Realized P&L
+$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$578
Hit rate
84.0%
Resolved
64
Trades
240
lifetime
Volume
$33.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$139
Open exposure
$2.75K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-06 15:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 79% +$1,251
Sports
17% 67% +$20
Tech
13% 100% +$289
Other
7% 71% -$44
Politics
3% 62% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -701 -$698 97¢ $-681 +$16 08-18 17:04
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -336 -$266 97¢ $-327 -$61 07-14 04:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -332 -$319 98¢ $-325 -$6 08-17 15:57
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -927 -$601 31¢ $-287 +$314 07-14 04:56
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -161 -$148 95¢ $-153 -$5 08-17 15:57
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -217 -$166 62¢ $-134 +$32 07-15 04:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +120 $100 96¢ $116 +$16 10-06 15:20
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -116 -$108 96¢ $-112 -$4 08-17 15:58
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -113 -$98 98¢ $-111 -$13 08-17 15:56
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -107 -$101 98¢ $-105 -$5 08-17 15:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -108 -$103 95¢ $-102 +$1 08-17 15:56
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -106 -$90 73¢ $-77 +$12 08-17 15:55
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -106 -$87 71¢ $-75 +$11 08-17 15:54
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -354 -$223 15¢ $-51 +$172 08-17 15:53
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -111 -$73 45¢ $-50 +$23 08-17 15:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -278 $18 10¢ $-26 -$44 09-04 06:41
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No -247 -$134 6¢ $-16 +$117 08-17 15:55