Doting-Complement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$219

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

$646

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-25 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 82% -$92

Other

37% 62% -$126

Sports

1% 60% -$1

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	+403	$400	100¢	$403	+$3	10-14 22:27
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	+203	$200	100¢	$203	+$3	10-10 08:02
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+57	$50	72¢	$41	-$9	08-02 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	3	$1.3K	852	477	+375	No	+$8	05-08 00:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	2	$1.3K	669	669	+0	No	+$25	09-18 00:04
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	3	$1.3K	687	687	+0	No	-$70	09-21 09:36
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	3	$807	574	236	+337	No	+$1	03-17 05:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$774	777	0	+777	No	+$3	04-10 04:51
will wti reach 120 in july 2026	1	$680	683	0	+683	No	+$3	07-05 20:18
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$676	339	339	+0	No	+$0	02-20 00:47
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	2	$665	667	0	+667	No	+$2	06-09 02:35
will wti reach 150 in august 2026	1	$650	655	0	+655	No	+$5	08-02 11:58
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$599	400	200	+200	No	+$0	03-11 18:26
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	1	$430	431	0	+431	No	+$1	03-19 02:14
will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	1	$400	403	0	+403	open	—	10-14 22:27
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$375	301	75	+226	No	+$1	05-20 20:54
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	3	$250	239	12	+227	No	+$0	02-26 07:57
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$234	0	288	-288	No	-$55	03-12 20:17
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	1	$200	203	0	+203	open	—	10-10 08:02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-15 02:01
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$164	85	85	+0	open	—	10-25 08:42
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$0	02-23 07:12
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	02-20 00:52
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$0	05-15 02:05
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	08-02 11:57
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$50	12,807	0	+12,807	No	-$50	01-13 21:12
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	8	$49	15,201	0	+15,201	No	-$49	01-09 10:38
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-23 08:35
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$18	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$18	01-24 05:34
will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	1	$14	4,667	0	+4,667	No	-$14	02-02 21:39
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	1	$14	7,000	0	+7,000	No	-$14	01-26 20:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	09-18 00:02
mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04	1	$10	10	0	+10	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$0	09-05 04:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 08:42:12	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x96b2a6…
10-14 22:27:43	will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0xc7d531…
10-10 08:02:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x51c9ea…
09-21 09:36:41	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	SELL	344	88¢	$303	0x1c2259…
09-21 09:28:05	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	SELL	344	89¢	$307	0x15306e…
09-18 00:09:01	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?	No	BUY	687	99¢	$680	0xd8fdfd…
09-18 00:04:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	SELL	669	99¢	$665	0xc13a22…
09-18 00:02:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6ff069…
09-07 18:25:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9347e…
09-05 04:11:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in september 2026	No	BUY	669	96¢	$640	0xa1b4f9…
09-05 04:07:27	mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf9aa4…
08-02 11:58:27	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	655	99¢	$650	0x6bb99e…
08-02 11:57:15	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x3238cb…
07-23 08:35:28	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xff6ecd…
07-05 22:32:04	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x148d95…
07-05 22:31:59	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x893654…
07-05 20:18:43	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	683	100¢	$680	0x8b9c82…
06-29 18:01:37	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xc4c003…
06-14 01:23:12	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2f29de…
06-14 01:22:15	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x11bfce…
06-09 03:07:45	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x1a7db6…
06-09 02:39:00	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d770f…
06-09 02:38:33	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x48aa25…
06-09 02:35:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	602	100¢	$600	0x41e183…
05-20 20:56:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0xc678ab…
05-20 20:54:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x9aca3f…
05-15 02:05:43	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x87b9ff…
05-15 02:01:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x962110…
05-15 02:00:38	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd0d18b…
05-15 02:00:24	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc175ef…
05-15 02:00:19	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xaa9aa7…
05-15 02:00:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6e782d…
05-15 01:58:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcca6a2…
05-08 00:27:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	375	99¢	$370	0xcf289d…
05-08 00:26:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x566b93…
05-07 18:41:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	477	99¢	$473	0xde1cca…
05-01 18:50:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	477	98¢	$470	0xda8675…
05-01 18:49:34	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x3c19e5…
04-10 04:51:43	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	777	100¢	$774	0x1862b0…
03-23 02:42:43	nba tor phx 2026 03 22	Suns	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1c6a7…
03-19 02:14:01	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	431	100¢	$430	0x04bf64…
03-17 05:55:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xee80d2…
03-15 04:12:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xc3c64c…
03-12 20:17:11	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	288	81¢	$234	0xa656e5…
03-12 20:16:45	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	931	0¢	$2	0x7952a2…
03-11 18:26:35	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x940d89…
03-11 18:25:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x4e7eb9…
03-07 07:48:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x31921f…
03-01 17:17:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	337	100¢	$336	0x1caa5c…
02-26 07:57:12	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe7bb3c…
02-26 07:00:46	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd12e20…
02-23 07:12:28	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x54314e…
02-20 00:52:54	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0xbd69c0…
02-20 00:52:26	will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x6153be…
02-20 00:47:46	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	SELL	339	100¢	$338	0xf6ac93…
02-17 10:34:43	will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	No	BUY	339	100¢	$338	0x644475…
02-02 21:39:48	will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,667	0¢	$14	0xf38e84…
01-26 20:48:31	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$14	0xbdb36c…
01-24 05:34:54	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xde7302…
01-24 04:37:56	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x7b25f9…
01-23 19:56:40	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,450	0¢	$1	0x9de68c…
01-23 19:27:32	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,000	0¢	$7	0xca70e4…
01-13 21:12:34	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	480	0¢	$1	0xd4f489…
01-11 21:02:20	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,033	0¢	$26	0x0398e3…
01-11 09:11:42	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,625	0¢	$10	0x306852…
01-11 09:09:36	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,925	0¢	$8	0x59e01f…
01-09 10:38:08	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,118	0¢	$30	0xa1769f…
01-09 10:36:48	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,533	0¢	$5	0x3d79ba…
01-06 23:16:33	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$2	0xead7d6…
01-06 23:13:05	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	325	0¢	$1	0x8e50d1…
01-06 23:07:01	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	575	0¢	$2	0xdb59a4…
01-06 20:22:13	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xcce1ef…
01-06 20:19:07	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	511	1¢	$3	0x67631a…
01-06 19:52:03	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xb9bbd7…
01-06 19:44:15	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	234	0¢	$1	0xf56870…
01-06 19:39:03	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	525	0¢	$2	0x9df40c…
01-06 19:26:27	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	550	1¢	$3	0xa60633…