Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
open
Total volume
$30,974
Trades
608
Unique wallets
165
Liquidity
$160
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-07-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-23 14:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.0¢
(top1%: 81% YES on $74
vs crowd: 96% YES on $27.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $14.0K | $194 | +$13.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $2.2K | $104 | +$2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 41 | $9.2K | $92 | +$9.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 77 | $825 | $848 | $22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $60 | $14 | +$45 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $319 | $99 | +$220 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $1.9K | $17 | +$1.9K |
| Median | 23 | $574 | $10 | +$564 |
| Below median | 15 | $77 | $33 | +$44 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $223 | $34 | +$189 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $5.9K | $34 | +$5.9K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $7.7K | $39 | +$7.7K |
| unranked | 75 | $9.5K | $958 | +$8.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | +8,998 | $15 | $19 | 4 | 07-23 14:32 |
| Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc | Yes | +6,706 | $6,694 | $6,694 | 3 | 07-23 14:01 |
| Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | +5,000 | $4,995 | $4,995 | 1 | 07-23 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x714d…c177 | No | +4,839 | $436 | $436 | 2 | 07-13 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfde3…719a | Yes | +4,823 | $4,389 | $4,389 | 1 | 07-13 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | +4,356 | $154 | $154 | 10 | 07-20 03:29 |
| Soupy-Gynaecology 0xbbae…2d51 | Yes | +1,225 | $1,184 | $1,184 | 2 | 07-19 22:40 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +1,063 | $14 | $22 | 9 | 07-23 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | +1,014 | $936 | $936 | 9 | 07-23 03:36 |
| Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | +1,011 | $985 | $985 | 3 | 07-22 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +967 | $914 | $914 | 14 | 07-18 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +773 | $73 | $73 | 7 | 07-19 16:22 |
| Tidy-Horde-Nit 0xdba4…6977 | No | +634 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 07-23 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xcda4…1d82 | Yes | +616 | $595 | $595 | 1 | 07-20 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8b8…dd39 | Yes | +548 | $526 | $526 | 2 | 07-18 13:46 |
| Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | +430 | $419 | $419 | 6 | 07-23 13:48 |
| Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | +390 | $0 | $3 | 22 | 07-23 13:48 |
| Puny-Prevalence 0xb835…2e51 | No | +368 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-13 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | No | +348 | $37 | $37 | 9 | 07-13 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xdeef…a391 | No | +327 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-20 05:47 |
| Darling-Demand 0x6bdb…4496 | Yes | +300 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 07-19 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | Yes | +287 | $277 | $277 | 3 | 07-18 13:46 |
| Ugly-Advertising 0xeae4…ad95 | No | +256 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-14 18:08 |
| Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | Yes | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 07-23 13:48 |
| Weak-Sanctity 0x21d5…9925 | Yes | +184 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 07-23 13:48 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | +165 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-20 19:56 |
| Scarce-Footnote 0x714f…66d5 | No | +144 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-12 14:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +129 | $30 | $36 | 10 | 06-30 09:20 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +107 | $2 | $5 | 4 | 07-20 19:56 |
| Mad-Standing 0xd697…def2 | Yes | +100 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 07-11 12:01 |
| Lone-Glutamate 0xc682…17bb | Yes | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-16 12:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x3784…1f34 | No | +100 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-22 03:34 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +100 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-20 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x43af…aee0 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-20 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x58cc…7398 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d2d…65f6 | No | +99 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-30 07:14 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +99 | $-7 | $35 | 13 | 07-21 02:10 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +86 | $-6 | $55 | 11 | 07-23 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xae30…cd4d | No | +85 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 03:36 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +84 | $52 | $75 | 3 | 06-30 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8217…c7c1 | No | +84 | $17 | $17 | 16 | 06-12 10:08 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | Yes | +62 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 07-19 18:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x41c5…fa6a | No | +62 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-14 06:03 |
| Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | No | +61 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-13 13:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | Yes | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 07-13 17:30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +60 | $1 | $20 | 12 | 07-20 19:56 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +59 | $57 | $232 | 10 | 07-22 07:53 |
| Haunting-Rain 0x8ad8…8125 | Yes | +59 | $52 | $52 | 7 | 07-08 03:29 |
| Haunting-Rain 0x8ad8…8125 | No | +58 | $7 | $7 | 6 | 07-08 02:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-20 05:47 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +50 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-19 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xee62…84dc | Yes | +47 | $46 | $46 | 2 | 07-13 15:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x33b3…d03d | Yes | +39 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 07-14 12:53 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +30 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-12 03:56 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-07 02:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | Yes | +30 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 07-23 13:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb83…606f | Yes | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 07-19 15:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x95d4…897f | Yes | +27 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 07-14 08:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa530…d2ee | Yes | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-13 05:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 14:32:42 | (anonymous) 0x67ea…87cc | Yes | SELL | 1,062 | 100¢ | $1,061 | 0x9e6322… |
| 07-23 14:32:42 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | SELL | 1,062 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9e6322… |
| 07-23 14:14:49 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | SELL | 952 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf8d288… |
| 07-23 14:14:49 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 952 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf8d288… |
| 07-23 14:01:45 | Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe1cd12… |
| 07-23 14:01:45 | (anonymous) 0x978b…2add | Yes | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe1cd12… |
| 07-23 13:57:01 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc5d63… |
| 07-23 13:57:01 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbc5d63… |
| 07-23 13:55:28 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xd41bcc… |
| 07-23 13:55:28 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd41bcc… |
| 07-23 13:55:28 | Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc | Yes | BUY | 4,851 | 100¢ | $4,841 | 0xd41bcc… |
| 07-23 13:55:28 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | No | BUY | 11,000 | 0¢ | $17 | 0xd41bcc… |
| 07-23 13:55:28 | Gummy-Theater 0x562b…dc09 | Yes | BUY | 5,000 | 100¢ | $4,995 | 0xd41bcc… |
| 07-23 13:55:28 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 144 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd41bcc… |
| 07-23 13:51:24 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94246b… |
| 07-23 13:51:24 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | Yes | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x94246b… |
| 07-23 13:51:12 | (anonymous) 0x166d…42a4 | No | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d41ee… |
| 07-23 13:51:12 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d41ee… |
| 07-23 13:51:12 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d41ee… |
| 07-23 13:49:06 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 365 | 100¢ | $364 | 0x937fd6… |
| 07-23 13:49:06 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 365 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x937fd6… |
| 07-23 13:48:52 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | SELL | 391 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x780aa8… |
| 07-23 13:48:52 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | SELL | 391 | 100¢ | $390 | 0x780aa8… |
| 07-23 13:48:40 | Thin-Tiara 0xc757…ccfc | Yes | BUY | 1,850 | 100¢ | $1,848 | 0x9d8404… |
| 07-23 13:48:40 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9d8404… |
| 07-23 13:48:40 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9d8404… |
| 07-23 13:48:40 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 800 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9d8404… |
| 07-23 13:48:36 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e85df… |
| 07-23 13:48:36 | Everlasting-Emerald 0x84d2…98c0 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x6e85df… |
| 07-23 13:48:34 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | BUY | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43bce7… |
| 07-23 13:48:34 | Disguised-Pajamas 0x4262…abaa | Yes | BUY | 160 | 100¢ | $159 | 0x43bce7… |
| 07-23 13:48:34 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x43bce7… |
| 07-23 13:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d7f58… |
| 07-23 13:48:16 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | BUY | 93 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d7f58… |
| 07-23 13:48:16 | Weak-Sanctity 0x21d5…9925 | Yes | BUY | 184 | 100¢ | $184 | 0x7d7f58… |
| 07-23 13:48:06 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8631f7… |
| 07-23 13:48:06 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | No | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8631f7… |
| 07-23 13:41:49 | Emotional-Trigonometry 0xc53d…4346 | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6449c5… |
| 07-23 13:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x9276…37a3 | No | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6449c5… |
| 07-23 07:19:27 | Tidy-Horde-Nit 0xdba4…6977 | No | BUY | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xebc47f… |
| 07-23 07:19:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xebc47f… |
| 07-23 03:36:07 | (anonymous) 0x819f…f3e7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe39262… |
| 07-23 03:36:07 | (anonymous) 0xae30…cd4d | No | BUY | 85 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xe39262… |
| 07-23 03:36:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 75 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xe39262… |
| 07-23 03:36:07 | (anonymous) 0x8917…a49f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xe39262… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | BUY | 477 | 97¢ | $463 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | (anonymous) 0xdfe3…3e6f | No | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Tidy-Horde-Nit 0xdba4…6977 | No | BUY | 598 | 3¢ | $20 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 16:57:07 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 103 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xe634f5… |
| 07-22 09:56:57 | Yearly-Mood 0x02a1…971e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdfeb72… |
| 07-22 09:56:57 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdfeb72… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | Tough-Investigator 0x6630…2f4e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $28 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 07:53:00 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa1caac… |
| 07-22 03:34:25 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x34aaaf… |
| 07-22 03:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x3784…1f34 | No | BUY | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x34aaaf… |
| 07-22 00:21:55 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xaae7d5… |
| 07-22 00:21:55 | Haunting-Pinkie 0x8adf…48cd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xaae7d5… |
| 07-21 15:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x87cb…643a | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x990c57… |
| 07-21 15:09:58 | Zesty-Decimal 0x9306…c72e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x990c57… |
| 07-21 02:10:39 | (anonymous) 0xfacf…1b2e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd7f609… |
| 07-21 02:10:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd7f609… |
| 07-20 19:57:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd58334… |
| 07-20 19:57:09 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd58334… |
| 07-20 19:56:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xad350e… |
| 07-20 19:56:46 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xad350e… |
| 07-20 19:56:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3c55cd… |
| 07-20 19:56:22 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3c55cd… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Sniveling-Occupation 0xbc5d…2236 | Yes | BUY | 511 | 98¢ | $500 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | (anonymous) 0x43af…aee0 | No | BUY | 56 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | BUY | 92 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 19:56:04 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | BUY | 131 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x90489b… |
| 07-20 08:07:39 | (anonymous) 0xecb8…ee2d | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x9055ff… |
| 07-20 08:07:39 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9055ff… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xdeef…a391 | No | BUY | 327 | 5¢ | $15 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | (anonymous) 0xe5c2…6b76 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | SELL | 111 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 33 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 123 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 05:47:37 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x689bba… |
| 07-20 03:29:39 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x794b54… |
| 07-20 03:29:39 | Content-Equality 0x13a5…6b30 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x794b54… |
| 07-20 00:05:49 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 616 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x0038ac… |
| 07-20 00:05:49 | (anonymous) 0xcda4…1d82 | Yes | BUY | 616 | 97¢ | $595 | 0x0038ac… |
| 07-19 22:40:30 | (anonymous) 0x07e8…c939 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 3¢ | $33 | 0xe4f720… |
| 07-19 22:40:30 | Soupy-Gynaecology 0xbbae…2d51 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 97¢ | $967 | 0xe4f720… |
| 07-19 22:38:01 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 79 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xff89de… |
| 07-19 22:38:01 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 79 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xff89de… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | No | BUY | 111 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | Soupy-Gynaecology 0xbbae…2d51 | Yes | BUY | 225 | 96¢ | $217 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 79 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 22:38:00 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7c5e6e… |
| 07-19 20:58:39 | (anonymous) 0xbc77…dc8b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbed1dd… |
| 07-19 20:58:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbed1dd… |