Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$102
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$87
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 18:00
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
41%
Crypto
13%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No -50 $-42 86¢ $-43 $-0 05-05 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? No -30 $-29 97¢ $-29 $-0 05-05 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5? Yes -57 $-2 $-5 $-3 05-05 17:52
Will Waymo operate in 10 cities on June 30 2026? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-1 05-04 23:09
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of May 4 2026? Yes -30 $-7 10¢ $-3 +$4 05-05 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 5? Yes -9 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-05 16:57
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -7 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-05 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6? Yes -12 $-0 $-1 $-0 05-05 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 6? Yes -37 $-0 $-0 $-0 05-05 18:00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No -15 $-3 $-0 +$3 05-04 23:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5? No -16 $-13 $-0 +$13 05-05 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 5? Yes -6 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-05 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 5? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-05 08:25