Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$36,268
$964 in 24h
Trades
497
Unique wallets
165
Liquidity
$22,830
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-17 15:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-46.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 46% YES on $23.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $2.3K | $3.3K | $996 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 30 | $8.0K | $6.8K | +$1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 37 | $314 | $2.1K | $1.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 82 | $271 | $664 | $392 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 6 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $9.5K | $1.0K | +$8.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $66 | $900 | $833 |
| Median | 23 | $47 | $2.3K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 12 | $55 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $25 | $2.8K | $2.7K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $71 | $240 | $169 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $275 | $668 | $393 |
| unranked | 84 | $857 | $2.0K | $1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +19,251 | $7,415 | $7,426 | 19 | 08-02 15:26 |
| Offbeat-Pharmacopoeia 0x1ca4…f2d4 | No | +3,693 | $2,194 | $2,504 | 6 | 07-31 12:28 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +3,150 | $991 | $2,686 | 19 | 08-13 12:27 |
| Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | +2,500 | $1,600 | $1,600 | 1 | 08-01 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +2,100 | $1,269 | $1,269 | 6 | 07-31 12:28 |
| Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | +1,783 | $1,179 | $1,179 | 10 | 08-17 15:53 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +1,188 | $716 | $716 | 2 | 07-30 14:21 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +1,000 | $635 | $635 | 2 | 07-31 05:40 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +962 | $664 | $664 | 2 | 06-11 03:32 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +865 | $258 | $258 | 2 | 06-02 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | +800 | $507 | $507 | 3 | 07-28 01:24 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +663 | $390 | $429 | 21 | 08-14 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +500 | $325 | $325 | 1 | 07-22 02:59 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +500 | $285 | $285 | 1 | 07-16 08:00 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +493 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-19 05:54 |
| Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | +399 | $163 | $163 | 3 | 07-18 13:03 |
| Competent-Pegboard 0xa705…8998 | No | +300 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 07-03 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | +248 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-02 21:10 |
| Gorgeous-Sticker 0xa0c4…978f | Yes | +222 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-02 08:52 |
| Gleaming-Fraud 0x2217…1660 | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 11:33 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | +197 | $127 | $127 | 3 | 08-11 06:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +128 | $80 | $91 | 6 | 08-02 15:26 |
| Fat-Washbasin 0xf301…4ce1 | No | +120 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 07-03 10:48 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +110 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 06-19 05:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +98 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 08-02 23:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +92 | $58 | $58 | 4 | 08-01 13:03 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +90 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 08-13 10:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d2e…f022 | Yes | +83 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 08:52 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +72 | $11 | $319 | 9 | 07-06 22:47 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +72 | $44 | $133 | 2 | 06-30 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-06 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +55 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 07-31 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x125c…38f7 | No | +39 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-18 13:18 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +38 | $17 | $49 | 5 | 07-08 10:09 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +32 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-15 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeafc…a390 | Yes | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-06 14:07 |
| Immaculate-Past 0x3af2…5212 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa823…17db | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-02 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-31 13:04 |
| Severe-Hellcat 0xea4c…db63 | No | +28 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-31 02:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 15:53:36 | Awful-Inheritance 0x4e57…f99f | No | SELL | 354 | 63¢ | $223 | 0xe06e11… |
| 08-17 15:53:36 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 354 | 63¢ | $223 | 0xe06e11… |
| 08-14 19:51:58 | (anonymous) 0x0cf6…44c1 | No | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x75996e… |
| 08-14 19:51:58 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x75996e… |
| 08-14 04:44:48 | Downright-Curd 0x52ca…4ff9 | No | SELL | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0x3d57c5… |
| 08-14 04:44:48 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0x3d57c5… |
| 08-13 12:28:25 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0x975702… |
| 08-13 12:28:25 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0x975702… |
| 08-13 12:27:21 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 36¢ | $45 | 0x433159… |
| 08-13 12:27:21 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x433159… |
| 08-13 12:27:21 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x433159… |
| 08-13 12:27:21 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | BUY | 90 | 64¢ | $58 | 0x433159… |
| 08-13 10:36:55 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | SELL | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x4447ba… |
| 08-13 10:36:55 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x4447ba… |
| 08-13 10:31:34 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x5d6cf3… |
| 08-13 10:31:34 | (anonymous) 0xed96…a796 | No | SELL | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x5d6cf3… |
| 08-11 06:31:01 | (anonymous) 0xf07a…ebd1 | No | SELL | 10 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x4703e3… |
| 08-11 06:31:01 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x4703e3… |
| 08-11 06:31:01 | Limp-Fingerling 0x0184…4c30 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x4703e3… |
| 08-10 19:47:03 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | SELL | 28 | 66¢ | $18 | 0x35e219… |
| 08-10 19:47:03 | (anonymous) 0xb558…2c9f | Yes | SELL | 28 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x35e219… |
| 08-07 08:06:12 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 26 | 64¢ | $16 | 0xc94846… |
| 08-07 08:06:12 | (anonymous) 0x5948…6b4c | No | SELL | 48 | 65¢ | $31 | 0xc94846… |
| 08-07 08:06:12 | (anonymous) 0x21a7…4b39 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xc94846… |
| 08-07 06:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xb558…2c9f | Yes | BUY | 28 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x073855… |
| 08-07 06:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x21a7…4b39 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x073855… |
| 08-03 20:13:45 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 119 | 64¢ | $76 | 0x65a474… |
| 08-03 20:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x21a7…4b39 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0x65a474… |
| 08-03 20:13:45 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | No | BUY | 169 | 64¢ | $109 | 0x65a474… |
| 08-03 20:11:36 | (anonymous) 0x2c9f…f8d7 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xd0431a… |
| 08-03 20:11:36 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xd0431a… |
| 08-03 20:11:36 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 25 | 63¢ | $16 | 0xd0431a… |
| 08-03 03:21:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x0279f6… |
| 08-03 03:21:26 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x0279f6… |
| 08-02 23:41:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0xfd49bb… |
| 08-02 23:41:39 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0xfd49bb… |
| 08-02 23:39:30 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 46 | 62¢ | $28 | 0x61ce6c… |
| 08-02 23:39:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0x61ce6c… |
| 08-02 23:39:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x61ce6c… |
| 08-02 23:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x4d735c… |
| 08-02 23:15:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x4d735c… |
| 08-02 21:12:56 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xd538ad… |
| 08-02 21:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xd538ad… |
| 08-02 21:12:38 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xa87635… |
| 08-02 21:12:38 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xa87635… |
| 08-02 21:10:09 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x1cd148… |
| 08-02 21:10:09 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0x1cd148… |
| 08-02 21:10:09 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x1cd148… |
| 08-02 21:10:09 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 59¢ | $6 | 0x1cd148… |
| 08-02 21:10:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x1cd148… |
| 08-02 21:10:09 | (anonymous) 0x204c…d655 | Yes | BUY | 248 | 40¢ | $100 | 0x1cd148… |
| 08-02 15:26:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x4e52b2… |
| 08-02 15:26:35 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x4e52b2… |
| 08-02 15:26:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x4e52b2… |
| 08-02 15:26:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 100 | 62¢ | $62 | 0x7f5444… |
| 08-02 15:26:32 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0x7f5444… |
| 08-02 15:26:32 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 38¢ | $49 | 0x7f5444… |
| 08-02 15:26:24 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xa6565c… |
| 08-02 15:26:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xa6565c… |
| 08-02 15:26:24 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 37¢ | $22 | 0xa6565c… |
| 08-02 15:26:14 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 36¢ | $13 | 0xcd875a… |
| 08-02 15:26:14 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 36¢ | $13 | 0xcd875a… |
| 08-01 13:32:38 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 34¢ | $12 | 0x1d7da7… |
| 08-01 13:32:38 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 34¢ | $12 | 0x1d7da7… |
| 08-01 13:32:26 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xd7067c… |
| 08-01 13:32:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xd7067c… |
| 08-01 13:03:53 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 66 | 63¢ | $42 | 0x1f0765… |
| 08-01 13:03:53 | Unwritten-Ordination 0x7428…1d56 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 37¢ | $24 | 0x1f0765… |
| 08-01 07:07:27 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x3b640b… |
| 08-01 07:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x3406…6ce0 | No | SELL | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x3b640b… |
| 08-01 07:07:12 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xc212df… |
| 08-01 07:07:12 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 50 | 63¢ | $31 | 0xc212df… |
| 08-01 07:07:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xc212df… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 2,820 | 36¢ | $1,015 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | Biodegradable-Kiosk 0x6978…08d8 | No | BUY | 2,500 | 64¢ | $1,600 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 08-01 07:07:11 | (anonymous) 0x3406…6ce0 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0x9aaf95… |
| 07-31 18:57:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0x0e9c17… |
| 07-31 18:57:59 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 36¢ | $18 | 0x0e9c17… |
| 07-31 18:57:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 32 | 33¢ | $11 | 0x3486d6… |
| 07-31 18:57:15 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 33¢ | $11 | 0x3486d6… |
| 07-31 18:57:14 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 34¢ | $6 | 0x240ccf… |
| 07-31 18:57:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 34¢ | $6 | 0x240ccf… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | BUY | 581 | 67¢ | $387 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 305 | 33¢ | $101 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | Whimsical-Imitation 0x2cc7…2385 | No | SELL | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | Scaly-Surge 0x6a68…6679 | No | SELL | 100 | 67¢ | $67 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 18:57:12 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xa60357… |
| 07-31 13:04:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 36¢ | $0 | 0xed018b… |
| 07-31 13:04:15 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 35¢ | $0 | 0xed018b… |