(anonymous) 0x348d0e…f65102
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$373
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
72.2%
Resolved
414
Trades
2,029
lifetime
Volume
$34.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$574
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-26 22:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
43% 56% +$86
Politics
35% 48% +$168
Crypto
22% 72% +$120
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -80 -$78 98¢ $-78 -$1 08-18 03:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +75 $66 83¢ $62 -$4 10-24 16:05
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -56 -$50 96¢ $-53 -$3 05-01 14:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -40 -$33 96¢ $-38 -$6 05-01 14:11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -40 -$37 96¢ $-38 -$1 06-26 09:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -35 -$29 97¢ $-34 -$5 07-25 02:01
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -25 -$22 97¢ $-24 -$2 05-01 14:14
Trump out as President before 2027? No -25 -$22 96¢ $-24 -$2 05-01 14:14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No -25 -$21 94¢ $-23 -$2 05-02 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No -20 -$18 98¢ $-20 -$1 05-01 14:40
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 -$1 05-28 15:39
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -20 -$19 97¢ $-19 -$1 07-12 16:01
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 10-15 18:56
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$0 10-16 04:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -15 -$7 92¢ $-14 -$7 05-01 14:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 -$9 99¢ $-10 -$1 05-28 15:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 05-28 15:38
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 -$1 05-01 14:19
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes -319 -$43 3¢ $-9 +$34 10-07 12:50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 -$5 92¢ $-9 -$4 05-01 14:24
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$0 10-13 16:12
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -30 -$9 19¢ $-6 +$4 09-03 14:43
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -15 -$8 34¢ $-5 +$3 05-28 15:35
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes -188 -$23 2¢ $-5 +$18 05-04 12:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +15 $5 30¢ $4 $0 10-25 21:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -79 -$4 4¢ $-3 +$1 05-01 14:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -30 -$6 8¢ $-3 +$3 05-28 15:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +10 $2 24¢ $2 +$0 10-16 09:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -5 -$2 45¢ $-2 $0 08-06 07:53
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +20 $2 11¢ $2 +$0 10-15 07:56