Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$1,060
$48 in 24h
Trades
64
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$600
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-18 14:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+68.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3
vs crowd: 32% YES on $534)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $68 | $329 | $261 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $37 | $19 | +$18 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $39 | $16 | +$23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | $329 | $329 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Median | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Below median | 4 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $62 | — | +$62 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| unranked | 12 | $50 | $16 | +$34 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weary-Unit 0x8bc3…73d1 | No | +110 | $77 | $581 | 5 | 06-13 14:03 |
| Prize-Somebody 0xaed5…f666 | Yes | +80 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-31 12:02 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | +49 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-18 14:32 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +24 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-18 13:53 |
| Lazy-Area 0x1718…b4bf | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 12:01 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 12:33 |
| Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-16 18:49 |
| Even-Culvert 0xbfda…28c0 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 09:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 14:32:41 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xe96a94… |
| 06-18 14:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xe96a94… |
| 06-18 13:53:01 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 24 | 66¢ | $16 | 0xde945b… |
| 06-18 13:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 34¢ | $8 | 0xde945b… |
| 06-18 04:36:40 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8ec8b3… |
| 06-18 04:36:40 | Cloudy-Downfall 0x9b20…1a40 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8ec8b3… |
| 06-18 00:29:19 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x37553f… |
| 06-18 00:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x37553f… |
| 06-17 21:17:23 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x7db593… |
| 06-17 21:17:23 | Nippy-Bar 0x8533…7c76 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x7db593… |
| 06-17 21:17:07 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x55b49b… |
| 06-17 21:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x55b49b… |
| 06-17 21:17:07 | Nippy-Bar 0x8533…7c76 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x55b49b… |
| 06-17 12:00:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x726a52… |
| 06-17 12:00:46 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x726a52… |
| 06-17 12:00:43 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xb58f0a… |
| 06-17 12:00:43 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb58f0a… |
| 06-17 12:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x84e2e8… |
| 06-17 12:00:32 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x84e2e8… |
| 06-17 07:52:40 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd6c608… |
| 06-17 07:52:40 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd6c608… |
| 06-17 07:52:37 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xba2162… |
| 06-17 07:52:37 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xba2162… |
| 06-17 07:52:37 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0xba2162… |
| 06-16 21:11:40 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xe0ab12… |
| 06-16 21:11:40 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xe0ab12… |
| 06-16 18:49:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x754812… |
| 06-16 18:49:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x754812… |
| 06-16 18:49:08 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x0ef881… |
| 06-16 18:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xc798…6254 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x0ef881… |
| 06-16 18:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xc798…6254 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x672119… |
| 06-16 18:49:07 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x672119… |
| 06-16 06:23:31 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xa7e7ea… |
| 06-16 06:23:31 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 17¢ | $10 | 0xa7e7ea… |
| 06-13 14:03:00 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xa70eca… |
| 06-13 14:03:00 | Weary-Unit 0x8bc3…73d1 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xa70eca… |
| 06-07 22:50:57 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0x66910a… |
| 06-07 22:50:57 | Weary-Unit 0x8bc3…73d1 | No | SELL | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x66910a… |
| 06-05 09:45:58 | Practical-Spot 0xba41…5f4f | Yes | SELL | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x7ba435… |
| 06-05 09:45:58 | Kind-Posterior 0xf1fd…8e1a | No | SELL | 48 | 81¢ | $39 | 0x7ba435… |
| 06-05 09:45:58 | Cloudy-Downfall 0x9b20…1a40 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x7ba435… |
| 06-04 10:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x37c3…752a | No | SELL | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x297ff7… |
| 06-04 10:25:10 | Practical-Spot 0xba41…5f4f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x297ff7… |
| 06-04 09:43:04 | (anonymous) 0x37c3…752a | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x615eb6… |
| 06-04 09:43:04 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x615eb6… |
| 06-03 09:09:41 | Even-Culvert 0xbfda…28c0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc7f1f2… |
| 06-03 09:09:41 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc7f1f2… |
| 05-31 12:33:17 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x592b4e… |
| 05-31 12:33:17 | Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x592b4e… |
| 05-31 12:02:39 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xc71cae… |
| 05-31 12:02:39 | Weary-Unit 0x8bc3…73d1 | No | SELL | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xc71cae… |
| 05-31 12:02:18 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 20¢ | $40 | 0xfc6d2b… |
| 05-31 12:02:18 | Weary-Unit 0x8bc3…73d1 | No | SELL | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0xfc6d2b… |
| 05-31 12:02:13 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xa49a69… |
| 05-31 12:02:13 | Prize-Somebody 0xaed5…f666 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 20¢ | $16 | 0xa49a69… |
| 05-31 12:02:13 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 110 | 20¢ | $22 | 0xa49a69… |
| 05-31 12:01:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x9777e9… |
| 05-31 12:01:52 | Lazy-Area 0x1718…b4bf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x9777e9… |
| 05-31 12:01:52 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 21¢ | $8 | 0x9777e9… |
| 05-31 12:01:26 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 22¢ | $44 | 0xb593dd… |
| 05-31 12:01:26 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 150 | 22¢ | $33 | 0xb593dd… |
| 05-31 12:01:26 | Weary-Unit 0x8bc3…73d1 | No | BUY | 422 | 78¢ | $329 | 0xb593dd… |
| 05-31 12:01:26 | Cloudy-Downfall 0x9b20…1a40 | No | SELL | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0xb593dd… |
| 05-31 12:01:26 | Practical-Spot 0xba41…5f4f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 22¢ | $11 | 0xb593dd… |