Realized P&L
-$123
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
50.6%
Resolved
994
Trades
172,675
lifetime
Volume
$330.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$536
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
68% 43% +$11
Sports
14% 38% $-79
Politics
13% 35% $-21
Crypto
4% 34% $-34
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 50% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1675 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch? No -147 $-59 48¢ $-71 $-12 06-19 11:50
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -69 $-35 54¢ $-38 $-3 06-17 16:43
Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +42 $33 82¢ $34 +$1 06-17 08:47
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -57 $-36 55¢ $-31 +$5 05-31 17:42
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -27 $-20 100¢ $-27 $-7 06-24 12:24
Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -32 $-19 81¢ $-26 $-6 06-17 09:08
Will JUUL relaunch Crème Brûlée flavor by 2027? Yes +55 $18 46¢ $25 +$7 06-19 00:34
AWS service disrupted by June 30? No -24 $-19 96¢ $-23 $-5 05-29 10:07
Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +22 $18 92¢ $20 +$2 06-15 18:46
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -26 $-21 76¢ $-20 +$1 05-28 10:37
Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -23 $-18 74¢ $-17 +$1 06-20 23:43
APYX FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +34 $17 47¢ $16 $-1 06-08 21:41
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? Yes -27 $-23 57¢ $-16 +$8 06-02 01:13
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Alcaraz -32 $-24 48¢ $-16 +$8 06-04 22:08
Club The Strongest vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5 Over -32 $-28 47¢ $-15 +$13 05-31 18:42
MagicBlock FDV above $60M one day after launch? No -27 $-10 54¢ $-15 $-5 06-29 16:05
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No -18 $-13 74¢ $-13 $-1 05-29 11:52
Will JUUL relaunch Cucumber flavor by 2027? Yes -27 $-4 50¢ $-13 $-9 05-28 02:07
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? Yes +21 $14 62¢ $13 $-1 06-05 10:42
Will Slingshot launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -20 $-13 53¢ $-11 +$2 06-22 14:49
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? No -13 $-9 72¢ $-9 $-0 05-27 20:15
Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -14 $-7 56¢ $-8 $-1 06-27 14:01
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 100¢ $-8 $-1 06-01 08:06
Valantis FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-7 76¢ $-8 $-1 06-27 18:32
Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -43 $-1 18¢ $-8 $-7 06-21 15:17
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2027? No -14 $-7 54¢ $-8 $-1 06-27 10:00
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? Yes -8 $-8 88¢ $-7 +$1 06-29 20:26
Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch? No +8 $6 84¢ $7 +$1 06-23 00:49
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? No -8 $-7 84¢ $-7 $-0 06-17 11:11
Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026? No -14 $-9 51¢ $-7 +$3 06-28 16:13