Realized P&L
+$12.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.49K
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved
53,077
Trades
1,130,429
lifetime
Volume
$8.96M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$6.90K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 11-04 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 196 days
Categories
Other
61% 54% -$140
Politics
25% 57% +$6,287
Sports
8% 59% +$4,743
Tech
4% 54% +$468
Crypto
2% 51% +$409
Pop-Culture
0% 49% +$280
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 13824 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +551 $313 56¢ $310 -$2 11-01 13:08
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +353 $274 87¢ $307 +$33 11-04 07:50
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +324 $196 94¢ $305 +$109 11-04 18:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +363 $292 83¢ $303 +$10 11-04 11:11
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? Yes +323 $192 92¢ $296 +$104 11-04 18:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +299 $151 98¢ $294 +$143 11-04 07:58
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +270 $173 100¢ $270 +$97 11-01 13:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +612 $277 44¢ $267 -$9 11-04 14:43
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? Yes +326 $283 81¢ $264 -$19 11-04 12:04
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +272 $106 94¢ $256 +$150 11-04 18:14
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +252 $171 100¢ $252 +$82 11-04 04:25
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +314 $247 79¢ $247 +$1 11-04 17:19
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +406 $238 58¢ $238 -$1 11-04 17:29
No one announced as next James Bond? No +274 $225 86¢ $234 +$10 11-04 16:59
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +382 $145 61¢ $231 +$86 11-04 08:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +311 $234 74¢ $229 -$5 11-04 17:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +212 $73 98¢ $208 +$135 11-04 04:47
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +205 $117 100¢ $204 +$87 11-04 01:07
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +253 $183 80¢ $202 +$19 11-04 15:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +201 $103 98¢ $196 +$93 11-04 17:32
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? Yes +211 $158 92¢ $194 +$36 11-04 18:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +195 $135 96¢ $187 +$52 11-04 19:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? No +184 $133 100¢ $184 +$51 11-04 02:12
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +180 $119 100¢ $180 +$60 11-04 15:51
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +180 $116 100¢ $179 +$63 11-04 05:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +174 $132 100¢ $173 +$42 11-04 02:16
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +415 $204 42¢ $172 -$32 11-04 06:44
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +183 $154 94¢ $172 +$17 11-04 12:10
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +261 $173 66¢ $171 -$2 11-04 18:15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +306 $84 55¢ $169 +$84 11-02 19:01