Grumpy-Anywhere — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.1%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$329

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-22 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

53% 33% $-0

Politics

24% 0% $-0

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

7% 0% $-0

Sports

6% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	18	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 01:15
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by April 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-03 02:03
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-27 03:16
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 03:35
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-26 04:02
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-13 02:58
will bayern mnchen reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 02:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-25 07:06
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 06:28
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 11 be less than 60	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 03:15
will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-24 00:58
will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-15 02:51
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 19 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 04:52
hood up or down on february 19 2026	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-19 06:07
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	06-06 03:30
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-08 02:58
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-10 01:19
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 01:36
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-26 07:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 14 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-14 01:36
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-12 01:29
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 01:52
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-25 04:31
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 03:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 02:29
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 03:33
will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:54
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-21 04:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-04 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 04:21:18	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb337df…
07-22 03:43:00	will afghanistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x211ae4…
07-21 07:51:22	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x24d284…
07-21 07:27:49	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 17 2026 20260714210903831	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a0c9a…
07-20 04:15:42	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1af64d…
07-20 03:47:40	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d89f1…
07-18 04:31:48	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b4f24…
07-18 04:31:12	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x34408f…
07-18 04:02:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 17 2026 20260714212508551	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4573ba…
07-18 03:56:46	will the next claude opus model be released by december 31 2026 20260701204710235 479 775 943	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x225909…
07-17 07:17:12	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf84efe…
07-17 06:57:42	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8fa53…
07-16 03:41:47	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x04b115…
07-16 03:40:46	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e34a4…
07-16 03:18:22	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59f0d6…
07-16 03:12:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0aa29a…
07-15 02:52:10	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe9b22b…
07-15 02:51:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xde09ff…
07-15 02:42:34	will usd fall to 1pt4m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325084	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc78341…
07-15 02:39:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e2d9a…
07-14 09:48:16	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xaa9131…
07-14 09:18:46	Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1eecc7…
07-13 03:35:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4a8414…
07-13 03:17:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe0521a…
07-11 09:53:34	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9acd61…
07-11 09:52:59	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe98457…
07-11 09:43:05	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa0feae…
07-11 09:37:17	will ed miliband be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533209	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd54d7b…
07-10 03:11:43	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x23bbfb…
07-10 02:54:23	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbe7a09…
07-09 07:04:16	bitcoin above 54k on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6a1ce7…
07-09 06:50:29	bitcoin above 54k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99521b…
07-08 03:39:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x46d5f3…
07-08 03:38:46	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4655b7…
07-08 03:19:16	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf57406…
07-08 03:13:28	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3eb027…
07-07 06:49:10	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81ba5d…
07-07 06:30:29	dario amodei arrested by december 31 20260702002059924	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc2de19…
07-04 02:36:19	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x62d7ad…
07-04 02:35:52	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0e9098…
07-04 02:24:49	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa6ac1…
07-04 02:14:32	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x801c65…
07-03 09:04:19	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9ea813…
07-03 09:03:41	Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc7ffa1…
07-03 08:49:31	Will Scotiabank fail by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe60a58…
07-03 08:43:17	Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xae5892…
07-02 03:29:56	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x28aed4…
07-02 03:28:52	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x352e79…
07-02 03:16:20	over 3m committed to the squid public sale	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e05a8…
07-02 03:10:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 1 2026 20260630182730879	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b3529…
07-01 03:07:10	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x974fd5…
07-01 02:56:26	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x456fcb…
06-30 09:29:31	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed7d49…
06-30 09:27:43	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5139b7…
06-30 09:03:29	will solana reach 95 on june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf251b1…
06-30 08:56:31	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b02f9…
06-29 02:59:32	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9a54e0…
06-29 02:49:35	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa1d06f…
06-27 03:16:56	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb39b5…
06-27 03:07:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab2bc7…
06-26 07:27:43	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2fc56d…
06-26 06:59:26	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8b203…
06-25 04:31:47	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x47afaf…
06-25 04:31:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x92726d…
06-25 03:54:16	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87a983…
06-25 03:48:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x99f5e9…
06-24 01:25:44	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd40ee3…
06-24 00:55:01	Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x399d7e…
06-23 03:38:56	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x18cca5…
06-23 03:23:14	will tori launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85930c…
06-22 00:38:05	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb13987…
06-22 00:37:14	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0a6e0…
06-21 04:16:38	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b1aa4…
06-21 04:16:04	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8492f3…
06-21 03:34:37	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f67ac…
06-21 03:29:56	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc14e74…
06-18 03:05:08	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x169b9e…
06-18 02:57:41	Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6f7ffd…
06-17 07:33:11	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x73dda0…
06-17 07:09:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7eec68…
06-16 03:53:55	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x45eb76…
06-16 03:31:51	us evacuates beirut embassy by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6458a5…
06-15 03:43:43	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f4aee…
06-15 03:24:04	will tabi launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf47cd…
06-13 03:41:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe8ec21…
06-13 03:41:36	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xacacb0…
06-13 03:25:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc2e57…
06-13 03:18:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4d6648…
06-12 03:36:19	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbcc383…
06-12 03:35:45	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab838e…
06-12 03:24:13	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x615625…
06-12 03:20:58	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc6c4a2…
06-11 03:28:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbe54ef…
06-11 03:12:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x501808…
06-10 03:21:13	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc3019f…
06-09 04:20:24	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6fdbd0…
06-09 03:13:40	Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91f756…
06-08 02:55:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3489da…
06-08 02:22:36	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b0816…
06-06 03:30:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b97f3…