Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$5,122
$964 in 24h
Trades
63
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$22,830
Latest YES mid
31¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-09 21:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-42.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 42% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $404 | $384 | +$20 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $258 | $731 | $473 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $313 | $195 | +$117 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $40 | $76 | $36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $424 | $16 | +$408 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $24 | $87 | $63 |
| Median | 5 | $25 | $14 | +$11 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $47 | $7 | +$40 |
| unranked | 14 | $496 | $237 | +$259 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +952 | $657 | $657 | 1 | 06-09 21:46 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +865 | $258 | $258 | 2 | 06-02 16:36 |
| Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | +652 | $168 | $168 | 2 | 06-02 12:21 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +613 | $166 | $514 | 7 | 06-09 21:46 |
| Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | +500 | $355 | $355 | 1 | 06-02 16:35 |
| Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | +250 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 06-02 16:35 |
| Gorgeous-Sticker 0xa0c4…978f | Yes | +222 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-02 08:52 |
| Gleaming-Fraud 0x2217…1660 | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d2e…f022 | Yes | +83 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 08:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-06 12:22 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +60 | $44 | $89 | 3 | 06-02 12:37 |
| Immaculate-Past 0x3af2…5212 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa823…17db | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-02 07:12 |
| Severe-Hellcat 0xea4c…db63 | No | +28 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-31 02:54 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +27 | $8 | $39 | 8 | 06-09 13:51 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +24 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-02 16:36 |
| Velvety-Cinder 0xb675…762a | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-06 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7016…85dd | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c4a…1612 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-29 07:14 |
| Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-08 07:39 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x020d…118b | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 12:37 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-02 12:37 |
| Worried-Skywalk 0x4a05…f1f2 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-08 01:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 21:46:43 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 952 | 31¢ | $295 | 0x5ccb99… |
| 06-09 21:46:43 | Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | BUY | 952 | 69¢ | $657 | 0x5ccb99… |
| 06-09 13:52:25 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 31¢ | $15 | 0x5445a7… |
| 06-09 13:52:25 | Few-Motel 0xee7a…9d04 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 31¢ | $15 | 0x5445a7… |
| 06-09 13:51:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x2d91ab… |
| 06-09 13:51:57 | Few-Motel 0xee7a…9d04 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x2d91ab… |
| 06-08 07:39:58 | Sorrowful-Yin 0x412e…3d46 | No | SELL | 14 | 66¢ | $9 | 0x5a8102… |
| 06-08 07:39:58 | Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | BUY | 14 | 66¢ | $9 | 0x5a8102… |
| 06-08 01:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | SELL | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x5cb709… |
| 06-08 01:00:03 | Worried-Skywalk 0x4a05…f1f2 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x5cb709… |
| 06-07 15:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | SELL | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x28ec12… |
| 06-07 15:08:03 | Immaculate-Past 0x3af2…5212 | No | BUY | 30 | 67¢ | $20 | 0x28ec12… |
| 06-06 12:34:55 | Velvety-Cinder 0xb675…762a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x46ab7f… |
| 06-06 12:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | SELL | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x46ab7f… |
| 06-06 12:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x410a…2643 | No | SELL | 465 | 67¢ | $311 | 0xdfa8d4… |
| 06-06 12:34:54 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | SELL | 465 | 33¢ | $153 | 0xdfa8d4… |
| 06-06 12:22:43 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 33¢ | $12 | 0x8f1af6… |
| 06-06 12:22:43 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 33¢ | $12 | 0x8f1af6… |
| 06-06 08:18:24 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 33¢ | $9 | 0x1a18f0… |
| 06-06 08:18:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x1a18f0… |
| 06-05 08:48:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x21cb1a… |
| 06-05 08:48:39 | Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x21cb1a… |
| 06-03 07:25:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x9e0920… |
| 06-03 07:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x7016…85dd | No | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x9e0920… |
| 06-02 16:36:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 24 | 68¢ | $16 | 0xf41f43… |
| 06-02 16:36:15 | Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | BUY | 24 | 32¢ | $8 | 0xf41f43… |
| 06-02 16:35:45 | Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | BUY | 250 | 70¢ | $175 | 0x651fc7… |
| 06-02 16:35:45 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 33¢ | $9 | 0x651fc7… |
| 06-02 16:35:45 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | BUY | 500 | 71¢ | $355 | 0x651fc7… |
| 06-02 16:35:45 | Pesky-Copying 0xc56f…eff5 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 33¢ | $21 | 0x651fc7… |
| 06-02 16:35:45 | Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | BUY | 841 | 30¢ | $250 | 0x651fc7… |
| 06-02 12:37:08 | Few-Motel 0xee7a…9d04 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 26¢ | $20 | 0x5debe2… |
| 06-02 12:37:08 | (anonymous) 0x020d…118b | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x5debe2… |
| 06-02 12:37:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 74¢ | $44 | 0x5debe2… |
| 06-02 12:37:08 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x5debe2… |
| 06-02 12:37:08 | (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x5debe2… |
| 06-02 12:21:51 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x64a7cb… |
| 06-02 12:21:51 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x64a7cb… |
| 06-02 11:33:58 | Gleaming-Fraud 0x2217…1660 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 25¢ | $50 | 0x2f8d4d… |
| 06-02 11:33:58 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | SELL | 200 | 25¢ | $50 | 0x2f8d4d… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 21¢ | $25 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | Bewitched-Future 0x753f…89b2 | Yes | SELL | 3,098 | 22¢ | $672 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x794d…8fc8 | No | SELL | 771 | 79¢ | $609 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | Gorgeous-Sticker 0xa0c4…978f | Yes | BUY | 222 | 21¢ | $47 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | Yes | BUY | 291 | 22¢ | $64 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x8d2e…f022 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 24¢ | $20 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x69d3…05d4 | No | SELL | 699 | 79¢ | $552 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 08:52:37 | (anonymous) 0xd9ca…03ef | No | SELL | 102 | 79¢ | $81 | 0x24dd50… |
| 06-02 07:12:39 | (anonymous) 0xa823…17db | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0x50aa39… |
| 06-02 07:12:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0x50aa39… |
| 06-01 13:46:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0xb48474… |
| 06-01 13:46:53 | (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | SELL | 494 | 26¢ | $128 | 0xb48474… |
| 06-01 13:46:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0xb48474… |
| 06-01 13:46:53 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | BUY | 552 | 26¢ | $143 | 0xb48474… |
| 05-31 02:54:44 | Velvety-Cinder 0xb675…762a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x840510… |
| 05-31 02:54:44 | Severe-Hellcat 0xea4c…db63 | No | BUY | 17 | 76¢ | $13 | 0x840510… |
| 05-31 02:54:44 | (anonymous) 0x654b…35e6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x840510… |
| 05-31 02:54:42 | Bad-Pathway 0x4954…ac42 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x3d5156… |
| 05-31 02:54:42 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x3d5156… |
| 05-29 07:18:24 | Severe-Hellcat 0xea4c…db63 | No | BUY | 11 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xd4b860… |
| 05-29 07:18:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xd4b860… |
| 05-29 07:14:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 24¢ | $4 | 0xb78b8d… |
| 05-29 07:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x1c4a…1612 | No | BUY | 15 | 76¢ | $11 | 0xb78b8d… |