Realized P&L
+$48
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
57
Trades
4,037
lifetime
Volume
$14.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$141
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 17:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
73% 50% $-6
Politics
13% 100% +$21
Crypto
11% 86% +$34
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +25 $19 86¢ $22 +$3 06-08 10:09
Aligned FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +25 $18 81¢ $20 +$3 06-08 09:41
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -15 $-15 91¢ $-14 +$1 06-02 09:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +10 $8 84¢ $8 $-0 06-04 13:52
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +10 $7 76¢ $8 +$0 06-04 03:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-5 82¢ $-6 $-2 05-29 18:11
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +10 $6 58¢ $6 $-0 05-28 01:21
Over $10M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 $-0 06-03 09:07
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-4 91¢ $-5 $-0 05-31 17:42
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +6 $4 72¢ $5 +$0 05-28 07:00
Yo FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -5 $-4 89¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 18:40
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 06-09 02:38
Aligned FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 06-08 09:41
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +5 $2 64¢ $3 +$1 06-02 13:31
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +5 $3 57¢ $3 +$0 05-30 18:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-2 90¢ $-2 +$0 06-01 18:38
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 06-03 19:14
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan +10 $0 22¢ $2 +$2 05-30 08:20
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +8 $1 26¢ $2 +$1 06-08 10:06
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 06-01 20:12
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? No +20 $2 $2 +$0 06-09 14:43
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 06-06 16:20
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No +37 $1 $2 +$1 06-06 12:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +2 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 05-28 17:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 06-03 09:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-03 10:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 06-03 09:23
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 05-28 20:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No -2 $-1 62¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 16:21
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +2 $1 63¢ $1 +$0 06-03 05:00