Realized P&L
-$446
Unrealized P&L
+$62
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
465
Trades
2,226
lifetime
Volume
$69.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$230
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-11 22:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Politics
57% 60% -$102
Other
42% 62% -$401
Tech
1% 60% -$8
Sports
0% 33% +$77
Crypto
0% 75% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -400 -$244 42¢ $-166 +$78 09-01 21:45
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -1,000 -$15 3¢ $-32 -$17 08-17 08:03
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +400 $16 2¢ $8 -$8 09-12 03:51
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +60 $16 12¢ $7 -$9 08-17 12:00
Anduril IPO before 2027? Yes -332 -$23 2¢ $-6 +$18 08-05 10:04
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -800 -$7 1¢ $-5 +$2 10-11 21:59
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +30 $20 8¢ $3 -$17 07-09 20:02
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -2 -$1 72¢ $-1 $0 04-29 09:07
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +10 $0 8¢ $1 +$1 07-22 01:28
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$2 09-13 01:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +9 $4 5¢ $0 -$3 07-23 17:35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -40 -$20 1¢ $-0 +$20 07-07 12:46