(anonymous) 0x493cef…db953e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$126
Unrealized P&L
-$31
Hit rate
79.9%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,680
lifetime
Volume
$59.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$356
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-21 10:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
64% 100% +$32
Other
35% 50% +$94
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +120 $46 42¢ $50 +$3 07-09 10:47
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +50 $17 92¢ $46 +$29 06-13 05:18
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +500 $50 8¢ $40 $-10 06-20 08:04
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +101 $35 22¢ $23 $-12 06-15 02:41
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +100 $20 22¢ $22 +$2 06-23 22:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +201 $12 8¢ $16 +$4 06-18 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +30 $18 54¢ $16 $-2 07-07 20:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +20 $18 74¢ $15 $-4 07-07 14:04
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $15 12¢ $14 $-2 07-03 15:35
Remote IPO before 2027? Yes +68 $12 17¢ $11 $-1 07-18 20:47
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +30 $20 38¢ $11 $-8 07-09 20:02
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +50 $10 22¢ $11 +$1 07-17 02:52
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes +100 $12 10¢ $10 $-2 06-10 10:55
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +100 $20 10¢ $10 $-10 06-13 17:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +42 $8 22¢ $9 +$1 07-19 09:07
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +20 $8 43¢ $9 +$1 07-12 20:10
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +10 $9 85¢ $9 $-0 07-12 10:35
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +40 $18 20¢ $8 $-10 06-25 20:35
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? Yes -70 $-7 8¢ $-6 +$1 06-28 05:29
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes +39 $7 14¢ $5 $-2 06-15 19:34
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +40 $10 12¢ $5 $-5 06-15 08:22
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +200 $12 2¢ $4 $-8 06-18 01:08
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +10 $4 36¢ $4 +$0 07-20 23:17
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year? Yes +37 $3 8¢ $3 $-0 07-17 03:36
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 40¢ $0 +$0 07-11 05:06
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 07-03 06:03
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes +0 $-2 46¢ $0 +$2 07-09 12:49