Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.20K

Unrealized P&L

+$175

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

387

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$72.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$3.91K

30 positions

First seen

2026-07-01

last 11-09 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

54% 86% -$353

Politics

20% 59% -$963

Crypto

20% 76% -$42

Sports

6% 93% +$155

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+248	$224	92¢	$229	+$5	11-04 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+235	$188	96¢	$226	+$38	08-29 00:08
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 222 252	No	+219	$180	92¢	$201	+$22	08-22 14:59
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+202	$182	98¢	$197	+$15	08-21 01:11
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+151	$125	90¢	$136	+$11	08-20 19:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	+124	$115	99¢	$122	+$7	11-08 18:34
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	+124	$113	98¢	$121	+$8	11-04 06:26
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+124	$114	97¢	$120	+$6	11-05 02:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+124	$113	96¢	$119	+$7	11-05 04:00
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	+121	$114	97¢	$118	+$4	11-04 08:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	+120	$113	98¢	$118	+$5	11-07 21:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	+124	$116	95¢	$118	+$1	11-09 17:41
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	+120	$114	98¢	$118	+$3	11-04 08:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+125	$107	94¢	$118	+$10	11-04 15:09
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	No	+125	$114	94¢	$117	+$3	11-05 11:32
Will Solana reach $120 in November?	No	+122	$113	96¢	$117	+$3	11-05 19:19
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	+121	$114	96¢	$116	+$2	11-04 10:00
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in November?	No	+121	$113	96¢	$116	+$4	11-04 04:59
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+124	$113	93¢	$116	+$3	11-07 16:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	+119	$113	97¢	$116	+$3	11-04 05:10
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?	No	+117	$112	99¢	$116	+$4	11-06 03:20
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	+122	$114	95¢	$116	+$2	11-05 06:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12?	Yes	+119	$114	97¢	$115	+$2	11-08 18:31
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	No	+124	$114	93¢	$115	+$2	11-04 06:21
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	+122	$115	94¢	$115	+$1	11-04 07:43
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	+120	$113	96¢	$115	+$2	11-04 06:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?	No	+121	$113	94¢	$114	+$2	11-04 02:23
Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	Yes	+121	$114	94¢	$114	+$1	11-09 10:16
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+123	$114	93¢	$114	+$1	11-05 07:23
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	+119	$113	95¢	$113	+$0	11-05 01:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	5	$764	467	349	+118	No	+$7	09-30 17:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	2	$716	396	396	+0	No	+$74	08-25 09:26
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	4	$693	388	387	+1	open	—	09-15 18:52
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$689	386	386	+0	open	—	10-14 23:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	2	$684	370	370	+0	No	+$47	10-10 13:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	5	$666	357	357	+0	open	—	08-29 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$665	364	364	+0	No	+$46	09-01 09:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$661	365	365	+0	open	—	08-19 23:54
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$657	365	365	+0	open	—	08-19 21:46
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	3	$657	365	364	+1	open	—	08-19 16:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	2	$652	350	350	+0	No	+$36	08-20 17:26
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	3	$650	376	376	+0	open	—	08-22 12:45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	4	$649	376	376	+0	open	—	09-02 15:05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$642	370	370	+0	open	—	08-05 21:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	2	$639	378	378	+0	Yes	-$4	08-03 21:12
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$639	399	278	+121	Yes	+$11	09-09 16:12
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship?	3	$608	360	359	+1	Yes	-$11	08-12 15:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	5	$599	311	311	+0	No	+$16	09-21 22:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$567	301	301	+0	No	+$31	08-19 18:32
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	19	$564	357	357	+0	No	-$57	08-06 14:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	2	$550	300	300	+0	No	+$46	08-22 13:47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$535	382	381	+1	open	—	09-02 16:36
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$529	281	281	+0	No	+$17	08-22 20:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$526	283	283	+0	No	+$11	08-05 21:03
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$521	299	299	+0	open	—	09-02 15:21
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$519	283	283	+0	open	—	08-05 21:03
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	5	$511	273	273	+0	No	+$0	08-12 14:37
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?	3	$484	278	256	+22	No	-$6	07-29 13:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	3	$484	334	209	+125	open	—	11-04 15:09
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	22	$483	375	374	+1	Yes	-$158	08-12 01:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:41:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	124	94¢	$116	0x5c7968…
11-09 10:16:49	Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?	Yes	BUY	121	94¢	$114	0xf10b22…
11-09 06:05:19	Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	No	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0xc2a32c…
11-08 18:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xfba19d…
11-08 18:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	119	95¢	$114	0x15267e…
11-08 14:18:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x7060f8…
11-08 12:03:22	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xcfa61f…
11-08 08:24:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xcfd96f…
11-08 03:50:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	76	93¢	$70	0xd01ac7…
11-07 21:38:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 10?	Yes	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0x779840…
11-07 16:24:03	Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0x69d92a…
11-07 15:17:49	Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0xbb3a8e…
11-06 05:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	123	91¢	$112	0xa702bc…
11-06 03:20:16	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0xf422ab…
11-06 01:13:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0x9f44c6…
11-05 23:38:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x365f8c…
11-05 23:00:25	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	122	92¢	$112	0xe96d3d…
11-05 19:19:50	Will Solana reach $120 in November?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x516a1b…
11-05 16:42:04	Will Solana reach $120 in November?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0xf50520…
11-05 16:41:54	Will Solana reach $120 in November?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x0b9178…
11-05 16:41:52	Will Solana reach $120 in November?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xf1165d…
11-05 16:04:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x446487…
11-05 15:50:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x7e7127…
11-05 15:27:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xe717cf…
11-05 15:26:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x8414f6…
11-05 15:15:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xb15d5b…
11-05 15:15:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	47	42¢	$20	0x281ccf…
11-05 15:10:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x55aae7…
11-05 11:32:01	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	No	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0xc50b11…
11-05 07:23:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	85	92¢	$79	0x463bdc…
11-05 07:23:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x432bfc…
11-05 06:17:30	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	122	93¢	$114	0x334f81…
11-05 04:05:36	Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0x42fa13…
11-05 04:00:30	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0x439cbe…
11-05 03:55:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0x1b7193…
11-05 02:49:21	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	92¢	$114	0x500d72…
11-05 01:43:16	Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0x18b48c…
11-05 00:45:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xfdf47c…
11-04 22:34:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf740c5…
11-04 22:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xe3d9ae…
11-04 22:14:09	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	91	92¢	$84	0xe35fcd…
11-04 20:25:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0xccab4d…
11-04 19:30:51	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x7e9812…
11-04 19:19:13	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xde172b…
11-04 15:14:49	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	SELL	117	66¢	$78	0xce8604…
11-04 15:09:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0x30b551…
11-04 14:43:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	90¢	$112	0x43ff21…
11-04 10:00:24	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	94¢	$114	0x4a75f1…
11-04 08:54:27	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x025261…
11-04 08:49:22	France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	94¢	$114	0x7589d9…
11-04 07:43:25	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	BUY	122	94¢	$115	0x515639…
11-04 07:38:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?	No	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0xa53780…
11-04 06:36:39	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xdb296f…
11-04 06:31:34	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	122	92¢	$112	0x040213…
11-04 06:26:30	Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	No	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0x5c0686…
11-04 06:21:24	Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	92¢	$114	0xfbcee6…
11-04 06:16:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0x8a055e…
11-04 05:10:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	No	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0x21aa56…
11-04 05:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0x529885…
11-04 04:59:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in November?	No	BUY	121	93¢	$113	0xf88e16…
11-04 04:54:01	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0xc82101…
11-04 04:48:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdd2470…
11-04 03:32:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	122	93¢	$113	0x5d78cf…
11-04 03:11:28	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xcae35f…
11-04 03:11:28	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x4af8f1…
11-04 03:11:28	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x214464…
11-04 02:56:16	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-02 House seat?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xaff3d0…
11-04 02:51:12	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0xab2766…
11-04 02:46:07	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	102	66¢	$67	0xfe83a6…
11-04 02:41:01	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xb1bd80…
11-04 02:41:01	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x70d390…
11-04 02:23:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?	No	BUY	121	93¢	$113	0xab847c…
11-04 02:18:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	122	92¢	$113	0x356b93…
11-04 02:02:13	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?	No	SELL	86	64¢	$55	0x510e94…
11-04 02:02:13	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?	No	SELL	39	63¢	$25	0x07912f…
11-04 01:41:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	46	38¢	$17	0xef9448…
11-04 01:41:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	65	38¢	$25	0x9d9e62…
11-04 01:41:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?	No	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x2283b4…
11-04 01:36:12	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	66¢	$80	0xf457b7…
11-04 01:36:10	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	70	49¢	$34	0xe23caf…
11-04 01:36:10	Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0xcc402f…
11-04 01:36:10	Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	52	49¢	$25	0x3c5aa0…
10-25 20:50:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	SELL	127	66¢	$84	0x28e665…
10-25 18:12:44	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x9973cd…
10-25 18:12:44	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	115	67¢	$77	0x4f69f8…
10-15 02:30:34	will ethereum dip to 2100 in october 2026	No	SELL	96	63¢	$60	0x59979a…
10-15 02:25:29	will ethereum dip to 2100 in october 2026	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xc93067…
10-14 23:02:22	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	386	94¢	$363	0x768965…
10-13 16:18:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	No	BUY	127	91¢	$116	0xad27ca…
10-12 04:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0x43bf1f…
10-10 14:58:46	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-17 House seat?	No	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0x735fc0…
10-10 13:52:48	Will the Democratic Party win the SC-07 House seat?	No	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0x5d44e0…
10-10 13:47:43	Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?	No	BUY	121	95¢	$115	0x860663…
10-10 13:42:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	370	99¢	$366	0x0557f4…
10-09 01:06:39	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	94¢	$114	0x49d081…
10-09 00:00:50	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x623f2d…
10-08 16:53:02	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	93¢	$114	0x1a78b3…
10-08 16:02:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	120	71¢	$85	0xfcb858…
10-07 17:25:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xce783d…
10-07 17:22:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xeaeb65…