Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

9.8%

Resolved

660

Trades

2,447

lifetime

Volume

$40.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$140

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-24 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

62% 6% -$877

Politics

24% 1% -$344

Tech

6% 3% -$93

Sports

4% 0% -$16

Crypto

3% 18% -$8

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+50	$24	79¢	$40	+$16	08-01 17:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	+50	$27	57¢	$29	+$2	08-08 04:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Yes	+50	$27	57¢	$29	+$2	08-08 04:43
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$18	90¢	$18	+$0	09-22 11:11
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$17	73¢	$15	-$2	09-22 17:58
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	27¢	$5	+$3	10-08 15:57
Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	No	+20	$6	16¢	$3	-$2	09-03 12:34
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	10¢	$2	+$0	09-29 22:30
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	+20	$7	0¢	$0	-$7	08-26 18:55
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	12¢	$0	+$0	09-18 17:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	5	$566	600	200	+400	No	+$2	01-28 08:35
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	16	$494	319	319	+0	No	-$16	07-13 01:26
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	2	$386	195	195	+0	No	+$1	06-16 17:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	11	$368	350	350	+0	Yes	-$3	08-02 02:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	12	$366	350	350	+0	open	—	08-04 15:06
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	8	$354	200	200	+0	No	+$0	08-07 06:22
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	9	$351	200	200	+0	open	—	08-07 06:57
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$349	350	350	+0	No	-$17	07-27 02:45
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	14	$342	300	300	+0	open	—	07-30 05:00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$299	300	300	+0	No	-$2	07-10 15:42
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$275	250	250	+0	No	-$1	07-13 14:56
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	14	$263	270	270	+0	open	—	08-07 02:19
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	11	$262	250	250	+0	No	-$2	07-24 02:06
will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	4	$261	150	150	+0	No	+$0	07-28 10:24
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	10	$253	350	350	+0	Yes	-$8	08-01 03:11
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	7	$242	150	150	+0	No	-$2	07-31 01:56
israel closes its airspace by august 15	7	$232	150	150	+0	No	-$2	08-05 15:59
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	1	$212	212	0	+212	No	+$0	02-13 02:44
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?	8	$198	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	07-30 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 01:50 UTC	7	$198	400	0	+400	Down	+$2	02-12 01:50
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	8	$196	200	200	+0	Yes	-$6	07-31 19:15
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	8	$194	200	200	+0	Yes	-$7	07-11 04:12
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$194	194	0	+194	No	+$0	05-06 04:41
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 40 59	1	$193	193	0	+193	No	+$0	02-28 12:42
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	12	$191	257	257	+0	No	-$11	07-13 01:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	8	$188	200	200	+0	open	—	08-08 03:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	4	$182	100	100	-0	No	$0	08-06 05:59
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	6	$182	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	07-04 01:22
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	7	$180	150	150	+0	No	-$6	07-26 21:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$178	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	07-02 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:05:35	Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x5c09f5…
10-24 16:05:35	Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x10eae7…
10-08 15:57:05	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xe3e683…
10-08 15:54:57	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x178fd6…
10-04 22:05:19	Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x807def…
10-04 21:27:10	Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x17bd35…
10-04 17:13:23	Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x41c64f…
09-29 22:30:14	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3ea245…
09-25 21:37:39	Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x48204c…
09-22 20:36:41	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x861335…
09-22 17:58:54	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfaa25a…
09-22 11:11:06	Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x937fb8…
09-22 09:11:48	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xe99804…
09-22 09:11:48	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x80202d…
09-19 13:20:29	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x5ae9fe…
09-19 13:20:24	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x21d2de…
09-18 17:55:00	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xb5d91a…
09-18 06:13:33	Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x6c2da6…
09-15 21:40:57	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x3a1889…
09-15 08:44:40	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xc8c171…
09-15 08:44:37	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x11c703…
09-15 03:18:39	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0xf7e243…
09-15 02:14:31	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x28ea1c…
09-12 22:07:55	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xae2d10…
09-12 22:07:52	Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x663428…
09-12 08:12:51	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x07df70…
09-11 10:30:30	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x4982ee…
09-11 09:44:15	Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x04b07c…
09-09 17:28:16	Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x512d8f…
09-09 08:03:13	Will Dplus Challengers win LCK CL 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd19b6d…
09-09 00:18:27	Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x77a4ce…
09-05 22:24:52	Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x47ef68…
09-04 01:24:15	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x069b00…
09-03 12:34:39	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xfce62a…
09-02 16:51:15	Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf56479…
09-02 16:14:09	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xfb9fa7…
09-02 16:14:09	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x1b0a7f…
09-02 16:14:07	US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x36026d…
09-02 07:06:48	Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x3d5aa5…
09-02 06:36:39	Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x113314…
08-31 21:02:18	Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x3e63c3…
08-30 00:20:49	Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd17bdf…
08-29 13:16:25	Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0e0aec…
08-29 06:48:00	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe848cb…
08-29 05:03:42	Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x0a025b…
08-29 04:47:30	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x2f6169…
08-29 03:40:49	Will Renan win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x58e26b…
08-28 23:30:39	Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8853d2…
08-27 04:34:22	SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xdb9396…
08-26 18:55:01	Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x2b209b…
08-26 10:00:12	Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x766176…
08-25 22:41:34	Will Simone Tebet win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x35df1b…
08-25 19:50:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x525443…
08-25 19:50:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x2df7ec…
08-25 13:56:31	Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x90c8d5…
08-24 17:30:39	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xce930b…
08-23 13:17:48	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0d4bca…
08-23 10:27:52	Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x760a88…
08-23 09:05:06	Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc83594…
08-21 10:46:13	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x28ccc7…
08-21 00:11:03	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x749bbb…
08-20 23:07:40	Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x0155f9…
08-20 18:26:03	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xdccd43…
08-20 18:07:10	Will the Republican Party win the CA-16 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8a8adf…
08-20 16:32:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xce5782…
08-20 16:32:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0xbfecf2…
08-20 16:32:31	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x0fa7b2…
08-20 14:49:16	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc7f91d…
08-20 07:10:01	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x203d96…
08-20 07:09:54	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x90f8f1…
08-19 22:18:09	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x5055ac…
08-19 14:38:36	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x97ea11…
08-19 14:38:36	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0x77fe69…
08-19 14:38:33	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x36dff1…
08-19 12:31:01	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9b52d3…
08-19 08:05:51	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf3187b…
08-19 08:05:49	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x199f5a…
08-19 03:15:58	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd34818…
08-19 03:15:51	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8b3908…
08-19 03:15:45	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x8b307d…
08-19 03:15:37	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xc700dc…
08-19 01:48:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x574518…
08-19 00:43:57	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xf7535b…
08-18 20:18:55	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x6c5c62…
08-18 18:47:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by august 31 20260810131538350	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf10983…
08-18 14:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xdf8172…
08-18 13:25:12	does a card sell for more than logans record 16492000 by the end of 2026 20260812144132445	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x16e860…
08-18 13:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 19?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x611e38…
08-18 10:41:15	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by august 31 20260810131538350	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x823262…
08-18 03:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x384ae5…
08-18 03:55:19	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xbd322d…
08-18 03:55:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x1fbc3f…
08-18 03:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x96330c…
08-18 00:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x5bf9ca…
08-17 23:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x750c13…
08-17 21:57:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xd34d0a…
08-17 18:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x68389b…
08-17 17:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 19?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xaa2a84…
08-17 16:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x51113a…
08-17 16:18:31	Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xf147bd…