Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
open
Total volume
$197,025
$9,116 in 24h
Trades
1,364
Unique wallets
394
Liquidity
$35,033
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-19 00:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $32.4K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $126.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 28 | $476 | $108.2K | $107.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 51 | $220 | $13.5K | $13.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 61 | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$292 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 254 | $431 | $669 | $238 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $64 | $32.3K | $32.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 29 | $1.3K | $1.3K | $20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 23 | $85 | $7.6K | $7.6K |
| Median | 39 | $25 | $5.8K | $5.7K |
| Below median | 66 | $80 | $506 | $426 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 21 | $35 | $538 | $503 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $173 | $10 | +$163 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 12 | $278 | $22.8K | $22.5K |
| unranked | 185 | $676 | $52.8K | $52.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | +50,271 | $50,221 | $50,221 | 4 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | +30,998 | $30,765 | $30,765 | 8 | 06-18 23:18 |
| Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | +26,664 | $27 | $27 | 5 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | No | +20,629 | $20,581 | $20,581 | 2 | 06-18 20:43 |
| Frail-Motorcycle 0x832d…6ec5 | Yes | +14,138 | $-165 | $809 | 30 | 06-18 20:40 |
| Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | +13,407 | $-28 | $182 | 22 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +11,774 | $-83 | $155 | 9 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | +6,666 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Warped-Anterior 0x7207…e423 | Yes | +6,189 | $988 | $1,016 | 4 | 06-15 06:46 |
| Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | +6,006 | $5,997 | $5,997 | 2 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | +4,080 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +3,691 | $27 | $85 | 21 | 06-18 20:42 |
| Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | +3,000 | $7 | $7 | 6 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | +2,375 | $-1 | $8 | 7 | 06-19 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-19 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +1,881 | $-0 | $131 | 44 | 06-19 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ba1…057c | Yes | +1,150 | $-16 | $20 | 4 | 06-19 00:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xbafc…78d0 | Yes | +1,000 | $0 | $40 | 4 | 06-18 20:38 |
| Graceful-Mass 0xc253…c50a | No | +1,000 | $998 | $998 | 1 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +1,000 | $996 | $996 | 1 | 06-18 20:41 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +832 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 06-18 20:38 |
| Blushing-Roast 0x7ad0…19e3 | Yes | +800 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-28 10:54 |
| Mammoth-Carboxyl 0xc27b…3ce0 | Yes | +685 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 13:46 |
| Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | +578 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-07 19:45 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +500 | $0 | $20 | 3 | 06-18 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xad2c…694f | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +459 | $356 | $744 | 3 | 06-07 06:58 |
| Perky-Mainstream 0x70a1…0a65 | Yes | +440 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-18 23:08 |
| Daring-Tendency 0x928f…52fd | Yes | +435 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-07 13:17 |
| Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | +400 | $8 | $8 | 3 | 06-02 15:28 |
| Suburban-Grade-Seagull 0xe9b4…946d | Yes | +385 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-07 18:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x493c…953e | Yes | +378 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-08 22:02 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +337 | $6 | $26 | 7 | 06-17 23:50 |
| Prickly-Filly 0x55d9…d702 | Yes | +333 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-04 00:43 |
| Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | +309 | $60 | $3,011 | 12 | 06-17 23:50 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | +300 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-19 00:27 |
| Generous-Mama 0x2bee…e55c | Yes | +292 | $8 | $8 | 7 | 06-11 18:26 |
| Faithful-Razor 0x6731…4e4e | Yes | +288 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 20:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 00:27:28 | Fixed-Blight 0x6477…5b5d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb822fb… |
| 06-19 00:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xb822fb… |
| 06-19 00:27:28 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xb822fb… |
| 06-19 00:27:23 | Fixed-Blight 0x6477…5b5d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9ed855… |
| 06-19 00:27:23 | (anonymous) 0xa296…9c36 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9ed855… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Hairy-Posterior 0x5245…5b53 | No | SELL | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x406234… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 1,264 | 100¢ | $1,263 | 0xc46755… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 2,497 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x406234… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 3,333 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x740fd9… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 24,500 | 100¢ | $24,476 | 0x9583ff… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 6,849 | 0¢ | $7 | 0x9583ff… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9583ff… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xad2c…694f | Yes | BUY | 146 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x406234… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | SELL | 2,149 | 100¢ | $2,145 | 0xf7ca7e… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x406234… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | BUY | 4,080 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x740fd9… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 1,216 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x740fd9… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x8ba1…057c | Yes | BUY | 126 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x406234… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf9f…c444 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x740fd9… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 3,333 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x740fd9… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc46755… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | BUY | 1,244 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc46755… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Graceful-Mass 0xc253…c50a | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $998 | 0x446ced… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Adept-Brick 0xc126…832c | No | BUY | 24,500 | 100¢ | $24,476 | 0x740fd9… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x8ba1…057c | Yes | BUY | 874 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9583ff… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | BUY | 3,003 | 100¢ | $3,000 | 0x406234… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x740fd9… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | SELL | 1,000 | 100¢ | $998 | 0x446ced… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xad2c…694f | Yes | BUY | 354 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf7ca7e… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9583ff… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf7ca7e… |
| 06-19 00:27:19 | Full-Upstairs 0x1cff…6cff | No | BUY | 3,003 | 100¢ | $2,997 | 0xf7ca7e… |
| 06-19 00:24:16 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xe1b6d2… |
| 06-19 00:24:16 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe1b6d2… |
| 06-19 00:24:05 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x3ca348… |
| 06-19 00:24:05 | (anonymous) 0xc0d9…a8a1 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ca348… |
| 06-19 00:06:19 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 164 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x28e15e… |
| 06-19 00:06:19 | Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | BUY | 233 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x28e15e… |
| 06-19 00:06:19 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x28e15e… |
| 06-18 23:18:20 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xeecd1c… |
| 06-18 23:18:20 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeecd1c… |
| 06-18 23:18:14 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b7dc7… |
| 06-18 23:18:14 | (anonymous) 0xa296…9c36 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x9b7dc7… |
| 06-18 23:18:11 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x8e8a3b… |
| 06-18 23:18:11 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | SELL | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x8e8a3b… |
| 06-18 23:08:26 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 167 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x55d0a2… |
| 06-18 23:08:26 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x55d0a2… |
| 06-18 23:08:26 | Perky-Mainstream 0x70a1…0a65 | Yes | BUY | 233 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x55d0a2… |
| 06-18 23:01:17 | Hairy-Posterior 0x5245…5b53 | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $34 | 0x6e63eb… |
| 06-18 23:01:17 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 173 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6e63eb… |
| 06-18 23:01:17 | Perky-Mainstream 0x70a1…0a65 | Yes | BUY | 207 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x6e63eb… |
| 06-18 23:00:49 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 333 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa3fa42… |
| 06-18 23:00:49 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 650 | 100¢ | $648 | 0xa3fa42… |
| 06-18 23:00:49 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 300 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa3fa42… |
| 06-18 23:00:49 | Hairy-Posterior 0x5245…5b53 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xa3fa42… |
| 06-18 22:23:11 | Hairy-Posterior 0x5245…5b53 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x50d6ad… |
| 06-18 22:23:11 | Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | BUY | 1,002 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x50d6ad… |
| 06-18 22:23:11 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 992 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x50d6ad… |
| 06-18 22:22:38 | (anonymous) 0xa296…9c36 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0ce86f… |
| 06-18 22:22:38 | Hairy-Posterior 0x5245…5b53 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x0ce86f… |
| 06-18 22:22:31 | Hairy-Posterior 0x5245…5b53 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6de124… |
| 06-18 22:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x31b2…1f93 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x6de124… |
| 06-18 22:22:23 | Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | SELL | 1,428 | 0¢ | $3 | 0xb36ec0… |
| 06-18 22:22:23 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | No | SELL | 1,428 | 100¢ | $1,425 | 0xb36ec0… |
| 06-18 20:43:32 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd41cc3… |
| 06-18 20:43:32 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd41cc3… |
| 06-18 20:43:29 | Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | No | BUY | 1,002 | 100¢ | $1,000 | 0xefdbeb… |
| 06-18 20:43:29 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xefdbeb… |
| 06-18 20:43:29 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xefdbeb… |
| 06-18 20:42:17 | (anonymous) 0x5449…992b | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xd62886… |
| 06-18 20:42:17 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd62886… |
| 06-18 20:42:14 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1,111 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x5e98f2… |
| 06-18 20:42:14 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 500 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x5e98f2… |
| 06-18 20:42:14 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 2,440 | 0¢ | $10 | 0x5e98f2… |
| 06-18 20:42:14 | Ordinary-Dress 0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e98f2… |
| 06-18 20:42:14 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 2,500 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x5e98f2… |
| 06-18 20:42:14 | Profitable-Recorder 0x92a6…8b84 | No | BUY | 19,627 | 100¢ | $19,581 | 0x5e98f2… |
| 06-18 20:42:14 | Warped-Anterior 0x7207…e423 | No | SELL | 10,051 | 100¢ | $10,031 | 0x5e98f2… |
| 06-18 20:41:31 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2fa39e… |
| 06-18 20:41:31 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2fa39e… |
| 06-18 20:41:05 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $4 | 0x048778… |
| 06-18 20:41:05 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $996 | 0x048778… |
| 06-18 20:41:02 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fba65… |
| 06-18 20:41:02 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0dbd27… |
| 06-18 20:41:02 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0dbd27… |
| 06-18 20:41:02 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7fba65… |
| 06-18 20:40:05 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 12,017 | 100¢ | $11,959 | 0x8a7a9b… |
| 06-18 20:40:05 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1,111 | 1¢ | $8 | 0x8a7a9b… |
| 06-18 20:40:05 | Athletic-Screwup 0x5235…c04a | No | SELL | 1,000 | 100¢ | $995 | 0x8a7a9b… |
| 06-18 20:40:05 | Esteemed-Unity 0x1ead…5c81 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8a7a9b… |
| 06-18 20:40:05 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 2,597 | 0¢ | $8 | 0x8a7a9b… |
| 06-18 20:40:05 | (anonymous) 0x8ba1…057c | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8a7a9b… |
| 06-18 20:40:05 | Frail-Motorcycle 0x832d…6ec5 | Yes | BUY | 3,409 | 1¢ | $20 | 0x8a7a9b… |
| 06-18 20:39:32 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 182 | 99¢ | $180 | 0xeba8aa… |
| 06-18 20:39:32 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeba8aa… |
| 06-18 20:39:32 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xeba8aa… |
| 06-18 20:38:50 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 750 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xe4e5d2… |
| 06-18 20:38:50 | Trim-Caution 0x5ddd…0014 | No | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xe4e5d2… |
| 06-18 20:38:50 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | No | BUY | 7,362 | 99¢ | $7,318 | 0xe4e5d2… |
| 06-18 20:38:50 | Frail-Motorcycle 0x832d…6ec5 | Yes | BUY | 6,591 | 1¢ | $40 | 0xe4e5d2… |