:33:06 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x95b5df… |
| 07-30 18:33:06 | That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | SELL | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x95b5df… |
| 07-30 17:33:38 | (anonymous) 0xb8a9…2948 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 31¢ | $31 | 0xa56006… |
| 07-30 17:33:38 | (anonymous) 0x15bb…22b3 | No | BUY | 100 | 69¢ | $69 | 0xa56006… |
| 07-30 12:01:08 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xc17d85… |
| 07-30 12:01:08 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xc17d85… |
| 07-30 11:56:12 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf70512… |
| 07-30 11:56:12 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xf70512… |
| 07-30 01:26:00 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x9adca0… |
| 07-30 01:26:00 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x9adca0… |
| 07-30 01:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x36f613… |
| 07-30 01:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x23ca…9ae6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x36f613… |
| 07-30 01:25:44 | Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0xc5debd… |
| 07-30 01:25:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 64¢ | $7 | 0xc5debd… |
| 07-30 01:25:44 | (anonymous) 0x23ca…9ae6 | Yes | SELL | 230 | 35¢ | $81 | 0xc5debd… |
| 07-30 01:25:44 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc5debd… |
| 07-30 01:25:44 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 35¢ | $70 | 0xc5debd… |
| 07-29 23:24:59 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 12 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x292152… |
| 07-29 23:24:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 63¢ | $7 | 0x292152… |
| 07-29 16:51:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x9170e0… |
| 07-29 16:51:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x9170e0… |
| 07-29 13:02:53 | Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xbd89eb… |
| 07-29 13:02:53 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xbd89eb… |
| 07-29 13:02:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xbd89eb… |
| 07-29 13:02:51 | Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x4ebf02… |
| 07-29 13:02:51 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0x4ebf02… |
| 07-29 13:00:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xd9a960… |
| 07-29 13:00:12 | Moral-Shoe 0x882c…171f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xd9a960… |
| 07-29 13:00:11 | Moral-Shoe 0x882c…171f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xa09904… |
| 07-29 13:00:11 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 33¢ | $24 | 0x7b3262… |
| 07-29 13:00:11 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 72 | 67¢ | $48 | 0x7b3262… |
| 07-29 13:00:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xa09904… |
| 07-29 13:00:09 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 254 | 33¢ | $84 | 0xa2deb7… |
| 07-29 13:00:09 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 354 | 67¢ | $237 | 0xa2deb7… |
| 07-29 13:00:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 34¢ | $34 | 0xa2deb7… |
| 07-29 12:49:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 12 | 62¢ | $7 | 0xf100ac… |
| 07-29 12:49:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 38¢ | $16 | 0xf100ac… |
| 07-29 12:49:53 | Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 38¢ | $20 | 0xf100ac… |
| 07-29 12:33:47 | Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x694ca5… |
| 07-29 12:33:47 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x694ca5… |
| 07-29 12:32:06 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x671a35… |
| 07-29 12:32:06 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 316 | 66¢ | $208 | 0x3b286c… |
| 07-29 12:32:06 | Moral-Shoe 0x882c…171f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x671a35… |
| 07-29 12:32:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x671a35… |
| 07-29 12:32:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 34¢ | $34 | 0x3b286c… |
| 07-29 12:32:06 | (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | SELL | 492 | 34¢ | $166 | 0x3b286c… |
| 07-29 12:32:06 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 33¢ | $25 | 0x3b286c… |
| 07-29 09:18:41 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x09ae32… |
| 07-29 09:18:41 | (anonymous) 0x0717…ade5 | No | SELL | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x09ae32… |
| 07-28 19:48:49 | Gummy-Yang 0x53f8…5ce0 | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x1605e3… |
| 07-28 19:48:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x1605e3… |
| 07-28 10:31:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 82 | 38¢ | $31 | 0x0c636a… |
| 07-28 10:31:55 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 98 | 62¢ | $61 | 0x0c636a… |
| 07-28 09:52:04 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x0e577a… |
| 07-28 09:52:04 | (anonymous) 0x3f6d…a962 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x0e577a… |
| 07-28 07:57:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 38¢ | $38 | 0xa19a4c… |
| 07-28 07:57:46 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 241 | 62¢ | $150 | 0xa19a4c… |
| 07-28 07:57:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xa19a4c… |
| 07-28 07:57:46 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0xa19a4c… |
| 07-28 07:57:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0xa19a4c… |
| 07-28 06:00:30 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xf56e06… |
| 07-28 06:00:30 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xf56e06… |
| 07-28 06:00:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xf56e06… |
| 07-28 05:56:36 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0x321cb5… |
| 07-28 05:56:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x321cb5… |
| 07-28 05:56:36 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x321cb5… |
| 07-27 22:52:49 | Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x10b9f4… |
| 07-27 22:52:49 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x10b9f4… |
| 07-27 22:52:49 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x10b9f4… |
| 07-27 20:43:33 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x906a51… |
| 07-27 20:43:33 | (anonymous) 0xde36…0622 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x906a51… |
| 07-27 15:15:51 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xda9972… |
| 07-27 15:15:51 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xda9972… |
| 07-27 15:06:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 34¢ | $24 | 0x931836… |
| 07-27 15:06:46 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x931836… |
| 07-27 15:06:46 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 34¢ | $34 | 0x931836… |
| 07-27 12:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xc43c5c… |
| 07-27 12:33:33 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc43c5c… |
| 07-27 12:15:37 | (anonymous) 0xa3a9…6c89 | No | BUY | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x5e5e82… |
| 07-27 12:15:37 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0x5e5e82… |
| 07-27 12:15:37 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x5e5e82… |
| 07-27 12:08:36 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 33¢ | $23 | 0xcba898… |
| 07-27 12:08:36 | (anonymous) 0xa3a9…6c89 | No | BUY | 70 | 67¢ | $47 | 0xcba898… |
| 07-27 09:58:12 | (anonymous) 0xfbda…fdbb | No | SELL | 23 | 68¢ | $16 | 0xbccc05… |
| 07-27 09:58:12 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xbccc05… |
| 07-27 09:58:12 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xbccc05… |
| 07-27 09:58:12 | (anonymous) 0xa3a9…6c89 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xbccc05… |
| 07-27 09:43:45 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x6d15df… |
| 07-27 09:43:45 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0x6d15df… |
| 07-27 07:16:27 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x6c53b9… |
| 07-27 07:16:27 | (anonymous) 0x96fc…edc6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x6c53b9… |
| 07-27 06:45:04 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xe26961… |