Realized P&L
+$5.23K
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
61.3%
Resolved
509
Trades
1,370
lifetime
Volume
$82.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$4.83K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-04 03:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 140 days
Categories
Politics
50% 53% +$5,500
Other
30% 50% -$1,399
Tech
7% 88% +$402
Sports
6% 47% -$402
Crypto
6% 51% +$1,070
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$62
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +3,320 $2,586 92¢ $3.0K +$456 10-03 07:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +240 $194 99¢ $237 +$43 06-22 20:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $156 88¢ $177 +$21 08-17 13:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +390 $277 35¢ $138 -$139 09-24 10:25
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +135 $100 100¢ $135 +$35 05-20 21:53
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +122 $100 97¢ $118 +$18 08-24 09:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +122 $91 94¢ $115 +$24 06-17 11:49
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +300 $87 38¢ $112 +$26 08-05 11:39
will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026 No +100 $85 98¢ $98 +$13 08-05 22:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $77 98¢ $98 +$21 06-17 11:55
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $49 92¢ $92 +$43 08-26 13:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +200 $172 44¢ $88 -$84 09-11 05:31
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +90 $60 91¢ $82 +$22 07-23 22:37
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? No +100 $84 62¢ $62 -$22 09-12 09:37
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +50 $24 88¢ $44 +$21 06-17 11:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +679 $381 6¢ $44 -$337 10-04 05:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $92 22¢ $43 -$49 08-26 19:56
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +100 $61 29¢ $29 -$32 08-05 12:14
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +190 $99 14¢ $26 -$73 08-27 13:45
Will the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? No +20 $19 91¢ $18 $0 11-04 03:04
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +100 $18 12¢ $12 -$6 09-11 10:09
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +125 $21 5¢ $6 -$15 07-23 09:29
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $7 3¢ $3 -$4 08-12 13:18
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +100 $51 2¢ $2 -$49 08-07 10:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +40 $6 4¢ $2 -$5 09-08 14:28
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $13 1¢ $1 -$12 05-10 14:51
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +150 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 06-15 12:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 $0 08-26 15:29