Realized P&L
+$2.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$55
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved
1,757
Trades
9,593
lifetime
Volume
$42.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$373
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 06:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Other
69% 57% +$1,629
Sports
11% 63% +$226
Crypto
8% 71% +$40
Politics
8% 73% +$286
Tech
4% 61% +$96
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +58 $54 96¢ $56 +$2 08-11 05:51
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +38 $35 94¢ $36 +$1 08-09 16:07
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +36 $11 74¢ $27 +$16 08-21 03:49
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +20 $16 100¢ $20 +$4 08-12 05:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765 No +20 $14 94¢ $19 +$4 08-12 05:02
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128 No +20 $14 90¢ $18 +$4 08-12 12:34
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +19 $14 92¢ $18 +$4 09-07 19:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15 $10 94¢ $14 +$4 09-02 06:30
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -14 -$11 93¢ $-13 -$2 07-26 16:43
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-12 -$1 08-24 20:41
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? No +14 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 06-04 03:54
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +15 $13 74¢ $11 -$2 09-05 19:57
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +12 $7 93¢ $11 +$4 08-11 05:52
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +56 $9 18¢ $10 +$1 07-01 10:08
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 07-21 06:18
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$4 08-17 19:02
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 08-22 06:24
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 $0 09-08 10:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $2 88¢ $8 +$6 07-04 11:13
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -8 -$4 79¢ $-7 -$3 07-04 11:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 09-05 04:44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +15 $2 36¢ $5 +$4 07-29 02:33
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -6 -$5 85¢ $-5 $0 08-26 03:08
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +6 $4 84¢ $5 +$1 06-20 19:35
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date No +5 $4 90¢ $5 +$1 08-12 12:23
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 07-04 11:15
Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 -$3 93¢ $-4 $0 04-30 12:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 07-13 16:03
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -8 -$3 44¢ $-4 -$1 08-24 19:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +10 $4 36¢ $4 +$0 08-06 05:40