Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
open
Total volume
$8,917
$27 in 24h
Trades
417
Unique wallets
118
Liquidity
$22,740
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-08 17:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.2¢
(top1%: 36% YES on $954
vs crowd: 40% YES on $4.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $640 | $654 | $14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $593 | $1.4K | $828 |
| 🐟 Fish | 32 | $262 | $269 | $7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $144 | $160 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $347 | $607 | $259 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $578 | $855 | $277 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $15 | $99 | $84 |
| Median | 12 | $10 | $27 | $17 |
| Below median | 21 | $76 | $286 | $210 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | $19 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $175 | $87 | +$88 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $295 | $258 | +$37 |
| unranked | 44 | $137 | $266 | $128 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | +1,221 | $737 | $737 | 4 | 06-07 16:30 |
| Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | +955 | $347 | $347 | 21 | 07-07 13:51 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +595 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 06-14 22:13 |
| Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | +500 | $300 | $300 | 4 | 06-29 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | +492 | $187 | $187 | 3 | 06-13 05:13 |
| Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | +475 | $108 | $628 | 14 | 07-07 20:46 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +398 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 07-04 01:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +205 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 07-04 19:05 |
| Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | +176 | $108 | $506 | 5 | 07-05 08:24 |
| Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | +152 | $20 | $77 | 4 | 07-08 17:55 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +125 | $89 | $264 | 6 | 06-14 13:38 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +125 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-13 05:13 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +120 | $72 | $72 | 2 | 06-29 14:22 |
| Messy-String 0xb9a7…f50f | No | +100 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-14 13:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +62 | $37 | $83 | 6 | 06-30 12:52 |
| Flawed-Sherry 0xedb2…3637 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-06 12:58 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +47 | $15 | $71 | 10 | 07-04 01:47 |
| Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | +45 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-06 13:01 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +44 | $24 | $151 | 17 | 07-06 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-23 18:15 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +32 | $12 | $15 | 6 | 07-06 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8359…23d6 | No | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-30 20:44 |
| Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | No | +21 | $15 | $21 | 4 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-23 18:22 |
| Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | +11 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-06 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $6 | $12 | 4 | 07-06 13:01 |
| Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-04 12:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-02 04:42 |
| White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 07:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ed6…47b6 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-04 19:35 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $73 | 3 | 06-24 03:20 |
| Soggy-Collapse 0xc96e…8c59 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 21:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ed6…47b6 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-04 19:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-07 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $3 | $10 | 4 | 07-07 13:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $3 | $16 | 5 | 07-08 03:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +5 | $3 | $10 | 2 | 07-08 03:12 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +5 | $-6 | $261 | 16 | 07-04 01:47 |
| Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | +3 | $3 | $46 | 7 | 07-04 10:06 |
| Chubby-Signature 0x08f2…1976 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 02:12 |
| Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 07:42 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 06:17 |
| That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-04 14:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 17:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x73df40… |
| 07-08 17:55:13 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x73df40… |
| 07-08 17:55:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 39¢ | $10 | 0x73df40… |
| 07-08 17:55:13 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x73df40… |
| 07-08 17:55:13 | (anonymous) 0xf44d…60af | No | SELL | 59 | 60¢ | $35 | 0x73df40… |
| 07-08 03:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xe456a8… |
| 07-08 03:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xe456a8… |
| 07-07 20:46:37 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x1a3834… |
| 07-07 20:46:37 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x1a3834… |
| 07-07 13:51:13 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x0d800d… |
| 07-07 13:51:13 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x0d800d… |
| 07-07 13:49:19 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x9b8164… |
| 07-07 13:49:19 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x9b8164… |
| 07-07 13:45:40 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x1dd9cd… |
| 07-07 13:45:40 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x1dd9cd… |
| 07-07 13:45:32 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xa92cca… |
| 07-07 13:45:32 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xa92cca… |
| 07-06 13:01:16 | Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | BUY | 45 | 37¢ | $17 | 0x198d60… |
| 07-06 13:01:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 29 | 63¢ | $19 | 0x198d60… |
| 07-06 13:01:16 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x198d60… |
| 07-06 13:01:16 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x198d60… |
| 07-06 12:58:19 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0xad61e7… |
| 07-06 12:58:19 | Flawed-Sherry 0xedb2…3637 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0xad61e7… |
| 07-06 03:11:35 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xc0150a… |
| 07-06 03:11:35 | Natural-Gear 0xd52b…5c72 | No | BUY | 11 | 62¢ | $7 | 0xc0150a… |
| 07-06 02:12:44 | Chubby-Signature 0x08f2…1976 | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xad93d4… |
| 07-06 02:12:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xad93d4… |
| 07-05 23:19:56 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xa4880f… |
| 07-05 23:19:56 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xa4880f… |
| 07-05 23:19:56 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xa4880f… |
| 07-05 08:24:38 | Vague-Parser 0x7513…c94e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xce513f… |
| 07-05 08:24:38 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 27 | 71¢ | $19 | 0xce513f… |
| 07-05 08:24:38 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xce513f… |
| 07-05 07:50:46 | Timely-Muscat 0xa3b9…ad06 | No | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x0709a4… |
| 07-05 07:50:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x0709a4… |
| 07-04 20:53:41 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x051b93… |
| 07-04 20:53:41 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x051b93… |
| 07-04 19:35:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x91d82a… |
| 07-04 19:35:11 | (anonymous) 0x4ed6…47b6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x91d82a… |
| 07-04 19:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x4ed6…47b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xd18429… |
| 07-04 19:05:01 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xd18429… |
| 07-04 14:07:11 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x5bdd28… |
| 07-04 14:07:11 | That-Percent 0xb5c4…cb3b | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x5bdd28… |
| 07-04 12:26:26 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | SELL | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xd42a4b… |
| 07-04 12:26:26 | Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0xd42a4b… |
| 07-04 12:26:26 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xd42a4b… |
| 07-04 10:06:38 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | No | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x9b296c… |
| 07-04 10:06:38 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | SELL | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0x9b296c… |
| 07-04 10:06:38 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x9b296c… |
| 07-04 05:37:46 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 46 | 36¢ | $17 | 0xc32402… |
| 07-04 05:37:46 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 36¢ | $17 | 0xc32402… |
| 07-04 05:28:04 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x4a7ede… |
| 07-04 05:28:04 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x4a7ede… |
| 07-04 03:04:05 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x46f7c6… |
| 07-04 03:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0x46f7c6… |
| 07-04 03:04:05 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 28¢ | $25 | 0x46f7c6… |
| 07-04 02:15:11 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 93 | 30¢ | $28 | 0x20b7b8… |
| 07-04 02:15:11 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x20b7b8… |
| 07-04 02:15:11 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0x20b7b8… |
| 07-04 01:48:59 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x49e68b… |
| 07-04 01:48:59 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0x49e68b… |
| 07-04 01:47:35 | Plush-Decadence 0x825c…dfa0 | No | SELL | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xf42066… |
| 07-04 01:47:35 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xf42066… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Beloved-Laryngitis-Hunger 0xb2d5…ff8b | No | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Pungent-Washbasin 0x4344…f90d | No | SELL | 61 | 78¢ | $48 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 20¢ | $100 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | (anonymous) 0x38de…9070 | Yes | SELL | 1,844 | 23¢ | $425 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | No | SELL | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Submissive-Rosemary 0x30a0…a458 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 19¢ | $38 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 398 | 16¢ | $64 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 37¢ | $11 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | No | SELL | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-04 01:47:23 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xc8648c… |
| 07-03 21:05:22 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x287ba0… |
| 07-03 21:05:22 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x287ba0… |
| 07-03 19:53:55 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | SELL | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xcbd892… |
| 07-03 19:53:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0xcbd892… |
| 07-03 19:53:55 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 39¢ | $12 | 0xcbd892… |
| 07-03 07:42:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x641c9f… |
| 07-03 07:42:52 | Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x641c9f… |
| 07-03 05:14:17 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $2 | 0x768509… |
| 07-03 05:14:17 | (anonymous) 0x31d9…bb17 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x768509… |
| 07-03 05:10:22 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x637f8c… |
| 07-03 05:10:22 | Deadly-Overshoot 0x7ea7…466c | No | SELL | 1 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x637f8c… |
| 07-02 10:46:25 | (anonymous) 0x52bc…97e0 | No | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xbd4c74… |
| 07-02 10:46:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0xbd4c74… |
| 07-02 04:42:23 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 6 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x3cb2c4… |
| 07-02 04:42:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 6 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x3cb2c4… |
| 07-02 02:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x57ac…516e | No | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x5b15eb… |
| 07-02 02:52:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x5b15eb… |
| 07-01 11:14:56 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x63cbe3… |
| 07-01 11:14:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x63cbe3… |
| 07-01 06:05:34 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x456792… |