Realized P&L
-$3.53K
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
71,593
Trades
270,449
lifetime
Volume
$625.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$56
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 10:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 300 days
Categories
Other
53% 35% -$2,997
Crypto
25% 42% -$692
Politics
10% 42% -$654
Sports
9% 44% +$758
Tech
1% 48% +$259
Pop-Culture
1% 23% -$203
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1809 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +22 $14 62¢ $14 $0 10-25 04:18
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 -$6 97¢ $-8 -$2 05-05 06:34
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +4 $2 94¢ $4 +$2 06-20 12:42
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 10-20 10:40
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? No +3 $11 96¢ $3 -$7 05-09 16:41
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +3 $2 86¢ $3 +$1 04-30 18:16
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +4 -$2 67¢ $2 +$4 10-17 02:30
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? No +3 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 06-17 08:47
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $0 55¢ $-2 -$2 06-25 08:57
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +2 $4 82¢ $2 -$2 08-24 06:06
Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes -68 -$5 3¢ $-2 +$3 07-02 14:42
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes +23 $1 7¢ $2 +$1 10-26 03:27
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +3 $4 38¢ $1 -$3 08-20 22:50
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes -68 $0 1¢ $-1 -$1 06-18 10:29
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +2 $0 42¢ $1 +$1 07-24 07:58
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +5 $3 18¢ $1 -$2 08-14 23:52
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 32¢ $1 $0 07-18 12:59
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No +1 $0 48¢ $0 +$0 08-21 15:47
Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -8 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 07-08 17:35
Will Michael Harris II win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award? Yes -10 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-28 10:55
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-14 08:50
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? Yes +20 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-27 10:40
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +5 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 06-22 07:25
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -6 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 05-10 15:40
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 09-14 15:30
will russia enter khatnie by december 31 2026 Yes +1 $2 22¢ $0 -$2 07-03 05:12
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 08-15 09:57
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -7 $9 2¢ $-0 -$9 05-19 17:04
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 7¢ $0 +$0 05-14 07:24
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 Yes +2 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-25 07:27