Grumpy-Anywhere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$279

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-01 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

52% 33% $-0

Politics

23% 0% $-0

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-0

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 01:15
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-03 02:03
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 03:16
saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:35
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 04:02
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-13 02:58
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 02:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 07:06
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 06:28
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:15
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:58
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 04:52
hood up or down on february 19 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-19 06:07
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 03:30
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 02:58
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:36
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 07:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 01:36
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:29
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 01:52
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:29
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 03:33
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:54
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-21 04:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 02:39
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-17 07:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 03:07:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x974fd5…
07-01 02:56:26	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x456fcb…
06-30 09:29:31	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed7d49…
06-30 09:27:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5139b7…
06-30 09:03:29	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf251b1…
06-30 08:56:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b02f9…
06-29 02:59:32	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9a54e0…
06-29 02:49:35	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1d06f…
06-27 03:16:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb39b5…
06-27 03:07:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab2bc7…
06-26 07:27:43	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2fc56d…
06-26 06:59:26	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8b203…
06-25 04:31:47	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x47afaf…
06-25 04:31:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x92726d…
06-25 03:54:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87a983…
06-25 03:48:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x99f5e9…
06-24 01:25:44	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd40ee3…
06-24 00:55:01	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x399d7e…
06-23 03:38:56	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18cca5…
06-23 03:23:14	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85930c…
06-22 00:38:05	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb13987…
06-22 00:37:14	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0a6e0…
06-21 04:16:38	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b1aa4…
06-21 04:16:04	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8492f3…
06-21 03:34:37	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f67ac…
06-21 03:29:56	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc14e74…
06-18 03:05:08	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x169b9e…
06-18 02:57:41	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f7ffd…
06-17 07:33:11	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x73dda0…
06-17 07:09:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7eec68…
06-16 03:53:55	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x45eb76…
06-16 03:31:51	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6458a5…
06-15 03:43:43	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f4aee…
06-15 03:24:04	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf47cd…
06-13 03:41:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8ec21…
06-13 03:41:36	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacacb0…
06-13 03:25:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc2e57…
06-13 03:18:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d6648…
06-12 03:36:19	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbcc383…
06-12 03:35:45	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab838e…
06-12 03:24:13	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x615625…
06-12 03:20:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6c4a2…
06-11 03:28:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbe54ef…
06-11 03:12:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x501808…
06-10 03:21:13	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3019f…
06-09 04:20:24	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6fdbd0…
06-09 03:13:40	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91f756…
06-08 02:55:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3489da…
06-08 02:22:36	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b0816…
06-06 03:30:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b97f3…
06-06 03:15:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08d5ab…
06-05 03:23:37	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd9e46e…
06-05 03:04:21	Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x02370c…
06-03 07:44:52	will spike lee attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730804	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdbd696…
06-03 07:03:05	will spike lee attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730804	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x667a33…
06-02 02:44:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf042bb…
06-02 02:44:05	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c0cff…
06-02 02:31:26	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8f3cfa…
06-02 02:25:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $185?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0243e0…
06-01 03:54:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x85080d…
06-01 03:29:06	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6a4e5…
05-30 03:33:01	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc64b00…
05-30 03:07:03	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2593c6…
05-29 03:29:10	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71b59a…
05-29 03:11:49	Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f8c6b…
05-28 03:31:15	Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xbc4770…
05-28 03:30:40	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8daa2a…
05-28 03:16:44	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70a830…
05-26 03:57:54	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 28?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3ea339…
05-26 03:16:55	Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ad89d…
05-19 03:02:34	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x943407…
05-19 02:41:55	Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x91ed31…
05-18 03:27:54	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2f4a12…
05-18 03:02:02	Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d9d4b…
05-16 03:04:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xde1265…
05-16 02:24:15	Gemini 3.2 released by May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x194072…
05-14 03:00:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x26fa1c…
05-14 02:47:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb4e401…
05-13 02:59:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x480774…
05-13 02:58:42	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd42e4…
05-13 02:40:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1a482f…
05-13 02:37:20	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36f82d…
05-12 03:11:16	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0cb667…
05-12 02:58:29	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9b668…
05-11 02:35:33	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4c6a71…
05-11 02:26:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe76691…
05-08 02:59:06	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7710f3…
05-08 02:58:24	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x60e82b…
05-08 02:47:26	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3e3a75…
05-08 02:45:04	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x502763…
05-07 03:02:18	Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xea9dfe…
05-07 03:01:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xce879c…
05-07 02:28:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa4e813…
05-07 02:24:23	Will Citrea launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x81ddde…
05-06 02:45:08	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa32223…
05-06 02:38:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x46467f…
04-29 02:36:22	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x57b63f…
04-29 02:35:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3bdcc1…
04-29 02:32:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8982ab…
04-29 02:30:12	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3763ee…