Realized P&L
-$25.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$617
Hit rate
6.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
8,255
lifetime
Volume
$536.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$9.51K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
43% 0% $-27,067
Other
41% 80% +$187
Crypto
9%
Sports
6% 67% +$1,104
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5,000 $4,300 92¢ $4.6K +$275 07-01 07:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -1,494 $-1,245 84¢ $-1248 $-3 07-04 11:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,335 $691 64¢ $861 +$170 06-05 20:17
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +800 $723 95¢ $763 +$40 07-09 12:28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +500 $364 78¢ $392 +$28 06-30 06:58
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +400 $324 96¢ $385 +$61 07-09 12:33
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +360 $320 93¢ $335 +$14 07-20 06:54
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -248 $-252 97¢ $-240 +$12 06-06 09:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +300 $246 74¢ $220 $-26 07-17 19:32
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +195 $155 88¢ $172 +$17 06-05 10:48
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +100 $79 86¢ $86 +$6 06-15 13:07
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +117 $57 64¢ $75 +$18 07-06 16:55
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +110 $72 65¢ $72 $-0 06-19 05:54
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +200 $66 31¢ $62 $-4 06-05 06:24
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +25 $15 91¢ $22 +$7 07-09 12:36