Sneaky-Citrus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$999

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$214

Open exposure

$1.90K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-26 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

46% 35% -$630

Politics

26% 80% +$1,711

Tech

19% 50% +$56

Sports

9% 50% -$138

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,096	$800	86¢	$948	+$148	09-19 20:20
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+2,059	$800	36¢	$731	-$69	10-05 21:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+526	$300	34¢	$182	-$118	09-30 23:28
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	+67	$50	64¢	$43	-$7	06-24 17:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,176	1,176	+0	Yes	+$890	06-15 07:11
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	1	$1000	1,351	0	+1,351	No	+$351	06-19 14:30
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$815	942	942	+0	No	+$15	07-09 21:35
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	1	$800	2,059	0	+2,059	open	—	10-05 21:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$800	1,096	0	+1,096	open	—	09-19 20:20
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$727	580	580	+0	England	-$73	07-11 22:51
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	1	$591	0	592	-592	No	-$1	05-19 08:08
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$500	1,244	0	+1,244	No	-$500	10-02 18:49
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	1	$500	715	0	+715	No	+$215	03-08 17:12
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	1	$500	674	0	+674	No	+$174	09-10 13:19
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$477	700	0	+700	Yes	+$223	10-26 10:49
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	3	$423	573	364	+208	No	-$77	05-16 22:13
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	1	$380	745	0	+745	Yes	+$365	02-27 17:04
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	2	$360	790	0	+790	Yes	-$360	04-28 23:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	1	$300	526	0	+526	open	—	09-30 23:28
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$300	612	0	+612	Yes	+$312	01-08 23:57
France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?	2	$300	889	0	+889	No	-$300	07-09 20:38
Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$265	1,105	405	+700	No	-$135	10-26 10:47
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	1	$200	685	0	+685	Yes	-$200	05-10 08:24
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$200	7,631	0	+7,631	Yes	-$200	10-26 10:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$200	444	0	+444	Yes	+$244	02-28 10:58
Finland leading at halftime?	2	$110	333	333	+0	No	-$90	10-03 13:15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$102	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$92	07-09 21:37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$100	400	0	+400	Yes	+$300	07-07 17:27
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	1	$100	2,226	0	+2,226	No	-$100	06-23 16:40
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?	1	$100	380	0	+380	open	—	10-02 21:17
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$100	185	0	+185	No	-$100	02-22 15:50
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$100	189	0	+189	Argentina	+$89	07-07 17:25
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	1	$100	213	0	+213	Finland	+$113	05-31 17:51
Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$90	691	0	+691	No	-$90	10-26 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:51:51	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	109	14¢	$15	0x97a2f0…
10-26 10:49:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	410	67¢	$277	0xb80b64…
10-26 10:48:29	Will Harry Kane finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	582	13¢	$75	0x5f9509…
10-26 10:47:39	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	405	16¢	$65	0xaf6cc3…
10-26 10:37:57	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	7,631	3¢	$200	0xad00e4…
10-26 10:37:06	Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,105	18¢	$200	0x3a4bb2…
10-26 10:36:50	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0x42ab4b…
10-05 21:29:08	Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,059	39¢	$800	0x367381…
10-03 14:43:38	Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	553	0¢	$2	0x78fb4b…
10-03 14:39:56	Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	553	2¢	$10	0x9cac51…
10-03 13:15:53	Finland leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	333	3¢	$10	0x4bd240…
10-03 11:18:08	Finland leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xf90346…
10-02 21:17:15	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?	No	BUY	380	26¢	$100	0x38f868…
10-02 18:49:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,244	40¢	$500	0xd5fa2e…
09-30 23:28:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x8727d2…
09-25 19:12:47	vbeuro fin fra2 2026 09 25	Finland	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8159b2…
09-19 20:20:18	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,096	73¢	$800	0x9a96a7…
09-10 13:19:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	674	74¢	$500	0xaf0bc9…
07-11 22:51:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	SELL	580	56¢	$327	0xc9ae46…
07-11 22:03:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	580	69¢	$400	0xa2c85e…
07-09 21:37:50	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$5	0x8ce15e…
07-09 21:35:20	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	522	30¢	$155	0x49d361…
07-09 20:38:25	France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0x16c97b…
07-09 19:23:04	France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?	Yes	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0xec4510…
07-09 01:15:40	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	522	38¢	$200	0x52439c…
07-07 18:06:58	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	420	62¢	$260	0x43b7bc…
07-07 17:27:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xd00ad4…
07-07 17:25:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x29abd9…
07-05 21:28:46	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe14cfd…
07-05 14:20:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x9df6b4…
06-30 18:34:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	No	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x0098f6…
06-30 10:04:02	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	420	48¢	$200	0xfe8446…
06-30 10:03:53	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$98	0x7f21bd…
06-24 17:56:32	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0d97bb…
06-24 14:16:05	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x541370…
06-24 13:41:58	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	58	74¢	$43	0x509427…
06-23 16:40:32	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,226	4¢	$100	0x1779f1…
06-19 14:30:41	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	1,351	74¢	$1,000	0x70b94e…
06-15 22:57:24	wta korneev tian 2026 06 16 set handicap away 1pt5	Tian	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x907182…
06-15 07:11:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,176	93¢	$1,090	0x162c63…
06-08 12:20:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0x09c2fa…
05-31 17:51:14	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x101851…
05-19 08:08:37	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	592	100¢	$591	0xd3c06f…
05-16 22:13:14	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x4e91e8…
05-15 06:58:05	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	364	48¢	$173	0x569b10…
05-10 08:28:27	X banned in any European country by December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x69e104…
05-10 08:24:58	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	BUY	685	29¢	$200	0x00b989…
05-10 08:11:47	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xa62c39…
04-28 23:38:52	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0xf67e9c…
03-08 17:15:29	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	No	BUY	678	44¢	$300	0xc46845…
03-08 17:12:35	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	715	70¢	$500	0xc939da…
02-28 10:58:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x571c1e…
02-27 17:04:19	US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	745	51¢	$380	0x101f82…
02-22 15:50:38	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xed9278…
02-11 15:38:55	will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x9c7ec1…
01-08 23:57:24	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0xba6275…