Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved
321
Trades
145,745
lifetime
Volume
$1.66M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.70K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-08 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
40% 50% $-74
Politics
36% 59% $-38
Sports
13% 54% +$54
Tech
7% 0% $-11
Crypto
4% 60% +$113
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 9717 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +114 $77 86¢ $98 +$22 07-08 20:06
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +117 $106 71¢ $83 $-23 07-08 03:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $74 93¢ $81 +$6 07-04 11:05
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? No +85 $75 88¢ $75 $-0 07-05 23:30
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -76 $-68 95¢ $-72 $-4 06-10 15:39
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +79 $65 78¢ $61 $-3 07-04 15:30
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -81 $-36 73¢ $-59 $-23 07-07 19:49
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +60 $58 97¢ $58 +$0 07-04 22:11
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -62 $-58 95¢ $-58 $-1 07-07 12:06
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -63 $-54 92¢ $-58 $-4 06-25 12:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +59 $56 98¢ $58 +$2 07-06 08:37
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -60 $-57 96¢ $-58 $-1 07-06 22:20
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -66 $-56 86¢ $-56 $-1 06-12 11:19
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -56 $-57 99¢ $-56 +$1 07-08 10:29
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -60 $-54 88¢ $-53 +$1 06-30 08:41
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +58 $53 92¢ $53 +$0 07-07 05:45
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +60 $56 86¢ $51 $-5 07-05 21:41
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +60 $51 85¢ $51 +$0 07-07 04:58
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +60 $36 84¢ $51 +$15 07-04 06:16
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -66 $-50 76¢ $-50 $-1 07-05 17:37
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +51 $50 97¢ $50 +$0 07-08 15:04
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +80 $67 62¢ $49 $-18 07-01 17:37
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +118 $24 41¢ $48 +$24 07-08 04:48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -51 $-40 94¢ $-48 $-8 06-15 11:53
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -60 $-49 76¢ $-45 +$3 06-01 11:02
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No -46 $-48 99¢ $-45 +$3 07-05 18:09
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +59 $39 76¢ $45 +$6 07-08 01:30
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? No +50 $47 90¢ $45 $-2 07-07 09:58
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +60 $45 74¢ $44 $-1 07-06 23:25
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +45 $44 97¢ $43 $-0 07-05 21:53