Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$59,568
$6,847 in 24h
Trades
824
Unique wallets
249
Liquidity
$48,858
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-28 01:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $32 | $10.4K | $10.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $34 | $9.5K | $9.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 49 | $172 | $3.5K | $3.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 148 | $47 | $3.8K | $3.7K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $44 | $99 | $55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $18 | $9.5K | $9.4K |
| Median | 35 | $17 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| Below median | 54 | $11 | $108 | $97 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 13 | $11 | $350 | $339 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $18 | $2.1K | $2.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $5 | $9.5K | $9.5K |
| unranked | 104 | $161 | $3.6K | $3.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | +7,559 | $8 | $8 | 36 | 06-27 12:06 |
| Sociable-Fibre 0xea79…e4b5 | No | +6,228 | $6,196 | $6,196 | 4 | 06-17 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a42…d2db | No | +2,237 | $2,176 | $2,176 | 1 | 05-28 06:52 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +2,049 | $2,038 | $2,038 | 1 | 06-17 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ae7…0235 | Yes | +2,043 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-26 00:16 |
| Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | +2,000 | $1,967 | $15,939 | 5 | 06-27 05:22 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +1,452 | $2 | $4 | 6 | 06-27 12:06 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,159 | $1 | $12 | 19 | 06-22 14:55 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1,000 | $0 | $4 | 3 | 06-27 12:06 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +892 | $-0 | $4 | 5 | 06-27 23:47 |
| Dismal-Moustache 0xa99c…08b4 | No | +451 | $448 | $1,292 | 5 | 06-22 14:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…df4c | Yes | +400 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-14 07:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e93…24b8 | No | +352 | $351 | $351 | 2 | 06-18 11:57 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-26 00:16 |
| Hateful-Gossip 0x6b19…6759 | Yes | +156 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-29 16:26 |
| Rigid-Grenade 0x6806…1eb4 | No | +143 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 06-25 12:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf63…3941 | No | +134 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-05 13:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2f2…53f8 | No | +134 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-25 04:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fe9…044a | No | +125 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 06-27 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d6c…3407 | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 18:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xabe2…17b4 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 05:32 |
| Neighboring-Secrecy 0xb03b…fe5b | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x9506…c548 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-22 05:29 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-22 21:34 |
| Pricey-End 0x39b5…18c8 | No | +82 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 06-26 07:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9df…cdbc | No | +72 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-26 04:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7007…5864 | No | +70 | $69 | $69 | 1 | 06-05 06:58 |
| Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $4 | 7 | 06-28 01:04 |
| Gleaming-Familiar 0x035f…33eb | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 20:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | +38 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 12:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +37 | $0 | $15 | 40 | 06-19 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x32f2…d5ca | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 06-04 05:35 |
| Closed-Roller 0xefb6…0b78 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-28 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd8e…01c1 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-05 20:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x838e…06ce | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 06-04 14:53 |
| Brief-Hybridization 0x3724…4f79 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-03 16:11 |
| Specific-Powder 0x059f…dc3b | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:19 |
| Kindly-Irrigation 0xf613…a512 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1472…5f3e | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:18 |
| Meek-Architect 0xb2d3…0344 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:19 |
| Grimy-Stop 0x8ae6…bc73 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:19 |
| Rusty-Muscatel 0x13a0…ada6 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:18 |
| Happy-Encouragement 0x259e…ffb8 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:19 |
| Striped-Zoology 0xdc27…6fa6 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:18 |
| Clean-Factor 0x7029…19b3 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-25 13:19 |
| Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-26 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-26 00:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 01:04:04 | (anonymous) 0x0704…6ab8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ac3f7… |
| 06-28 01:04:04 | Icy-Disk 0xa994…19a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ac3f7… |
| 06-27 23:47:38 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x481be1… |
| 06-27 23:47:38 | Meager-Contact 0xf0ac…c8f5 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x481be1… |
| 06-27 23:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xcbb1…fbcd | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x6d9f46… |
| 06-27 23:37:10 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d9f46… |
| 06-27 12:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 3,127 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x946950… |
| 06-27 12:06:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 288 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x946950… |
| 06-27 12:06:52 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x946950… |
| 06-27 12:06:52 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | SELL | 5,434 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x946950… |
| 06-27 12:06:52 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x946950… |
| 06-27 12:06:52 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x946950… |
| 06-27 06:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74c827… |
| 06-27 06:40:26 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74c827… |
| 06-27 06:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x8fe9…044a | No | BUY | 125 | 100¢ | $125 | 0x74c827… |
| 06-27 06:40:26 | (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x74c827… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Unfortunate-Negligee 0x5822…8774 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | (anonymous) 0xb545…9d97 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 2,172 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 7,000 | 100¢ | $6,986 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 146 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 05:22:22 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68c37e… |
| 06-27 00:17:49 | (anonymous) 0xc8c1…1e41 | No | SELL | 740 | 100¢ | $738 | 0xe53540… |
| 06-27 00:17:49 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 740 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe53540… |
| 06-27 00:10:02 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 284 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd61a19… |
| 06-27 00:10:02 | (anonymous) 0xc8c1…1e41 | No | SELL | 284 | 100¢ | $284 | 0xd61a19… |
| 06-26 23:58:37 | Sad-Circle 0x1759…6840 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa1c934… |
| 06-26 23:58:37 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1c934… |
| 06-26 23:52:04 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3bbfb9… |
| 06-26 23:52:04 | Fluid-Academics 0xf34c…1c41 | No | SELL | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x3bbfb9… |
| 06-26 23:43:37 | (anonymous) 0xc8c1…1e41 | No | BUY | 1,024 | 100¢ | $1,023 | 0xb1bb2f… |
| 06-26 23:43:37 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1,024 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb1bb2f… |
| 06-26 07:27:46 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4fa94c… |
| 06-26 07:27:46 | Miserable-Mast 0x59fd…037b | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x8bc411… |
| 06-26 07:27:46 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0aa083… |
| 06-26 07:27:46 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8bc411… |
| 06-26 07:27:46 | Clean-Speaker 0x20df…6770 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0aa083… |
| 06-26 07:27:46 | Ornery-Serum 0x6cc2…d9ef | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4fa94c… |
| 06-26 07:27:44 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf26e2e… |
| 06-26 07:27:44 | Fragrant-Elevation 0xf57a…93d3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf26e2e… |
| 06-26 07:27:43 | Grumpy-Anywhere 0x4887…82d2 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x2fc56d… |
| 06-26 07:27:43 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fc56d… |
| 06-26 07:27:32 | Hasty-Cartilage 0x3db9…515e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x51d30a… |
| 06-26 07:27:32 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b2f37… |
| 06-26 07:27:32 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x51d30a… |
| 06-26 07:27:32 | Long-Term-Infancy 0x3904…908d | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5b2f37… |
| 06-26 07:27:31 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0b7e28… |
| 06-26 07:27:31 | Nocturnal-Surprise 0x3d91…b320 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0b7e28… |
| 06-26 07:27:22 | Unnatural-Valentine 0xd792…a36d | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0f09d4… |
| 06-26 07:27:22 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f09d4… |
| 06-26 07:27:20 | Caring-Birdcage 0x59b5…1cdc | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x969d2a… |
| 06-26 07:27:20 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x969d2a… |
| 06-26 07:04:37 | Pricey-End 0x39b5…18c8 | No | BUY | 82 | 100¢ | $82 | 0x359ca6… |
| 06-26 07:04:37 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 82 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x359ca6… |
| 06-26 06:59:31 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x037e2e… |
| 06-26 06:59:31 | Clean-Speaker 0x20df…6770 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x037e2e… |
| 06-26 06:59:29 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69f9d9… |
| 06-26 06:59:29 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfacd89… |
| 06-26 06:59:29 | Miserable-Mast 0x59fd…037b | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfacd89… |
| 06-26 06:59:29 | Caring-Birdcage 0x59b5…1cdc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x69f9d9… |
| 06-26 06:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56c26c… |
| 06-26 06:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x85cbb1… |
| 06-26 06:59:28 | Ornery-Serum 0x6cc2…d9ef | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x56c26c… |
| 06-26 06:59:28 | Fragrant-Elevation 0xf57a…93d3 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x85cbb1… |
| 06-26 06:59:26 | Grumpy-Anywhere 0x4887…82d2 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe8b203… |
| 06-26 06:59:26 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8b203… |
| 06-26 06:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0c5e63… |
| 06-26 06:59:25 | Long-Term-Infancy 0x3904…908d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0c5e63… |
| 06-26 06:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1e4c1a… |
| 06-26 06:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1eaccf… |
| 06-26 06:59:23 | Hasty-Cartilage 0x3db9…515e | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1e4c1a… |
| 06-26 06:59:23 | Unnatural-Valentine 0xd792…a36d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x1eaccf… |
| 06-26 06:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7de4d0… |
| 06-26 06:59:22 | Nocturnal-Surprise 0x3d91…b320 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7de4d0… |
| 06-26 06:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4d813… |
| 06-26 06:23:28 | Neighboring-Secrecy 0xb03b…fe5b | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xc4d813… |
| 06-26 05:32:43 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7aa129… |
| 06-26 05:32:43 | (anonymous) 0xabe2…17b4 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x7aa129… |
| 06-26 04:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 72 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x81a03a… |
| 06-26 04:21:41 | (anonymous) 0xb9df…cdbc | No | BUY | 72 | 100¢ | $72 | 0x81a03a… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x2a3c…62af | Yes | BUY | 1,927 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | Firm-Tailbud 0x92bb…1afb | Yes | SELL | 7,560 | 0¢ | $8 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0x6ae7…0235 | Yes | BUY | 1,806 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | Genuine-Vintage 0x0e5c…3036 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |
| 06-26 00:16:32 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02ea85… |