Weary-Unit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.36K

Unrealized P&L

+$841

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

252

Trades

3,034

lifetime

Volume

$423.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$4.88K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 54% -$5,766

Other

43% 67% +$3,155

Sports

1% 78% +$122

Politics

1% 100% +$127

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	-1,227	-$2,017	97¢	$-1195	+$822	10-08 13:51
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No	-933	-$793	98¢	$-913	-$120	05-15 06:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+1,000	$786	80¢	$795	+$9	10-28 21:11
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+663	$250	75¢	$494	+$244	10-18 15:49
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+600	$247	82¢	$492	+$245	10-26 17:44
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	-408	-$286	95¢	$-388	-$102	05-12 06:58
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	-1,165	-$591	30¢	$-355	+$235	10-28 22:31
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	+890	$654	8¢	$76	-$578	10-20 21:31
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$39	56¢	$56	+$17	08-29 22:44
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	+151	-$15	34¢	$50	+$65	09-28 13:07
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+100	$55	44¢	$44	-$11	08-31 21:56
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	93¢	$19	+$8	10-08 10:33
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	+20	$8	7¢	$1	-$7	10-08 00:07
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+0	-$13	99¢	$0	+$13	10-26 18:56
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	+0	$0	45¢	$0	$0	10-01 14:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	57	$30.3K	13,098	18,426	-5,328	Yes	+$1,124	01-09 21:28
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	71	$24.0K	22,473	8,300	+14,173	Yes	+$4,768	01-09 23:42
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	71	$22.3K	13,083	16,321	-3,239	Yes	+$2,089	02-24 07:26
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	34	$21.7K	8,664	14,410	-5,746	No	+$1,011	01-20 13:05
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	130	$17.6K	10,844	11,129	-285	No	-$963	04-23 15:35
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	25	$12.4K	6,131	8,072	-1,941	No	+$412	04-23 16:47
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	46	$12.0K	6,156	7,383	-1,227	open	—	10-08 13:51
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	30	$11.5K	1,450	10,620	-9,171	Yes	-$327	01-16 16:47
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	44	$11.4K	12,400	12,400	+0	No	-$10,551	05-26 04:38
will usdai launch a token by march 31	57	$10.7K	13,234	9,041	+4,192	No	+$7,831	04-01 03:20
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	34	$10.4K	8,178	8,178	+0	Yes	+$382	04-17 19:19
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	11	$9.8K	5,257	5,257	+0	No	+$433	01-20 15:26
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$9.2K	5,275	4,675	+600	No	+$582	02-02 13:47
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	19	$5.9K	5,000	2,500	+2,500	No	+$1,195	01-10 14:51
megaeth fdv above 2b one day after launch	18	$5.8K	5,895	1,898	+3,997	No	+$1,334	05-01 04:26
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	21	$5.7K	3,791	3,791	+0	open	—	10-21 19:49
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	10	$5.0K	5,224	1,225	+4,000	Yes	-$3,496	01-20 18:13
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	20	$4.8K	5,546	5,569	-23	No	+$590	01-10 05:39
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	16	$4.8K	1,939	3,182	-1,243	No	-$27	02-24 08:32
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	22	$4.1K	5,410	4,765	+645	No	-$2,736	01-19 20:20
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	35	$4.1K	3,463	1,968	+1,495	No	+$4	11-01 00:49
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?	16	$4.0K	2,571	2,399	+172	Yes	+$109	02-23 07:43
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	33	$3.2K	2,443	2,443	-0	open	—	10-12 01:04
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	38	$3.2K	4,401	4,401	+0	open	—	10-26 14:14
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	32	$3.1K	2,076	2,076	+0	No	+$1,001	08-28 15:38
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	8	$3.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	No	+$52	02-07 07:05
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?	23	$3.1K	2,000	1,600	+400	No	+$192	04-13 19:50
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	20	$3.0K	2,745	1,317	+1,428	open	—	10-29 17:45
laso finance fdv above 3m one day after launch	12	$2.9K	1,534	1,533	+1	Yes	+$157	07-05 16:40
will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	17	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$70	06-25 03:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:44:34	Over $3M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x11a485…
11-01 00:49:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	365	100¢	$365	0x3af213…
10-31 21:55:36	Over $3M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x0643d9…
10-31 21:55:01	Over $2M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xf1ec14…
10-31 21:04:40	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	400	94¢	$376	0x1e17a7…
10-31 19:48:43	Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027?	No	BUY	97	87¢	$84	0x81848c…
10-31 18:42:36	Over $3M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0xe1afca…
10-31 16:51:51	Over $3M committed to the over.computer public sale?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x0888b5…
10-31 16:18:51	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	143	84¢	$120	0xaf1542…
10-31 15:20:07	Over $3M committed to the over.computer public sale?	Yes	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0xf18b6c…
10-31 14:44:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	855	100¢	$851	0x2365fa…
10-31 13:12:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfade45…
10-31 12:48:00	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x080f4f…
10-31 11:32:55	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x08c342…
10-31 11:27:15	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	137	90¢	$123	0x432f16…
10-31 04:40:34	Will Cap reach $0.20 before 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$177	0x4fba41…
10-30 20:37:15	Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	87¢	$39	0x200cef…
10-30 20:31:52	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x3501c0…
10-30 20:30:48	Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	BUY	208	82¢	$171	0x20da73…
10-30 20:24:43	Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	203	14¢	$29	0x232056…
10-30 20:22:36	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	91	95¢	$86	0x2ffbc5…
10-30 10:57:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	84¢	$88	0x30e17c…
10-30 10:56:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x217d74…
10-29 20:47:06	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x397d42…
10-29 20:46:45	Will BNB dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	79¢	$316	0x8856f7…
10-29 20:46:13	Will BNB dip to $650 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x0e463d…
10-29 20:39:57	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x11e8d1…
10-29 19:38:49	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x4b0708…
10-29 19:31:52	Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xff4217…
10-29 17:48:07	Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	214	95¢	$203	0x910e58…
10-29 17:48:07	Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x689fc6…
10-29 17:45:59	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	570	93¢	$530	0x276130…
10-29 15:57:56	Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	51	38¢	$19	0x5412dd…
10-29 12:41:56	Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x24bf30…
10-29 12:32:59	Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0x794d32…
10-29 10:02:55	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x2ef662…
10-29 06:37:22	Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	174	82¢	$143	0x72481a…
10-29 02:56:29	Extended listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x5b3eb1…
10-28 22:31:20	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x4a2cdb…
10-28 21:11:29	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	400	78¢	$312	0xae38cf…
10-28 19:41:11	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	657	86¢	$565	0x3e1b87…
10-28 17:27:05	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	600	79¢	$474	0x3946bd…
10-28 10:12:05	Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x8a6314…
10-28 10:12:04	Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xd3779e…
10-28 10:08:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	179	46¢	$82	0xdf6fe6…
10-28 09:32:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0xce5ba3…
10-28 09:02:25	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	46¢	$50	0xfd27af…
10-28 08:59:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb4d288…
10-28 08:58:40	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xaae4b7…
10-28 08:58:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	46¢	$16	0x30e957…
10-28 08:26:14	Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xb64983…
10-28 08:23:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xe652da…
10-28 08:17:29	Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x7b3702…
10-28 08:14:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x45091a…
10-28 08:11:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	32¢	$96	0x2938c7…
10-28 08:04:20	Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$156	0x1f3c37…
10-27 18:48:38	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	SELL	178	91¢	$162	0x4df12d…
10-27 16:03:54	Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x97e4e5…
10-27 13:39:03	Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	103	95¢	$98	0x632e32…
10-27 09:51:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x4ad251…
10-27 08:32:00	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x284c10…
10-26 23:04:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	73¢	$80	0x6809e1…
10-26 18:56:11	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	123	99¢	$123	0x4355ea…
10-26 18:32:15	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	57	79¢	$45	0x84582e…
10-26 18:31:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xcc17dc…
10-26 18:04:48	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x373955…
10-26 18:04:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x83961d…
10-26 17:44:12	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	490	81¢	$397	0x11b68a…
10-26 14:14:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x01cb56…
10-26 12:00:59	Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xfbbb36…
10-26 12:00:14	Cambria listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	61	71¢	$44	0x98b938…
10-26 11:59:59	Cambria listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	375	94¢	$353	0x6f9dd2…
10-26 11:59:42	Cambria listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	190	77¢	$147	0x123f6a…
10-26 11:57:32	Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	81¢	$89	0x3b5d1d…
10-26 09:33:56	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	28	76¢	$22	0x9620ad…
10-26 09:33:56	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x71beed…
10-26 09:33:56	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	68	76¢	$51	0x40763f…
10-26 06:10:11	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x90dba6…
10-26 02:46:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xe13ee6…
10-25 22:57:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xa7e3d0…
10-25 17:19:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa3dbc4…
10-25 15:16:08	Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xa26d11…
10-25 11:48:00	Cambria listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0xf83727…
10-25 10:20:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xe94ccf…
10-25 02:37:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xe01140…
10-25 02:10:03	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	84	79¢	$66	0xece64a…
10-25 02:09:54	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xa1ebc6…
10-25 02:09:54	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7016e9…
10-25 02:09:53	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xc7cd1f…
10-25 02:09:53	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0xb7a7e8…
10-25 02:09:53	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x700466…
10-25 02:09:53	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	78	79¢	$62	0x4494e4…
10-25 02:09:53	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x2086aa…
10-24 23:05:51	1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x76db2c…
10-24 19:46:17	Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xdeadcd…
10-24 14:40:38	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x0fc5de…
10-24 14:40:38	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x089f28…
10-24 14:35:59	Will Cap dip to $0.01 before 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x9baa03…
10-24 09:44:09	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	88¢	$68	0x72927f…
10-24 09:07:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x032b6c…