Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?
open
Total volume
$408
Trades
25
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$874
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-03 07:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $134 | $137 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $30 | $6 | +$24 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $7 | $4 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $33 | $33 |
| Median | 3 | $15 | $2 | +$13 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $134 | $47 | +$88 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $60 | $60 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | Yes | +276 | $124 | $144 | 2 | 06-14 13:41 |
| Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | +91 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-01 22:11 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +84 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 06-18 21:12 |
| Both-Shoreline 0x8257…da02 | No | +57 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-29 15:45 |
| Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | +41 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-29 15:45 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +35 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 06-23 13:56 |
| Worthwhile-Safety 0x55a9…7a1d | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 01:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-21 19:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-19 15:32 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-03 07:45 |
| Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-03 07:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 07:45:29 | Back-Daddy 0x3287…a2b2 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x6b0e41… |
| 07-03 07:45:29 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x6b0e41… |
| 06-23 13:56:17 | Guilty-Prune 0xe36b…4b24 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xeb0423… |
| 06-23 13:56:17 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xeb0423… |
| 06-23 13:56:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xeb0423… |
| 06-21 19:57:25 | (anonymous) 0x3d0d…a6fe | No | SELL | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xd964d6… |
| 06-21 19:57:25 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0xd964d6… |
| 06-19 15:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xc6a115… |
| 06-19 15:32:35 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | SELL | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xc6a115… |
| 06-18 21:12:49 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 72 | 74¢ | $54 | 0x01cd9d… |
| 06-18 21:12:49 | Athletic-Sender 0xd056…f1be | No | SELL | 72 | 74¢ | $54 | 0x01cd9d… |
| 06-18 10:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x7cb925… |
| 06-18 10:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x3d0d…a6fe | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x7cb925… |
| 06-14 13:41:15 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 42¢ | $10 | 0x0a6f4f… |
| 06-14 13:41:15 | Simple-Exercise 0xa032…679e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 42¢ | $10 | 0x0a6f4f… |
| 06-13 12:31:51 | Plaintive-Ping 0xd44c…28c5 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0xdad94d… |
| 06-13 12:31:51 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xdad94d… |
| 06-11 01:21:24 | Worthwhile-Safety 0x55a9…7a1d | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xb3ecad… |
| 06-11 01:21:24 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 12 | 57¢ | $7 | 0xb3ecad… |
| 06-01 22:11:58 | Attentive-Context 0x2698…2941 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x7cc49f… |
| 06-01 22:11:58 | Playful-Collateral 0xc662…b919 | No | BUY | 91 | 51¢ | $47 | 0x7cc49f… |
| 06-01 22:11:58 | Raw-Steam 0x588c…1bf4 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 45¢ | $134 | 0x7cc49f… |
| 05-29 15:45:57 | Occasional-Persimmon 0x98dc…9949 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 47¢ | $19 | 0x31fe67… |
| 05-29 15:45:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 48¢ | $8 | 0x31fe67… |
| 05-29 15:45:57 | Both-Shoreline 0x8257…da02 | No | BUY | 57 | 53¢ | $30 | 0x31fe67… |