Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$1,097
Trades
153
Unique wallets
50
Liquidity
$160
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
28¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 12:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $259 | $56 | +$203 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $25 | $13 | +$12 |
| 🐟 Fish | 17 | $50 | $16 | +$34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $113 | $93 | +$19 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $77 | $42 | +$35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $22 | $5 | +$18 |
| Median | 4 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Below median | 8 | $19 | $27 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $11 | $11 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $140 | $18 | +$122 |
| unranked | 18 | $163 | $76 | +$87 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +129 | $30 | $36 | 10 | 06-30 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | Yes | +113 | $102 | $102 | 5 | 06-24 17:01 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +111 | $83 | $126 | 15 | 06-20 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d2d…65f6 | No | +99 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-30 07:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +84 | $52 | $75 | 3 | 06-30 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | +84 | $17 | $17 | 16 | 06-12 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +77 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 07-01 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xcaf4…191b | No | +62 | $16 | $24 | 3 | 06-30 09:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +50 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-19 13:05 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +31 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-20 08:37 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +30 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 03:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0f5…72bc | No | +24 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-28 03:43 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +21 | $5 | $9 | 4 | 06-30 10:03 |
| Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | Yes | +18 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 06-15 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-01 12:04 |
| Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-28 03:43 |
| ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-01 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7118…f07c | No | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 12:04 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-24 17:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 13:26 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 05:24 |
| Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 12:42 |
| Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-15 12:43 |
| Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $21 | 5 | 06-28 21:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4722…7db5 | No | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 15:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc77…dc8b | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 09:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 12:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 61¢ | $8 | 0x9dc2f9… |
| 07-01 12:04:34 | (anonymous) 0x7118…f07c | No | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x9dc2f9… |
| 07-01 12:04:29 | ProfessionalPunter 0x22e4…ef1c | No | BUY | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xf48cff… |
| 07-01 12:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 71¢ | $11 | 0xf48cff… |
| 06-30 10:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xe165…6a1a | No | SELL | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x4c75cf… |
| 06-30 10:03:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x4c75cf… |
| 06-30 09:20:59 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 42 | 28¢ | $12 | 0x836e7c… |
| 06-30 09:20:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 26 | 28¢ | $7 | 0x836e7c… |
| 06-30 09:20:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x836e7c… |
| 06-30 09:17:26 | (anonymous) 0xcaf4…191b | No | SELL | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x4c482b… |
| 06-30 09:17:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x4c482b… |
| 06-30 07:14:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 64¢ | $58 | 0xba46d3… |
| 06-30 07:14:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xba46d3… |
| 06-30 07:14:11 | (anonymous) 0x4d2d…65f6 | No | BUY | 99 | 36¢ | $36 | 0xba46d3… |
| 06-28 21:00:56 | (anonymous) 0xcaf4…191b | No | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x5d3bd8… |
| 06-28 21:00:56 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x5d3bd8… |
| 06-28 03:43:07 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xc14a0f… |
| 06-28 03:43:07 | Near-Tell 0x651a…22e9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0xc14a0f… |
| 06-28 03:43:07 | (anonymous) 0xf0f5…72bc | No | BUY | 24 | 40¢ | $10 | 0xc14a0f… |
| 06-24 17:01:28 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe80ba4… |
| 06-24 17:01:28 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $11 | 0xe80ba4… |
| 06-20 21:55:37 | (anonymous) 0xcaf4…191b | No | BUY | 77 | 26¢ | $20 | 0x392802… |
| 06-20 21:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 64 | 74¢ | $48 | 0x392802… |
| 06-20 21:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x392802… |
| 06-20 08:37:32 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb7deb7… |
| 06-20 08:37:32 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb7deb7… |
| 06-20 03:51:56 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x88d3d0… |
| 06-20 03:51:56 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x88d3d0… |
| 06-20 03:51:56 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x88d3d0… |
| 06-20 03:35:04 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x40d9ce… |
| 06-20 03:35:04 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x40d9ce… |
| 06-19 13:26:22 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x99d39f… |
| 06-19 13:26:22 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x99d39f… |
| 06-19 13:05:49 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x59da77… |
| 06-19 13:05:49 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 91¢ | $52 | 0x59da77… |
| 06-19 13:05:49 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x59da77… |
| 06-19 13:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x59da77… |
| 06-19 13:04:50 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xf74b82… |
| 06-19 13:04:50 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 89¢ | $24 | 0xf74b82… |
| 06-19 05:35:10 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0xdc21d3… |
| 06-19 05:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xdc21d3… |
| 06-17 19:26:47 | (anonymous) 0xd87d…ae50 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xfc27f2… |
| 06-17 19:26:47 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xfc27f2… |
| 06-15 15:58:09 | (anonymous) 0xaa6a…21c3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xc9e452… |
| 06-15 15:58:09 | (anonymous) 0xbb28…74f4 | Yes | SELL | 203 | 92¢ | $187 | 0xc9e452… |
| 06-15 15:58:09 | (anonymous) 0xa680…c13f | No | SELL | 262 | 8¢ | $21 | 0xc9e452… |
| 06-15 15:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x668b…3884 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0xc9e452… |
| 06-15 15:58:09 | (anonymous) 0x68ba…0e6a | Yes | SELL | 21 | 92¢ | $19 | 0xc9e452… |
| 06-15 13:24:10 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x071496… |
| 06-15 13:24:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x071496… |
| 06-15 13:24:00 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x221093… |
| 06-15 13:24:00 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x221093… |
| 06-15 13:23:55 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x188ef9… |
| 06-15 13:23:55 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x188ef9… |
| 06-15 13:06:40 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf5ac24… |
| 06-15 13:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 6 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf5ac24… |
| 06-15 13:06:40 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | SELL | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0xf5ac24… |
| 06-15 13:06:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xf5ac24… |
| 06-15 13:06:40 | (anonymous) 0xd641…0635 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xf5ac24… |
| 06-15 13:00:57 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 19 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x62313a… |
| 06-15 13:00:57 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 27 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x62313a… |
| 06-15 13:00:57 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x62313a… |
| 06-15 12:49:13 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | No | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xcae14f… |
| 06-15 12:49:13 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0xcae14f… |
| 06-15 12:43:21 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x395e5b… |
| 06-15 12:43:21 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x395e5b… |
| 06-15 12:43:00 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x988791… |
| 06-15 12:43:00 | Good-Natured-Permit 0x530f…424e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x988791… |
| 06-15 12:43:00 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 72¢ | $13 | 0x447e7e… |
| 06-15 12:43:00 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 18 | 28¢ | $5 | 0x447e7e… |
| 06-15 12:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 3 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xbfc5f5… |
| 06-15 12:42:58 | Super-Arena 0x28ab…2048 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xbfc5f5… |
| 06-15 12:42:58 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 9 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xbfc5f5… |
| 06-15 12:21:27 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xef0963… |
| 06-15 12:21:27 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 11 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xef0963… |
| 06-15 12:21:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xef0963… |
| 06-15 05:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x870f…b9d7 | No | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb05f60… |
| 06-15 05:53:10 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb05f60… |
| 06-14 13:26:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xe8592a… |
| 06-14 13:26:03 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xe8592a… |
| 06-14 13:26:03 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xe8592a… |
| 06-14 07:48:10 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xadf8db… |
| 06-14 07:48:10 | All-Snakebite 0x5571…bdcf | Yes | SELL | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0xadf8db… |
| 06-12 10:08:09 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x9b2dfa… |
| 06-12 10:08:09 | Guilty-Spring 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x9b2dfa… |
| 06-12 06:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x5bbf28… |
| 06-12 06:27:28 | Insubstantial-Hurry-Bronchitis 0x897a…4194 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x5bbf28… |
| 06-12 04:20:22 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x58127b… |
| 06-12 04:20:22 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x58127b… |
| 06-12 03:56:24 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xf1fd5f… |
| 06-12 03:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xf1fd5f… |
| 06-12 03:41:27 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x4936ba… |
| 06-12 03:41:27 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x4936ba… |
| 06-12 03:38:22 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb1e51e… |
| 06-12 03:38:22 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xb1e51e… |
| 06-12 03:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 78¢ | $0 | 0x8aa2dd… |
| 06-12 03:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x8aa2dd… |
| 06-12 02:20:25 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x893a4a… |
| 06-12 02:20:25 | (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | BUY | 9 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x893a4a… |
| 06-12 02:16:48 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 28 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x1093ef… |