Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$8,964
$282 in 24h
Trades
185
Unique wallets
106
Liquidity
$31,483
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-09 09:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $183
vs crowd: 6% YES on $7.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $16 | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $227 | $797 | $570 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $194 | $187 | +$7 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 77 | $43 | $3.7K | $3.6K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $183 | — | +$183 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $30 | $2.4K | $2.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| Median | 12 | — | $121 | $121 |
| Below median | 12 | $12 | $655 | $643 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $31 | $9 | +$21 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 70 | $215 | $3.7K | $3.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | +2,938 | $182 | $184 | 10 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Scholarly-Spume 0x9e49…d3d8 | Yes | +2,613 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 06-02 11:27 |
| Adventurous-Linguist 0xc88e…f3e1 | No | +2,464 | $2,299 | $2,299 | 3 | 06-02 11:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x622b…c6cb | No | +698 | $646 | $646 | 2 | 06-05 06:21 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +445 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-05 06:21 |
| Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | +161 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| Distorted-Crook 0xf088…00b7 | No | +155 | $146 | $146 | 1 | 06-01 14:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xbde3…2d97 | No | +112 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 06-05 06:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | +105 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7ce…158b | No | +105 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb068…42fe | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ab5…3137 | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 06-05 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 5 | 06-06 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | +103 | $97 | $97 | 6 | 06-07 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2d2…860e | No | +102 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6b8…a923 | No | +101 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x95d8…11d6 | No | +101 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 06-05 16:04 |
| Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | +85 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-05 16:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x54da…d4dd | No | +80 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0239…f39e | No | +73 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-05 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | +72 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-03 06:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf69b…e3ab | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x25da…1917 | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xde07…a675 | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x3471…ae2f | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xc362…c7af | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8098…67b8 | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb42d…2a6b | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Fine-Motorcycle 0x4d52…7932 | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x44b1…3daa | No | +70 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x662f…6968 | No | +68 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x99cd…a5ee | No | +68 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Misguided-Larch 0xb58c…9a64 | No | +68 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4633…76a6 | No | +68 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Sad-Puzzle 0x0147…aa94 | No | +66 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf16…3bf7 | No | +65 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 06-08 03:28 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +63 | $4 | $24 | 8 | 06-05 06:21 |
| Discrete-Rag 0xedc2…4052 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-03 07:34 |
| Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 09:00 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $4 | 3 | 06-08 10:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 09:58:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x077476… |
| 06-09 09:58:21 | (anonymous) 0x7afe…16c6 | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x077476… |
| 06-08 16:35:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x632161… |
| 06-08 16:35:28 | (anonymous) 0xe28c…3476 | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x632161… |
| 06-08 10:13:28 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x35cfcd… |
| 06-08 10:13:28 | (anonymous) 0xeee7…930b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x35cfcd… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Frugal-Catastrophe 0x0e7b…4540 | No | BUY | 60 | 94¢ | $56 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x4633…76a6 | No | BUY | 68 | 94¢ | $64 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xc608…d0d3 | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x99cd…a5ee | No | BUY | 68 | 94¢ | $64 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x537e…b2b7 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Firsthand-Fratricide 0x5e2c…5dc1 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x4a93…b5ac | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x582a…95ee | No | BUY | 61 | 94¢ | $57 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x52da…78a5 | No | BUY | 63 | 94¢ | $59 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Immense-Corral 0x1698…cbf7 | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Exotic-Manacle 0x877b…0d41 | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x3471…ae2f | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Sad-Puzzle 0x0147…aa94 | No | BUY | 66 | 94¢ | $62 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x7c2b…334e | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x9ffb…3600 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Tedious-Pillar 0xd7ac…5fa8 | No | BUY | 37 | 94¢ | $35 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xb42d…2a6b | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Misguided-Larch 0xb58c…9a64 | No | BUY | 68 | 94¢ | $64 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xf69b…e3ab | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xbf16…3bf7 | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Long-Premise 0x40a5…a723 | No | BUY | 63 | 94¢ | $59 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xc362…c7af | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x2faa…08f6 | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x335b…cb9c | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xce7e…27cb | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | BUY | 75 | 94¢ | $71 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x662f…6968 | No | BUY | 68 | 94¢ | $64 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xb7ce…158b | No | BUY | 105 | 94¢ | $98 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xde07…a675 | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x44b1…3daa | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x8098…67b8 | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 2,414 | 6¢ | $150 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Mindless-Framework 0x1a47…bcce | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | Fine-Motorcycle 0x4d52…7932 | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x25da…1917 | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $66 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-08 03:28:19 | (anonymous) 0xd34c…af84 | No | BUY | 58 | 94¢ | $54 | 0x0c727c… |
| 06-07 16:47:30 | (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x223a4a… |
| 06-07 16:47:30 | Cuddly-Vignette 0x3c1d…72c5 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x223a4a… |
| 06-07 12:37:13 | Mountainous-Proposal 0xd69e…9ebb | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xebc5b6… |
| 06-07 12:37:13 | (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xebc5b6… |
| 06-07 07:12:46 | Truthful-Variant 0xc889…a7b7 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x5a1648… |
| 06-07 07:12:46 | (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x5a1648… |
| 06-07 07:12:46 | (anonymous) 0xe75e…49e9 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $7 | 0x5a1648… |
| 06-07 07:12:40 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfdb583… |
| 06-07 07:12:40 | Truthful-Variant 0xc889…a7b7 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xfdb583… |
| 06-07 03:09:24 | (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x849431… |
| 06-07 03:09:24 | (anonymous) 0xc461…be84 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x849431… |
| 06-07 02:53:45 | (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xf64942… |
| 06-07 02:53:45 | (anonymous) 0x029d…0160 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xf64942… |
| 06-07 02:51:48 | (anonymous) 0xb3de…dfff | No | SELL | 21 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x613e28… |
| 06-07 02:51:48 | (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x613e28… |
| 06-07 01:24:57 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xe65f78… |
| 06-07 01:24:57 | Knowledgeable-Den 0x8c60…4e80 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe65f78… |
| 06-06 15:23:12 | (anonymous) 0x1233…444a | No | SELL | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x28e5de… |
| 06-06 15:23:12 | (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x28e5de… |
| 06-06 14:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xd1c112… |
| 06-06 14:26:52 | (anonymous) 0x9b9e…747a | No | BUY | 36 | 94¢ | $34 | 0xd1c112… |
| 06-06 14:26:52 | Abandoned-Skeleton 0x433a…38e5 | Yes | BUY | 161 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xd1c112… |
| 06-06 14:26:52 | (anonymous) 0xb068…42fe | No | BUY | 103 | 94¢ | $97 | 0xd1c112… |
| 06-06 13:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x4785…14ad | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x9ad431… |
| 06-06 13:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x9ad431… |
| 06-06 13:39:04 | (anonymous) 0x4785…14ad | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x20f077… |
| 06-06 13:39:04 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x20f077… |
| 06-06 10:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | BUY | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xd6b82c… |
| 06-06 10:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x081d…3d86 | No | SELL | 15 | 94¢ | $14 | 0xd6b82c… |
| 06-05 17:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x249417… |
| 06-05 17:15:58 | Narrow-Nut 0xc08d…1e00 | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x249417… |
| 06-05 16:36:45 | (anonymous) 0x52b7…e5f6 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xdbc44a… |
| 06-05 16:36:45 | (anonymous) 0x1ab5…3137 | No | BUY | 69 | 94¢ | $64 | 0xdbc44a… |
| 06-05 16:36:45 | (anonymous) 0x072d…5863 | No | SELL | 118 | 94¢ | $111 | 0xdbc44a… |
| 06-05 16:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x95d8…11d6 | No | BUY | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0xe937d3… |
| 06-05 16:04:01 | (anonymous) 0x1ab5…3137 | No | BUY | 34 | 94¢ | $32 | 0xe937d3… |
| 06-05 16:04:01 | Sudden-Scallops 0xf29e…841d | Yes | BUY | 85 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xe937d3… |
| 06-05 09:32:28 | Eager-Malnutrition 0xa816…a586 | No | BUY | 65 | 94¢ | $61 | 0x58e2c7… |
| 06-05 09:32:28 | Damp-Title 0x43a6…8b32 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x58e2c7… |
| 06-05 09:00:22 | Aware-Carbohydrate 0x5f95…46c4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfa67fd… |
| 06-05 09:00:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xfa67fd… |
| 06-05 09:00:22 | (anonymous) 0x95d8…11d6 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0xfa67fd… |
| 06-05 06:21:57 | Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | BUY | 338 | 7¢ | $25 | 0xc28a1e… |
| 06-05 06:21:57 | (anonymous) 0x622b…c6cb | No | BUY | 338 | 93¢ | $313 | 0xc28a1e… |
| 06-05 06:21:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x8cf3f1… |
| 06-05 06:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x622b…c6cb | No | BUY | 360 | 92¢ | $333 | 0x8cf3f1… |
| 06-05 06:21:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x8cf3f1… |
| 06-05 06:21:04 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0x8cf3f1… |
| 06-05 06:15:37 | Imperfect-Sugar 0x364e…c657 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x825a7c… |
| 06-05 06:15:37 | (anonymous) 0xb7dd…e6c4 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x825a7c… |
| 06-05 06:14:09 | (anonymous) 0xb7dd…e6c4 | No | SELL | 97 | 91¢ | $88 | 0xbbe933… |
| 06-05 06:14:09 | Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xbbe933… |
| 06-05 06:14:09 | Purple-Hornet-Info 0x4765…7265 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xbbe933… |
| 06-05 06:14:09 | (anonymous) 0xbde3…2d97 | No | BUY | 112 | 91¢ | $102 | 0xbbe933… |
| 06-05 02:13:16 | Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | BUY | 103 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x73309f… |
| 06-05 02:13:16 | (anonymous) 0xb7dd…e6c4 | No | BUY | 103 | 91¢ | $93 | 0x73309f… |