Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
open
Total volume
$320
$22,042 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$27,861
Latest YES mid
47¢
Latest NO mid
53¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $122 | $67 | +$55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 22 | $122 | $67 | +$55 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethical-Hippopotamus 0xe7cb…d447 | Yes | +124 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-05 18:07 |
| Tepid-Mountain 0x6e1b…8833 | Yes | +56 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 06:00 |
| Primary-Chive 0x8dc5…b7ee | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-04 22:54 |
| Incredible-Tshirt 0xe442…7550 | Yes | +28 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 05:30 |
| Candid-Banana 0x4121…1b78 | Yes | +25 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 11:56 |
| Dearest-Doctrine 0xf78e…1258 | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 13:42 |
| Pessimistic-Crumb 0x7072…d365 | No | +19 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-05 17:34 |
| Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | +15 | $8 | $9 | 7 | 05-05 21:59 |
| Fantastic-Country 0x80a1…fd66 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-05 05:35 |
| Bouncy-Route 0xca13…f9c6 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 17:22 |
| Wordy-Greatgrandfather 0xc6cd…3651 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 21:04 |
| Indolent-Cummerbund 0xc538…c555 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 07:15 |
| Second-Desk 0x4f29…baeb | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb25f…a460 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf78e…ce28 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5180…e6cd | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 04:55 |
| Forked-Blazer 0xc1c5…f00d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 07:30 |
| Identical-Paddock 0x3a21…71d7 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 14:52 |
| Haunting-Exhusband 0xaaf2…ca27 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 08:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:59:58 | Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | SELL | 0 | 53¢ | $0 | 0x9778be… |
| 05-05 21:59:52 | Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x2ed1a6… |
| 05-05 21:25:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x3dbc6a… |
| 05-05 21:25:10 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x50f915… |
| 05-05 21:24:56 | Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | SELL | 0 | 52¢ | $0 | 0x3b1111… |
| 05-05 21:15:10 | Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | SELL | 0 | 51¢ | $0 | 0x0a2d90… |
| 05-05 21:15:04 | Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x29a7c5… |
| 05-05 21:04:32 | Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | SELL | 0 | 52¢ | $0 | 0xb739f9… |
| 05-05 21:04:26 | Cloudy-Trash 0x93dd…a940 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x8faea3… |
| 05-05 21:04:26 | Wordy-Greatgrandfather 0xc6cd…3651 | No | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x9c69f8… |
| 05-05 19:07:56 | Pungent-Dancing 0x7958…fa01 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xcb04ff… |
| 05-05 18:07:54 | Ethical-Hippopotamus 0xe7cb…d447 | Yes | BUY | 124 | 43¢ | $53 | 0x301996… |
| 05-05 18:07:52 | Pungent-Dancing 0x7958…fa01 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x2eea0c… |
| 05-05 17:34:52 | Pessimistic-Crumb 0x7072…d365 | No | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x743c83… |
| 05-05 17:34:40 | Pessimistic-Crumb 0x7072…d365 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 41¢ | $10 | 0xfde142… |
| 05-05 17:34:28 | Pessimistic-Crumb 0x7072…d365 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 42¢ | $10 | 0x003a64… |
| 05-05 17:22:32 | Bouncy-Route 0xca13…f9c6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xa3ba2e… |
| 05-05 14:52:34 | Identical-Paddock 0x3a21…71d7 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x58d21e… |
| 05-05 14:32:28 | Jumbo-Coin 0xf333…ba41 | No | SELL | 72 | 60¢ | $43 | 0x7bfc78… |
| 05-05 13:42:08 | Dearest-Doctrine 0xf78e…1258 | No | BUY | 19 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xe63cad… |
| 05-05 13:05:32 | (anonymous) 0xb25f…a460 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xfde3a5… |
| 05-05 13:05:28 | Second-Desk 0x4f29…baeb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x11f6f9… |
| 05-05 11:56:28 | Candid-Banana 0x4121…1b78 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0xdc6cdf… |
| 05-05 11:15:24 | (anonymous) 0x81a7…d9fa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x7a5c8e… |
| 05-05 09:46:28 | (anonymous) 0xf78e…ce28 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xef5cfd… |
| 05-05 08:55:56 | Haunting-Exhusband 0xaaf2…ca27 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xf7dbfb… |
| 05-05 07:30:48 | Forked-Blazer 0xc1c5…f00d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xfe437e… |
| 05-05 07:15:42 | Indolent-Cummerbund 0xc538…c555 | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x7c7073… |
| 05-05 06:59:44 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 38¢ | $12 | 0xe75ce6… |
| 05-05 06:05:38 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | No | SELL | 13 | 64¢ | $8 | 0xd0976b… |
| 05-05 06:00:44 | Tepid-Mountain 0x6e1b…8833 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 36¢ | $20 | 0xdb8140… |
| 05-05 05:54:54 | Murky-Artifact 0xf4e9…bf77 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x815783… |
| 05-05 05:49:58 | Periodic-Class 0x1732…2830 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0xbe8306… |
| 05-05 05:35:12 | Fantastic-Country 0x80a1…fd66 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x71830f… |
| 05-05 05:35:02 | Fantastic-Country 0x80a1…fd66 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x6b889d… |
| 05-05 05:30:08 | Incredible-Tshirt 0xe442…7550 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 36¢ | $10 | 0xe4a25b… |
| 05-05 04:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x5180…e6cd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x640c40… |
| 05-05 03:15:18 | BreadGet 0x4e56…dee1 | No | SELL | 65 | 64¢ | $42 | 0x811664… |
| 05-04 22:54:38 | Primary-Chive 0x8dc5…b7ee | No | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x02e50d… |
| 05-04 20:59:34 | Tense-Attorney 0xff8b…6aa5 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x6a8f88… |