Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$4,117
Trades
52
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$4,256
Latest YES mid
10¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-14 22:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $2.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $8 | $123 | $116 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $1 | $739 | $737 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $103 | $303 | $200 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | $142 | $139 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $28 | $28 |
| Median | 7 | $1 | $96 | $95 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $656 | $656 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $37 | $37 |
| unranked | 9 | $103 | $243 | $140 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | No | +1,320 | $1,247 | $1,247 | 1 | 05-29 07:30 |
| Weighty-Orator 0xeb0d…da87 | Yes | +885 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 06-09 12:27 |
| Yummy-Response 0xaeee…f065 | No | +714 | $656 | $656 | 1 | 06-09 12:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x769e…6f79 | No | +200 | $190 | $190 | 1 | 06-11 04:51 |
| Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | No | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 06-04 18:06 |
| Thirsty-Contrary 0xe49e…de35 | Yes | +84 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 04:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +76 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-14 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 6 | 06-11 23:02 |
| Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | +44 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-11 04:51 |
| United-Configuration 0x9ddd…53eb | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 23:02 |
| Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | +6 | $5 | $26 | 3 | 06-14 22:02 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-11 04:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 22:02:30 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x98cc60… |
| 06-14 22:02:30 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x98cc60… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | Purple-Hornet-Info 0x4765…7265 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x8fa1…1b5f | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x8824…30ba | Yes | SELL | 389 | 3¢ | $11 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 76 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-14 21:59:09 | (anonymous) 0x35f6…1e56 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xdb4a30… |
| 06-11 23:02:33 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x512325… |
| 06-11 23:02:33 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x512325… |
| 06-11 23:02:33 | United-Configuration 0x9ddd…53eb | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x512325… |
| 06-11 04:51:25 | Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9c9ec6… |
| 06-11 04:51:25 | (anonymous) 0x1b46…6576 | No | SELL | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0x9c9ec6… |
| 06-11 04:51:25 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x9c9ec6… |
| 06-11 04:51:25 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9c9ec6… |
| 06-11 04:51:25 | (anonymous) 0x769e…6f79 | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x9c9ec6… |
| 06-11 04:51:25 | (anonymous) 0xae75…dcb7 | No | SELL | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x9c9ec6… |
| 06-11 04:51:25 | (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x9c9ec6… |
| 06-09 12:27:01 | Yummy-Response 0xaeee…f065 | No | BUY | 714 | 92¢ | $656 | 0xf8b05f… |
| 06-09 12:27:01 | (anonymous) 0x1b46…6576 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xf8b05f… |
| 06-09 12:27:01 | (anonymous) 0x6815…e527 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xf8b05f… |
| 06-09 12:27:01 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xf8b05f… |
| 06-09 12:27:01 | Weighty-Orator 0xeb0d…da87 | Yes | BUY | 885 | 8¢ | $70 | 0xf8b05f… |
| 06-09 12:27:01 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 97 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xf8b05f… |
| 06-07 10:14:06 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc45f48… |
| 06-07 10:14:06 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc45f48… |
| 06-07 10:11:48 | Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa2ce31… |
| 06-07 10:11:48 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa2ce31… |
| 06-05 09:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x1b46…6576 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x6e7e83… |
| 06-05 09:10:33 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x6e7e83… |
| 06-05 09:10:33 | Major-Shift 0x4e46…7150 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x6e7e83… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 94¢ | $37 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | Purple-Hornet-Info 0x4765…7265 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | (anonymous) 0xae75…dcb7 | No | BUY | 56 | 94¢ | $53 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | No | BUY | 46 | 94¢ | $43 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | (anonymous) 0x8824…30ba | Yes | BUY | 389 | 6¢ | $25 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 18:06:57 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 163 | 7¢ | $11 | 0x283381… |
| 06-04 04:47:10 | Joyful-Glutamate 0xe9c7…147a | No | BUY | 54 | 94¢ | $51 | 0x6a362e… |
| 06-04 04:47:10 | (anonymous) 0x8351…5861 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x6a362e… |
| 06-04 04:47:10 | Thirsty-Contrary 0xe49e…de35 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x6a362e… |
| 06-04 04:47:10 | (anonymous) 0x4b1c…9c62 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x6a362e… |
| 05-29 07:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x3277…f5d6 | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x75bb11… |
| 05-29 07:30:51 | Gorgeous-Goat 0xf0f6…f699 | No | SELL | 1,045 | 95¢ | $990 | 0x75bb11… |
| 05-29 07:30:51 | Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | No | BUY | 1,320 | 94¢ | $1,247 | 0x75bb11… |
| 05-29 07:30:51 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 125 | 93¢ | $115 | 0x75bb11… |
| 05-29 07:30:51 | (anonymous) 0xf67c…2886 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x75bb11… |