Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$96,216
$8,474 in 24h
Trades
788
Unique wallets
224
Liquidity
$11,245
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-27 12:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.0¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $696
vs crowd: 10% YES on $82.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 22 | $69 | $59.6K | $59.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 27 | $1.0K | $4.9K | $3.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 47 | $3.5K | $7.3K | $3.7K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 128 | $3.4K | $2.9K | +$558 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $5 | $691 | $686 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 12 | $738 | $1.5K | $729 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $72 | $11.5K | $11.4K |
| Median | 35 | $328 | $1.2K | $894 |
| Below median | 31 | $834 | $494 | +$340 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $9 | $321 | $311 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $2 | $615 | $614 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 10 | $230 | $12.3K | $12.1K |
| unranked | 109 | $5.9K | $46.1K | $40.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | +33,147 | $30,597 | $30,597 | 17 | 07-18 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | +30,262 | $2,204 | $2,204 | 52 | 07-16 19:20 |
| Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | +11,183 | $10,113 | $10,113 | 3 | 07-02 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x200d…401c | Yes | +10,000 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 5 | 06-12 19:41 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +6,653 | $5,910 | $5,910 | 8 | 07-01 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | +6,228 | $5,792 | $5,792 | 2 | 07-16 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | +5,601 | $465 | $620 | 11 | 07-27 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x610d…188b | Yes | +3,723 | $298 | $298 | 1 | 07-17 16:55 |
| Candid-Gig 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | +3,202 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 07-27 12:57 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +2,185 | $236 | $236 | 36 | 07-26 13:31 |
| Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | +2,175 | $2,004 | $6,276 | 16 | 07-17 16:55 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +2,073 | $1,854 | $1,854 | 34 | 07-27 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | +1,698 | $126 | $126 | 2 | 07-01 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e01…2699 | Yes | +1,324 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 06-02 16:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c65…d60d | No | +1,300 | $1,196 | $1,196 | 2 | 07-27 12:57 |
| Nifty-Clove 0xd733…0dde | Yes | +1,281 | $185 | $185 | 3 | 06-21 08:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa32f…28bc | Yes | +1,250 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-15 17:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x26aa…5054 | No | +1,165 | $1,026 | $1,026 | 1 | 06-05 01:31 |
| Dim-Underwriting 0x91e5…0947 | Yes | +1,000 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 07-12 01:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x11f8…2bd5 | No | +1,000 | $850 | $850 | 3 | 06-02 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | +1,000 | $920 | $920 | 7 | 07-15 17:46 |
| Big-Hearted-Incident 0x6f53…8910 | No | +940 | $861 | $861 | 3 | 06-28 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x36bb…c777 | Yes | +859 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 06-01 17:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | +806 | $750 | $750 | 1 | 07-17 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | +800 | $739 | $739 | 3 | 07-17 16:55 |
| Determined-Tomato 0xbace…3429 | No | +791 | $705 | $705 | 4 | 06-06 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd66…d530 | Yes | +764 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 05-30 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | +750 | $630 | $630 | 2 | 06-01 17:15 |
| Gloomy-Ape 0xb1e4…068b | Yes | +745 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 07-01 20:59 |
| Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | +658 | $605 | $605 | 9 | 07-16 02:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | +655 | $602 | $602 | 2 | 07-14 12:49 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +654 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-21 15:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x262c…5f00 | Yes | +600 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-09 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6505…524a | Yes | +575 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 07-15 23:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf9d…109b | Yes | +528 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 07-16 02:58 |
| Snappy-Fall 0xc914…c458 | Yes | +500 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +491 | $423 | $423 | 7 | 07-18 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | No | +400 | $364 | $364 | 3 | 07-27 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa4d…e4f5 | Yes | +353 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-29 19:15 |
| Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | +331 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 06-07 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf14b…2b93 | Yes | +322 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-24 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4771…2d82 | Yes | +283 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-11 11:21 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +258 | $225 | $675 | 2 | 07-23 02:03 |
| Gleaming-Teacher 0xcf8a…085b | Yes | +253 | $34 | $34 | 4 | 06-05 22:50 |
| Shrill-Mailman 0x8d3d…aaec | Yes | +250 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-19 02:50 |
| Evil-Lady 0x1cbd…8cbb | Yes | +237 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-22 15:21 |
| Worst-Baseboard 0x4e2f…fcd1 | Yes | +205 | $13 | $35 | 4 | 07-14 12:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6978…93ff | Yes | +204 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-07 11:08 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +200 | $186 | $186 | 2 | 07-09 17:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x8079…b9cb | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 07-01 20:59 |
| Winged-District 0xe1c9…748c | No | +200 | $174 | $174 | 3 | 06-03 16:48 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | +200 | $172 | $172 | 3 | 06-05 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c9e…fcde | Yes | +163 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-29 09:49 |
| Buttery-Major 0xeae5…a3fb | No | +161 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 07-24 21:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x43fd…f5ea | No | +122 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 07-10 17:53 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +116 | $98 | $98 | 3 | 05-30 13:28 |
| Overdue-Premeditation 0xdccb…ea1a | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf96e…a9c4 | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-01 02:42 |
| Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | No | +95 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 06-16 10:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 12:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x0c65…d60d | No | BUY | 600 | 92¢ | $552 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | Specific-Shaker 0x710d…02aa | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | Candid-Gig 0x23db…cf1c | Yes | BUY | 3,202 | 9¢ | $300 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 832 | 8¢ | $67 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | SELL | 227 | 9¢ | $20 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | SELL | 649 | 12¢ | $78 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-27 12:57:27 | (anonymous) 0x3e72…b267 | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $27 | 0xef9745… |
| 07-26 13:31:00 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 99 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x698678… |
| 07-26 13:31:00 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 99 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x698678… |
| 07-25 20:37:19 | Handmade-Colonization 0xe797…8a2b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xab02a1… |
| 07-25 20:37:19 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xab02a1… |
| 07-24 21:10:37 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x8a158c… |
| 07-24 21:10:37 | Buttery-Major 0xeae5…a3fb | No | BUY | 161 | 93¢ | $150 | 0x8a158c… |
| 07-24 21:10:37 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x8a158c… |
| 07-24 19:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xf14b…2b93 | Yes | BUY | 322 | 8¢ | $26 | 0x450e61… |
| 07-24 19:47:19 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 322 | 8¢ | $26 | 0x450e61… |
| 07-23 15:50:22 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf8d075… |
| 07-23 15:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x4ca0…d986 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf8d075… |
| 07-23 02:03:49 | (anonymous) 0xf756…3a81 | Yes | SELL | 242 | 7¢ | $17 | 0x8a6631… |
| 07-23 02:03:49 | Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | SELL | 242 | 93¢ | $225 | 0x8a6631… |
| 07-21 15:16:18 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 257 | 8¢ | $21 | 0x8e0148… |
| 07-21 15:16:18 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 654 | 8¢ | $52 | 0x8e0148… |
| 07-20 01:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x421b0e… |
| 07-20 01:26:04 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 89 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x421b0e… |
| 07-20 01:26:04 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x421b0e… |
| 07-19 20:08:49 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xc453cd… |
| 07-19 20:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xf756…3a81 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0xc453cd… |
| 07-18 21:59:28 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x85848a… |
| 07-18 21:59:28 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x85848a… |
| 07-18 21:10:16 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 920 | 7¢ | $64 | 0x16e0fa… |
| 07-18 21:10:16 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,398 | 93¢ | $1,300 | 0x16e0fa… |
| 07-17 22:01:13 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | BUY | 522 | 7¢ | $37 | 0xf38048… |
| 07-17 22:01:13 | (anonymous) 0xd7e6…4f99 | No | BUY | 806 | 93¢ | $750 | 0xf38048… |
| 07-17 22:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | SELL | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0xf38048… |
| 07-17 22:01:13 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xf38048… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x610d…188b | Yes | BUY | 3,723 | 8¢ | $298 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x0c65…d60d | No | BUY | 700 | 92¢ | $644 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 92¢ | $920 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 100 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | (anonymous) 0x578f…f112 | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 61 | 92¢ | $57 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | SELL | 1,637 | 8¢ | $131 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 16:55:15 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x37f995… |
| 07-17 11:34:55 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 116 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x135a7b… |
| 07-17 11:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x4a83…97cc | Yes | SELL | 116 | 6¢ | $7 | 0x135a7b… |
| 07-16 19:20:26 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd249ff… |
| 07-16 19:20:26 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd249ff… |
| 07-16 08:22:11 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x3af084… |
| 07-16 08:22:11 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x3af084… |
| 07-16 08:16:59 | (anonymous) 0xdf0c…a34f | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x71a713… |
| 07-16 08:16:59 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x71a713… |
| 07-16 08:16:58 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 58 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xf46c5c… |
| 07-16 08:16:58 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 93¢ | $930 | 0xf46c5c… |
| 07-16 08:16:58 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 2,558 | 93¢ | $2,379 | 0xf46c5c… |
| 07-16 08:16:58 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,500 | 7¢ | $105 | 0xf46c5c… |
| 07-16 02:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xa50175… |
| 07-16 02:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xbf9d…109b | Yes | BUY | 528 | 8¢ | $42 | 0xa50175… |
| 07-16 02:58:40 | (anonymous) 0xd04e…41b8 | No | BUY | 439 | 92¢ | $403 | 0xa50175… |
| 07-16 02:58:40 | (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | No | BUY | 60 | 92¢ | $55 | 0xa50175… |
| 07-16 02:54:23 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 101 | 92¢ | $93 | 0x807bd0… |
| 07-16 02:54:23 | (anonymous) 0xdbb8…c0e9 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x807bd0… |
| 07-16 02:54:23 | (anonymous) 0xbd87…a49f | Yes | BUY | 460 | 8¢ | $37 | 0x807bd0… |
| 07-16 02:54:23 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 70 | 92¢ | $64 | 0x807bd0… |
| 07-16 02:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x38d9…4e32 | No | BUY | 140 | 92¢ | $129 | 0x807bd0… |
| 07-16 02:54:23 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 119 | 92¢ | $109 | 0x807bd0… |
| 07-15 23:00:20 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 575 | 92¢ | $529 | 0xd1e109… |
| 07-15 23:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x6505…524a | Yes | BUY | 575 | 8¢ | $46 | 0xd1e109… |
| 07-15 22:06:37 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0294de… |
| 07-15 22:06:37 | (anonymous) 0x83f2…4397 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x0294de… |
| 07-15 17:46:05 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | BUY | 806 | 92¢ | $742 | 0xcc16ba… |
| 07-15 17:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xa32f…28bc | Yes | BUY | 1,250 | 8¢ | $100 | 0xcc16ba… |
| 07-15 17:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | BUY | 444 | 92¢ | $408 | 0xcc16ba… |
| 07-15 12:34:38 | (anonymous) 0xd5a5…89fd | Yes | BUY | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x1fe7dc… |
| 07-15 12:34:38 | (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | BUY | 125 | 92¢ | $115 | 0x1fe7dc… |
| 07-15 00:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | BUY | 117 | 92¢ | $108 | 0x15167d… |
| 07-15 00:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xf756…3a81 | Yes | BUY | 117 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x15167d… |
| 07-14 18:12:23 | (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x2a3219… |
| 07-14 18:12:23 | (anonymous) 0xd877…9283 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x2a3219… |
| 07-14 18:12:22 | (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x8e494f… |
| 07-14 18:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x2b9f…84da | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x8e494f… |
| 07-14 18:12:20 | (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xb7e899… |
| 07-14 18:12:20 | Adventurous-Burden 0x8f06…a799 | No | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xb7e899… |
| 07-14 18:12:19 | Vivacious-Sediment 0xb47a…6d60 | No | SELL | 297 | 92¢ | $273 | 0xb28bac… |
| 07-14 18:12:19 | (anonymous) 0xe87f…f1e6 | No | BUY | 297 | 92¢ | $273 | 0xb28bac… |
| 07-14 12:49:08 | Worst-Baseboard 0x4e2f…fcd1 | Yes | BUY | 305 | 8¢ | $24 | 0x3753a8… |
| 07-14 12:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x6666…db92 | No | BUY | 305 | 92¢ | $281 | 0x3753a8… |
| 07-13 21:38:59 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0xad3ef9… |
| 07-13 21:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xad3ef9… |
| 07-13 21:38:19 | Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | SELL | 71 | 93¢ | $66 | 0x425a9b… |
| 07-13 21:38:19 | (anonymous) 0xdf0c…a34f | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x890f83… |
| 07-13 21:38:19 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x890f83… |
| 07-13 21:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 7¢ | $175 | 0x425a9b… |
| 07-13 21:38:19 | (anonymous) 0xf705…3ca7 | No | BUY | 3,671 | 93¢ | $3,414 | 0x425a9b… |
| 07-13 21:38:19 | Immense-Businessman 0xd0db…b117 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 93¢ | $930 | 0x425a9b… |
| 07-13 21:38:19 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x425a9b… |
| 07-13 20:03:44 | (anonymous) 0xf756…3a81 | Yes | SELL | 526 | 7¢ | $37 | 0xab2ce7… |