Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,798

lifetime

Volume

$61.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-10 14:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

62% 100% +$32

Other

36% 50% +$94

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	47	$4.9K	4,070	4,270	-200	open	—	03-11 16:54
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	6	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-02 08:30
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	3	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-05 09:08
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	37	$2.0K	2,600	1,300	+1,300	open	—	03-08 23:52
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	20	$1.7K	1,880	1,422	+458	open	—	03-10 09:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$1.6K	960	960	+0	open	—	04-22 08:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	27	$1.6K	1,160	1,120	+40	open	—	03-20 17:14
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	7	$1.4K	700	800	-100	open	—	04-24 00:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	20	$1.0K	1,000	985	+15	open	—	04-22 08:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	7	$946	500	500	+0	open	—	04-20 07:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$834	940	140	+800	open	—	07-29 20:02
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	25	$832	1,271	843	+428	open	—	03-31 17:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	7	$807	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-21 10:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$759	930	830	+100	open	—	03-01 09:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	10	$729	450	450	+0	No	+$94	04-22 08:47
will iran strike saudi arabia in march	12	$647	500	182	+318	open	—	03-02 23:05
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	8	$622	2,150	175	+1,975	open	—	04-29 10:09
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$621	850	150	+700	open	—	02-27 12:04
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	13	$601	360	350	+10	open	—	03-31 18:28
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	9	$577	500	441	+59	open	—	04-09 16:23
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	6	$577	600	100	+500	open	—	03-05 22:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$555	430	430	+0	open	—	04-17 15:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	14	$541	5,900	5,900	+0	open	—	04-17 14:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$520	310	310	+0	open	—	04-12 19:00
israel closes its airspace by june 13	2	$493	500	0	+500	open	—	06-13 21:23
israel closes its airspace by june 11	4	$491	250	250	+0	open	—	06-12 07:32
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	8	$453	240	240	+0	open	—	04-14 23:13
israel closes its airspace by june 12	3	$447	450	0	+450	open	—	06-12 23:19
will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	5	$431	220	220	+0	open	—	03-02 08:30
spx up or down on march 26 2026	7	$424	225	215	+10	open	—	03-26 20:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 14:58:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7e1b65…
08-10 14:58:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xfb08be…
08-10 01:05:24	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x70d4cc…
08-09 19:44:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xe9265d…
08-09 14:36:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xa33c5c…
08-09 09:59:42	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x41d91f…
08-09 07:15:54	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xf84fcd…
08-08 20:55:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x6c4f5d…
08-08 20:42:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x693c63…
08-08 14:42:12	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 8 2026 20260805160021491	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5b7954…
08-08 11:32:18	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0086b3…
08-08 11:31:16	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x8d348f…
08-08 10:55:46	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x230eb2…
08-08 10:29:37	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xedba47…
08-08 10:00:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x5b2cae…
08-08 09:11:33	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x558223…
08-08 08:21:45	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x08829d…
08-08 07:32:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xf8ba62…
08-08 07:22:16	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xa4fa45…
08-08 03:04:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x0872bc…
08-07 20:46:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x9c967a…
08-07 20:39:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc5258d…
08-07 20:32:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x962b39…
08-07 20:18:00	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x231d9f…
08-07 20:16:13	Mistral AI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0xb4b16d…
08-07 20:15:52	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x7ea5eb…
08-07 20:07:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x49aeea…
08-07 09:19:15	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7fee9d…
08-06 07:39:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	25¢	$10	0x102842…
08-05 21:43:38	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x9578bc…
08-05 10:04:26	Anduril IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	125	7¢	$9	0x47492a…
08-05 09:51:12	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0xafcd48…
08-05 07:43:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x69f8f3…
08-05 07:43:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x0269b2…
08-04 22:18:47	will trump speak to vladimir putin in august 20260731154203518	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xfeb2d3…
08-04 15:51:11	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf17bf3…
08-04 14:49:50	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	73	15¢	$11	0xd07dc7…
08-04 14:40:42	Anduril IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x44d80c…
08-04 13:29:39	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x1fa43d…
08-04 13:09:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x2f8ff5…
08-04 09:27:05	Anduril IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x6545f1…
08-04 09:26:59	Anduril IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x725069…
08-03 20:22:44	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xed2024…
08-03 15:48:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x64ffae…
08-03 14:36:17	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$3	0x7b1bf9…
08-02 23:33:39	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	195	5¢	$9	0x3752e3…
08-02 20:41:48	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd4ba2d…
08-02 20:32:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd5abb1…
08-02 20:20:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a77c7…
08-02 20:19:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x62cc6a…
08-01 20:36:18	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x07dd5d…
07-31 21:47:56	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	71	82¢	$58	0xc6f16b…
07-31 10:07:26	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x5c3edf…
07-31 10:06:09	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x3a6cf4…
07-31 09:50:51	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x3d009d…
07-31 09:41:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xdc0c1f…
07-31 09:41:30	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xdf6a2a…
07-31 05:15:08	Remote IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x5419f8…
07-30 19:55:26	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x924313…
07-30 19:53:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x224775…
07-30 19:53:36	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0c9130…
07-30 19:53:17	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5e9021…
07-30 19:53:08	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2b044e…
07-30 09:45:33	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x46b219…
07-30 09:01:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0xdd84e9…
07-29 20:02:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	800	100¢	$798	0x4dd9d4…
07-29 19:59:57	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcab8f3…
07-29 17:19:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x768063…
07-29 12:55:02	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xcdd3a1…
07-29 09:50:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x308683…
07-29 09:29:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x026286…
07-29 09:15:08	ukraine strikes another tanker in the caspian sea by august 31 2026 20260726221135933	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x867350…
07-28 14:14:16	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6ea4f4…
07-27 18:57:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xf7a213…
07-27 18:43:36	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd58706…
07-27 18:25:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x298c3c…
07-27 18:24:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x3605a7…
07-27 14:26:49	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x063af9…
07-27 13:30:43	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xbc5053…
07-27 08:59:34	mohammed ghalibaf out as speaker of iran parliament by july 31 2026 20260710000011403	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x266c87…
07-27 08:55:48	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0xd879a6…
07-27 08:55:40	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x15d428…
07-26 21:45:25	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x6298ae…
07-26 21:05:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x129d17…
07-26 18:29:55	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xbe4604…
07-26 17:50:45	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xbc57cc…
07-26 08:08:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfb1a93…
07-26 07:19:54	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x5cf5c3…
07-26 07:00:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4d2b3a…
07-26 07:00:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa58d76…
07-26 06:59:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa4287d…
07-26 01:45:16	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x01d915…
07-25 21:47:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9e09e4…
07-25 14:29:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x453f58…
07-25 06:16:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe32288…
07-25 06:10:15	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1e1ebc…
07-24 20:42:57	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x11c143…
07-24 20:37:31	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x408e7a…
07-24 18:43:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$19	0xca0841…
07-24 17:04:42	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe3ebdb…