Realized P&L
-$25.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$202
Hit rate
6.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
7,755
lifetime
Volume
$499.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$40.8K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
46% 0% $-27,067
Other
38% 80% +$187
Crypto
10%
Sports
6% 67% +$1,104
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No -17,807 $-17,709 100¢ $-17771 $-63 06-17 20:09
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? No -4,666 $-4,663 100¢ $-4662 +$1 06-23 03:29
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? No -3,925 $-3,907 100¢ $-3922 $-15 06-01 10:01
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? No -3,745 $-3,734 100¢ $-3742 $-7 06-12 08:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -2,500 $-2,485 100¢ $-2496 $-11 06-20 01:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,740 86¢ $1.7K $-10 06-28 09:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +1,234 $1,189 100¢ $1.2K +$44 06-27 15:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -800 $-806 100¢ $-798 +$8 06-05 19:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,335 $691 56¢ $754 +$63 06-05 20:17
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +802 $725 93¢ $743 +$19 06-15 22:01
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +430 $383 100¢ $430 +$46 06-15 18:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -494 $-425 80¢ $-393 +$32 06-28 23:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +500 $364 74¢ $368 +$4 06-30 06:58
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? No +303 $298 100¢ $302 +$4 06-14 05:07
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -248 $-252 95¢ $-235 +$16 06-06 09:30
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -200 $-198 100¢ $-200 $-1 06-05 22:45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -200 $-199 100¢ $-200 $-1 06-08 21:01
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +195 $155 86¢ $168 +$13 06-05 10:48
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 +$1 06-09 15:25
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +100 $79 86¢ $86 +$6 06-15 13:07
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +93 $78 88¢ $82 +$4 06-15 21:23
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? No -70 $-70 100¢ $-70 $-0 06-16 23:12
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? No -70 $-70 100¢ $-70 $-0 06-17 20:56
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +110 $72 62¢ $69 $-3 06-19 05:54
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No +69 $55 89¢ $62 +$6 06-17 20:12
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +200 $66 30¢ $60 $-6 06-05 06:24
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No -46 $-94 95¢ $-44 +$51 06-05 09:05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +14 $12 100¢ $14 +$2 06-27 15:00