Realized P&L
+$12.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$399
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
51,985
Trades
1,114,824
lifetime
Volume
$8.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$5.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 11-03 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
61% 54% +$68
Politics
24% 57% +$6,058
Sports
9% 59% +$4,743
Tech
4% 54% +$469
Crypto
2% 51% +$409
Pop-Culture
0% 49% +$280
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 10033 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +551 $313 56¢ $310 -$3 11-01 13:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +363 $293 82¢ $297 +$5 11-03 16:57
No one announced as next James Bond? No +334 $273 88¢ $294 +$22 11-03 21:15
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +361 $275 77¢ $279 +$4 11-03 21:40
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +270 $173 100¢ $270 +$97 11-01 13:00
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +323 $247 80¢ $260 +$13 11-02 21:59
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +592 $267 44¢ $260 -$7 11-02 16:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +300 $265 73¢ $220 -$44 11-03 17:24
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +251 $174 87¢ $219 +$45 11-01 00:57
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +306 $217 65¢ $198 -$20 11-02 14:30
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +353 $210 55¢ $192 -$17 10-30 00:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +201 $104 94¢ $190 +$86 11-03 15:26
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +189 $161 94¢ $177 +$16 11-03 20:34
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +292 $86 60¢ $175 +$89 11-03 20:01
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +204 $158 84¢ $172 +$13 11-02 02:20
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +353 $172 46¢ $161 -$11 10-31 07:08
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +174 $107 85¢ $149 +$42 10-31 01:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +161 $115 89¢ $143 +$28 11-03 21:10
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +175 $150 81¢ $141 -$9 11-01 14:04
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +352 $252 40¢ $140 -$112 11-03 20:05
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +238 $139 57¢ $136 -$3 11-03 19:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +148 $132 91¢ $134 +$2 11-03 04:20
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +168 $107 78¢ $130 +$23 11-03 18:52
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +136 $91 94¢ $128 +$37 10-30 20:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +150 $79 83¢ $125 +$45 11-03 00:13
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +167 $119 74¢ $123 +$4 11-03 17:04
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +161 $99 76¢ $122 +$23 11-03 02:17
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? No +188 $102 65¢ $122 +$20 11-01 14:18
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +229 $139 53¢ $121 -$18 11-03 16:48
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +127 $88 94¢ $119 +$30 10-31 23:37