Realized P&L
-$27.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.37K
Hit rate
56.2%
Resolved
782
Trades
15,767
lifetime
Volume
$941.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$58.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 00:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 172 days
Categories
Other
38% 48% -$1,058
Politics
38% 66% -$27,945
Sports
18% 48% +$1,832
Crypto
6% 73% -$575
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +7,146 $6,571 95¢ $6.8K +$203 10-06 21:12
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +6,126 $5,846 99¢ $6.0K +$203 10-22 03:08
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +6,285 $5,954 96¢ $6.0K +$73 10-23 17:57
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +5,000 $4,371 92¢ $4.6K +$204 10-03 05:36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $3,217 98¢ $3.9K +$709 10-21 15:07
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +3,715 $3,661 99¢ $3.7K +$9 10-28 20:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +3,500 $1,079 92¢ $3.2K +$2,141 10-29 19:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +3,500 $1,990 88¢ $3.1K +$1,107 10-21 16:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +3,000 $2,495 96¢ $2.9K +$370 10-05 04:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +3,000 $2,281 93¢ $2.8K +$515 10-29 17:30
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,065 $2,041 100¢ $2.1K +$17 09-08 04:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,912 $1,428 92¢ $1.8K +$340 10-20 21:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +1,700 $991 96¢ $1.6K +$649 10-04 07:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +1,300 $1,267 99¢ $1.3K +$24 10-25 07:47
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,107 $1,111 98¢ $1.1K -$32 10-29 19:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,000 -$887 96¢ $-962 -$74 05-24 00:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $289 86¢ $855 +$566 10-28 20:18
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +610 $601 99¢ $605 +$4 09-30 10:55
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +600 $544 96¢ $573 +$29 10-30 00:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -700 -$541 82¢ $-570 -$29 10-16 01:42
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +510 $496 99¢ $504 +$8 09-19 08:21
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $492 100¢ $498 +$6 08-30 08:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +3,000 $442 16¢ $495 +$53 10-29 17:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +500 $420 94¢ $468 +$48 05-15 12:30
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -450 -$438 98¢ $-443 -$5 06-06 09:30
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No +380 $304 96¢ $363 +$59 05-11 17:09
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +350 $337 97¢ $341 +$3 10-01 04:52
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +820 $158 40¢ $331 +$173 10-30 00:39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +271 $266 99¢ $267 +$1 09-29 04:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No +269 $267 99¢ $266 -$1 10-28 20:32