Odd-Deformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,836

lifetime

Volume

$320.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$175

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-10 12:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Politics

15% 0% $-56

Sports

5% 0% $-35

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol lgd tes 2026 08 01	32	$28.0K	16,000	16,000	+0	open	—	08-01 15:05
lol tt jdg 2026 07 30	16	$16.5K	10,171	10,171	+0	open	—	07-30 15:17
cs2 3dmax mouz 2026 07 31	11	$12.9K	16,204	0	+16,204	open	—	07-30 15:20
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	5	$11.2K	6,896	6,896	-0	open	—	07-30 16:26
cs2 tl1 ts7 2026 07 31	3	$8.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	07-30 14:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$8.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	08-08 23:01
lol gx sk 2026 08 01	4	$7.4K	11,139	0	+11,139	open	—	08-01 15:10
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	43	$6.5K	14,000	0	+14,000	open	—	07-19 07:36
lol hle bro1 2026 07 28	12	$5.8K	10,000	2,000	+8,000	open	—	07-28 10:00
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	9	$5.3K	2,000	4,000	-2,000	open	—	08-01 08:56
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	4	$5.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	08-07 23:52
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	3	$4.6K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-10 17:07
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	4	$4.5K	5,600	3,500	+2,100	open	—	08-10 12:12
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$4.4K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	07-29 11:23
lol kc navi 2026 08 01	54	$4.4K	24,000	0	+24,000	open	—	08-01 18:37
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 btts	3	$4.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-14 15:58
cs2 faze ts7 2026 08 01	4	$3.8K	4,612	0	+4,612	open	—	08-01 11:40
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total home 1pt5	110	$3.6K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	07-02 16:04
lol hle1 dk 2026 07 30	2	$3.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	07-30 13:04
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team total home 1pt5	2	$3.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-11 11:39
mlb tex tb 2026 07 30	8	$3.2K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	07-30 15:15
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	5	$3.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-09 17:09
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	1	$3.1K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	07-11 12:41
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	5	$3.1K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	08-02 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$3.0K	1,250	2,250	-1,000	open	—	07-27 18:19
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	2	$2.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	08-01 08:48
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 first half total 1pt5	5	$2.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	07-06 18:26
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-03 07:22
atp vukic musetti 2026 07 29	2	$2.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	07-29 16:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	15	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	07-24 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 12:12:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	2,100	63¢	$1,323	0x3f430b…
08-10 12:12:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	2,050	37¢	$759	0xc21dd5…
08-10 12:11:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	1,450	38¢	$551	0x3c6e1b…
08-09 17:09:27	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x5d8b10…
08-08 23:01:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	90¢	$4,500	0x27846f…
08-07 23:52:25	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	3,000	89¢	$2,670	0xb12778…
08-07 23:31:57	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	625	93¢	$581	0x72f025…
08-07 18:09:42	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	1,636	21¢	$344	0xdcf60d…
08-07 18:09:28	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x4a6125…
08-07 18:06:51	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x360f13…
08-07 18:02:33	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x027fb2…
08-07 18:00:09	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	1,330	21¢	$279	0x9b8566…
08-07 17:18:09	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	148	38¢	$56	0xdd991a…
08-07 17:17:49	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	77	38¢	$29	0xd752ae…
08-07 17:17:49	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0x3c296d…
08-07 17:16:31	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	77	38¢	$29	0xf7afb0…
08-07 17:16:28	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x65b05c…
08-07 17:16:15	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x5c083c…
08-07 17:16:07	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0x563c29…
08-07 17:15:43	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	308	38¢	$117	0x66bdbf…
08-07 17:14:55	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x55e296…
08-07 17:14:51	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xc87036…
08-07 17:13:58	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	231	38¢	$88	0x43cad3…
08-07 17:13:46	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	46	38¢	$17	0xc04de9…
08-07 17:13:33	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x58ae78…
08-07 17:13:07	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x104e49…
08-07 17:12:36	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	74	38¢	$28	0x3efa82…
08-07 17:10:46	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	184	38¢	$70	0x236596…
08-07 17:09:58	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x641639…
08-07 17:09:57	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	210	38¢	$80	0x872308…
08-07 17:08:34	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	140	38¢	$53	0xe8af88…
08-07 17:06:55	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	219	38¢	$83	0x1195fe…
08-07 17:02:13	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	68	38¢	$26	0x4d9e01…
08-07 17:01:52	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	81	38¢	$31	0x52f924…
08-07 17:00:22	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x7d502d…
08-07 16:59:31	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x9d9067…
08-07 16:57:43	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x9d12d8…
08-07 16:57:33	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	671	38¢	$255	0x41c06d…
08-07 16:56:49	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	54	38¢	$21	0x84c95d…
08-07 16:54:25	mlb bal tex 2026 08 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	208	38¢	$79	0xf0d1c2…
08-04 14:52:38	atp damm tsitsip 2026 08 03	Martin Damm	BUY	2,500	35¢	$875	0xa6c384…
08-04 12:03:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,455	83¢	$1,208	0x8951dd…
08-04 11:52:50	atp damm tsitsip 2026 08 03	Martin Damm	BUY	3,000	36¢	$1,080	0xb640ec…
08-04 03:11:06	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xafcf77…
08-03 23:16:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	931	13¢	$121	0x0e6e68…
08-03 22:15:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0xc92a1f…
08-03 14:42:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x008211…
08-03 13:16:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	373	63¢	$235	0xf3aef1…
08-03 12:51:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xf668c8…
08-03 12:51:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xd99151…
08-03 12:51:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0xa45c42…
08-03 12:51:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$6	0x641bf3…
08-03 12:51:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4a9f62…
08-03 12:51:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x05cbdb…
08-03 12:51:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xd136f8…
08-03 12:50:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x4e757d…
08-03 12:48:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0x46a64b…
08-03 07:22:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	67¢	$1,340	0xaf0b75…
08-03 06:50:36	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	75	83¢	$62	0x967a91…
08-03 05:23:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	343	13¢	$45	0xb2e697…
08-03 05:21:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	205	13¢	$27	0x56fe2e…
08-03 05:21:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x1551fe…
08-03 05:02:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x0d8e45…
08-03 03:52:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	222	13¢	$29	0x27814c…
08-03 01:10:36	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xaa6b34…
08-03 00:29:32	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x5ccc95…
08-03 00:10:06	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xff5063…
08-03 00:10:00	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x0326fe…
08-03 00:09:56	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xd12ce6…
08-03 00:09:50	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xcb29a3…
08-03 00:09:42	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfc0159…
08-03 00:08:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0x7d239b…
08-03 00:05:48	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xa4f992…
08-03 00:05:42	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x3b4a87…
08-03 00:05:38	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x91b297…
08-03 00:05:32	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x68d034…
08-03 00:05:23	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xd395b3…
08-03 00:05:15	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xeee8c9…
08-03 00:05:00	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6792ad…
08-03 00:04:51	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xa44a05…
08-03 00:00:05	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x942d46…
08-02 23:56:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5e1882…
08-02 23:34:24	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0x01492a…
08-02 23:00:33	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	66	32¢	$21	0x241959…
08-02 21:56:50	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	160	83¢	$133	0x1220f9…
08-02 20:30:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	165	13¢	$21	0xd22a55…
08-02 20:30:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x0d3fce…
08-02 17:50:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	47	83¢	$39	0xa27f4b…
08-02 17:16:33	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x24947b…
08-02 15:36:47	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xed284e…
08-02 15:36:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x2dcee8…
08-02 15:28:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2,003	77¢	$1,542	0x01e540…
08-02 15:08:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x71c511…
08-02 14:01:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x20e5dd…
08-02 13:57:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,245	22¢	$274	0x88efec…
08-02 13:51:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,000	22¢	$220	0x9af18a…
08-02 13:50:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	1,255	22¢	$276	0x7f2601…
08-02 13:49:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	435	77¢	$335	0xc8cbb2…
08-02 13:42:20	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	159	83¢	$132	0x1c4a5c…
08-02 13:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8a49b1…