Realized P&L
+$126
Unrealized P&L
+$34
Hit rate
79.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,567
lifetime
Volume
$58.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$342
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 06-30 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
64% 100% +$32
Other
35% 50% +$94
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +500 $50 11¢ $53 +$3 06-20 08:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +100 $40 46¢ $46 +$6 06-24 05:54
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +50 $17 68¢ $34 +$16 06-13 05:18
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +30 $25 76¢ $23 $-2 06-11 13:29
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes +60 $21 36¢ $22 +$1 06-18 05:04
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +100 $20 22¢ $22 +$1 06-23 22:40
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +101 $35 20¢ $20 $-14 06-15 02:41
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? Yes +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 06-24 14:28
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +201 $12 $17 +$5 06-18 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +20 $10 70¢ $14 +$3 06-25 09:28
Remote IPO before 2027? Yes +61 $11 19¢ $12 +$1 06-27 00:17
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +100 $20 11¢ $11 $-9 06-13 17:36
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +40 $18 26¢ $10 $-8 06-25 20:35
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +200 $12 $9 $-3 06-18 01:08
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -70 $-7 12¢ $-8 $-1 06-28 05:29
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +100 $12 $7 $-5 06-10 10:55
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes +134 $5 $6 +$1 06-27 19:38
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +40 $10 14¢ $5 $-5 06-15 08:22
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes +39 $7 10¢ $4 $-3 06-15 19:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -100 $-37 $-0 +$37 06-19 09:06
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $-9 $0 +$9 06-22 09:14