Realized P&L (30d)
-$702
Unrealized P&L
-$207
Hit rate
31.1%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
7
56 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.03K
$12.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$1.86K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 10-26 10:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
46% 35% -$630
Politics
26% 80% +$1,711
Tech
19% 50% +$56
Sports
9% 50% -$138
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,096 $800 88¢ $970 +$170 09-19 20:20
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,059 $800 30¢ $607 -$193 10-05 21:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +526 $300 30¢ $161 -$139 09-30 23:28
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? No +380 $100 21¢ $80 -$20 10-02 21:17
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +67 $50 60¢ $41 -$9 06-24 17:56
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes +42 $20 11¢ $5 -$15 05-10 08:28