Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
open
Total volume
$18,712
$27 in 24h
Trades
879
Unique wallets
212
Liquidity
$22,740
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-22 12:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+7.8¢
(top1%: 39% YES on $3.3K
vs crowd: 31% YES on $10.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 23 | $2.1K | $2.0K | +$51 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 48 | $652 | $2.6K | $2.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 57 | $470 | $1.5K | $987 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 84 | $115 | $1.1K | $957 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 16 | $1.3K | $2.0K | $699 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $487 | $1.2K | $704 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $66 | $131 | $65 |
| Median | 19 | $29 | $178 | $149 |
| Below median | 35 | $156 | $334 | $179 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $6 | $235 | $230 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $186 | $273 | $87 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 14 | $865 | $892 | $27 |
| unranked | 86 | $208 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | +2,280 | $760 | $760 | 33 | 08-06 07:58 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | +1,218 | $293 | $293 | 8 | 08-18 00:50 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | +1,000 | $824 | $824 | 1 | 08-18 00:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +889 | $241 | $748 | 58 | 08-22 12:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +595 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 06-14 22:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +541 | $359 | $359 | 5 | 07-29 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1018…43b5 | No | +529 | $422 | $422 | 2 | 08-15 08:46 |
| Idolized-Crest 0x2d61…1fa7 | No | +500 | $300 | $300 | 4 | 06-29 14:22 |
| Scratchy-Forebear 0x856b…fd64 | No | +500 | $390 | $390 | 2 | 08-11 12:19 |
| Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | +450 | $98 | $638 | 15 | 07-10 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x856f…e1d7 | No | +426 | $321 | $321 | 1 | 08-07 21:30 |
| Low-Jug 0x4ac9…cf1a | No | +400 | $288 | $288 | 1 | 08-06 07:58 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +398 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 07-04 01:47 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +340 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 08-18 00:50 |
| Smoggy-Antique 0xaab9…a08d | No | +284 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 07-26 02:52 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +267 | $160 | $483 | 22 | 07-28 07:57 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +265 | $170 | $170 | 14 | 07-23 17:09 |
| Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | No | +231 | $164 | $164 | 5 | 08-06 23:47 |
| Scornful-Software 0xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | +130 | $45 | $45 | 6 | 07-30 20:30 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +125 | $89 | $264 | 6 | 06-14 13:38 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +125 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-13 05:13 |
| Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461 | No | +106 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x84d4…77a9 | No | +103 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb8a9…2948 | Yes | +100 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 07-30 17:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3f6…1326 | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-15 08:46 |
| Messy-String 0xb9a7…f50f | No | +100 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-14 13:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x15bb…22b3 | No | +100 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 07-30 17:33 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +85 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-15 20:15 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +84 | $26 | $50 | 13 | 08-18 02:22 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +81 | $61 | $175 | 3 | 08-06 03:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +79 | $49 | $96 | 8 | 08-02 23:07 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +75 | $23 | $27 | 10 | 08-02 23:07 |
| Flawed-Sherry 0xedb2…3637 | No | +50 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 07-06 12:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | +38 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 08-18 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +34 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-23 18:15 |
| Punctual-Haversack 0xcc7c…4ce2 | No | +27 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 08-06 23:54 |
| Popular-Depth 0x0f18…5b28 | No | +26 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8359…23d6 | No | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-30 20:44 |
| Interesting-Trek 0x442c…3db8 | No | +24 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 08-06 03:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbda…fdbb | No | +23 | $14 | $46 | 2 | 07-27 09:58 |
| Moral-Shoe 0x882c…171f | Yes | +21 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 07-29 13:00 |
| Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | No | +21 | $15 | $21 | 4 | 06-20 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 08-18 00:50 |
| Insubstantial-Parchment 0x025d…5b22 | Yes | +18 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 07-29 13:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b9b…7a9f | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-26 20:28 |
| Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-30 01:25 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +11 | $3 | $212 | 27 | 07-30 01:25 |
| Late-Design 0x14f6…f9f7 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-23 07:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 12:18:36 | (anonymous) 0xa3a9…6c89 | No | SELL | 87 | 82¢ | $71 | 0x26a529… |
| 08-22 12:18:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 18¢ | $16 | 0x26a529… |
| 08-22 09:48:39 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x98388a… |
| 08-22 09:48:39 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x98388a… |
| 08-22 09:48:39 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x98388a… |
| 08-22 09:48:39 | (anonymous) 0x42c7…c415 | No | SELL | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x98388a… |
| 08-22 09:48:39 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x98388a… |
| 08-21 00:09:10 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x96691c… |
| 08-21 00:09:10 | Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x96691c… |
| 08-20 19:28:15 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x342556… |
| 08-20 19:28:15 | Unique-Roundabout 0xa5fd…36d1 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x342556… |
| 08-20 19:27:46 | Unique-Roundabout 0xa5fd…36d1 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x5bcc36… |
| 08-20 19:27:46 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x5bcc36… |
| 08-20 09:07:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x7f64c0… |
| 08-20 09:07:34 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x7f64c0… |
| 08-20 09:07:34 | Bossy-Entirety 0xd7af…f22e | No | SELL | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x7f64c0… |
| 08-20 07:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x839f…d3f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2b90d9… |
| 08-20 07:05:25 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2b90d9… |
| 08-19 03:53:06 | Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x1a6d84… |
| 08-19 03:53:06 | Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x1a6d84… |
| 08-18 13:18:06 | Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xe4b158… |
| 08-18 13:18:06 | Spry-Netbook 0xa65c…32fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xe4b158… |
| 08-18 09:41:16 | Attentive-Earring 0x2e3e…2ac9 | No | SELL | 3 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xed3d01… |
| 08-18 09:41:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xed3d01… |
| 08-18 02:22:42 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd9ec9a… |
| 08-18 02:22:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd9ec9a… |
| 08-18 01:41:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa6c2bd… |
| 08-18 01:41:58 | Orderly-Pain 0x30ec…cebb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xa6c2bd… |
| 08-18 00:56:06 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x29cfd2… |
| 08-18 00:56:06 | Fluffy-Classmate 0x95c2…485b | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x29cfd2… |
| 08-18 00:52:55 | Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | No | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x8a3dfd… |
| 08-18 00:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x8a3dfd… |
| 08-18 00:50:57 | Bossy-Entirety 0xd7af…f22e | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xbf5081… |
| 08-18 00:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbf5081… |
| 08-18 00:50:57 | Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xe5dc3a… |
| 08-18 00:50:57 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe5dc3a… |
| 08-18 00:50:54 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0a1911… |
| 08-18 00:50:54 | Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | No | BUY | 4 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x0a1911… |
| 08-18 00:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x3be5…f7fe | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x04c2e9… |
| 08-18 00:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x363415… |
| 08-18 00:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x43b9…5db9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x04c2e9… |
| 08-18 00:50:52 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x363415… |
| 08-18 00:50:51 | Common-Nitrogen 0x68c2…1711 | No | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $12 | 0xdd130e… |
| 08-18 00:50:51 | (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | No | BUY | 19 | 84¢ | $16 | 0xdd130e… |
| 08-18 00:50:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdd130e… |
| 08-18 00:50:49 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 421 | 18¢ | $76 | 0x6d911f… |
| 08-18 00:50:49 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 18¢ | $27 | 0x6d911f… |
| 08-18 00:50:49 | Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | No | BUY | 1,000 | 82¢ | $824 | 0x6d911f… |
| 08-18 00:50:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x38b01c… |
| 08-18 00:50:49 | (anonymous) 0x4a81…12e1 | No | SELL | 37 | 82¢ | $30 | 0x6d911f… |
| 08-18 00:50:49 | (anonymous) 0x92c7…89f5 | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x38b01c… |
| 08-18 00:50:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 392 | 17¢ | $67 | 0x6d911f… |
| 08-15 08:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x1018…43b5 | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x6516b0… |
| 08-15 08:46:18 | Infamous-Risk 0xd501…1814 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x6516b0… |
| 08-15 08:46:16 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 134 | 18¢ | $24 | 0xf6eb0b… |
| 08-15 08:46:16 | Ample-Instance 0x9d84…1344 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 18¢ | $24 | 0xf6eb0b… |
| 08-15 08:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x1018…43b5 | No | BUY | 522 | 80¢ | $416 | 0xbda4d9… |
| 08-15 08:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbda4d9… |
| 08-15 08:46:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 20¢ | $38 | 0xbda4d9… |
| 08-15 08:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xa3f6…1326 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0xbda4d9… |
| 08-15 08:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | SELL | 93 | 79¢ | $73 | 0xbda4d9… |
| 08-15 08:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 20¢ | $27 | 0xbda4d9… |
| 08-15 05:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2ed50f… |
| 08-15 05:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x2ed50f… |
| 08-13 09:12:58 | (anonymous) 0x96fc…edc6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x60cb0a… |
| 08-13 09:12:58 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x60cb0a… |
| 08-12 13:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x2213…492c | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xbb41e3… |
| 08-12 13:25:07 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xbb41e3… |
| 08-12 13:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xbb41e3… |
| 08-12 13:25:07 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 1 | 81¢ | $0 | 0xbb41e3… |
| 08-11 12:19:52 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x78277d… |
| 08-11 12:19:52 | Scratchy-Forebear 0x856b…fd64 | No | BUY | 349 | 78¢ | $272 | 0x78277d… |
| 08-11 12:19:52 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | SELL | 365 | 78¢ | $284 | 0x78277d… |
| 08-11 12:19:33 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 4 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xee8c02… |
| 08-11 12:19:33 | Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | No | SELL | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xee8c02… |
| 08-11 12:19:33 | (anonymous) 0xac63…e038 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xee8c02… |
| 08-11 11:24:03 | (anonymous) 0xde9c…b1d6 | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xedf9fb… |
| 08-11 11:24:03 | Immaterial-Advantage 0xf85f…9800 | No | SELL | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xedf9fb… |
| 08-11 11:24:03 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0xedf9fb… |
| 08-11 07:01:13 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xdcd53a… |
| 08-11 07:01:13 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xdcd53a… |
| 08-10 02:23:49 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 151 | 78¢ | $118 | 0x189ddf… |
| 08-10 02:23:49 | Scratchy-Forebear 0x856b…fd64 | No | BUY | 151 | 78¢ | $118 | 0x189ddf… |
| 08-09 14:38:58 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x302de1… |
| 08-09 14:38:58 | Afraid-Cymbal 0xc6d2…395b | No | SELL | 16 | 79¢ | $13 | 0x302de1… |
| 08-09 07:06:19 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x00d96a… |
| 08-09 07:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x00d96a… |
| 08-09 07:06:19 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x00d96a… |
| 08-09 07:06:19 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x00d96a… |
| 08-09 07:06:19 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 66 | 78¢ | $52 | 0x00d96a… |
| 08-09 07:06:19 | Vengeful-Netsuke 0x5cd5…ac33 | No | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x00d96a… |
| 08-09 07:06:19 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x00d96a… |
| 08-08 10:10:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xcda958… |
| 08-08 10:10:51 | (anonymous) 0xa61b…83f5 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xcda958… |
| 08-08 10:10:48 | (anonymous) 0x4596…4b6c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74dbc6… |
| 08-08 10:10:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x74dbc6… |
| 08-07 23:42:30 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x5bf115… |
| 08-07 23:42:30 | Far-Off-College 0x84b0…5bc8 | No | BUY | 8 | 79¢ | $6 | 0x5bf115… |
| 08-07 21:30:30 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 22¢ | $12 | 0xa1d071… |
| 08-07 21:30:30 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xa1d071… |