Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$73,170
$8,474 in 24h
Trades
661
Unique wallets
190
Liquidity
$11,245
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-08 02:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.4¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $696
vs crowd: 10% YES on $63.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $5 | $47.6K | $47.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $919 | $2.8K | $1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 39 | $2.7K | $4.3K | $1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 111 | $2.8K | $2.4K | +$405 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $5 | $691 | $686 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $593 | $960 | $367 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 12 | $47 | $10.3K | $10.2K |
| Median | 29 | $28 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| Below median | 29 | $483 | $401 | +$82 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $1 | $321 | $319 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $2 | $588 | $587 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $157 | $6.5K | $6.4K |
| unranked | 90 | $5.1K | $36.1K | $31.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | +31,750 | $29,297 | $29,297 | 16 | 07-01 14:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | +24,752 | $1,818 | $1,818 | 44 | 07-06 09:33 |
| Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | +11,183 | $10,113 | $10,113 | 3 | 07-02 00:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x200d…401c | Yes | +10,000 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 5 | 06-12 19:41 |
| Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | +6,653 | $5,910 | $5,910 | 8 | 07-01 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2796…b4f0 | Yes | +6,250 | $542 | $542 | 10 | 06-26 03:03 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | Yes | +1,885 | $215 | $215 | 32 | 06-26 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | +1,698 | $126 | $126 | 2 | 07-01 10:50 |
| Intent-Ship 0x517b…fe53 | Yes | +1,620 | $118 | $815 | 42 | 06-23 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e01…2699 | Yes | +1,324 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 06-02 16:29 |
| Nifty-Clove 0xd733…0dde | Yes | +1,281 | $185 | $185 | 3 | 06-21 08:49 |
| Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | +1,250 | $1,104 | $1,104 | 27 | 07-01 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x26aa…5054 | No | +1,165 | $1,026 | $1,026 | 1 | 06-05 01:31 |
| Real-Chip 0x1dc1…a1b5 | Yes | +1,000 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 06-12 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x32db…c7f0 | Yes | +1,000 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x11f8…2bd5 | No | +1,000 | $850 | $850 | 3 | 06-02 09:34 |
| Big-Hearted-Incident 0x6f53…8910 | No | +940 | $861 | $861 | 3 | 06-28 20:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x36bb…c777 | Yes | +859 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 06-01 17:15 |
| Determined-Tomato 0xbace…3429 | No | +791 | $705 | $705 | 4 | 06-06 21:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd66…d530 | Yes | +764 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 05-30 13:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d24…06a2 | No | +753 | $670 | $670 | 3 | 06-15 13:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f2c…35ee | No | +750 | $630 | $630 | 2 | 06-01 17:15 |
| Gloomy-Ape 0xb1e4…068b | Yes | +745 | $63 | $63 | 2 | 07-01 20:59 |
| Conscious-Alley 0x83ce…835c | No | +683 | $593 | $593 | 4 | 06-12 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x262c…5f00 | Yes | +600 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-09 05:21 |
| Snappy-Fall 0xc914…c458 | Yes | +500 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +500 | $450 | $450 | 1 | 06-12 19:40 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +481 | $413 | $413 | 5 | 07-04 23:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa4d…e4f5 | Yes | +353 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-29 19:15 |
| Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | +339 | $312 | $312 | 7 | 07-08 02:01 |
| Attentive-Leading 0xf256…8ff9 | Yes | +331 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 06-07 09:21 |
| Gleaming-Teacher 0xcf8a…085b | Yes | +253 | $34 | $34 | 4 | 06-05 22:50 |
| Shrill-Mailman 0x8d3d…aaec | Yes | +250 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 06-19 02:50 |
| Evil-Lady 0x1cbd…8cbb | Yes | +237 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x6978…93ff | Yes | +204 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-07 11:08 |
| Winged-District 0xe1c9…748c | No | +200 | $174 | $174 | 3 | 06-03 16:48 |
| Previous-Seafood 0xf9ac…806e | No | +200 | $172 | $172 | 3 | 06-05 09:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8079…b9cb | No | +200 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 07-01 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5c9e…fcde | Yes | +163 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-29 09:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xafff…7a04 | Yes | +148 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 06-03 02:36 |
| Jittery-Novel 0x4e9f…3340 | Yes | +148 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-08 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | +135 | $-55 | $368 | 17 | 07-01 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x61a6…de5f | Yes | +133 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-24 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x2650…ceea | Yes | +125 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-05 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf60d…549d | Yes | +124 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-07 10:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x4a83…97cc | Yes | +116 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-01 08:57 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +116 | $98 | $98 | 3 | 05-30 13:28 |
| Overdue-Premeditation 0xdccb…ea1a | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-10 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf96e…a9c4 | No | +108 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-01 02:42 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 07-03 01:27 |
| Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | +100 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-24 13:22 |
| Tinted-Sentencing 0xa9e6…1dc2 | No | +95 | $84 | $84 | 3 | 06-16 10:31 |
| Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | +90 | $75 | $340 | 10 | 06-23 08:14 |
| Proud-Print 0x3cf1…3aad | No | +88 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-27 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x3bc4…2d14 | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 06-16 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xdc85…aa54 | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 06-12 19:41 |
| Unaware-Jackal 0x8964…0bec | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-05 09:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 02:01:11 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x483c79… |
| 07-08 02:01:11 | (anonymous) 0x83f2…4397 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x483c79… |
| 07-06 09:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 62 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x394414… |
| 07-06 09:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xa092…8e71 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x394414… |
| 07-05 17:35:20 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 62 | 92¢ | $58 | 0x7e7769… |
| 07-05 17:35:20 | (anonymous) 0xa092…8e71 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x7e7769… |
| 07-05 11:31:14 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | SELL | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x9e0d6d… |
| 07-05 11:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x9e0d6d… |
| 07-05 09:42:59 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xf3e9ee… |
| 07-05 09:42:59 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xf3e9ee… |
| 07-05 09:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 112 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x5a1430… |
| 07-05 09:42:52 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | SELL | 112 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x5a1430… |
| 07-05 05:02:40 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x9a2bf4… |
| 07-05 05:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x9a2bf4… |
| 07-04 23:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 108 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x669a93… |
| 07-04 23:02:31 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 108 | 93¢ | $101 | 0x669a93… |
| 07-04 12:24:40 | (anonymous) 0x1f32…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xe22332… |
| 07-04 12:24:40 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 300 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xe22332… |
| 07-04 12:11:49 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 300 | 7¢ | $21 | 0x98c0aa… |
| 07-04 12:11:49 | (anonymous) 0xc409…4d2a | Yes | SELL | 300 | 7¢ | $21 | 0x98c0aa… |
| 07-04 11:03:20 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | No | SELL | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x0dbf5c… |
| 07-04 11:03:20 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x0dbf5c… |
| 07-03 22:50:43 | Pure-Nonsense 0xb313…efe5 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xfc41d5… |
| 07-03 22:50:43 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 37 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xfc41d5… |
| 07-03 13:02:26 | Warped-Pupil 0x0c60…ee16 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xb54219… |
| 07-03 13:02:26 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb54219… |
| 07-03 11:33:46 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x1b4717… |
| 07-03 11:33:46 | Specific-Shaker 0x710d…02aa | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x1b4717… |
| 07-03 11:33:32 | Specific-Shaker 0x710d…02aa | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xe0a739… |
| 07-03 11:33:32 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xe0a739… |
| 07-03 09:42:13 | (anonymous) 0xe6f2…7448 | Yes | SELL | 870 | 7¢ | $61 | 0x66b95a… |
| 07-03 09:42:13 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 870 | 7¢ | $61 | 0x66b95a… |
| 07-03 01:27:49 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x0650eb… |
| 07-03 01:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x0650eb… |
| 07-02 15:21:49 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0x64a902… |
| 07-02 15:21:49 | Small-Most 0x7515…1dbc | No | SELL | 54 | 92¢ | $50 | 0x64a902… |
| 07-02 14:40:20 | Raw-Avalanche 0x36d7…d7cb | No | SELL | 61 | 92¢ | $56 | 0xc61f47… |
| 07-02 14:40:20 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 61 | 92¢ | $56 | 0xc61f47… |
| 07-02 05:57:20 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 392 | 7¢ | $27 | 0x977327… |
| 07-02 05:57:20 | (anonymous) 0xe6f2…7448 | Yes | SELL | 392 | 7¢ | $27 | 0x977327… |
| 07-02 01:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd015cf… |
| 07-02 01:27:19 | Discrete-Installation 0x3b01…3377 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd015cf… |
| 07-02 01:09:14 | Discrete-Installation 0x3b01…3377 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc080bf… |
| 07-02 01:09:14 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc080bf… |
| 07-02 00:42:17 | Intrepid-Holder 0x4f31…efa3 | No | BUY | 1,598 | 93¢ | $1,486 | 0x81d58e… |
| 07-02 00:42:17 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,598 | 7¢ | $112 | 0x81d58e… |
| 07-01 20:59:25 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 130 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x401f69… |
| 07-01 20:59:25 | Speedy-Film 0x32f6…9538 | No | BUY | 132 | 92¢ | $122 | 0x401f69… |
| 07-01 20:59:25 | Gloomy-Ape 0xb1e4…068b | Yes | BUY | 575 | 8¢ | $46 | 0x401f69… |
| 07-01 20:59:25 | Wiggly-Colloquy 0xbd41…a6de | No | BUY | 112 | 92¢ | $103 | 0x401f69… |
| 07-01 20:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x8079…b9cb | No | BUY | 200 | 92¢ | $184 | 0x401f69… |
| 07-01 15:28:29 | (anonymous) 0xdd6d…11c6 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4a9d45… |
| 07-01 15:28:29 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x4a9d45… |
| 07-01 14:34:11 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfdbced… |
| 07-01 14:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xfdbced… |
| 07-01 14:34:10 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 2,096 | 93¢ | $1,951 | 0x735de8… |
| 07-01 14:34:10 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb6b93f… |
| 07-01 14:34:10 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 96 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x735de8… |
| 07-01 14:34:10 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb6b93f… |
| 07-01 14:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 7¢ | $140 | 0x735de8… |
| 07-01 10:50:11 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x50dc63… |
| 07-01 10:50:11 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x50dc63… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0dec44… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd98dd1… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 2,096 | 93¢ | $1,952 | 0xddd518… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x0dec44… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xd98dd1… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x7ed2…3cf4 | Yes | BUY | 1,468 | 7¢ | $103 | 0xddd518… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 293 | 7¢ | $21 | 0xddd518… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x41adf8… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | Yes | BUY | 265 | 6¢ | $16 | 0xddd518… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | Quixotic-Story 0x7dc9…525e | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xddd518… |
| 07-01 10:50:10 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x41adf8… |
| 07-01 10:25:19 | Specific-Shaker 0x710d…02aa | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x1f3907… |
| 07-01 10:25:19 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x1f3907… |
| 07-01 10:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x7f9f…799c | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xf602e3… |
| 07-01 10:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xf602e3… |
| 07-01 10:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x57e16d… |
| 07-01 10:07:23 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,598 | 93¢ | $1,486 | 0x44bdbb… |
| 07-01 10:07:23 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,598 | 7¢ | $112 | 0x44bdbb… |
| 07-01 10:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x5a37de… |
| 07-01 10:07:23 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x5a37de… |
| 07-01 10:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x57e16d… |
| 07-01 10:03:07 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xdb44f1… |
| 07-01 10:03:07 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xdb44f1… |
| 07-01 10:03:05 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,598 | 7¢ | $112 | 0xb2cc28… |
| 07-01 10:03:05 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,598 | 93¢ | $1,486 | 0xb2cc28… |
| 07-01 10:00:31 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,798 | 93¢ | $1,672 | 0xb00dc5… |
| 07-01 10:00:31 | (anonymous) 0xcbde…d761 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xfcd4db… |
| 07-01 10:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,798 | 7¢ | $126 | 0xb00dc5… |
| 07-01 10:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfcd4db… |
| 07-01 08:57:59 | (anonymous) 0x4a83…97cc | Yes | BUY | 116 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x79fe53… |
| 07-01 08:57:59 | Total-Sash 0x243c…2240 | Yes | SELL | 116 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x79fe53… |
| 07-01 08:17:35 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 102 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x04296a… |
| 07-01 08:17:35 | Scarce-Railing 0x252d…c456 | No | BUY | 102 | 93¢ | $95 | 0x04296a… |
| 07-01 07:09:55 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,398 | 93¢ | $1,300 | 0x8ffc72… |
| 07-01 07:09:55 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,398 | 7¢ | $98 | 0x8ffc72… |
| 07-01 06:25:26 | Embellished-Observatory 0x5371…76eb | No | BUY | 1,398 | 93¢ | $1,300 | 0xf6b191… |
| 07-01 06:25:26 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,398 | 7¢ | $98 | 0xf6b191… |
| 07-01 06:24:16 | (anonymous) 0x87f1…ec8f | Yes | BUY | 1,398 | 7¢ | $98 | 0x326fc9… |