Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

7.1%

Resolved

Trades

422

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 07-21 18:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

52% 20% $-6

Sports

21% — —

Politics

20% 0% $-3

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	07-19 01:54
Will Alexander Efimov win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	07-14 21:25
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	07-21 15:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	3	$72	43	43	+0	Yes	$-1	04-16 22:42
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	6	$49	55	0	+55	open	—	03-12 00:28
will trump say jesus christ during the white house easter egg roll	4	$46	60	60	+0	open	—	04-06 15:04
will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week 862	5	$38	9	32	-23	open	—	04-18 22:12
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.4M in Q1?	9	$33	58	32	+25	open	—	04-24 05:24
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	4	$29	24	14	+10	Yes	$-2	05-10 22:20
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	3	$28	20	10	+10	open	—	04-24 09:14
2026 texas childrens houston open winner tony finau win	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	03-26 08:17
will trump say spacex at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716014	4	$25	25	5	+20	open	—	07-15 20:53
nba 2025 26 3pm leader luka doncic	2	$24	0	24	-24	open	—	04-11 14:44
will taylor swift attend the oscars 397	4	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	03-13 16:13
will trust me the false prophet be the top us netflix show this week	8	$22	30	11	+19	open	—	04-13 02:38
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?	3	$22	20	10	+10	open	—	04-28 22:36
will sinners win exactly 4 awards at the oscars	9	$21	32	8	+24	open	—	03-13 16:05
Robinhood Gold Subscribers above 4.8M in Q1?	3	$21	13	10	+3	open	—	04-26 09:26
will jumanji welcome to the jungle be the top global netflix movie this week	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	04-12 04:42
will trumps remarks not air 272 986	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-21 15:19
will hamnet win exactly 4 awards at the oscars	4	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-13 15:33
nba 2025 26 southeast division winner charlotte hornets	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 01:51
2026 texas childrens houston open winner tom hoge win	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-27 16:06
will one piece season 2 be the top us netflix show this week 973	1	$19	22	0	+22	open	—	03-25 18:04
2026 texas childrens houston open winner sam burns win	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-28 22:27
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 17:20
f1 japanese grand prix driver podium piastri 2026 03 29	1	$16	24	0	+24	open	—	03-27 17:42
will trump say communist during speech to the nation 20260713200621426	4	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	07-16 21:40
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	2	$15	0	15	-15	open	—	07-15 21:47
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during speech to the nation 20260713200621423	4	$15	15	5	+10	open	—	07-16 19:47
Spotify Monthly Active Users above 780M in Q1?	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-16 15:38
will the truth tragedy of moriah wilson be the 2 global netflix movie this week	1	$13	0	14	-14	open	—	04-12 21:45
will trump say golden dome at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716027	3	$13	15	5	+10	open	—	07-15 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 23:30:34	will trumps remarks not air 20260720190340729	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f54b8…
07-21 21:17:18	will trump say save america act during remarks in georgia 20260720190340713	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf0911a…
07-21 21:01:36	will trump say hottest during remarks in georgia 20260720190340717	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x9a6546…
07-21 21:01:22	will trump say hottest during remarks in georgia 20260720190340717	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xd6d5fa…
07-21 20:43:18	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1fb81b…
07-21 20:05:28	will trump say transgender during remarks in georgia 20260720190340719	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb41a9a…
07-21 19:54:49	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x67f599…
07-21 18:34:12	will trump say fraud during remarks in georgia 20260720190340726	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5b46fb…
07-21 18:32:21	will trump say first term during remarks in georgia 20260720190340720	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x71d193…
07-21 17:03:06	will warsh say good afternoon during july press conference 20260720204109060 622	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x131497…
07-21 16:39:46	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb8e087…
07-21 16:13:10	will warsh say shock during july press conference 20260720204109044	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa9061e…
07-21 16:13:09	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6916b9…
07-21 15:53:16	will trump say movie star during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255821	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x17126d…
07-21 15:48:57	will trump say ceasefire during remarks in georgia 20260720190340722	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3a18e2…
07-21 15:45:21	will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x62f084…
07-21 15:21:00	will trump say tariff during remarks in georgia 20260720190340718	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x721969…
07-21 15:20:55	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x20350e…
07-21 15:16:27	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during remarks in georgia 20260720190340723	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf65b3b…
07-21 15:14:19	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcbaecf…
07-21 15:02:37	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x670afd…
07-20 18:18:19	will bernie say corrupt or corruption during minneapolis rally 20260719004357861	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x69f7f7…
07-20 18:08:03	will tesla say cybertruck during earnings call 20260713183304181	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x66592b…
07-20 17:59:18	will bernie say corrupt or corruption during minneapolis rally 20260719004357861	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xdce30f…
07-20 16:10:55	will bernie say trump 5 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357847	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe86ce2…
07-20 15:40:24	will bernie say endorse endorsed or endorsement during minneapolis rally 20260719004357864	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x0a85ac…
07-20 15:06:18	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x0b08c7…
07-20 14:28:37	will bernie say oil gas or gasoline during minneapolis rally 20260719004357854	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0a29cd…
07-20 13:44:12	will bernie say data center during minneapolis rally 20260719004357863	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe9722c…
07-20 13:26:01	will bernie say chatgpt or openai during minneapolis rally 20260719004357865	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x211b71…
07-20 12:19:28	will bernie say endorse endorsed or endorsement during minneapolis rally 20260719004357864	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x97256f…
07-20 12:01:39	will bernies remarks not air 20260719004357866	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x75694a…
07-20 11:30:12	will bernie say endorse endorsed or endorsement during minneapolis rally 20260719004357864	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7d9e91…
07-20 11:05:43	will bernie say data center during minneapolis rally 20260719004357863	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xef9a02…
07-20 09:42:12	will bernie say supreme court during minneapolis rally 20260719004357857	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x205cae…
07-20 09:15:42	will bernie say poverty during minneapolis rally 20260719004357855	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xc20937…
07-20 08:49:54	will bernie say election during minneapolis rally 20260719004357859	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8cde2f…
07-20 08:12:55	will bernie say socialist or socialism during minneapolis rally 20260719004357862	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x92882f…
07-20 08:08:09	will bernie say climate during minneapolis rally 20260719004357858	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe2d96c…
07-20 07:49:36	will bernie say trillionaire during minneapolis rally 20260719004357860	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x05242a…
07-20 07:11:16	will bernie say socialist or socialism during minneapolis rally 20260719004357862	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x325978…
07-20 06:56:07	will bernie say israel or netanyahu during minneapolis rally 20260719004357856	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x5385d3…
07-20 06:56:04	will bernie say trump 5 times during minneapolis rally 20260719004357847	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0c05b6…
07-20 06:56:03	will bernie say climate during minneapolis rally 20260719004357858	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x633a3f…
07-20 06:56:03	will bernie say trillionaire during minneapolis rally 20260719004357860	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x00b0e6…
07-20 06:56:01	will bernie say ai or artificial intelligence during minneapolis rally 20260719004357853	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfea3fe…
07-19 21:46:51	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd92561…
07-19 21:16:49	will trumps remarks not air 20260715212255825	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0f6b1d…
07-19 20:14:22	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe3f0d7…
07-19 20:10:52	Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa87e3b…
07-19 16:36:13	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3d919e…
07-19 01:54:54	Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9f8486…
07-18 23:01:45	will the announcers say own goal during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757331	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc019f6…
07-18 21:51:25	will the announcers say shakira during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757335	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc1e0e8…
07-18 21:38:57	will the announcers say handball during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757323	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x4590c0…
07-18 21:32:16	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757325	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2698f3…
07-18 21:26:04	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740635	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x5023dd…
07-18 21:22:55	will the announcers say lenovo during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757334	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x44a7a0…
07-18 21:19:15	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740637	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3358ff…
07-18 21:19:12	will the announcers say equalizer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757326	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x856d1a…
07-18 21:00:34	will the announcers say shakira during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757335	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xad484b…
07-18 20:59:33	Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfd22e6…
07-18 19:38:55	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf27ab4…
07-18 19:25:34	will the announcers say lenovo during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757334	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6b43dc…
07-18 18:25:43	will the announcers say handball during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757323	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb64a2c…
07-18 17:46:13	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x078455…
07-18 17:06:22	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740641	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xa7da56…
07-18 16:41:10	will the announcers say trump during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757339	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x50c3a7…
07-18 13:22:19	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc7e55d…
07-18 09:21:12	will the announcers say nutmeg or nutmegs during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716161202167	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xd80f1b…
07-18 06:16:34	will the announcers say golden ball during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757338	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xbb157d…
07-18 06:15:42	will the announcers say own goal during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757331	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x07dce3…
07-18 04:55:46	will intel say nvidia during earnings call 20260717163650080	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9ba7b8…
07-18 04:55:45	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbc55cc…
07-18 03:52:57	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740637	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb41785…
07-18 02:23:06	will the announcers say captain during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757322	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x52e51a…
07-18 02:10:03	will the announcers say record during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757321	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x0544ac…
07-18 00:21:12	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757325	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x72ecc2…
07-18 00:09:28	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740635	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcc093f…
07-17 23:27:09	will the announcers say penalty kick during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757328	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9a0234…
07-17 23:02:19	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1ff807…
07-17 22:54:57	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x805bc7…
07-17 22:24:01	will the announcers say maradona or pele during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757333	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9a0993…
07-17 22:23:43	Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x03942d…
07-17 22:14:37	will the announcers say equalizer during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757326	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x33ed22…
07-17 22:13:45	will the announcers say red card during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757332	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xdf7b54…
07-17 21:11:27	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x7c2236…
07-17 14:17:31	will the announcers say golden ball during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757338	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe1ce76…
07-17 14:04:58	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757324	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x32f17a…
07-17 12:29:57	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740641	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xadb5eb…
07-17 11:43:42	Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x840869…
07-17 11:38:48	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757324	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xce87df…
07-17 11:37:58	will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcd0a31…
07-17 10:42:12	will the announcers say dolphins during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757330	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x651304…
07-17 07:00:27	will the announcers say red card during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757332	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x46973b…
07-17 06:36:54	will the announcers say dolphins during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757330	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xb0e756…
07-17 06:36:33	will the announcers say shutout or shut out during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757337	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xa8836b…
07-17 04:56:00	will the announcers say var during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740631	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x11aac6…
07-17 04:55:16	will the announcers say zlatan or ibrahimovic during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757327	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x09dae9…
07-17 03:44:04	will the announcers say trump during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716160757339	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x471edb…