Realized P&L
+$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
-$374
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved
31
Trades
2,791
lifetime
Volume
$149.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$12.9K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 10:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
61% 61% +$1,008
Politics
32%
Crypto
7%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 88 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2,394 $1,090 50¢ $1.2K +$95 06-07 12:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1,276 $-957 84¢ $-1065 $-108 06-02 18:02
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No -1,412 $-703 69¢ $-974 $-272 06-01 04:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,515 $-749 62¢ $-932 $-183 05-30 18:04
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No -1,184 $-857 76¢ $-899 $-42 06-03 11:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,583 $761 55¢ $871 +$110 06-02 14:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,468 $745 55¢ $800 +$55 06-06 15:15
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +1,221 $737 60¢ $733 $-5 06-07 16:30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +975 $694 72¢ $702 +$8 06-04 18:29
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -728 $-604 87¢ $-635 $-31 06-02 20:33
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -1,294 $-591 47¢ $-608 $-17 06-04 02:09
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No -518 $-513 99¢ $-510 +$2 06-06 18:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,089 $399 18¢ $366 $-34 06-08 09:12
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No -367 $-359 99¢ $-362 $-3 05-29 14:48
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -528 $-322 68¢ $-359 $-37 06-01 23:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +556 $370 63¢ $350 $-20 06-01 04:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No -311 $-295 97¢ $-303 $-8 05-30 02:07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +474 $197 62¢ $292 +$95 06-02 05:59
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No -267 $-258 97¢ $-258 +$0 06-07 13:03
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +283 $228 83¢ $235 +$7 06-08 12:13
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? No +209 $185 96¢ $201 +$16 06-07 11:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -222 $-133 70¢ $-157 $-23 06-02 17:58
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +100 $79 84¢ $84 +$6 05-30 17:12
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -46 $-27 66¢ $-31 $-3 05-28 02:26
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? No -18 $-3 $-1 +$2 05-28 12:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +0 $-15 32¢ $0 +$15 06-04 01:26