Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$2,379
$48 in 24h
Trades
134
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$600
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-30 04:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+79.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3
vs crowd: 20% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $92 | $8 | +$84 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $64 | $709 | $646 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $87 | $396 | $309 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $43 | $16 | +$27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $5 | $401 | $395 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $27 | $27 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $37 | $37 |
| Below median | 11 | $74 | $139 | $64 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $18 | $185 | $167 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $62 | — | +$62 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $31 | — | +$31 |
| unranked | 23 | $92 | $341 | $249 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charming-Clarinet 0x8004…cd61 | No | +310 | $246 | $246 | 6 | 07-16 18:36 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +245 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-15 02:30 |
| Weary-Unit 0x8bc3…73d1 | No | +110 | $77 | $581 | 5 | 06-13 14:03 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +97 | $58 | $312 | 3 | 06-28 21:49 |
| Prize-Somebody 0xaed5…f666 | Yes | +80 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-31 12:02 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +79 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-27 11:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +70 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-23 19:53 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | +49 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-18 14:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 07-15 02:31 |
| Rotten-Empowerment 0x9362…d4a4 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 19:53 |
| Lazy-Area 0x1718…b4bf | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 12:01 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-08 22:43 |
| Quizzical-Hire 0x4337…8882 | Yes | +19 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 12:33 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 22:43 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +4 | $2 | $14 | 3 | 07-30 04:13 |
| Even-Culvert 0xbfda…28c0 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-03 09:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 04:13:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x2f8824… |
| 07-30 04:13:32 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x2f8824… |
| 07-30 03:34:02 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb85491… |
| 07-30 03:34:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xb85491… |
| 07-16 18:36:34 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | No | SELL | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0xa5f8a2… |
| 07-16 18:36:34 | Charming-Clarinet 0x8004…cd61 | No | BUY | 12 | 79¢ | $10 | 0xa5f8a2… |
| 07-16 04:39:01 | Charming-Clarinet 0x8004…cd61 | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x1558ca… |
| 07-16 04:39:01 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x1558ca… |
| 07-15 14:43:19 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 72 | 79¢ | $57 | 0xb97a23… |
| 07-15 14:43:19 | Charming-Clarinet 0x8004…cd61 | No | BUY | 72 | 79¢ | $57 | 0xb97a23… |
| 07-15 14:34:58 | Charming-Clarinet 0x8004…cd61 | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xf678d3… |
| 07-15 14:34:58 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xf678d3… |
| 07-15 02:31:25 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xf84f5f… |
| 07-15 02:31:25 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0xf84f5f… |
| 07-15 02:31:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0xf84f5f… |
| 07-15 02:31:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xf84f5f… |
| 07-15 02:31:22 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x52ed3f… |
| 07-15 02:31:22 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x52ed3f… |
| 07-15 02:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x016145… |
| 07-15 02:30:10 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | BUY | 55 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x016145… |
| 07-15 02:30:10 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x016145… |
| 07-15 02:30:10 | Virtual-Persimmon-Tights 0xa2db…a60d | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x016145… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-15 02:28:05 | Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | BUY | 190 | 12¢ | $23 | 0x6b7a37… |
| 07-13 17:38:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa922fd… |
| 07-13 17:38:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xa922fd… |
| 07-13 17:38:52 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0xa922fd… |
| 07-11 12:59:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9d00ea… |
| 07-11 12:59:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9d00ea… |
| 07-08 22:43:56 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x18d732… |
| 07-08 22:43:56 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x18d732… |
| 07-08 22:43:56 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x6977e2… |
| 07-08 22:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x18d732… |
| 07-08 22:43:56 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x6977e2… |
| 06-28 21:49:43 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 97 | 80¢ | $78 | 0x61fecf… |
| 06-28 21:49:43 | Charming-Clarinet 0x8004…cd61 | No | BUY | 97 | 80¢ | $78 | 0x61fecf… |
| 06-27 11:46:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x0f44f4… |
| 06-27 11:46:13 | (anonymous) 0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0f44f4… |
| 06-27 11:46:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x0f44f4… |
| 06-23 19:55:02 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x9dc446… |
| 06-23 19:55:02 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 61 | 80¢ | $49 | 0x9dc446… |
| 06-23 19:55:02 | (anonymous) 0x83fa…d3fb | Yes | SELL | 21 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x9dc446… |
| 06-23 19:53:10 | Substantial-Slipper 0xf48c…8ec6 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xfe3d0f… |
| 06-23 19:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x83fa…d3fb | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xfe3d0f… |
| 06-23 19:53:07 | (anonymous) 0x1585…025a | Yes | SELL | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xe8b035… |
| 06-23 19:53:07 | Substantial-Slipper 0xf48c…8ec6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xe8b035… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | Rotten-Empowerment 0x9362…d4a4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 256 | 72¢ | $185 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 27¢ | $19 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | (anonymous) 0x1585…025a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | (anonymous) 0x0bef…3b06 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 27¢ | $19 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-23 19:53:02 | Grimy-Twist 0xcc2c…0a2c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x756c0b… |
| 06-22 18:20:20 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x3cce56… |
| 06-22 18:20:20 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x3cce56… |
| 06-21 00:30:38 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x8402c4… |
| 06-21 00:30:38 | (anonymous) 0x734b…2a2c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8402c4… |
| 06-21 00:30:38 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 2 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x8402c4… |
| 06-21 00:30:38 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 24 | 69¢ | $16 | 0x8402c4… |
| 06-20 15:19:05 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 14 | 70¢ | $10 | 0xb428f1… |
| 06-20 15:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x734b…2a2c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xb428f1… |
| 06-19 14:57:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xfe7f56… |
| 06-19 14:57:41 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | BUY | 14 | 79¢ | $11 | 0xfe7f56… |
| 06-18 14:32:41 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xe96a94… |
| 06-18 14:32:41 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xe96a94… |
| 06-18 13:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 34¢ | $8 | 0xde945b… |
| 06-18 13:53:01 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 24 | 66¢ | $16 | 0xde945b… |
| 06-18 04:36:40 | Cloudy-Downfall 0x9b20…1a40 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8ec8b3… |
| 06-18 04:36:40 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8ec8b3… |
| 06-18 00:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x37553f… |
| 06-18 00:29:19 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x37553f… |
| 06-17 21:17:23 | Nippy-Bar 0x8533…7c76 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x7db593… |
| 06-17 21:17:23 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x7db593… |
| 06-17 21:17:07 | Nippy-Bar 0x8533…7c76 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x55b49b… |
| 06-17 21:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x55b49b… |
| 06-17 21:17:07 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x55b49b… |
| 06-17 12:00:46 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x726a52… |
| 06-17 12:00:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x726a52… |
| 06-17 12:00:43 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xb58f0a… |
| 06-17 12:00:43 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb58f0a… |
| 06-17 12:00:32 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x84e2e8… |
| 06-17 12:00:32 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x84e2e8… |
| 06-17 07:52:40 | (anonymous) 0x608f…9065 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd6c608… |
| 06-17 07:52:40 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd6c608… |
| 06-17 07:52:37 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0xba2162… |
| 06-17 07:52:37 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xba2162… |
| 06-17 07:52:37 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xba2162… |
| 06-16 21:11:40 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xe0ab12… |
| 06-16 21:11:40 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xe0ab12… |
| 06-16 18:49:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x754812… |
| 06-16 18:49:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x754812… |
| 06-16 18:49:08 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x0ef881… |
| 06-16 18:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xc798…6254 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x0ef881… |