Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
open
Total volume
$15,917
$19 in 24h
Trades
938
Unique wallets
171
Liquidity
$7,779
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 10:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+45.3¢
(top1%: 76% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 31% YES on $10.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $1.5K | $432 | +$1.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 39 | $533 | $5.7K | $5.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $836 | $583 | +$253 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 84 | $383 | $584 | $201 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $926 | $294 | +$632 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $382 | $637 | $255 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $115 | $3.5K | $3.4K |
| Median | 25 | $278 | $499 | $220 |
| Below median | 26 | $489 | $25 | +$464 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $155 | $51 | +$104 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $563 | $1.0K | $448 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $32 | $166 | $134 |
| unranked | 64 | $291 | $1.1K | $825 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | +3,847 | $749 | $749 | 4 | 06-28 16:55 |
| Young-Melon 0x8768…dd9b | No | +3,811 | $3,026 | $3,059 | 14 | 06-20 13:08 |
| Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | +1,684 | $420 | $425 | 106 | 07-10 04:57 |
| Expensive-Struggle 0xc684…2228 | No | +788 | $589 | $658 | 12 | 07-05 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf650…6bf8 | No | +698 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-28 13:21 |
| Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73 | Yes | +677 | $179 | $179 | 5 | 07-03 02:41 |
| Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | +540 | $411 | $411 | 54 | 07-10 04:57 |
| Sparse-Celsius 0x8f41…260e | Yes | +460 | $-100 | $888 | 32 | 06-28 16:55 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +458 | $330 | $330 | 9 | 06-19 00:24 |
| Experienced-Carpeting 0xbdcb…e811 | No | +453 | $349 | $349 | 1 | 07-01 21:02 |
| Optimal-Communion 0x1e3a…9e14 | Yes | +400 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-28 16:55 |
| Usable-Linseed 0x3e0a…b9cc | Yes | +400 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 07-01 21:02 |
| Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | +392 | $296 | $296 | 10 | 07-10 00:54 |
| Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | +341 | $68 | $68 | 7 | 06-28 16:55 |
| Sad-Catalysis 0x5a7b…e9eb | No | +295 | $186 | $186 | 2 | 06-01 17:35 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | Yes | +250 | $55 | $55 | 5 | 06-28 16:55 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +240 | $178 | $178 | 13 | 07-10 00:54 |
| Meaty-Rubric 0x9e9a…a9a8 | No | +230 | $143 | $143 | 1 | 06-15 08:38 |
| Plush-Dirt 0x9d69…ab3a | No | +226 | $179 | $179 | 3 | 06-05 03:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x25dc…e33b | No | +200 | $138 | $138 | 7 | 06-15 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2266…1c4f | No | +173 | $133 | $133 | 1 | 06-27 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf21…8c3a | Yes | +172 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-17 08:47 |
| Compassionate-Jumbo 0x7265…e943 | Yes | +146 | $33 | $33 | 15 | 07-09 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | +143 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 06-05 03:04 |
| Whirlwind-Logistics 0x21bc…4681 | No | +130 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 06-21 10:03 |
| Determined-Gear 0x9f08…73a8 | No | +126 | $94 | $94 | 7 | 07-08 15:30 |
| Bold-Guerrilla 0x2721…cf8a | Yes | +122 | $47 | $252 | 52 | 07-10 00:54 |
| Lighthearted-Prey 0x29b0…a940 | Yes | +122 | $35 | $35 | 3 | 06-16 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e55…15b7 | No | +110 | $82 | $82 | 4 | 06-21 21:06 |
| Oddball-Storyboard 0xc2f7…aef9 | Yes | +105 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-28 16:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa00c…2b65 | Yes | +100 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 06-04 19:14 |
| Terrific-Subprime 0x06af…3741 | No | +100 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-24 15:58 |
| Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | Yes | +80 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-05 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x1500…d35a | Yes | +74 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-16 02:12 |
| Sneaky-Citrus 0x2ef6…c761 | No | +67 | $50 | $50 | 3 | 06-24 17:56 |
| Young-Visa 0x974b…b29b | No | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 06-01 17:35 |
| Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | +43 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 06-10 00:08 |
| Glum-Nonsense 0x20aa…e26b | Yes | +43 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-09 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 07-10 01:56 |
| Unusual-Animal 0xe24a…07db | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 06-08 14:46 |
| Yearly-Gaming 0x919a…87b9 | Yes | +38 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 04:03 |
| Left-Mailman 0xd3fe…2b28 | Yes | +38 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 06-28 16:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb65…1407 | Yes | +38 | $9 | $15 | 3 | 06-26 15:18 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +35 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-28 06:16 |
| Lustrous-Snowman 0xb408…fcb1 | Yes | +34 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-28 16:55 |
| Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | Yes | +33 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-10 10:28 |
| Cheap-Fraud 0xf218…7939 | No | +32 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-08 18:51 |
| Infatuated-Page 0x5d30…80d3 | Yes | +32 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-28 12:15 |
| Cool-Attic 0xd656…e6fd | Yes | +29 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 19:14 |
| Red-Girlfriend 0x7b64…8440 | Yes | +29 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 06-04 22:20 |
| Bustling-Boom 0xe8f4…1ad1 | No | +27 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-24 15:46 |
| Utter-Orient 0xe90f…131e | Yes | +22 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-04 21:56 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-04 21:56 |
| Trusting-Hearing 0xd41b…83a4 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-09 06:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 06-12 22:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd922…c7a5 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-02 11:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 10:28:01 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x5a3d95… |
| 07-10 10:28:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x5a3d95… |
| 07-10 10:28:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x5a3d95… |
| 07-10 10:28:01 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x5a3d95… |
| 07-10 10:28:01 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | Yes | BUY | 33 | 26¢ | $9 | 0x5a3d95… |
| 07-10 04:57:14 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7927ba… |
| 07-10 04:57:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x7927ba… |
| 07-10 04:57:14 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x7927ba… |
| 07-10 04:55:26 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x99bfda… |
| 07-10 04:55:26 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x99bfda… |
| 07-10 04:54:01 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xd2d4f7… |
| 07-10 04:54:01 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xd2d4f7… |
| 07-10 04:53:32 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x3d001a… |
| 07-10 04:53:32 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x3d001a… |
| 07-10 04:53:11 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xb6bcac… |
| 07-10 04:53:11 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xb6bcac… |
| 07-10 04:53:11 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb6bcac… |
| 07-10 04:50:53 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xd9ca65… |
| 07-10 04:50:53 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xd9ca65… |
| 07-10 04:50:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xd9ca65… |
| 07-10 03:49:56 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x75b6b6… |
| 07-10 03:49:56 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x75b6b6… |
| 07-10 03:49:46 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xda0ba2… |
| 07-10 03:49:46 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xda0ba2… |
| 07-10 03:46:01 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8b247c… |
| 07-10 03:46:01 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x8b247c… |
| 07-10 03:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | SELL | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x8b247c… |
| 07-10 03:40:07 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x109db3… |
| 07-10 03:40:07 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x109db3… |
| 07-10 03:36:49 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x37adfe… |
| 07-10 03:36:49 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x37adfe… |
| 07-10 03:36:49 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x37adfe… |
| 07-10 03:32:25 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x35d4b2… |
| 07-10 03:32:25 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x35d4b2… |
| 07-10 03:32:25 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x35d4b2… |
| 07-10 03:32:14 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x93f7ce… |
| 07-10 03:32:14 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x93f7ce… |
| 07-10 03:32:14 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x93f7ce… |
| 07-10 03:32:01 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xb3ac0a… |
| 07-10 03:32:01 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xb3ac0a… |
| 07-10 03:32:01 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 25¢ | $3 | 0xb3ac0a… |
| 07-10 03:11:38 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xd908f1… |
| 07-10 03:11:38 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xd908f1… |
| 07-10 03:11:38 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xd908f1… |
| 07-10 03:10:50 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7ffe93… |
| 07-10 03:10:50 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x7ffe93… |
| 07-10 03:10:28 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x75244b… |
| 07-10 03:10:28 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x75244b… |
| 07-10 03:10:28 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x75244b… |
| 07-10 02:43:37 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xe4ba0d… |
| 07-10 02:43:37 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xe4ba0d… |
| 07-10 02:43:37 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xe4ba0d… |
| 07-10 02:43:34 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x4bf8ed… |
| 07-10 02:43:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x4bf8ed… |
| 07-10 02:41:14 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x9243e5… |
| 07-10 02:41:14 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x9243e5… |
| 07-10 02:40:31 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x38331a… |
| 07-10 02:40:31 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x38331a… |
| 07-10 02:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x38331a… |
| 07-10 02:38:28 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xb27694… |
| 07-10 02:38:28 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xb27694… |
| 07-10 02:38:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0x28f760… |
| 07-10 02:38:14 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x28f760… |
| 07-10 02:38:14 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x28f760… |
| 07-10 02:01:44 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x44ddc6… |
| 07-10 02:01:44 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x44ddc6… |
| 07-10 02:01:26 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x8d889f… |
| 07-10 02:01:26 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x8d889f… |
| 07-10 01:56:38 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x7dab72… |
| 07-10 01:56:38 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x7dab72… |
| 07-10 01:56:38 | (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | BUY | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x7dab72… |
| 07-10 01:56:37 | (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0xf3f4f6… |
| 07-10 01:56:37 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xf3f4f6… |
| 07-10 01:56:35 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 11 | 25¢ | $3 | 0x8c6576… |
| 07-10 01:56:35 | (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | BUY | 17 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x8c6576… |
| 07-10 01:56:35 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x8c6576… |
| 07-10 01:56:34 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x8e572e… |
| 07-10 01:56:34 | (anonymous) 0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x8e572e… |
| 07-10 01:43:47 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x153c6a… |
| 07-10 01:43:47 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x153c6a… |
| 07-10 01:36:40 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x3a1dbe… |
| 07-10 01:36:40 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x3a1dbe… |
| 07-10 01:36:40 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 22¢ | $0 | 0x3a1dbe… |
| 07-10 01:36:37 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x3c23f3… |
| 07-10 01:36:37 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3c23f3… |
| 07-10 01:36:37 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x3c23f3… |
| 07-10 01:36:34 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x45a92d… |
| 07-10 01:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x45a92d… |
| 07-10 01:36:34 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x45a92d… |
| 07-10 01:36:31 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xf1ad24… |
| 07-10 01:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf1ad24… |
| 07-10 01:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xf1ad24… |
| 07-10 01:36:29 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x00bb31… |
| 07-10 01:36:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x00bb31… |
| 07-10 01:36:28 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x7a0626… |
| 07-10 01:36:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x7a0626… |
| 07-10 01:36:26 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x089318… |
| 07-10 01:36:26 | Subtle-Fencing 0x3838…2c6f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x089318… |
| 07-10 00:54:17 | Courageous-Parka 0x1683…6906 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x1efaeb… |
| 07-10 00:54:17 | Gummy-Hourglass 0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x1efaeb… |