(anonymous) 0x348d0e…f65102
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved
8
Trades
1,796
lifetime
Volume
$31.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$201
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-20 06:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
46% 50% $-2
Politics
30% 75% +$1
Crypto
25% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No -70 $-60 96¢ $-67 $-6 06-17 19:58
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -40 $-37 90¢ $-36 +$1 06-26 09:41
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 07-12 16:01
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 05-28 15:39
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? Yes +118 $14 11¢ $13 $-1 07-11 20:21
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 $-9 97¢ $-10 $-1 05-28 15:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 96¢ $-10 $-0 05-28 15:38
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No -10 $-6 82¢ $-8 $-2 06-06 18:20
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +100 $9 6¢ $6 $-2 06-22 00:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -15 $-6 30¢ $-4 +$1 07-20 06:34
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? Yes +70 $7 4¢ $3 $-4 07-09 21:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -30 $-4 10¢ $-3 +$1 05-28 15:36
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +65 $7 4¢ $2 $-5 07-09 20:15
Trump goes to space in 2026? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 07-06 11:51