Proper-Tectonics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.3%

Resolved

Trades

8,374

lifetime

Volume

$541.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

43% 0% $-27,067

Other

41% 80% +$187

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

6% 67% +$1,104

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	323	$49.7K	32,687	26,073	+6,614	Yes	$-3,100	05-08 17:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	288	$37.0K	41,647	14,680	+26,967	Yes	$-16,935	05-08 19:20
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	99	$27.9K	3,085	27,721	-24,636	open	—	03-25 12:43
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	19	$18.1K	200	18,007	-17,807	open	—	06-17 20:09
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	172	$16.5K	10,789	10,777	+12	open	—	02-24 19:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	79	$15.9K	10,833	5,470	+5,363	open	—	04-30 20:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	138	$12.2K	12,448	4,950	+7,498	Yes	$-5,461	05-09 06:52
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	304	$11.7K	6,723	11,190	-4,467	open	—	02-24 17:42
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	38	$10.7K	10,450	400	+10,050	open	—	01-30 23:03
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals johan manzambi gte1	3	$10.3K	10,368	0	+10,368	open	—	07-12 00:02
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	164	$9.0K	7,259	7,846	-587	open	—	04-13 21:08
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	80	$7.4K	5,428	2,228	+3,200	open	—	03-31 16:39
zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	55	$7.3K	6,707	700	+6,007	open	—	03-31 16:45
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	65	$6.9K	1,153	5,819	-4,666	open	—	06-23 03:29
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	79	$6.5K	4,449	2,249	+2,200	open	—	03-31 07:39
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	6	$5.1K	5,100	0	+5,100	open	—	02-26 06:56
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	19	$5.0K	5,086	0	+5,086	open	—	01-31 21:06
will nrg win krakow 2026	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-02 18:18
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	17	$4.5K	0	4,474	-4,474	open	—	06-12 08:11
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	57	$4.4K	7,234	2,500	+4,734	open	—	04-14 18:48
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	86	$4.4K	4,448	4,234	+214	open	—	04-07 18:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	8	$4.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-01 07:14
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 juv	76	$4.1K	2,439	3,749	-1,309	open	—	02-25 19:47
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?	6	$4.0K	70	3,996	-3,925	open	—	06-01 10:01
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	96	$3.9K	2,667	8,957	-6,290	No	+$1,014	04-15 21:21
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	6	$3.7K	6,080	500	+5,580	open	—	07-14 18:09
will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	31	$3.7K	2,875	875	+2,000	open	—	03-16 18:58
ucl new1 qar1 2026 02 24 new1	76	$3.6K	2,234	2,316	-82	open	—	02-24 13:51
ucl lev2 oly 2026 02 24 lev2	67	$3.6K	2,744	4,785	-2,041	open	—	02-19 09:20
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	80	$3.4K	4,302	4,203	+99	open	—	04-14 18:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:31:00	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xd25748…
08-10 09:48:43	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x7ab30a…
08-10 09:45:18	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	696	96¢	$668	0xf9312b…
08-10 08:55:45	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x77a414…
08-10 08:10:28	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xf70790…
08-10 07:20:10	will julian alvarez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x1cf07a…
08-10 07:18:51	will lautaro martinez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0xd749be…
08-10 07:18:15	will vinicius junior finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x8e6b1b…
08-10 07:16:45	will desire doue finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x66d0d8…
08-10 07:15:58	will mohamed salah finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x746f67…
08-10 07:15:31	will vinicius junior finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xc65e3e…
08-10 07:13:31	will achraf hakimi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	No	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0xadb59e…
08-10 01:37:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	147	78¢	$114	0xaefc2a…
08-09 17:28:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	300	93¢	$279	0x9be166…
08-09 09:23:15	will lionel messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1bd8fa…
08-08 18:33:19	will harry kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x62833e…
08-08 06:51:54	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x0fddd6…
08-07 18:14:01	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0xd1fa78…
08-07 09:18:15	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	184	97¢	$179	0x96b2ae…
08-07 08:06:31	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x3588a6…
08-07 07:42:01	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa8e37a…
08-06 15:02:32	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0x63dfec…
08-06 07:50:54	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0xeeeb00…
08-06 05:39:50	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4cd2fe…
08-06 02:21:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6c9320…
08-05 21:46:53	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9b0e49…
08-05 20:47:06	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc34447…
08-05 18:13:59	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x15295d…
08-05 18:13:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xb29ae4…
08-05 18:00:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xbb26e0…
08-05 17:57:57	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xa8ebca…
08-05 17:57:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xd31abb…
08-05 17:57:38	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xc059be…
08-05 17:57:29	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x2a51ca…
08-05 17:57:20	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x073939…
08-05 17:57:18	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xf609ae…
08-05 17:57:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0x9ac886…
08-05 17:57:08	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x28fb2d…
08-05 17:12:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x3f0b5a…
08-05 17:12:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x10efd5…
08-05 17:11:54	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xfd791c…
08-05 17:11:54	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x85c838…
08-05 17:11:54	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x17a8cb…
08-05 17:11:44	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2e5652…
08-05 17:11:42	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x5b6c5b…
08-05 09:50:59	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x3393a3…
08-04 19:26:09	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5497fe…
08-04 19:25:42	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	55	34¢	$19	0xe7da89…
08-04 15:44:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	316	97¢	$307	0x98a6ab…
08-04 14:49:21	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x54866f…
08-04 08:07:20	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x046aba…
08-03 15:28:51	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	201	95¢	$191	0x042b0d…
08-03 15:19:32	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x0e9524…
08-03 10:48:42	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x30fbb1…
08-03 09:41:32	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x590612…
08-03 09:40:42	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xb86f34…
08-03 09:40:42	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	130	69¢	$89	0x078784…
08-03 09:39:35	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	59	34¢	$20	0x14b635…
08-03 09:39:26	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	40¢	$39	0xbe604e…
08-02 21:10:47	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xd7d2b9…
08-02 21:10:35	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$157	0xbc6e34…
08-02 13:22:29	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb123e5…
08-02 13:22:18	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x41e7c8…
08-02 12:40:29	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x0f19c0…
08-02 12:38:48	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	Spirit	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8b4b8f…
08-02 09:12:24	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x4b5a3d…
08-01 15:57:47	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3ac988…
08-01 14:52:42	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	Astralis	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x53cb37…
08-01 13:19:00	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	Astralis	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xa3d57f…
08-01 12:27:05	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x83f4cd…
08-01 12:26:54	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x8c138c…
08-01 12:25:12	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x55f776…
08-01 12:24:57	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x657f5d…
08-01 11:50:27	cs2 ast10 mouz 2026 08 01	Astralis	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x56b0b0…
08-01 11:02:20	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x308a05…
08-01 11:02:11	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x8882f2…
08-01 10:59:11	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x341d48…
08-01 10:59:00	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x0cb909…
08-01 10:58:11	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0x779f5f…
08-01 10:57:02	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0xd64c6b…
08-01 10:53:11	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x0eebeb…
08-01 10:52:54	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x01baaf…
08-01 10:47:18	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x2880e1…
08-01 10:47:15	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	BUY	91	15¢	$14	0x68ae5f…
08-01 10:46:59	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5b50b3…
08-01 10:46:53	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	BUY	215	15¢	$32	0x4ad7f5…
08-01 10:46:18	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc4701f…
08-01 10:46:12	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x325b64…
08-01 10:46:11	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	BUY	850	82¢	$697	0x9845b2…
08-01 10:46:00	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	FaZe	BUY	430	15¢	$64	0x81f44e…
08-01 10:33:47	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	Spirit	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xd91b8b…
08-01 10:31:14	cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	Spirit	BUY	325	82¢	$266	0xe1623f…
08-01 10:09:38	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xdd128b…
07-31 14:08:27	Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x477f04…
07-30 12:59:35	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x3f57a7…
07-30 11:56:44	cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	Spirit	BUY	266	76¢	$202	0x151fcb…
07-30 11:27:20	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	279	90¢	$251	0x385d24…
07-28 16:03:40	will spirit make blast bounty grand finals 20260728153031424	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xabe4b0…
07-28 13:41:56	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x05a258…
07-27 10:24:37	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x8b0c66…