Realized P&L
+$12.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.41K
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
53,171
Trades
1,131,462
lifetime
Volume
$8.97M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$7.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 11-04 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
61% 54% -$118
Politics
25% 57% +$6,253
Sports
8% 59% +$4,743
Tech
4% 54% +$468
Crypto
2% 51% +$409
Pop-Culture
0% 49% +$280
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 14882 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +344 $215 94¢ $323 +$108 11-04 23:37
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +551 $313 55¢ $306 -$7 11-01 13:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +363 $292 83¢ $303 +$10 11-04 11:11
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +353 $274 85¢ $300 +$26 11-04 07:50
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? Yes +323 $192 92¢ $296 +$104 11-04 18:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +299 $151 99¢ $296 +$145 11-04 07:58
No one announced as next James Bond? No +334 $276 82¢ $273 -$2 11-04 20:29
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +612 $277 45¢ $272 -$4 11-04 14:43
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +270 $173 100¢ $270 +$97 11-01 13:00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +326 $283 81¢ $264 -$20 11-04 12:04
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +272 $106 97¢ $263 +$157 11-04 18:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +341 $257 76¢ $259 +$2 11-04 22:56
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +252 $171 100¢ $252 +$82 11-04 04:25
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +314 $247 79¢ $247 +$1 11-04 17:19
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +406 $238 58¢ $238 -$1 11-04 17:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +231 $132 97¢ $224 +$92 11-04 20:43
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +253 $183 83¢ $209 +$26 11-04 15:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +212 $73 98¢ $208 +$135 11-04 04:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +328 $98 62¢ $205 +$107 11-04 21:17
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +205 $117 99¢ $203 +$86 11-04 01:07
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +211 $158 96¢ $201 +$44 11-04 18:42
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +382 $145 52¢ $199 +$54 11-04 08:55
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +407 $274 48¢ $195 -$79 11-04 21:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? No +184 $133 100¢ $184 +$51 11-04 02:12
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +180 $119 100¢ $180 +$60 11-04 15:51
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +180 $116 99¢ $178 +$62 11-04 05:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +174 $132 100¢ $173 +$42 11-04 02:16
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +415 $204 42¢ $172 -$32 11-04 06:44
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +183 $154 94¢ $172 +$17 11-04 12:10
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? Yes +173 $118 98¢ $169 +$51 11-04 22:51