Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$17,681
$282 in 24h
Trades
425
Unique wallets
184
Liquidity
$31,483
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 12:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+79.4¢
(top1%: 88% YES on $636
vs crowd: 9% YES on $12.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $114 | $2.9K | $2.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $729 | $1.3K | $593 |
| 🐟 Fish | 39 | $210 | $2.9K | $2.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 104 | $55 | $4.1K | $4.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $562 | $74 | +$488 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $98 | $2.6K | $2.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $23 | $137 | $114 |
| Median | 34 | — | $608 | $608 |
| Below median | 12 | $32 | $674 | $642 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $28 | $230 | $202 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $92 | $182 | $90 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $41 | $279 | $238 |
| unranked | 103 | $232 | $6.5K | $6.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +7,853 | $560 | $564 | 21 | 06-29 01:51 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +2,464 | $2,299 | $2,299 | 3 | 06-02 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x622b…c6cb | No | +698 | $646 | $646 | 2 | 06-05 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3fa…06d7 | No | +544 | $497 | $497 | 1 | 06-25 01:02 |
| Imperfect-Sugar 0x364e…c657 | No | +489 | $447 | $447 | 2 | 06-28 13:13 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +482 | $58 | $58 | 6 | 07-04 04:36 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +445 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-05 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x86ef…6289 | No | +361 | $318 | $318 | 2 | 07-01 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x12ca…82b5 | No | +312 | $274 | $274 | 1 | 07-02 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4d1…3fcb | No | +273 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-02 07:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb24e…c0be | No | +241 | $197 | $197 | 1 | 07-05 13:13 |
| Hot-Bloomer 0xa88b…976c | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 3 | 06-29 01:51 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +161 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +155 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 06-01 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | +150 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 07-06 02:08 |
| Rusty-Forte 0x1ea5…dc51 | No | +125 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-24 04:52 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +124 | $104 | $104 | 2 | 07-05 03:58 |
| Indelible-Trachoma 0xce81…a60c | No | +113 | $92 | $92 | 2 | 07-01 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde3…2d97 | No | +112 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-05 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | +105 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 5 | 06-06 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb068…42fe | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ab5…3137 | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-05 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 6 | 06-07 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d2…860e | No | +102 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6b8…a923 | No | +101 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x95d8…11d6 | No | +101 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 06-05 16:04 |
| Bustling-Stock 0x8409…753d | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-25 01:02 |
| Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | +85 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 16:04 |
| Idle-Pickax 0x3d28…29e9 | No | +82 | $68 | $68 | 1 | 07-07 12:03 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +80 | $73 | $219 | 8 | 06-27 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x54da…d4dd | No | +80 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +79 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 06-12 10:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x0239…f39e | No | +73 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xc362…c7af | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x25da…1917 | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Discrete-Rag 0xedc2…4052 | Yes | +65 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-01 01:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e85…01fc | Yes | +42 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-14 09:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 12:11:20 | Petty-Makeup 0x7471…da14 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xcb6567… |
| 07-08 12:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xcb6567… |
| 07-07 20:07:10 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | SELL | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xc44332… |
| 07-07 20:07:10 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xc44332… |
| 07-07 12:03:53 | Idle-Pickax 0x3d28…29e9 | No | BUY | 82 | 84¢ | $68 | 0x3bc130… |
| 07-07 12:03:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 22 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x3bc130… |
| 07-07 12:03:53 | Few-Tshirt 0x5c12…3d74 | No | SELL | 60 | 84¢ | $50 | 0x3bc130… |
| 07-07 08:25:55 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x42b89c… |
| 07-07 08:25:55 | Flickering-Property 0x93a6…5daa | No | BUY | 18 | 84¢ | $15 | 0x42b89c… |
| 07-07 08:25:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x42b89c… |
| 07-06 22:47:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 16¢ | $15 | 0x9980b9… |
| 07-06 22:47:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0x9980b9… |
| 07-06 22:47:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 76 | 84¢ | $64 | 0x9980b9… |
| 07-06 02:08:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x4cc703… |
| 07-06 02:08:46 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x4cc703… |
| 07-06 02:08:44 | (anonymous) 0x3277…f5d6 | No | SELL | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xd98876… |
| 07-06 02:08:44 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xd98876… |
| 07-06 02:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x454b35… |
| 07-06 02:08:43 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | SELL | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x454b35… |
| 07-06 02:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | BUY | 150 | 83¢ | $124 | 0x454b35… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xb24e…c0be | No | BUY | 241 | 81¢ | $197 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 18¢ | $14 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 14 | 81¢ | $12 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 13:13:02 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x4e0a40… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Foolish-Clipper 0xa14d…fcec | No | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | SELL | 38 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | (anonymous) 0x0eaf…a1f3 | No | SELL | 464 | 81¢ | $377 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Few-Tshirt 0x5c12…3d74 | No | BUY | 60 | 83¢ | $50 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 45 | 83¢ | $38 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:58:19 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | SELL | 63 | 17¢ | $11 | 0x56afe6… |
| 07-05 03:05:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x3c87d6… |
| 07-05 03:05:55 | Lawful-Visitor 0x7f19…e9fa | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x3c87d6… |
| 07-05 01:59:37 | Extraneous-Confidence 0x7fcd…500a | No | SELL | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0xbb1a47… |
| 07-05 01:59:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 18 | 83¢ | $15 | 0xbb1a47… |
| 07-04 17:40:34 | Buttery-Meet 0x1fcb…f0e5 | No | SELL | 73 | 83¢ | $60 | 0x914801… |
| 07-04 17:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x914801… |
| 07-04 17:40:34 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | SELL | 19 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x914801… |
| 07-04 04:36:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xe594c8… |
| 07-04 04:36:41 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xe594c8… |
| 07-04 04:36:34 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcb284c… |
| 07-04 04:36:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xcb284c… |
| 07-04 04:05:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x041141… |
| 07-04 04:05:55 | Few-Tshirt 0x5c12…3d74 | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x041141… |
| 07-04 03:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x24f012… |
| 07-04 03:42:58 | Few-Tshirt 0x5c12…3d74 | No | SELL | 35 | 88¢ | $31 | 0x24f012… |
| 07-04 03:42:58 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | SELL | 60 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x24f012… |
| 07-03 14:30:19 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x865d30… |
| 07-03 14:30:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x865d30… |
| 07-03 12:14:08 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 136 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x44e1f7… |
| 07-03 12:14:08 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 136 | 12¢ | $16 | 0x44e1f7… |
| 07-03 11:11:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xed075e… |
| 07-03 11:11:38 | Envious-Library 0xf55e…0016 | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xed075e… |
| 07-02 07:05:35 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xa08dcf… |
| 07-02 07:05:35 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 233 | 88¢ | $205 | 0xa08dcf… |
| 07-02 07:05:35 | (anonymous) 0xe4d1…3fcb | No | BUY | 273 | 88¢ | $240 | 0xa08dcf… |
| 07-02 01:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x12ca…82b5 | No | BUY | 312 | 88¢ | $274 | 0x8b6c04… |
| 07-02 01:44:08 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 267 | 88¢ | $235 | 0x8b6c04… |
| 07-02 01:44:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x8b6c04… |
| 07-01 17:11:44 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xecd8c3… |
| 07-01 17:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xecd8c3… |
| 07-01 16:11:01 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x13fdba… |
| 07-01 16:11:01 | Few-Tshirt 0x5c12…3d74 | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x13fdba… |
| 07-01 16:11:01 | Swift-Surprise 0xadbc…7202 | No | SELL | 51 | 86¢ | $44 | 0x13fdba… |
| 07-01 11:58:47 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 237 | 12¢ | $28 | 0xacbda3… |
| 07-01 11:58:47 | (anonymous) 0x86ef…6289 | No | BUY | 237 | 88¢ | $209 | 0xacbda3… |
| 07-01 11:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x86ef…6289 | No | BUY | 124 | 88¢ | $109 | 0x48aab5… |
| 07-01 11:58:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x48aab5… |
| 07-01 11:58:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x48aab5… |
| 07-01 01:18:02 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0c9ffa… |
| 07-01 01:18:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x0c9ffa… |
| 07-01 01:18:02 | Serpentine-Merchant 0x3d70…e9b0 | No | SELL | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0x0c9ffa… |
| 07-01 01:18:02 | Reckless-Honeybee 0xaea7…f121 | No | BUY | 47 | 85¢ | $40 | 0x0c9ffa… |
| 07-01 01:14:38 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x3305a7… |
| 07-01 01:14:38 | Indelible-Trachoma 0xce81…a60c | No | BUY | 63 | 84¢ | $53 | 0x3305a7… |
| 07-01 01:14:34 | Indelible-Trachoma 0xce81…a60c | No | BUY | 50 | 77¢ | $38 | 0x76b23c… |
| 07-01 01:14:34 | Discrete-Rag 0xedc2…4052 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 23¢ | $12 | 0x76b23c… |
| 06-30 07:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x3a16…a0f8 | No | SELL | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0x9aa60e… |
| 06-30 07:59:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 19¢ | $13 | 0x9aa60e… |
| 06-30 07:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x9211…bbad | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x9aa60e… |
| 06-30 07:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x9aa60e… |
| 06-30 07:41:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x856b26… |
| 06-30 07:41:55 | (anonymous) 0x0eaf…a1f3 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x856b26… |
| 06-30 07:41:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 11¢ | $12 | 0x87873a… |
| 06-30 07:41:52 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x87873a… |
| 06-30 07:41:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 167 | 11¢ | $19 | 0x87873a… |
| 06-30 07:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x87873a… |
| 06-30 07:41:52 | (anonymous) 0x0eaf…a1f3 | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x87873a… |
| 06-30 06:43:05 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x2f4b5a… |
| 06-30 06:43:05 | (anonymous) 0x9211…bbad | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x2f4b5a… |
| 06-30 06:35:23 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 120 | 84¢ | $101 | 0x629a3f… |
| 06-30 06:35:23 | Colossal-Pirate 0x848f…612f | No | SELL | 120 | 84¢ | $101 | 0x629a3f… |
| 06-30 06:31:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x26f0c5… |