Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
open
Total volume
$5,029
$27 in 24h
Trades
138
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$22,740
Latest YES mid
38¢
Latest NO mid
62¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-18 09:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+56.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $204
vs crowd: 44% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $443 | $175 | +$268 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $315 | $998 | $683 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $31 | $69 | $38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $232 | $54 | +$178 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $204 | — | +$204 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $399 | $795 | $396 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $50 | $48 |
| Median | 6 | $10 | $6 | +$4 |
| Below median | 6 | $56 | $204 | $149 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $75 | $87 | $12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $238 | $124 | +$114 |
| unranked | 14 | $38 | $31 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | +1,221 | $737 | $737 | 4 | 06-07 16:30 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +595 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 06-14 22:13 |
| Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | +580 | $204 | $204 | 3 | 06-14 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | +492 | $187 | $187 | 3 | 06-13 05:13 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +125 | $89 | $264 | 6 | 06-14 13:38 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +125 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-13 05:13 |
| Messy-String 0xb9a7…f50f | No | +100 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-14 13:37 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +75 | $37 | $211 | 6 | 06-14 22:13 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +27 | $8 | $19 | 9 | 06-14 13:38 |
| Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | No | +26 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 06-17 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8359…23d6 | No | +25 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-30 20:44 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $36 | 6 | 06-16 01:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +14 | $6 | $71 | 4 | 06-14 22:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-17 20:00 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-18 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6894…9a67 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 06:34 |
| White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 07:58 |
| Soggy-Collapse 0xc96e…8c59 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 21:32 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 06:17 |
| Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 17:04 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 14:32 |
| Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | +1 | $18 | $398 | 7 | 06-17 20:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 09:37:35 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x096d46… |
| 06-18 09:37:35 | Rigid-Wit 0x5df7…780d | No | SELL | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x096d46… |
| 06-18 09:37:35 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x096d46… |
| 06-17 20:02:32 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf3a129… |
| 06-17 20:02:32 | Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xf3a129… |
| 06-17 20:01:29 | Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | No | BUY | 8 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x58a7eb… |
| 06-17 20:01:29 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 30¢ | $3 | 0x58a7eb… |
| 06-17 20:00:28 | Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | No | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x283755… |
| 06-17 20:00:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x283755… |
| 06-16 01:29:36 | (anonymous) 0xd5ab…4fb3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x1c90be… |
| 06-16 01:29:36 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x1c90be… |
| 06-16 01:22:55 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xf3d68e… |
| 06-16 01:22:55 | (anonymous) 0xd5ab…4fb3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xf3d68e… |
| 06-14 22:13:58 | Plush-Decadence 0x825c…dfa0 | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x539854… |
| 06-14 22:13:58 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x539854… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 37¢ | $12 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | SELL | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 61 | 31¢ | $19 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Watchful-Fund 0xdc83…bcd2 | Yes | SELL | 334 | 32¢ | $108 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 43 | 62¢ | $27 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Pungent-Washbasin 0x4344…f90d | No | SELL | 40 | 71¢ | $29 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 22:13:49 | Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | No | SELL | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x302a5d… |
| 06-14 13:38:22 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x20a36a… |
| 06-14 13:38:22 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 13 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x20a36a… |
| 06-14 13:37:31 | Messy-String 0xb9a7…f50f | No | BUY | 98 | 58¢ | $57 | 0xac8649… |
| 06-14 13:37:31 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 98 | 58¢ | $57 | 0xac8649… |
| 06-14 13:37:24 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 32 | 59¢ | $19 | 0x12c376… |
| 06-14 13:37:24 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 32 | 59¢ | $19 | 0x12c376… |
| 06-14 13:37:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 68 | 59¢ | $40 | 0x300cd5… |
| 06-14 13:37:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 59¢ | $27 | 0x300cd5… |
| 06-14 13:37:19 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 113 | 59¢ | $67 | 0x300cd5… |
| 06-14 08:20:13 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x20f0fd… |
| 06-14 08:20:13 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x20f0fd… |
| 06-14 07:49:00 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 113 | 65¢ | $74 | 0xfd7379… |
| 06-14 07:49:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 35¢ | $35 | 0xfd7379… |
| 06-14 07:49:00 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 470 | 35¢ | $164 | 0xfd7379… |
| 06-14 07:49:00 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xfd7379… |
| 06-14 07:49:00 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 150 | 65¢ | $98 | 0xfd7379… |
| 06-14 07:49:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 65¢ | $65 | 0xfd7379… |
| 06-13 18:01:22 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x6ca418… |
| 06-13 18:01:22 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 35¢ | $9 | 0x6ca418… |
| 06-13 18:01:22 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 35¢ | $21 | 0x6ca418… |
| 06-13 14:32:06 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x658cd5… |
| 06-13 14:32:06 | Plush-Decadence 0x825c…dfa0 | No | SELL | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x658cd5… |
| 06-13 14:32:06 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x658cd5… |
| 06-13 14:32:06 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 1 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x658cd5… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Villainous-Pug 0x86dd…1af2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 259 | 30¢ | $78 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | No | SELL | 236 | 65¢ | $154 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | SELL | 1,967 | 33¢ | $640 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Pungent-Washbasin 0x4344…f90d | No | SELL | 414 | 71¢ | $294 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Unconscious-Airbag 0xff06…2f60 | No | SELL | 566 | 64¢ | $362 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 14:31:58 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 31¢ | $13 | 0x4304bb… |
| 06-13 08:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xcaa659… |
| 06-13 08:15:58 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 38¢ | $16 | 0xcaa659… |
| 06-13 08:15:58 | Recent-Icebreaker 0x3c91…9af7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xcaa659… |
| 06-13 05:14:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 36¢ | $23 | 0x8a6d6f… |
| 06-13 05:14:22 | Unconscious-Airbag 0xff06…2f60 | No | SELL | 63 | 64¢ | $40 | 0x8a6d6f… |
| 06-13 05:14:19 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 37¢ | $30 | 0x4d162d… |
| 06-13 05:14:19 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | No | SELL | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0x4d162d… |
| 06-13 05:13:10 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | No | SELL | 125 | 63¢ | $79 | 0x394fc9… |
| 06-13 05:13:10 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 125 | 63¢ | $79 | 0x394fc9… |
| 06-13 05:13:09 | Inferior-Implement 0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | SELL | 455 | 38¢ | $173 | 0xdf81da… |
| 06-13 05:13:09 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | BUY | 125 | 38¢ | $48 | 0xdf81da… |
| 06-13 05:13:09 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 17 | 62¢ | $11 | 0xdf81da… |
| 06-13 05:13:09 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 38¢ | $54 | 0xdf81da… |
| 06-13 05:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | BUY | 161 | 38¢ | $61 | 0xdf81da… |
| 06-13 05:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0xdf81da… |
| 06-12 09:23:31 | Messy-String 0xb9a7…f50f | No | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x1ad98c… |
| 06-12 09:23:31 | (anonymous) 0x7158…d2dc | No | SELL | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0x1ad98c… |
| 06-09 03:52:10 | (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x49169b… |
| 06-09 03:52:10 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x49169b… |
| 06-08 06:34:01 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x08face… |
| 06-08 06:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x6894…9a67 | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x08face… |
| 06-07 16:30:54 | Authentic-Bumper 0x4442…238c | No | SELL | 12 | 60¢ | $7 | 0xa1e876… |
| 06-07 16:30:54 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | BUY | 12 | 60¢ | $7 | 0xa1e876… |
| 06-07 15:16:30 | Authentic-Bumper 0x4442…238c | No | SELL | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xeebfd5… |
| 06-07 15:16:30 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xeebfd5… |
| 06-06 14:48:42 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | BUY | 716 | 62¢ | $444 | 0x38a7cb… |
| 06-06 14:48:42 | (anonymous) 0xc1f4…dd7c | Yes | BUY | 322 | 38¢ | $123 | 0x38a7cb… |
| 06-06 14:48:42 | Pungent-Washbasin 0x4344…f90d | No | SELL | 394 | 62¢ | $244 | 0x38a7cb… |
| 06-05 15:30:24 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | No | BUY | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0x0bcbb8… |
| 06-05 15:30:24 | (anonymous) 0xd3fc…d364 | No | SELL | 17 | 58¢ | $10 | 0x0bcbb8… |
| 06-05 07:39:24 | Fearful-Softdrink-Fishbone 0xce80…c5ef | No | SELL | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xff780c… |
| 06-05 07:39:24 | Wilted-Bump 0xe472…e7eb | No | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xff780c… |
| 06-05 07:38:39 | Elderly-Cupola 0x0d5e…5c24 | No | SELL | 6 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xd4338f… |
| 06-05 07:38:39 | (anonymous) 0xd3fc…d364 | No | BUY | 17 | 60¢ | $10 | 0xd4338f… |
| 06-05 07:38:39 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | No | SELL | 11 | 60¢ | $7 | 0xd4338f… |
| 06-02 21:39:22 | Idealistic-Supporter 0x79d6…d2e2 | No | SELL | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x7ecdb8… |
| 06-02 21:39:22 | Light-Mayonnaise 0x1543…baaf | Yes | SELL | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x7ecdb8… |
| 06-02 17:04:41 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xb92209… |
| 06-02 17:04:41 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xb92209… |
| 06-02 17:04:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x2ac4a7… |
| 06-02 17:04:34 | Fake-Inn 0x2783…8321 | No | SELL | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x2ac4a7… |
| 06-01 21:32:27 | Advanced-Petitioner 0x2e62…b22e | Yes | SELL | 25 | 49¢ | $12 | 0x2bc6b9… |