Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f49…dda43c
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
65.9%
Resolved
321
Trades
142,593
lifetime
Volume
$1.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-07 18:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
40% 50% $-74
Politics
36% 59% $-38
Sports
13% 54% +$54
Tech
6% 0% $-11
Crypto
4% 60% +$113
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 9717 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +197 $129 100¢ $196 +$68 06-25 12:59
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +117 $107 91¢ $107 $-0 07-07 16:42
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +114 $77 90¢ $103 +$26 07-06 04:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +87 $74 92¢ $80 +$6 07-04 11:05
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? No +85 $75 88¢ $75 $-0 07-05 23:30
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -76 $-68 95¢ $-72 $-5 06-10 15:39
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026? Yes -65 $-57 99¢ $-64 $-7 07-05 17:08
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +79 $65 76¢ $60 $-4 07-04 15:30
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No -62 $-58 96¢ $-59 $-1 07-07 12:06
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -81 $-36 72¢ $-59 $-23 07-07 19:49
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -63 $-54 93¢ $-58 $-5 06-25 12:55
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No +59 $56 98¢ $58 +$2 07-06 08:37
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? No -66 $-56 88¢ $-58 $-2 06-12 11:19
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -60 $-57 96¢ $-58 $-1 07-06 22:20
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -57 $-58 99¢ $-57 +$1 06-30 09:16
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +60 $58 94¢ $56 $-2 07-04 22:11
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -60 $-54 92¢ $-55 $-1 06-30 08:41
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +58 $53 92¢ $53 +$1 07-07 05:45
Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +53 $51 98¢ $51 +$0 07-03 23:30
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +60 $56 86¢ $51 $-5 07-05 21:41
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +60 $36 84¢ $51 +$15 07-04 06:16
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +60 $51 84¢ $50 $-1 07-07 04:58
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +80 $67 62¢ $50 $-17 07-01 17:37
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -66 $-50 76¢ $-50 $-0 07-05 17:37
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +118 $24 42¢ $49 +$25 07-07 23:10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -51 $-40 94¢ $-48 $-8 06-15 11:53
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +50 $47 93¢ $47 $-0 07-04 09:05
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -60 $-49 76¢ $-45 +$3 06-01 11:02
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No -46 $-48 98¢ $-45 +$3 07-05 18:09
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +46 $43 96¢ $44 +$1 07-07 09:42