Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
open
Total volume
$14,583
$800 in 24h
Trades
530
Unique wallets
169
Liquidity
$12,810
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-10-04
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-05 01:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-15.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 16% YES on $11.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $108 | $4.4K | $4.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 16 | $143 | $1.9K | $1.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $1.3K | $1.1K | +$184 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 104 | $155 | $2.0K | $1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $2 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $53 | $262 | $209 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $19 | $106 | $87 |
| Median | 12 | $93 | $31 | +$61 |
| Below median | 27 | $58 | $502 | $444 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $126 | $161 | $35 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $89 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $7 | $603 | $596 |
| unranked | 95 | $1.3K | $4.4K | $3.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Prevalence 0xbc75…3f69 | Yes | +5,761 | $1,191 | $1,191 | 68 | 06-25 09:33 |
| Zesty-Disappointment 0xeb49…693e | No | +2,649 | $2,289 | $2,289 | 5 | 07-03 14:32 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +1,400 | $1,064 | $1,064 | 2 | 06-12 14:49 |
| Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | +738 | $89 | $89 | 4 | 07-03 20:24 |
| Athletic-Manager 0xc01f…cd8e | Yes | +595 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 16:28 |
| Straight-Apprehension 0x0362…449e | No | +570 | $483 | $483 | 14 | 06-08 14:58 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +519 | $395 | $395 | 1 | 06-12 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb00e…468d | No | +500 | $430 | $430 | 4 | 05-28 23:11 |
| Unwelcome-Fig 0xc46f…3130 | No | +476 | $408 | $408 | 8 | 06-26 19:46 |
| Unique-Dentist 0xcf00…353f | Yes | +300 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 06-12 18:36 |
| Potable-Anniversary 0xf057…6ec2 | No | +248 | $203 | $203 | 3 | 06-12 16:35 |
| Canine-Beanie 0x81a1…1372 | Yes | +222 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 06-15 23:48 |
| Granular-Succotash 0xdbb1…c6f2 | No | +210 | $165 | $165 | 3 | 06-12 17:44 |
| Sarcastic-Passport 0x05c6…3a8f | No | +201 | $160 | $160 | 3 | 06-12 20:27 |
| Shameful-Cinnamon 0x4d01…1645 | Yes | +200 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-25 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cea…181d | No | +180 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 06-17 13:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2255…39a9 | Yes | +116 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 06-17 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x229a…3c6d | No | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 15:47 |
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | +111 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 06-21 12:51 |
| Bleak-Malice 0xac57…65cc | No | +100 | $78 | $78 | 2 | 06-16 06:00 |
| Cold-Helmet 0x8647…d870 | No | +100 | $80 | $80 | 2 | 06-12 11:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a2e…1fda | No | +99 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-12 14:31 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | +80 | $35 | $466 | 4 | 07-05 01:02 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +74 | $17 | $17 | 6 | 06-20 12:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x348d…5102 | Yes | +70 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 06-25 01:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x4651…6bb3 | Yes | +60 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 11:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x9328…5e50 | Yes | +55 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-28 14:46 |
| Boring-Courage 0x7af9…d415 | No | +53 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-17 00:55 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +44 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 06-26 21:29 |
| Lone-Finding-Attenuation 0xb6a1…ab16 | Yes | +44 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-01 01:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f39…bf3f | No | +39 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-13 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x33d5…7c83 | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 16:39 |
| Adolescent-Cold 0xbf66…9859 | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 06:38 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +34 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-05 01:02 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +32 | $3 | $16 | 11 | 07-04 10:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +32 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-05 01:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +32 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-20 12:09 |
| Webbed-Till 0x3c0f…9d9f | Yes | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 04:26 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +27 | $17 | $297 | 12 | 06-14 21:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a31…1164 | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 06-11 01:28 |
| Pale-Disregard 0xf8f7…93a4 | No | +25 | $21 | $21 | 3 | 06-19 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xcaf6…505c | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-12 15:25 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $12 | 4 | 06-18 14:26 |
| Spotted-Network 0xb4af…9bcc | No | +17 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-28 13:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | +16 | $3 | $11 | 3 | 07-04 10:25 |
| Fabulous-Lark-Hippopotamus 0x1044…8ceb | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-18 14:15 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-12 17:11 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +15 | $9 | $250 | 7 | 06-18 13:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…3e9f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 09:48 |
| Irresponsible-Scout 0x60f5…6c0f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 20:45 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 03:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x07a1…ab95 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-11 09:31 |
| Brave-Lookout 0xf56c…6241 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 16:42 |
| Distorted-Freckle 0x2c8f…897a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 15:05 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +7 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 06-01 09:48 |
| Tasty-Translation 0x5a58…9fe4 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 13:59 |
| Loathsome-Cricketer 0x3ea0…8e12 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-19 21:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 01:02:07 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 32 | 87¢ | $28 | 0x2c026a… |
| 07-05 01:02:07 | Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | SELL | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0x2c026a… |
| 07-05 01:02:07 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x2c026a… |
| 07-05 01:02:07 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2c026a… |
| 07-04 10:25:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x0b6b6f… |
| 07-04 10:25:52 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x0b6b6f… |
| 07-04 09:04:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x73f11d… |
| 07-04 09:04:25 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x73f11d… |
| 07-04 08:01:29 | Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | SELL | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0x5774fb… |
| 07-04 08:01:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x5774fb… |
| 07-04 08:01:29 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 26 | 87¢ | $22 | 0x5774fb… |
| 07-04 08:01:29 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x5774fb… |
| 07-03 20:24:43 | Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1d2d72… |
| 07-03 20:24:43 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x1d2d72… |
| 07-03 20:24:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1d2d72… |
| 07-03 14:32:19 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 697 | 12¢ | $84 | 0x3486a7… |
| 07-03 14:32:19 | Zesty-Disappointment 0xeb49…693e | No | BUY | 732 | 88¢ | $644 | 0x3486a7… |
| 07-03 14:32:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0x3486a7… |
| 07-03 14:32:19 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3486a7… |
| 07-02 16:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x3692…fc12 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x43f632… |
| 07-02 16:39:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x43f632… |
| 07-02 16:39:01 | (anonymous) 0x33d5…7c83 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x43f632… |
| 07-01 19:31:28 | Zesty-Disappointment 0xeb49…693e | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0xcbe98d… |
| 07-01 19:31:28 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xcbe98d… |
| 07-01 19:31:28 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xcbe98d… |
| 07-01 19:31:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xcbe98d… |
| 07-01 19:10:46 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | SELL | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x2b5d1c… |
| 07-01 19:10:46 | (anonymous) 0xd67f…d9b3 | No | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x2b5d1c… |
| 07-01 09:36:55 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $2 | 0xd343df… |
| 07-01 09:36:55 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xd343df… |
| 07-01 09:36:55 | Bony-Charset 0xdebd…77b9 | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xd343df… |
| 07-01 09:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | BUY | 47 | 15¢ | $7 | 0xf0f2d3… |
| 07-01 09:00:46 | Zesty-Disappointment 0xeb49…693e | No | BUY | 1,051 | 85¢ | $898 | 0xf0f2d3… |
| 07-01 09:00:46 | Anchored-Leprosy 0xf710…edc9 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 15¢ | $12 | 0xf0f2d3… |
| 07-01 09:00:46 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | SELL | 45 | 85¢ | $38 | 0xf0f2d3… |
| 07-01 09:00:46 | (anonymous) 0xd67f…d9b3 | No | SELL | 467 | 86¢ | $401 | 0xf0f2d3… |
| 07-01 03:35:11 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x3879b1… |
| 07-01 03:35:11 | Leafy-Profit 0xee8e…9f3b | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x3879b1… |
| 07-01 03:34:14 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x6cf4b6… |
| 07-01 03:34:14 | Careful-Peony 0x1a46…0292 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x6cf4b6… |
| 07-01 03:33:10 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc740b3… |
| 07-01 03:33:10 | Trim-Tale 0xebbd…9474 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc740b3… |
| 07-01 03:31:17 | Fearless-Airship 0xf95c…619a | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc3f7b7… |
| 07-01 03:31:17 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc3f7b7… |
| 07-01 03:29:43 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x11045d… |
| 07-01 03:29:43 | Pale-Retouching 0xf64a…f145 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x11045d… |
| 07-01 03:28:16 | Fumbling-Pot 0xf3fa…d2e7 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x9b5c67… |
| 07-01 03:28:16 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x9b5c67… |
| 07-01 03:27:08 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc1230b… |
| 07-01 03:27:08 | Nifty-Burn 0xdfc7…b2e8 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xc1230b… |
| 07-01 03:25:56 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x46411c… |
| 07-01 03:25:56 | Yawning-Ocelot 0x4da5…93ff | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x46411c… |
| 07-01 01:52:11 | Lone-Finding-Attenuation 0xb6a1…ab16 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 16¢ | $7 | 0x1b713d… |
| 07-01 01:52:11 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 44 | 84¢ | $37 | 0x1b713d… |
| 06-30 09:26:25 | These-Length 0x7c36…357f | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x77d293… |
| 06-30 09:26:25 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x77d293… |
| 06-30 09:25:26 | (anonymous) 0x666b…308b | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x66d726… |
| 06-30 09:25:26 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x66d726… |
| 06-30 09:24:23 | Frozen-Confectionery 0xe323…e1cc | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x161eb8… |
| 06-30 09:24:23 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x161eb8… |
| 06-30 09:23:50 | Waterlogged-Fraction 0x8bf9…6a86 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x7c640d… |
| 06-30 09:23:50 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x7c640d… |
| 06-30 09:22:14 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x4942e3… |
| 06-30 09:22:14 | Narrow-Spec 0x7793…2f6d | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x4942e3… |
| 06-30 09:20:55 | Admired-Waiter 0xe5a2…0fdb | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xda1fee… |
| 06-30 09:20:55 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xda1fee… |
| 06-30 09:20:01 | Unkempt-Senator 0x6530…e127 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x0fd105… |
| 06-30 09:20:01 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x0fd105… |
| 06-30 09:18:28 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x69bb14… |
| 06-30 09:18:28 | Creamy-Birdhouse 0x787a…4229 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x69bb14… |
| 06-30 02:22:59 | (anonymous) 0xe76d…f632 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x560334… |
| 06-30 02:22:59 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x560334… |
| 06-30 02:21:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8a3…9713 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb1e73d… |
| 06-30 02:21:49 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb1e73d… |
| 06-30 02:20:25 | Precious-Midcourse 0xcd5d…b936 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb2b1cd… |
| 06-30 02:20:25 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb2b1cd… |
| 06-30 02:19:02 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xed46b7… |
| 06-30 02:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x61ba…6e45 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xed46b7… |
| 06-30 02:17:25 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xc3d00f… |
| 06-30 02:17:25 | (anonymous) 0xb8cc…188a | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xc3d00f… |
| 06-30 02:16:40 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x7ecc94… |
| 06-30 02:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xc07d…bce2 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x7ecc94… |
| 06-30 02:15:32 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x80be4b… |
| 06-30 02:15:32 | (anonymous) 0x1df8…5d8c | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x80be4b… |
| 06-30 02:14:11 | (anonymous) 0xd288…e692 | No | SELL | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xff364b… |
| 06-30 02:14:11 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xff364b… |
| 06-30 00:17:22 | Threadbare-Signal 0xb886…81b3 | No | BUY | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x61b5c2… |
| 06-30 00:17:22 | Unselfish-Lift 0x83ab…a8ab | No | SELL | 12 | 84¢ | $10 | 0x61b5c2… |
| 06-29 21:58:01 | Anchored-Leprosy 0xf710…edc9 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8412e4… |
| 06-29 21:58:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8412e4… |
| 06-29 17:27:01 | Poised-Capacity 0x7de8…0efb | No | SELL | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xb2216e… |
| 06-29 17:27:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xb2216e… |
| 06-29 16:18:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe55145… |
| 06-29 16:18:28 | Vacant-Courthouse 0x97b9…11d7 | No | SELL | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xe55145… |
| 06-29 15:40:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xf23e68… |
| 06-29 15:40:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xf23e68… |
| 06-29 15:40:52 | Kosher-Twig 0xceb5…f397 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xf23e68… |
| 06-29 09:49:59 | Zesty-Disappointment 0xeb49…693e | No | BUY | 230 | 87¢ | $200 | 0x0d898e… |
| 06-29 09:49:59 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x0d898e… |
| 06-29 09:49:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 23 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x0d898e… |