Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$23,227
$964 in 24h
Trades
356
Unique wallets
141
Liquidity
$22,830
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-29
last 07-28 07:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-53.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.4K
vs crowd: 53% YES on $11.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 15 | $2.2K | $1.2K | +$963 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $3.5K | $2.3K | +$1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $306 | $1.3K | $999 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 72 | $120 | $623 | $503 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $5.0K | $380 | +$4.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $56 | $478 | $422 |
| Median | 16 | $43 | $597 | $555 |
| Below median | 12 | $38 | $501 | $462 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $25 | $229 | $204 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $64 | $173 | $109 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $210 | $483 | $273 |
| unranked | 69 | $648 | $1.2K | $519 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | +7,748 | $2,989 | $2,999 | 8 | 07-28 01:24 |
| Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | +4,769 | $1,620 | $1,968 | 16 | 07-19 17:51 |
| Memorable-Planning 0xadec…3c7b | No | +962 | $664 | $664 | 2 | 06-11 03:32 |
| Responsible-Remark 0x1fe4…afbb | Yes | +865 | $258 | $258 | 2 | 06-02 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | +800 | $507 | $507 | 3 | 07-28 01:24 |
| Gloomy-Disgust 0xce03…5608 | No | +717 | $487 | $487 | 3 | 06-14 17:18 |
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +663 | $380 | $380 | 1 | 07-16 14:37 |
| Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | +500 | $285 | $285 | 1 | 07-16 08:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | +500 | $325 | $325 | 1 | 07-22 02:59 |
| Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | +500 | $325 | $325 | 1 | 07-27 13:38 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +493 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 06-19 05:54 |
| Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | +399 | $163 | $163 | 3 | 07-18 13:03 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | +388 | $225 | $225 | 14 | 07-12 08:20 |
| Competent-Pegboard 0xa705…8998 | No | +300 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 07-03 11:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | +300 | $189 | $189 | 5 | 07-24 09:49 |
| Caring-Hiccups 0x4db7…d20e | No | +250 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 06-02 16:35 |
| Gorgeous-Sticker 0xa0c4…978f | Yes | +222 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 06-02 08:52 |
| Gleaming-Fraud 0x2217…1660 | Yes | +200 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-02 11:33 |
| Fat-Washbasin 0xf301…4ce1 | No | +120 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 07-03 10:48 |
| Proper-Tectonics 0x0164…9ed6 | No | +110 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 06-19 05:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d2e…f022 | Yes | +83 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-02 08:52 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +72 | $11 | $319 | 9 | 07-06 22:47 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +72 | $44 | $133 | 2 | 06-30 15:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…aca8 | Yes | +61 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-06 12:22 |
| Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | +60 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 07-27 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x125c…38f7 | No | +39 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-18 13:18 |
| Loyal-Speakerphone 0xcd96…cbdc | Yes | +38 | $17 | $49 | 5 | 07-08 10:09 |
| Pessimistic-Bibliography 0xa14f…9a6e | Yes | +32 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-15 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xeafc…a390 | Yes | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 07-06 14:07 |
| Immaculate-Past 0x3af2…5212 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-07 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa823…17db | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-02 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-25 18:34 |
| Severe-Hellcat 0xea4c…db63 | No | +28 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-31 02:54 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-09 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0098…3308 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-12 14:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c4a…1612 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-29 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x7016…85dd | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 07:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $10 | $22 | 3 | 06-30 09:16 |
| Velvety-Cinder 0xb675…762a | Yes | +15 | $4 | $15 | 4 | 06-21 13:21 |
| Clumsy-Supply 0xa61e…0abd | No | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-08 07:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 07:25:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x2a3e18… |
| 07-28 07:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x67f3…1984 | No | SELL | 1 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x2a3e18… |
| 07-28 01:24:21 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 270 | 36¢ | $97 | 0x5b9b5a… |
| 07-28 01:24:21 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 270 | 64¢ | $173 | 0x5b9b5a… |
| 07-27 13:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x4b5645… |
| 07-27 13:38:15 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0x4b5645… |
| 07-27 13:38:01 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xd47685… |
| 07-27 13:38:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xd47685… |
| 07-27 13:38:00 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 562 | 35¢ | $197 | 0x32fb81… |
| 07-27 13:38:00 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 30 | 65¢ | $20 | 0x32fb81… |
| 07-27 13:38:00 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 32 | 65¢ | $21 | 0x32fb81… |
| 07-27 13:38:00 | Dirty-Birdwatcher 0xcdc0…dcd8 | No | BUY | 500 | 65¢ | $325 | 0x32fb81… |
| 07-25 18:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 35¢ | $10 | 0x871ee3… |
| 07-25 18:34:30 | Unwritten-Suite 0x51ec…05fd | No | BUY | 28 | 65¢ | $18 | 0x871ee3… |
| 07-25 03:29:57 | Obvious-Dwelling 0x8188…0667 | Yes | SELL | 237 | 36¢ | $85 | 0xe54540… |
| 07-25 03:29:57 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 237 | 36¢ | $85 | 0xe54540… |
| 07-24 09:49:57 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 679 | 37¢ | $251 | 0x820caa… |
| 07-24 09:49:57 | (anonymous) 0xe464…fc9b | No | BUY | 500 | 63¢ | $315 | 0x820caa… |
| 07-24 09:49:57 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 179 | 63¢ | $113 | 0x820caa… |
| 07-22 02:59:55 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 90 | 63¢ | $57 | 0x16fef2… |
| 07-22 02:59:55 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 90 | 63¢ | $57 | 0x16fef2… |
| 07-22 02:59:54 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 590 | 35¢ | $206 | 0x5065a5… |
| 07-22 02:59:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 90 | 65¢ | $58 | 0x5065a5… |
| 07-22 02:59:54 | (anonymous) 0x89cd…4d7d | No | BUY | 500 | 65¢ | $325 | 0x5065a5… |
| 07-21 07:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 15 | 63¢ | $9 | 0xdffdb5… |
| 07-21 07:50:09 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…700f | No | SELL | 15 | 63¢ | $9 | 0xdffdb5… |
| 07-20 07:56:13 | (anonymous) 0x20b3…bf65 | No | SELL | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xa14edf… |
| 07-20 07:56:13 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xa14edf… |
| 07-20 01:38:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 133 | 34¢ | $45 | 0x4b16d2… |
| 07-20 01:38:22 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 34¢ | $62 | 0x4b16d2… |
| 07-20 01:38:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0x4b16d2… |
| 07-19 17:51:28 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x18ecdc… |
| 07-19 17:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 30¢ | $15 | 0x18ecdc… |
| 07-19 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x7d2502… |
| 07-19 17:51:27 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0x7d2502… |
| 07-19 17:51:27 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 671 | 30¢ | $201 | 0x7d2502… |
| 07-19 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0xd569…48c1 | No | SELL | 172 | 69¢ | $118 | 0x7d2502… |
| 07-19 17:51:27 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 133 | 34¢ | $45 | 0x7d2502… |
| 07-19 17:51:27 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x7d2502… |
| 07-19 17:51:27 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 1,644 | 31¢ | $516 | 0x7d2502… |
| 07-19 16:04:40 | Fruitful-Broiler 0xd23c…5b40 | No | SELL | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xefba82… |
| 07-19 16:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x60d1…0c8f | No | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xefba82… |
| 07-19 07:39:48 | Stylish-Isolation 0x8c46…ae13 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 35¢ | $352 | 0xe20de9… |
| 07-19 07:39:48 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0xe20de9… |
| 07-19 07:39:48 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 837 | 35¢ | $293 | 0xe20de9… |
| 07-19 07:39:48 | (anonymous) 0xd569…48c1 | No | SELL | 133 | 64¢ | $85 | 0xe20de9… |
| 07-18 13:18:13 | (anonymous) 0x125c…38f7 | No | BUY | 39 | 64¢ | $25 | 0x6bd8f3… |
| 07-18 13:18:13 | (anonymous) 0xd569…48c1 | No | SELL | 39 | 64¢ | $25 | 0x6bd8f3… |
| 07-18 13:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x0f57…4139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xcd62b2… |
| 07-18 13:04:31 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xcd62b2… |
| 07-18 13:04:28 | Rusty-Fava 0x05ab…8145 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 38¢ | $380 | 0xa3b1ae… |
| 07-18 13:04:28 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 38¢ | $380 | 0xa3b1ae… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 40¢ | $12 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0xa328…5c09 | No | SELL | 70 | 60¢ | $42 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x5127…c434 | No | SELL | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0xf382…58b3 | No | SELL | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 161 | 60¢ | $97 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x0a14…cf54 | No | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x69ab…2241 | No | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x553d…1d6a | No | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x5313…2cbe | No | SELL | 32 | 60¢ | $19 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 1,043 | 40¢ | $417 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0xa14a…2e27 | No | SELL | 150 | 60¢ | $90 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0xc1bf…c62f | No | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x5113…46d3 | No | SELL | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-18 13:03:57 | (anonymous) 0x3772…66a1 | No | SELL | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x31b3ad… |
| 07-17 12:21:37 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x5e62ec… |
| 07-17 12:21:37 | Firsthand-Booster 0xd7ee…9597 | No | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x5e62ec… |
| 07-17 12:21:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0x20adf8… |
| 07-17 12:21:24 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 349 | 41¢ | $143 | 0x20adf8… |
| 07-17 12:21:24 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 399 | 41¢ | $164 | 0x20adf8… |
| 07-16 14:37:38 | Fixed-Flock 0x23d7…0f30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x4c6523… |
| 07-16 14:37:38 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 41¢ | $25 | 0x4c6523… |
| 07-16 14:37:38 | (anonymous) 0xcad7…9b3b | No | SELL | 40 | 59¢ | $24 | 0x4c6523… |
| 07-16 14:37:11 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 663 | 57¢ | $380 | 0x7c23f8… |
| 07-16 14:37:11 | (anonymous) 0x7870…7286 | No | SELL | 100 | 58¢ | $58 | 0x7c23f8… |
| 07-16 14:37:11 | (anonymous) 0xeaf2…d48b | No | SELL | 403 | 57¢ | $230 | 0x7c23f8… |
| 07-16 14:37:11 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 42¢ | $25 | 0x7c23f8… |
| 07-16 14:37:11 | (anonymous) 0xba15…0b96 | No | SELL | 100 | 58¢ | $58 | 0x7c23f8… |
| 07-16 08:00:29 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x84a56f… |
| 07-16 08:00:29 | (anonymous) 0xeaf2…d48b | No | SELL | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x84a56f… |
| 07-16 08:00:17 | (anonymous) 0x5367…d7ea | No | SELL | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0xde9d69… |
| 07-16 08:00:17 | (anonymous) 0xeaf2…d48b | No | SELL | 351 | 57¢ | $200 | 0xde9d69… |
| 07-16 08:00:17 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0xde9d69… |
| 07-16 08:00:17 | Severe-Handgun 0xaae2…dbda | No | BUY | 500 | 57¢ | $285 | 0xde9d69… |
| 07-16 08:00:17 | (anonymous) 0xe278…bbce | No | SELL | 69 | 57¢ | $39 | 0xde9d69… |
| 07-16 03:16:26 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 44¢ | $6 | 0xef6f38… |
| 07-16 03:16:26 | (anonymous) 0x794d…8fc8 | No | SELL | 13 | 56¢ | $8 | 0xef6f38… |
| 07-15 11:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xd02a…d1ca | No | SELL | 12 | 55¢ | $7 | 0x39f9b2… |
| 07-15 11:20:55 | Thankful-Conversion 0x2f28…ba03 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x39f9b2… |
| 07-12 08:45:13 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x32a842… |
| 07-12 08:45:13 | (anonymous) 0xedf0…a1d3 | No | SELL | 26 | 54¢ | $14 | 0x32a842… |
| 07-12 08:20:35 | Vain-Vegetarian 0xdc76…7842 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 46¢ | $184 | 0x6cec59… |
| 07-12 08:20:35 | Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | No | BUY | 100 | 54¢ | $54 | 0x6cec59… |
| 07-12 08:20:35 | (anonymous) 0x0013…38ca | No | SELL | 500 | 54¢ | $270 | 0x6cec59… |
| 07-09 11:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x9176…7f57 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 42¢ | $22 | 0xc1900e… |
| 07-09 11:45:55 | (anonymous) 0xba01…e7dc | No | SELL | 51 | 58¢ | $30 | 0xc1900e… |
| 07-09 11:44:23 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 11 | 59¢ | $6 | 0xd32808… |
| 07-09 11:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x9176…7f57 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 42¢ | $16 | 0xd32808… |
| 07-09 11:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x839d…4236 | No | SELL | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0xd32808… |