Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
open
Total volume
$9,984
$19 in 24h
Trades
422
Unique wallets
110
Liquidity
$7,779
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-19 03:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+52.9¢
(top1%: 79% YES on $931
vs crowd: 26% YES on $7.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $955 | $84 | +$871 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $278 | $4.6K | $4.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 25 | $368 | $54 | +$314 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $220 | $547 | $327 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $731 | $200 | +$531 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $210 | $491 | $281 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | $121 | $3.1K | $3.0K |
| Median | 16 | $83 | $46 | +$37 |
| Below median | 18 | $198 | $7 | +$191 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $59 | $51 | +$7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $238 | $662 | $424 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $32 | $166 | $134 |
| unranked | 32 | $148 | $547 | $399 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young-Melon 0x8768…dd9b | No | +3,815 | $3,029 | $3,056 | 13 | 06-10 18:27 |
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +3,333 | $667 | $667 | 3 | 06-04 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf650…6bf8 | No | +698 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-28 13:21 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +642 | $477 | $477 | 7 | 06-15 08:38 |
| Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | Yes | +632 | $168 | $168 | 4 | 06-04 22:05 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +458 | $330 | $330 | 9 | 06-19 00:24 |
| Sad-Catalysis 0x5a7b…e9eb | No | +295 | $186 | $186 | 2 | 06-01 17:35 |
| Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | +282 | $79 | $89 | 11 | 06-19 03:22 |
| Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | +281 | $56 | $56 | 6 | 06-05 08:02 |
| Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | +250 | $68 | $68 | 8 | 06-15 21:31 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +230 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 06-15 08:38 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +226 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 06-05 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | +200 | $138 | $138 | 7 | 06-15 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf21…8c3a | Yes | +172 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | +143 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-05 03:04 |
| Lighthearted-Prey 0x29b0…a940 | Yes | +122 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-16 13:54 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +110 | $34 | $101 | 29 | 06-19 03:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xa00c…2b65 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-04 19:14 |
| Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | Yes | +80 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-05 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xf46f…3196 | No | +80 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 06-15 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1500…d35a | Yes | +74 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | +67 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 06-04 22:03 |
| Young-Visa 0x974b…b29b | No | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-01 17:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb65…1407 | Yes | +48 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-04 21:56 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | +43 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-10 00:08 |
| Troubled-Lining 0xdbc4…4347 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-04 21:56 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +41 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 05-28 11:07 |
| Unusual-Animal 0xe24a…07db | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-08 14:46 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +35 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-28 06:16 |
| Infatuated-Page 0x5d30…80d3 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 12:15 |
| Cool-Attic 0xd656…e6fd | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 19:14 |
| Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | +29 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-04 22:20 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | +22 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-04 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 18:35 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | Yes | +18 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-04 22:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbb5…3584 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 19:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +17 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-31 20:50 |
| Easy-Going-Reef 0xbfe6…16f6 | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 12:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x853b…24a0 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-16 02:45 |
| Stupendous-Eddy 0x29d3…b2ed | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-28 06:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd922…c7a5 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 11:44 |
| Bustling-Boom 0xe8f4…1ad1 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 09:04 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | +10 | $7 | $24 | 8 | 06-14 14:53 |
| Negligible-Impala 0x77e1…4ae2 | No | +5 | $3 | $11 | 3 | 06-14 21:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 19:16 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 07:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 03:22:26 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | SELL | 18 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xad9fcf… |
| 06-19 03:22:26 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xad9fcf… |
| 06-19 00:24:49 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 231 | 72¢ | $166 | 0xa0bf9c… |
| 06-19 00:24:49 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 100 | 28¢ | $28 | 0xa0bf9c… |
| 06-18 23:26:26 | Strict-Database 0xac13…6506 | No | SELL | 31 | 71¢ | $22 | 0xa3f89a… |
| 06-18 23:26:26 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 29¢ | $9 | 0xa3f89a… |
| 06-18 18:57:08 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x466390… |
| 06-18 18:57:08 | Phony-Software 0x4708…9580 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x466390… |
| 06-18 18:36:04 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x0f7beb… |
| 06-18 18:36:04 | Gentle-Nectar 0x6066…ac8f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x0f7beb… |
| 06-18 18:22:02 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xf441bf… |
| 06-18 18:22:02 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xf441bf… |
| 06-18 18:21:50 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xd996ba… |
| 06-18 18:21:50 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xd996ba… |
| 06-18 18:21:49 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x6384ed… |
| 06-18 18:21:49 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x6384ed… |
| 06-18 18:21:47 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x5f6d5c… |
| 06-18 18:21:47 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x5f6d5c… |
| 06-18 18:21:46 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xe58b1e… |
| 06-18 18:21:46 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0xe58b1e… |
| 06-18 18:21:43 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x427c35… |
| 06-18 18:21:43 | Humiliating-Ability 0x993b…deda | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x427c35… |
| 06-17 22:46:41 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x86c2a8… |
| 06-17 22:46:41 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x86c2a8… |
| 06-17 12:22:10 | Wordy-Penguin 0xb4c5…d67e | No | SELL | 30 | 71¢ | $22 | 0x307b0f… |
| 06-17 12:22:10 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 29¢ | $9 | 0x307b0f… |
| 06-17 08:47:11 | Perfumed-Appointment 0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | SELL | 172 | 29¢ | $50 | 0x2e959d… |
| 06-17 08:47:11 | (anonymous) 0xbf21…8c3a | Yes | BUY | 172 | 29¢ | $50 | 0x2e959d… |
| 06-17 01:33:53 | (anonymous) 0x88ea…0512 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xaa2be7… |
| 06-17 01:33:53 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xaa2be7… |
| 06-16 18:35:44 | (anonymous) 0x88ea…0512 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x5f4e08… |
| 06-16 18:35:44 | (anonymous) 0x0085…b322 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x5f4e08… |
| 06-16 13:54:29 | Lighthearted-Prey 0x29b0…a940 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x4bbf04… |
| 06-16 13:54:29 | (anonymous) 0x88ea…0512 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x4bbf04… |
| 06-16 12:40:34 | (anonymous) 0x88ea…0512 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x7a226f… |
| 06-16 12:40:34 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x7a226f… |
| 06-16 12:07:22 | Easy-Going-Reef 0xbfe6…16f6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x291c87… |
| 06-16 12:07:22 | (anonymous) 0x88ea…0512 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 26¢ | $4 | 0x291c87… |
| 06-16 11:52:33 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x528cf4… |
| 06-16 11:52:33 | (anonymous) 0x88ea…0512 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x528cf4… |
| 06-16 09:04:31 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x2a1995… |
| 06-16 09:04:31 | Bustling-Boom 0xe8f4…1ad1 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x2a1995… |
| 06-16 02:45:49 | (anonymous) 0x853b…24a0 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xed23de… |
| 06-16 02:45:49 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xed23de… |
| 06-16 02:12:49 | (anonymous) 0x1500…d35a | Yes | BUY | 74 | 27¢ | $20 | 0xbab296… |
| 06-16 02:12:49 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 27¢ | $20 | 0xbab296… |
| 06-16 00:48:31 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x4712f9… |
| 06-16 00:48:31 | Creative-Pasta 0x2eae…a25f | No | SELL | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x4712f9… |
| 06-15 21:31:27 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 40 | 27¢ | $11 | 0xbab53e… |
| 06-15 21:31:27 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 27¢ | $11 | 0xbab53e… |
| 06-15 21:30:52 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xd1b79a… |
| 06-15 21:30:52 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xd1b79a… |
| 06-15 21:22:34 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x3c8629… |
| 06-15 21:22:34 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x3c8629… |
| 06-15 20:37:21 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xa07b13… |
| 06-15 20:37:21 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 27¢ | $6 | 0xa07b13… |
| 06-15 18:02:07 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x1308b2… |
| 06-15 18:02:07 | Snarling-Text 0x7cc1…fdc6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x1308b2… |
| 06-15 17:37:16 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x2c21fa… |
| 06-15 17:37:16 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x2c21fa… |
| 06-15 12:57:28 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 35 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xa33814… |
| 06-15 12:57:28 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 25¢ | $9 | 0xa33814… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Whispered-Serial 0x560c…bba8 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 29¢ | $12 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | BUY | 96 | 69¢ | $66 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 75 | 72¢ | $54 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | SELL | 138 | 43¢ | $59 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | BUY | 230 | 62¢ | $143 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | BUY | 100 | 58¢ | $58 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | (anonymous) 0xf46f…3196 | No | BUY | 30 | 60¢ | $18 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 08:38:31 | Hideous-Leg 0x56ad…f13e | No | SELL | 2,000 | 64¢ | $1,287 | 0x4c0c85… |
| 06-15 07:17:13 | Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x473e60… |
| 06-15 07:17:13 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x473e60… |
| 06-15 01:04:21 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 40 | 28¢ | $11 | 0x1fcf80… |
| 06-15 01:04:21 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0x1fcf80… |
| 06-14 21:58:51 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 78 | 72¢ | $56 | 0xb937c8… |
| 06-14 21:58:51 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 78 | 28¢ | $22 | 0xb937c8… |
| 06-14 21:21:55 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x44ab7a… |
| 06-14 21:21:55 | Negligible-Impala 0x77e1…4ae2 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x44ab7a… |
| 06-14 21:21:55 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x44ab7a… |
| 06-14 20:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x1cca…a436 | No | SELL | 23 | 73¢ | $17 | 0xe54bb3… |
| 06-14 20:16:15 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 23 | 73¢ | $17 | 0xe54bb3… |
| 06-14 14:53:03 | (anonymous) 0x8c0d…a3ce | Yes | SELL | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x29c0f8… |
| 06-14 14:53:03 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | SELL | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0x29c0f8… |
| 06-14 10:46:10 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | SELL | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xcf2917… |
| 06-14 10:46:10 | Negligible-Impala 0x77e1…4ae2 | No | SELL | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xcf2917… |
| 06-14 10:46:10 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | SELL | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0xcf2917… |
| 06-13 23:46:33 | (anonymous) 0xbcd1…ee93 | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xc16aad… |
| 06-13 23:46:33 | Negligible-Impala 0x77e1…4ae2 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xc16aad… |
| 06-13 23:46:33 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 45 | 26¢ | $12 | 0xc16aad… |
| 06-13 23:46:33 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 26¢ | $7 | 0xc16aad… |
| 06-13 11:11:09 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x7d1828… |
| 06-13 11:11:09 | Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x7d1828… |
| 06-12 22:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | SELL | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0xc0bb82… |
| 06-12 22:54:13 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xc0bb82… |
| 06-12 09:20:13 | Orange-Bun 0x1a59…f81e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x9c147e… |
| 06-12 09:20:13 | Knotty-Trowel 0x921d…efb8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x9c147e… |
| 06-12 08:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x4c44…3b03 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x85f812… |