Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$26,827
$282 in 24h
Trades
631
Unique wallets
225
Liquidity
$31,483
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-28 20:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+69.2¢
(top1%: 78% YES on $718
vs crowd: 9% YES on $16.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $193 | $4.9K | $4.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $1.0K | $2.1K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 52 | $245 | $3.7K | $3.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 123 | $77 | $4.6K | $4.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $562 | $156 | +$406 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $300 | $3.9K | $3.6K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $39 | $393 | $354 |
| Median | 31 | — | $667 | $667 |
| Below median | 23 | $77 | $935 | $858 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $32 | $241 | $210 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $130 | $258 | $128 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $83 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| unranked | 129 | $315 | $7.6K | $7.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +7,853 | $560 | $564 | 21 | 06-29 01:51 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +2,464 | $2,299 | $2,299 | 3 | 06-02 11:27 |
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +2,040 | $254 | $254 | 22 | 07-26 04:00 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +1,294 | $1,019 | $1,019 | 2 | 07-27 05:34 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +624 | $496 | $496 | 3 | 07-27 02:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3fa…06d7 | No | +544 | $497 | $497 | 1 | 06-25 01:02 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +500 | $437 | $437 | 1 | 07-27 02:09 |
| Imperfect-Sugar 0x364e…c657 | No | +489 | $447 | $447 | 2 | 06-28 13:13 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +445 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-05 06:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x86ef…6289 | No | +361 | $318 | $318 | 2 | 07-01 11:58 |
| Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | +340 | $299 | $446 | 17 | 07-28 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x12ca…82b5 | No | +312 | $274 | $274 | 1 | 07-02 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4d1…3fcb | No | +273 | $240 | $240 | 1 | 07-02 07:05 |
| Great-Someone 0x3506…5f25 | No | +242 | $208 | $208 | 2 | 07-24 08:17 |
| Hot-Bloomer 0xa88b…976c | No | +200 | $180 | $180 | 3 | 06-29 01:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c1c…897e | No | +189 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 07-16 10:53 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +161 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +155 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 06-01 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa37f…5672 | No | +150 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 07-06 02:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc54…2830 | No | +140 | $121 | $121 | 1 | 07-15 00:56 |
| Rusty-Forte 0x1ea5…dc51 | No | +125 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 06-24 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2f2…e0df | No | +116 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-16 10:52 |
| Indelible-Trachoma 0xce81…a60c | No | +113 | $92 | $92 | 2 | 07-01 01:14 |
| 0x9e4977972cb8a95fdf2cf9bda269ebdb2dcaea35 0x40b6…92d5 | No | +113 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-27 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde3…2d97 | No | +112 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-05 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | +105 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +103 | $87 | $462 | 22 | 07-28 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ab5…3137 | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-05 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 5 | 06-06 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb068…42fe | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 6 | 06-07 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d2…860e | No | +102 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6b8…a923 | No | +101 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x95d8…11d6 | No | +101 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 06-05 16:04 |
| Discrete-Rag 0xedc2…4052 | Yes | +65 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 07-01 01:14 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +59 | $9 | $68 | 25 | 07-27 06:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 20:37:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 77 | 87¢ | $67 | 0xaff3e2… |
| 07-28 20:37:50 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 13¢ | $17 | 0xaff3e2… |
| 07-28 20:37:50 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xaff3e2… |
| 07-28 20:37:49 | Outlying-Wasabi 0xcc7c…1d18 | No | SELL | 39 | 87¢ | $34 | 0xdd4680… |
| 07-28 20:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x58b8…e4d3 | Yes | SELL | 317 | 13¢ | $42 | 0xdd4680… |
| 07-28 20:37:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 13¢ | $17 | 0xdd4680… |
| 07-28 20:37:49 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0xdd4680… |
| 07-28 20:37:49 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 13¢ | $12 | 0xdd4680… |
| 07-28 18:22:56 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0xa764b5… |
| 07-28 18:22:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 61 | 87¢ | $53 | 0xa764b5… |
| 07-28 18:22:56 | Outlying-Wasabi 0xcc7c…1d18 | No | SELL | 111 | 87¢ | $96 | 0xa764b5… |
| 07-28 14:46:37 | Outlying-Wasabi 0xcc7c…1d18 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $43 | 0x4bcdb4… |
| 07-28 14:46:37 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x4bcdb4… |
| 07-27 09:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x8249c3… |
| 07-27 09:36:19 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x8249c3… |
| 07-27 09:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf44d22… |
| 07-27 09:36:18 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf44d22… |
| 07-27 09:36:16 | Ambitious-Asparagus 0xa5c2…5b5f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x3bb12a… |
| 07-27 09:36:16 | (anonymous) 0xda00…61b4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x3bb12a… |
| 07-27 06:19:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 60 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x21f395… |
| 07-27 06:19:55 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 15¢ | $9 | 0x21f395… |
| 07-27 05:34:01 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb10ce4… |
| 07-27 05:34:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb10ce4… |
| 07-27 05:34:00 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 15 | 81¢ | $12 | 0x76ea9c… |
| 07-27 05:34:00 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x76ea9c… |
| 07-27 05:34:00 | Ambitious-Asparagus 0xa5c2…5b5f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x76ea9c… |
| 07-27 05:34:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x76ea9c… |
| 07-27 05:34:00 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 245 | 81¢ | $198 | 0x76ea9c… |
| 07-27 05:34:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 90 | 81¢ | $73 | 0x76ea9c… |
| 07-27 03:09:46 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x5aee6a… |
| 07-27 03:09:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 0 | 82¢ | $0 | 0x5aee6a… |
| 07-27 02:09:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $24 | 0x7b23a3… |
| 07-27 02:09:37 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 30 | 78¢ | $24 | 0x7b23a3… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 500 | 78¢ | $392 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | (anonymous) 0x622b…c6cb | No | SELL | 2,698 | 82¢ | $2,207 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 15 | 79¢ | $12 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 1,049 | 78¢ | $821 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | (anonymous) 0x4005…4cd5 | No | BUY | 70 | 82¢ | $57 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Direct-Binoculars 0x6e7c…8d1c | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Outlying-Wasabi 0xcc7c…1d18 | No | BUY | 200 | 86¢ | $172 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 500 | 87¢ | $437 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | (anonymous) 0x1f3b…fc02 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | (anonymous) 0x3277…f5d6 | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 02:09:36 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x36d3d7… |
| 07-27 01:05:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x21dbda… |
| 07-27 01:05:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 13 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x21dbda… |
| 07-27 01:05:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x32c1da… |
| 07-27 01:05:43 | 0x9e4977972cb8a95fdf2cf9bda269ebdb2dcaea35 0x40b6…92d5 | No | BUY | 113 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x32c1da… |
| 07-27 01:05:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x32c1da… |
| 07-26 05:20:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6e5aef… |
| 07-26 05:20:18 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6e5aef… |
| 07-26 04:00:12 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 12¢ | $11 | 0x30baed… |
| 07-26 04:00:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 88 | 88¢ | $77 | 0x30baed… |
| 07-26 03:59:43 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xbc08d4… |
| 07-26 03:59:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xbc08d4… |
| 07-26 03:59:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xbc08d4… |
| 07-26 03:59:43 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 240 | 12¢ | $28 | 0xbc08d4… |
| 07-26 03:59:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0xbc08d4… |
| 07-25 18:57:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x56493f… |
| 07-25 18:57:22 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x56493f… |
| 07-25 16:58:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $27 | 0x08fd42… |
| 07-25 16:58:43 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x08fd42… |
| 07-25 16:57:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x2de9f2… |
| 07-25 16:57:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x2de9f2… |
| 07-25 16:57:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xeaf324… |
| 07-25 16:57:49 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xeaf324… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | Well-Off-Brook 0x6eb2…a21b | No | SELL | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 41 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…246a | Yes | SELL | 271 | 13¢ | $34 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x1f3b…fc02 | No | SELL | 11 | 87¢ | $10 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | Direct-Binoculars 0x6e7c…8d1c | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-25 16:57:48 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x05bd11… |
| 07-24 08:17:49 | Sunny-Titanium 0x2f7c…c95d | No | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0xd90915… |
| 07-24 08:17:49 | Great-Someone 0x3506…5f25 | No | BUY | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0xd90915… |
| 07-21 19:38:07 | Great-Someone 0x3506…5f25 | No | BUY | 241 | 86¢ | $208 | 0x0c5be0… |
| 07-21 19:38:07 | (anonymous) 0xb24e…c0be | No | SELL | 241 | 86¢ | $208 | 0x0c5be0… |
| 07-20 13:25:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x3ec580… |
| 07-20 13:25:42 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x3ec580… |
| 07-20 13:25:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x150215… |
| 07-20 13:25:40 | Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | SELL | 85 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x150215… |
| 07-20 13:25:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x150215… |
| 07-20 13:25:40 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x150215… |
| 07-20 05:45:48 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xa28772… |
| 07-20 05:45:48 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xa28772… |
| 07-20 01:39:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x241574… |
| 07-20 01:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x241574… |
| 07-20 01:39:10 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 231 | 13¢ | $30 | 0x73e8ac… |
| 07-20 01:39:10 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x73e8ac… |
| 07-20 01:39:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 171 | 13¢ | $22 | 0x73e8ac… |
| 07-20 01:39:10 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x73e8ac… |
| 07-20 01:39:04 | Willing-Trait 0x65fe…911e | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x1e9e10… |