Simple-Exercise 0xa03201…a7679e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$219
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,284
lifetime
Volume
$90.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$165
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-30 17:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
55% — —
Crypto
23% — —
Other
20% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 574 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +84 $62 70¢ $58 $-4 06-30 08:56
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $-0 06-30 07:01
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-30 07:01
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +17 $16 94¢ $16 $-0 06-30 07:01
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes +47 $19 28¢ $13 $-6 06-25 05:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 14¢ $7 +$3 06-14 06:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -23 $-17 30¢ $-7 +$10 06-24 16:06
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +7 $5 68¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:02
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +7 $5 75¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -9 $-5 44¢ $-4 +$1 06-17 18:15
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +9 $5 36¢ $3 $-2 06-15 16:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +25 $30 10¢ $3 $-27 06-30 17:10
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 06-29 16:07
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +12 $2 17¢ $2 $-0 06-30 06:58
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +111 $152 0¢ $0 $-152 06-30 06:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -24 $-5 0¢ $-0 +$5 06-19 07:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -6 $47 0¢ $-0 $-47 06-29 10:13