Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$16,767
Trades
563
Unique wallets
155
Liquidity
$160
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
4¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-22 16:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.6¢
(top1%: 81% YES on $74
vs crowd: 92% YES on $15.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 18 | $2.3K | $176 | +$2.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $1.9K | $104 | +$1.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 40 | $9.2K | $92 | +$9.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 71 | $625 | $838 | $212 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $60 | $14 | +$45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $135 | $99 | +$37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $525 | $16 | +$509 |
| Median | 24 | $1.8K | $9 | +$1.7K |
| Below median | 13 | $77 | $32 | +$45 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $223 | $34 | +$189 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $974 | $36 | +$938 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $981 | $19 | +$962 |
| unranked | 72 | $9.3K | $951 | +$8.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x714d…c177 | No | +4,839 | $436 | $436 | 2 | 07-13 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfde3…719a | Yes | +4,823 | $4,389 | $4,389 | 1 | 07-13 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | +4,356 | $154 | $154 | 10 | 07-20 03:29 |
| Soupy-Gynaecology 0xbbae…2d51 | Yes | +1,225 | $1,184 | $1,184 | 2 | 07-19 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x67ea…87cc | Yes | +1,062 | $954 | $954 | 12 | 07-09 06:01 |
| Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | +1,011 | $985 | $985 | 3 | 07-22 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | +1,009 | $931 | $931 | 8 | 07-18 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +967 | $914 | $914 | 14 | 07-18 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +773 | $73 | $73 | 7 | 07-19 16:22 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +757 | $714 | $959 | 19 | 07-19 16:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xcda4…1d82 | Yes | +616 | $595 | $595 | 1 | 07-20 00:05 |
| Tidy-Horde-Nit 0xdba4…6977 | No | +598 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-22 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8b8…dd39 | Yes | +548 | $526 | $526 | 2 | 07-18 13:46 |
| Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | +368 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-13 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | +348 | $37 | $37 | 9 | 07-13 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xdeef…a391 | No | +327 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-20 05:47 |
| Darling-Demand 0x6bdb…4496 | Yes | +300 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 07-19 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +287 | $277 | $277 | 3 | 07-18 13:46 |
| Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | +271 | $259 | $259 | 5 | 07-19 18:44 |
| Ugly-Advertising 0xeae4…ad95 | No | +256 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-14 18:08 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +197 | $1 | $49 | 9 | 07-20 05:47 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +165 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-20 19:56 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | No | +144 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-12 14:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +129 | $30 | $36 | 10 | 06-30 09:20 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +110 | $13 | $21 | 8 | 07-22 07:53 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +107 | $2 | $5 | 4 | 07-20 19:56 |
| Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | Yes | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-22 00:21 |
| Lone-Glutamate 0xc682…17bb | Yes | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-16 12:32 |
| Mad-Standing 0xd697…def2 | Yes | +100 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 07-11 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x43af…aee0 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-20 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x3784…1f34 | No | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 03:34 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-20 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x58cc…7398 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d2d…65f6 | No | +99 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-30 07:14 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +99 | $-7 | $35 | 13 | 07-21 02:10 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +84 | $52 | $75 | 3 | 06-30 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | +84 | $17 | $17 | 16 | 06-12 10:08 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +62 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-19 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x41c5…fa6a | No | +62 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-14 06:03 |
| Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | +61 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-13 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-13 17:30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +60 | $1 | $20 | 12 | 07-20 19:56 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +59 | $57 | $232 | 10 | 07-22 07:53 |
| Haunting-Rain 0x8ad8…8125 | Yes | +59 | $52 | $52 | 7 | 07-08 03:29 |
| Haunting-Rain 0x8ad8…8125 | No | +58 | $7 | $7 | 6 | 07-08 02:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-20 05:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +50 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-19 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xee62…84dc | Yes | +47 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 07-13 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +40 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-08 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x33b3…d03d | Yes | +39 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 07-14 12:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6600…a84e | No | +36 | $50 | $115 | 3 | 07-11 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9276…37a3 | No | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xcaf4…191b | No | +32 | $13 | $27 | 4 | 07-04 08:31 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +30 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 03:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-07 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb83…606f | Yes | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 07-19 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x95d4…897f | Yes | +27 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-14 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa530…d2ee | Yes | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-13 05:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x199f…06ee | Yes | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-13 16:07 |
| Content-Equality 0x13a5…6b30 | Yes | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-20 03:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 103 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Tidy-Horde-Nit 0xdba4…6977 | No | BUY | 598 | 3¢ | $20 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | BUY | 477 | 97¢ | $463 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xdfe3…3e6f | No | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 09:56:57 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdfeb72… |
| 07-22 09:56:57 | Yearly-Mood 0x02a1…971e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdfeb72… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 03:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x3784…1f34 | No | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x34aaaf… |
| 07-22 03:34:25 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x34aaaf… |
| 07-22 00:21:55 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaae7d5… |
| 07-22 00:21:55 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xaae7d5… |
| 07-21 15:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x990c57… |
| 07-21 15:09:58 | Zesty-Decimal 0x9306…c72e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x990c57… |
| 07-21 02:10:39 | (anonymous) 0xfacf…1b2e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd7f609… |
| 07-21 02:10:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd7f609… |
| 07-20 19:57:09 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd58334… |
| 07-20 19:57:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd58334… |
| 07-20 19:56:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xad350e… |
| 07-20 19:56:46 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xad350e… |
| 07-20 19:56:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3c55cd… |
| 07-20 19:56:22 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3c55cd… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x43af…aee0 | No | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | BUY | 511 | 98¢ | $500 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | BUY | 131 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 92 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 08:07:39 | (anonymous) 0xecb8…ee2d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x9055ff… |
| 07-20 08:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9055ff… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 33 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xe5c2…6b76 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xdeef…a391 | No | BUY | 327 | 5¢ | $15 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 123 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 111 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 03:29:39 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x794b54… |
| 07-20 03:29:39 | Content-Equality 0x13a5…6b30 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x794b54… |
| 07-20 00:05:49 | (anonymous) 0xcda4…1d82 | Yes | BUY | 616 | 97¢ | $595 | 0x0038ac… |
| 07-20 00:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 616 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x0038ac… |
| 07-19 22:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 3¢ | $33 | 0xe4f720… |
| 07-19 22:40:30 | Soupy-Gynaecology 0xbbae…2d51 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 97¢ | $967 | 0xe4f720… |
| 07-19 22:38:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 79 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xff89de… |
| 07-19 22:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 79 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xff89de… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 79 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 111 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | Soupy-Gynaecology 0xbbae…2d51 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 96¢ | $217 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 20:58:39 | (anonymous) 0xbc77…dc8b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbed1dd… |
| 07-19 20:58:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbed1dd… |
| 07-19 18:49:51 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0xc19606… |
| 07-19 18:49:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc19606… |
| 07-19 18:47:06 | Zealous-Passage 0xfb74…ae29 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x7c42c8… |
| 07-19 18:47:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c42c8… |
| 07-19 18:45:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3b75ac… |
| 07-19 18:45:06 | (anonymous) 0x7fc2…ed58 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3b75ac… |
| 07-19 18:44:49 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x486eb3… |
| 07-19 18:44:49 | Ancient-Toughguy 0xf432…dd47 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x486eb3… |
| 07-19 18:44:49 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | BUY | 62 | 95¢ | $60 | 0x486eb3… |
| 07-19 16:22:19 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x73fd42… |
| 07-19 16:22:19 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x73fd42… |
| 07-19 16:22:19 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9d9e33… |
| 07-19 16:22:19 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x9d9e33… |
| 07-19 15:57:51 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x965b08… |
| 07-19 15:57:51 | (anonymous) 0x3f88…3713 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x965b08… |
| 07-19 15:57:51 | (anonymous) 0xbb83…606f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x965b08… |
| 07-19 12:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x932636… |
| 07-19 12:04:48 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x932636… |
| 07-19 12:04:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2f7a50… |
| 07-19 12:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2f7a50… |
| 07-19 12:04:46 | Darling-Demand 0x6bdb…4496 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 97¢ | $290 | 0x2f7a50… |
| 07-19 12:04:46 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x2f7a50… |
| 07-19 12:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 69 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2f7a50… |
| 07-19 12:04:46 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 97¢ | $77 | 0x2f7a50… |
| 07-19 06:05:40 | (anonymous) 0xbb83…606f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0x6edba3… |
| 07-19 06:05:40 | (anonymous) 0x166d…42a4 | No | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x6edba3… |
| 07-18 13:53:10 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 241 | 96¢ | $231 | 0x163e3a… |
| 07-18 13:53:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 241 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x163e3a… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 1,341 | 4¢ | $47 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 209 | 96¢ | $201 | 0x5c443b… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 51 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | (anonymous) 0xc8b8…dd39 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 96¢ | $480 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 209 | 4¢ | $8 | 0x5c443b… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 96¢ | $77 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | No | SELL | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:12 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 96¢ | $202 | 0xe5d624… |
| 07-18 13:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | BUY | 209 | 96¢ | $201 | 0xd563f0… |
| 07-18 13:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 762 | 4¢ | $30 | 0x4caa1c… |
| 07-18 13:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 209 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xd563f0… |
| 07-18 13:46:10 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 762 | 96¢ | $732 | 0x4caa1c… |
| 07-18 13:41:07 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe6bc71… |
| 07-18 13:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | No | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe6bc71… |
| 07-18 13:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe6bc71… |