Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$30,733
$282 in 24h
Trades
773
Unique wallets
272
Liquidity
$31,483
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-17 15:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+68.4¢
(top1%: 78% YES on $718
vs crowd: 10% YES on $20.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $340 | $5.0K | $4.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $1.1K | $2.3K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 63 | $315 | $4.5K | $4.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 154 | $196 | $6.2K | $6.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $562 | $156 | +$406 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $569 | $4.4K | $3.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $43 | $304 | $261 |
| Median | 41 | — | $680 | $680 |
| Below median | 22 | $114 | $984 | $870 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $32 | $241 | $210 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $139 | $338 | $200 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $87 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 162 | $449 | $9.7K | $9.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +7,853 | $560 | $564 | 21 | 06-29 01:51 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +2,838 | $354 | $354 | 25 | 08-16 01:55 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +2,464 | $2,299 | $2,299 | 3 | 06-02 11:27 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +1,294 | $1,019 | $1,019 | 2 | 07-27 05:34 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +1,012 | $127 | $127 | 11 | 08-13 10:37 |
| Imperfect-Sugar 0x364e…c657 | No | +703 | $629 | $629 | 3 | 08-02 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | +682 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-02 21:10 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +624 | $496 | $496 | 3 | 07-27 02:09 |
| United-Mover 0x309c…aee1 | No | +567 | $491 | $491 | 2 | 08-02 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3fa…06d7 | No | +544 | $497 | $497 | 1 | 06-25 01:02 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +500 | $437 | $437 | 1 | 07-27 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xea01…0abf | No | +500 | $437 | $437 | 1 | 08-11 18:37 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +445 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-05 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x86ef…6289 | No | +361 | $318 | $318 | 2 | 07-01 11:58 |
| Long-Plugin 0xe129…6278 | No | +350 | $304 | $304 | 1 | 08-09 01:06 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +340 | $299 | $446 | 17 | 07-28 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x12ca…82b5 | No | +312 | $274 | $274 | 1 | 07-02 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…2830 | No | +285 | $245 | $245 | 2 | 08-01 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4d1…3fcb | No | +273 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-02 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c38…e372 | No | +252 | $211 | $211 | 5 | 08-02 21:10 |
| Great-Someone 0x3506…5f25 | No | +232 | $200 | $216 | 3 | 08-15 23:13 |
| Hot-Bloomer 0xa88b…976c | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 3 | 06-29 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c1c…897e | No | +189 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 07-16 10:53 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +161 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +155 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 06-01 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | +150 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 07-06 02:08 |
| Phony-Constraint 0x80da…9bc6 | Yes | +139 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-09 20:35 |
| Rusty-Forte 0x1ea5…dc51 | No | +125 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-24 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xee4b…8b57 | No | +122 | $106 | $106 | 2 | 08-12 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2f2…e0df | No | +116 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-16 10:52 |
| Indelible-Trachoma 0xce81…a60c | No | +113 | $92 | $92 | 2 | 07-01 01:14 |
| 0x9e4977972cb8a95fdf2cf9bda269ebdb2dcaea35 0x40b6…92d5 | No | +113 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-27 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde3…2d97 | No | +112 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-05 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | +105 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +104 | $88 | $669 | 13 | 08-17 15:55 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +103 | $87 | $513 | 25 | 08-01 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xb068…42fe | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| Discrete-Rag 0xedc2…4052 | Yes | +65 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-01 01:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 15:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x2c9f…f8d7 | No | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x776af1… |
| 08-17 15:55:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 75 | 85¢ | $64 | 0x776af1… |
| 08-17 15:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x287a…4932 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x776af1… |
| 08-17 15:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x4326…8750 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x776af1… |
| 08-17 15:55:58 | Awful-Inheritance 0x4e57…f99f | No | SELL | 106 | 85¢ | $90 | 0x776af1… |
| 08-17 14:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x4326…8750 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x9020cf… |
| 08-17 14:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x8f91…028c | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x9020cf… |
| 08-17 14:29:51 | (anonymous) 0xfd30…aa73 | No | SELL | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x9020cf… |
| 08-17 11:55:39 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | SELL | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x33ff10… |
| 08-17 11:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xf2d3…ef48 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x33ff10… |
| 08-17 11:55:39 | (anonymous) 0xfd30…aa73 | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0x33ff10… |
| 08-16 01:55:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x441156… |
| 08-16 01:55:51 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x441156… |
| 08-16 01:55:51 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x441156… |
| 08-15 23:13:25 | Easy-Going-Level 0x3f1f…feae | Yes | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa63a0c… |
| 08-15 23:13:25 | Great-Someone 0x3506…5f25 | No | SELL | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xa63a0c… |
| 08-13 10:37:30 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xd3ab8a… |
| 08-13 10:37:30 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 41 | 88¢ | $36 | 0xd3ab8a… |
| 08-13 09:50:09 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xbc180b… |
| 08-13 09:50:09 | Clean-Therapy 0xb442…d6ee | No | BUY | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0xbc180b… |
| 08-13 07:58:09 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xe9d9d7… |
| 08-13 07:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x11bc…e9c6 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xe9d9d7… |
| 08-13 07:16:57 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x2403c9… |
| 08-13 07:16:57 | (anonymous) 0x8eb8…ad24 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x2403c9… |
| 08-13 07:08:45 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x0757b4… |
| 08-13 07:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x4766…8d26 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x0757b4… |
| 08-12 16:37:12 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x80dbf3… |
| 08-12 16:37:12 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x80dbf3… |
| 08-12 14:21:39 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | Yes | SELL | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0d2941… |
| 08-12 14:21:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x70bcec… |
| 08-12 14:21:39 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x70bcec… |
| 08-12 14:21:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x0d2941… |
| 08-12 05:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3f5593… |
| 08-12 05:28:31 | Leafy-Dragon 0x5006…48ca | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x3f5593… |
| 08-12 05:28:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x3f5593… |
| 08-12 05:28:31 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x3f5593… |
| 08-12 05:28:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 13¢ | $8 | 0x1545ff… |
| 08-12 05:28:28 | (anonymous) 0xee4b…8b57 | No | BUY | 64 | 87¢ | $56 | 0x1545ff… |
| 08-12 05:27:33 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 52 | 87¢ | $45 | 0xe73876… |
| 08-12 05:27:33 | (anonymous) 0xee4b…8b57 | No | BUY | 58 | 87¢ | $51 | 0xe73876… |
| 08-12 05:27:33 | Easy-Going-Level 0x3f1f…feae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe73876… |
| 08-11 18:37:40 | (anonymous) 0xea01…0abf | No | BUY | 500 | 87¢ | $437 | 0x35ca29… |
| 08-11 18:37:40 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 492 | 13¢ | $62 | 0x35ca29… |
| 08-11 18:37:40 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x35ca29… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x0db3…f2a5 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | Phony-Constraint 0x80da…9bc6 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 13¢ | $19 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x96f6…7ca7 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x1eae…c67f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | (anonymous) 0xf2d3…ef48 | No | BUY | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 20:35:03 | (anonymous) 0x9b13…1d02 | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0xf6981c… |
| 08-09 03:23:15 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xd27dc9… |
| 08-09 03:23:15 | Constant-Antler 0x9657…3fd8 | No | BUY | 43 | 87¢ | $38 | 0xd27dc9… |
| 08-09 01:06:45 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x139db9… |
| 08-09 01:06:45 | (anonymous) 0x4046…4aee | No | BUY | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x139db9… |
| 08-09 01:06:45 | (anonymous) 0x96f6…7ca7 | No | BUY | 4 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x139db9… |
| 08-09 01:06:45 | (anonymous) 0x1c81…3fc8 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x139db9… |
| 08-09 01:06:45 | (anonymous) 0xc1c8…6c03 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x139db9… |
| 08-09 01:06:43 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 380 | 13¢ | $49 | 0x101aa6… |
| 08-09 01:06:43 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x101aa6… |
| 08-09 01:06:43 | Long-Plugin 0xe129…6278 | No | BUY | 350 | 87¢ | $304 | 0x101aa6… |
| 08-04 14:01:35 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x037db9… |
| 08-04 14:01:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x037db9… |
| 08-04 14:01:35 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x037db9… |
| 08-03 23:31:06 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | SELL | 308 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x182571… |
| 08-03 23:31:06 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 308 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x182571… |
| 08-03 04:18:36 | (anonymous) 0x5f58…99b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xe01a3b… |
| 08-03 04:18:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xe01a3b… |
| 08-02 21:11:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6c8e27… |
| 08-02 21:11:00 | Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x6c8e27… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | Imperfect-Sugar 0x364e…c657 | No | BUY | 214 | 85¢ | $182 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | BUY | 682 | 15¢ | $100 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $25 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0xfc51…8136 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x2c38…e372 | No | BUY | 69 | 84¢ | $58 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | United-Mover 0x309c…aee1 | No | BUY | 180 | 86¢ | $155 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $25 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x3bd1…c0cb | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 21:10:47 | (anonymous) 0x31e3…eceb | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0xd7d2b9… |
| 08-02 11:57:15 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x3238cb… |
| 08-02 11:57:15 | Doting-Complement 0x0420…3a51 | No | BUY | 57 | 87¢ | $50 | 0x3238cb… |
| 08-02 10:19:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x574c70… |
| 08-02 10:19:48 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x574c70… |
| 08-02 10:19:47 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | BUY | 288 | 13¢ | $37 | 0x012a57… |
| 08-02 10:19:47 | Square-Ore 0x7d58…462d | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x012a57… |
| 08-02 10:19:47 | United-Mover 0x309c…aee1 | No | BUY | 387 | 87¢ | $336 | 0x012a57… |
| 08-02 10:19:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 87¢ | $16 | 0x012a57… |
| 08-02 10:19:47 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x012a57… |
| 08-01 12:57:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x7e1174… |
| 08-01 12:57:51 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x7e1174… |
| 08-01 12:57:32 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xaf63f3… |
| 08-01 12:57:32 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xaf63f3… |
| 08-01 12:57:11 | Genuine-Freedom 0x0096…de43 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xcfca9c… |
| 08-01 12:57:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xcfca9c… |
| 08-01 12:57:11 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xcfca9c… |
| 08-01 12:51:26 | (anonymous) 0x6cb1…0f6e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x51e99c… |